Follow Up: BitTorrent (BTT) Crashes 40% After Logging Milestone Price Rally

Traders who bought BitTorrent at its top, believing that the Justin Sun-backed token would keep on pumping, are now facing huge intraday losses.

The BTT/USD exchange rate crashed by more than 40 percent after setting up a record high of $0.0134, questioning catalysts that prompted BitTorrent’s explosive upside move in the first place. Earlier, NewsBTC has raised alarms about an absence of concrete fundamental factors that should have been backing the BTT’s price rally. Excerpts:

“Traders might unload a portion of their BTT holdings to secure maximum profits. That could push the token towards its next downside target that lurks near its 20-4H exponential moving average (the green wave). If profit-taking intensifies, BTT will fall towards the blue wave target — the 50-4H simple moving average. That would wipe out almost most of the BTT’s 2021 profits.”

BitTorrent dumps more than 40 percent from its record high level. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent dumps more than 40 percent from its record high level. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

Except, one factor, the so-called altcoin season, or altseason, attempted to justify BTT’s gains to a certain degree. Altseasons point to a growth in digital assets that rival the top cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. BitTorrent, an alternative cryptocurrency, gained almost in sync with other altcoins, including Ethereum, Binance Coin, Litecoin, XRP, and others, indicating that bulls were merely riding the upside craze.

Is BitTorrent Still Bullish?

BitTorrent’s downside correction did little in offsetting its long-term bullish bias. The BTT/USD exchange rate was still up more than 3,000 percent on a year-to-date timeframe. While that made the pair extremely overvalued — according to its one-day Relative Strength Indicator readings, the ongoing craze in the altcoin market indicated that it would find sessional support in the short term.

The BitTorrent official Twitter channel attempted to underscore the BTT’s bullish bias by announcing a flurry of development updates. It noted that the BitTorrent File System would increase network decentralization by guarding testing on both client and server ends.

Nevertheless, the BTT/USD rate started heading lower hours after BitTorrent’s tweets.

What now appears possible is that BitTorrent finds support either in its 20-4H moving average or its 50-4H moving average. If the token manages to sustain above those levels, its possibility of bouncing back will remain higher. Else, it would risk falling to near $0.001, the Feb-March support level.

Photo by Sven tillack on Unsplash 

Overvaluation Risks Haunt BitTorrent As Price Explodes 164% QTD

BitTorrent turned alarmingly overvalued on Monday as its price popped higher by as much as 164 percent quarter-to-date.

The BTT/USD exchange rate surged to $0.013, its highest level on record, after rallying seven days in a row. Every sell-off attempt met with an equally aggressive accumulation, prompting more and more traders to buy the Justin Sun-backed asset at intraday highs. The volumes soared likewise.

BitTorrent rally looks overblown. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent rally looks overblown. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

The strong upside move pushed BitTorrent’s Relative Strength Indicator to 94.95, a reading that pointed to an extremely overbought asset. Typically, a higher RSI reading prompts investors/traders to unwind their holdings. As they secure their profits, the asset tops out and falls lower to find its next local support. In a worst-case scenario, it just crashes.

Fundamentals

It isn’t easy to estimate what could happen to BTT/USD. Many analysts agree that the BitTorrent token’s rally has surfaced without any concrete catalyst.

But Joseph Young, an independent cryptocurrency analyst, pointed that Justin Sun’s acquisition of Poloniex crypto exchange alongside other partners, followed by the introduction of BTT staking on the platform, might have boosted the BTT prices. Mr. Sun backs BitTorrent via his key business, the Tron Foundation. The Tron blockchain supports BTT.

Staking takes active token supplies out of circulation. If the demand for the concerned cryptocurrency increases alongside, it tends to increase its bids across spot markets. Earlier, Ethereum’s native token Ether also surged twofold against a similar catalyst.

But BitTorrent is not Ethereum, the project that supports more than 80 percent of the alternative cryptocurrency space atop its blockchain, including decentralized exchange UniSwap and Tether’s stablecoin USDT. That leaves traders in conflict about BTT’s next direction.

Mr. Young also asserted that the BitTorrent price boom has “no clear fundamental catalyst.”

BitTorrent Price Outlook

The maximum risk for BitTorrent moving forward appears to the downside.

BitTorrent eyes correction towards its 20-4H moving average. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent eyes correction towards its 20-4H moving average. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

Traders might unload a portion of their BTT holdings to secure maximum profits. That could push the token towards its next downside target that lurks near its 20-4H exponential moving average (the green wave). If profit-taking intensifies, BTT will fall towards the blue wave target — the 50-4H simple moving average. That would wipe out almost most of the BTT’s 2021 profits.

Meanwhile, a continued pumping phase could risk turning BTT into a bubble that could hurt the latest buyers the most. For now, the token needs a vast correction downhill to neutralized its overbought sentiments.

Photo by Felipe Souza on Unsplash.