Huobi Co-Founder Says Next Bitcoin Bull Run Could Be 3 Years Away

According to Huobi co-founder Jun Du, Bitcoin is unlikely to experience a strong bull run until 2025.

His analysis is based on certain crypto specialists’ assumption that the coin’s current run is coming to an end.

Surprisingly, Du has always aligned with Bitcoin’s bull run history.

The asset’s value reached as high as $69,000 during the 2020 bull run, which ended months before the mining reward was reduced from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC.

Bitcoin Bull Run: 2025

However, Bitcoin has lost more than 40% from its previous peak. To put this in context, Bitcoin’s last bull run in 2018 saw the coin register a high of $20,000 before plummeting by more than 80%.

Du said a bull market happened between 2017 and 2021, and the next one is expected to come roughly a year after the 2024 halving. The theory is that by halving the supply, the price will rise.

Why Is Halving Important To Bitcoin?

A crucial part of bitcoin is halving, which refers to half the amount of money that so-called miners get as compensation for confirming transactions.

According to crypto specialists, the past two halvings occurred in 2016 and 2020, with the next one scheduled in 2024.

Given that both cryptocurrencies and tech stocks were lifted by central bank stimulus over the prior two years, the Federal Reserve’s intentions to hike interest rates sharply in 2022 have impacted both asset classes hard.

BTC total market cap at $713.715 billion in the daily chart | Source: TradingView.com

Related Article | 2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End

Today’s Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin is currently trading at $37,643 and is still falling as of Tuesday, having breached the lower channel’s boundaries.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin had a market capitalization of $733,333,837,513. The crypto’s moving averages show a short-term bearish trend.

It has a present low of $36,488.93 and a high of $39,148.64, with an 81.48% trading volume reaching 33 billion.

Bitcoin’s price tumbled to new lows during Tuesday’s trade, falling as low as $37,200, a level it last reached on February 4.

Market observers expect Bitcoin to enter a bear market, with the subsequent significant rise not coming until late 2024 or early 2025.

Winter Is Coming

Analysts predict that Bitcoin’s current negative phase allows investors to accumulate it. According to a leading crypto intelligence firm, long-term investors were unaffected, but the short-term ones continued to drive Bitcoin’s price volatility.

Meanwhile, some investors believe that another “bitcoin winter” — when prices plummet and do not recover for a year or more — is nearing.

Bitcoin plunged from around $20,000 to below $4,000 during the last winter, between late 2017 and the middle of 2019.

Related Article | Bitcoin Bottom Signal From Bear Market, Black Thursday Could Save The Bull Run

Featured image from BlockPublisher, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto Winter or Not, Here’s Why Index Trading Can Help Spread the Risk

The crypto market just shed 3.49% over the day to $1,6 trillion. With concerns over Russia and Ukraine and rate increases by the Federal Reserve in the U.S, cryptocurrencies are tumbling. Many investors fear a crypto winter, but whether it is here or not, diversification is still vital.

James Wang, Head of Tokens at Amun, explained to NewsBTC how index tokens allow to gain instant exposure to the best-performing and most liquidity assets, diversify portfolios, and help spread the risk.

Related Reading | Ethereum Founder Vitalik Buterin Welcomes Another Crypto Winter

Crypto total market cap at $1,6 trillion in the daily chart | TradingView.comAmun Limited is a technology company that simplifies the access to passive investment on crypto through index trading products, providing broad exposure to particular blockchain ecosystems and DeFi sectors.

While crypto index funds are not popular yet compared to traditional index trading, James Wang explained that index tokens are a very useful tool because users gain instant access to a diversified portfolio of assets without having to manage multiple purchases manually.

This massively simplifies the buying process and cuts out all of the transaction fees that come with buying multiple coins individually and provides an easier on-ramp for newcomers to cryptocurrency investing, he noted.

Amun index trading products can be a tool in times of volatility because traders can move their exposure “towards a specific market segment that might be weathering the storm better than others.”

“For most investors, dollar-cost averaging is the most sensible way to allocate capital. DCA is a way of spreading out risk over time. Index investing is a way of spreading out risk over space. By employing both, investors can gain crypto exposure without the headache of deciding when or what to buy.”

Wang noted that “Almost all the growth in the S&P 500 in recent years were driven by tech and biotech” and added that Amun believes “blockchains are the next chapter of the internet and having exposure in this emerging field could be as rewarding as investing during the early years of the internet.”

“From a product perspective, the S&P 500 index has been a benchmark for the industry and a key indicator of the US economy. We hope to create an index that will serve as the benchmark of the crypto economy over the coming years.”

Safety, Fluidity, And Diversity

Wang pointed out that Amun’s tokens consist of some of the most dependable projects in crypto, “the largest and most established DeFi projects on tier-1 blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, and Polygon.”

“You no longer need to sign up to an exchange or hire a broker to invest in industry indexes.” 

As crypto users demand safety, fluidity, and diversity of their transactions, Wang noted that “Fluidity and diversity are considerations already baked into index investing,” like so:

“Diversity of investment is achieved by grouping 8 or 10 leading projects in a given market segment and giving users exposure to each of them. The potential number of indexes is limited only by the number of unique use-cases the blockchain space produces. Fluidity is provided by the ease with which users can enter or exit an investment at the click of a button via token swaps or minting.”

Moreover, Wang added that the open-source protocol Amun is built on passed multiple audits before being released, and they are part “of a large, vibrant community of developers that are busy maintaining and refining the underlying technology,” thanks to their integration with Ethereum, Polygon, and Solana.

Crypto Mass Adoption

Wang thinks that during the DeFi and NFT boom we are witnessing, “some people are probably more familiar with the NFT space than the crypto space in general.” However, using index tokens gives everyone “a chance to invest without having to exhaustively research an entirely new industry and provide easier financial management than investing manually.”

For this reason, Wang thinks it is a possibility for index tokens to play a bigger role in the near future.

“Suppose we can get people to understand the benefits of investing in index tokens,” he said. “In that case, I think it could play a role in the mass adoption of cryptocurrencies — not least through their inherent simplification and ease of use. “

Wang stated that Amun’s next products “will aim to give investors broad exposure across all blockchain platforms.” With a “total blockchain index”, they intend to launch a product that “will serve as the S&P 500 of crypto by representing all smart contract platforms such as Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, and Fantom.” 

Furthermore, Wang also noted that while “centralized exchanges are the main targets for regulators right now,” “Decentralized assets being traded on decentralized exchanges are the furthest away from regulatory scrutiny at the moment.”

However, as the regulatory framework will inevitably shift, “we’ll ensure that at every step we are doing all we can to stay fluid and evolve however we need to, to comply with new regulatory requirements.”

Related Reading | Small Cap Index Lead Gains In February, But What Is Bitcoin Doing?

Ethereum Founder Vitalik Buterin Welcomes Another Crypto Winter

Ethereum blockchain co-founder and prominent leader in cryptocurrency Vitalik Buterin said that investors might be experiencing a “crypto winter,” but it’s not all bad news for them. He went on to say this could lead up into another digital asset universe as prices are currently low enough, which would give opportunities with significant gains potential when things pick back up again like before.

In an interview with Bloomberg, Buterin said;

A lot of people who are deep into crypto and especially make things welcome the bear market. They welcome the bear market because when prices go up so much in the long run – it’s obviously a lot of people rejoice – but it invites a very short period of time. Speculative attention.

Related Reading | Bullish: Signals Suggest That Ethereum Might Make A Break Above $3,085

The cryptocurrency market took a plunge after reaching an all-time high in early November. Owing to investors’ and speculators’ expectations of positive economic news coming out of Covid. As a result, the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index fell about 45% from its peak, with Ether declining by 40%.

With the recent rise in prices, many people have seen their assets increase exponentially. CoinGecko is tracking 12,588 different tokens and reminds us all that this isn’t just a bull market. It’s been one for cryptocurrency as well. However, fraud and manipulation in this market can hurt you if used incorrectly or blindly follow leaders like sheep.  And to get a rich quick scheme without understanding what they are getting into.

Pumps & Dumps occur when traders try to gain money off others’ losses by pumping up prices before selling off at lower levels, creating fear amongst investors who think it might happen again soon, thus driving them towards safety.

Crypto Winters As An Opportunity

According to a 28-year-old crypto billionaire;

Winter is the time when most of these applications go out. As a result, you can see which projects are long-term sustainable, as in their models and their teams and their people.

Ethereum price is on the way down since February 16 | Source ETH/USD Chart on Tradingview.com

The crypto winter maybe just a seasonal chill for this emerging industry, but Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin told Bloomberg that he was “surprised” by the market’s move over last year. However, he is unsure whether crypto remains in its second winter or simply reflects volatility found within broader economies.

Related Reading | Crypto Winter Is Thawing With Bitcoin And Ethereum Rebound Signal

In Denver on February 12, he said;

Crypto markets seem to flip switches from this particular group that is controlled by a specific group of participants. It is completely disconnected from traditional markets that behave more and more as if they were part of a mainstream financial market. 

Buterin added that Crypto Winter is an opportunity to make some significant changes for the better.

The dangers of using cross-blockchain bridges were brought to light this year when Wormhole’s popular crypto protocol was hacked for more than 300 million dollars. In January, Buterin warned that these types of bridges could be dangerous. It may cause users’ funds to be trapped in Smart Agreements without their knowledge or consent. So-called smart agreements are programs that issue parallel cryptocurrencies on two different blockchains. 

Buterin’s Focus on Ethereum Scaling

Ethereum is working to make its blockchain faster and more scalable. Investors often criticize the popular blockchain because transactions can be slow and expensive with current technology limitations. But now, there are efforts in place that may bring some much-needed improvements for this particular ecosystem.

Finally, Buterin added;

When everyone tries to use blockchain again, no, in fact, we don’t want everyone to find out again that there isn’t enough space on the chain for everyone.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto Winter Is Thawing With Bitcoin And Ethereum Rebound Signal

It’s been a rough few weeks for cryptocurrencies, but things are finally looking up! Cryptocurrencies that have fallen off their highs over the past three weeks appear to be on an upward trajectory again.

Crypto winter is thawing as crypto markets are showing some signs of life. For example, Bitcoin, which fell 52% from its November highs to a low of around $33,000, has gained 15% in the past seven days, and Ethereum, which dropped 55% from its all-time high, has rebounded 13%.

Related Reading | Bitcoin and Ethereum rebound signals ‘crypto winter’ thaw

January was a tough month for crypto investors. Still, Bank of America’s global strategist Alkesh Shah says he saw increased interest from people who want to invest or trade cryptocurrencies. He expects prices will rise throughout 2022 and into 2023 as more regulatory clarity emerges about digital assets like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price is steady at around $44,000. Source: BTC/USD on Tradingview.com

When it comes to risky assets, like equities and real estate Shah says that their prices can fluctuate wildly. But with crypto, there is one additional factor: the Federal Reserve’s announcement about possible rate rises in March could affect its value too.

According to Shah statement;

The market as a whole, and risk assets broadly, really weren’t expecting how many rate hikes are now being talked about.

Experts Predictions On Rate Hikes In 2022

The economy grows with each passing year, and inflation trends remain stable. This has led some experts to predict even more rate hikes in 2022. For example, Goldman Sachs’ forecast of four per season during the year 2022; however, one prediction stands out: Shah’s own bank forecasts seven increases in 2022. 

Related Reading | Seven hikes? Fast-rising wages could cause the Fed to raise interest rates even higher this year

The current decline in crypto prices is likely to continue for the next three months, but after that, it’s unlikely unless there are some significant changes. 

A recent study done by Shah suggests banks may hike interest rates which would cause even more problems with traders who rely on volatile assets like cryptocurrencies as their sole investment vehicle.

Crypto markets are adjusting to a new reality where risks no longer reap rewards. According to Shah, prices will again start climbing once the market will adjust to the new reality.

During the interview, Shah added:

Then, this group especially (crypto assets), can start to move up more based on the fundamentals of growth and adoption and all of the new applications being built on this ecosystem.

With recent developments in the blockchain space, more investors are beginning to take notice of Ethereum and its various applications. There’s not only one Ether but three different ones worth noting: Binance Coin (BNB) Avalanche (AVA). Each has its unique function that entrepreneurs can use to build on top of these networks or anyone looking into what they do – from security purposes all way down to simplicity.

Additionally, Shah said:

Investors just can’t ignore the sector anymore; It’s gotten too big to ignore.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto Winter: An Investor’s Big Fear…

It’s been a challenging few months for crypto investors since Bitcoin fell from its all time high of 69k; on top of that, many coins have followed in BTC’s price action footsteps.

The entire crypto market has shed more than $1 trillion in value since, and many experts believe more is to come and that this will not be the last of the wave; many people scramble to get a grasp onfwhat’s to come and if we will fall into another dreaded crypto winter.

Related Reading | Downward DOGE: Descending Dogecoin Pattern Predicts Deadly Drop

Cold World For Crypto…

The entire crypto market has lost roughly $1 trillion in value since November, around the time of bitcoin’s all-time high, and other tokens such as ether and solana followed the number one digital currency to trade sharply lower. Ethereum has more than halved in value since reaching its peak in November, while Solana has suffered an even steeper decline, falling 65 percent. Back in 2018, bitcoin went through what many now refer to as ‘crypto winter,’ which saw witness to an 80 percent drop in bitcoin; could this be another case of the current price action

BTC: Bitcoin fighting to break 40k after hitting all time high in November 2021. | BTC:USDtradingview.com

David Marcus, the former head of crypto at Facebook (now Meta), appeared to suggest that he believes a crypto winter has already arrived. In a tweet earlier this week, he said: “It’s during crypto winters that the best entrepreneurs build the better companies. This is the time again to focus on solving real problems vs. pumping tokens.”

Nadya Ivanova, chief operating officer at the BNP Paribas had an opposing thought on a crypto winter, stating that “over the last year — especially with all the hype in this market — a lot of developers seem to have been distracted by the easy gains from speculation in NFTs (non-fungible tokens) and other digital assets. A cooling off period might actually be an opportunity to start building the fundamentals of the market,” Ivanova told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”

Hopes Of A Better Day…

Many coins are suffer the same fate as equities as large suffer, most notably the stock market; many investors are faced with fears of hard federal regulations and interest rate adjustments that might hurt more that help if you came up big this last year. The U.S. central bank is considering making such moves in response to surging inflation, and some analysts say it could result in the end of the era of ultra-cheap money and sky-high valuations — especially in high-growth sectors like tech, which benefit from lower rates since companies often borrow funds to invest in their business.

Vijay Ayyar, vice president of corporate development and international at crypto exchange Luno, thinks the recent slump in crypto is more of a “correction” than a sustained downturn. He also stated that looking ahead, a key level to watch for bitcoin is $30,000. If it closes below that point in a week or more, “that would definitely indicate high likelihood of a bear market,” he said. A decline of around 80 percent from bitcoin’s recent peak would indicate a price of less than $15,000. Ayyar doesn’t think such a scenario is on the table.

Related Reading | Tesla Report Shows Bitcoin Holdings Remain Unchanged At $1.2 Billion