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Bitcoin Enters ‘Danger Zone’ Post-Halving, Analyst Warns Of Potential Downside

Following the halving event on April 19, the price of Bitcoin has displayed a puzzling performance. BTC initially gained nearly 10% to trade as high as $67,020 on April 24. However, in the last two days,  the digital asset’s price has declined by 6.49%, falling below the $63,000 price mark. 

As expected, such negative performance has drawn attention from investors and market speculators. In particular, renowned analyst with X handle Rekt Capital has provided a theory on Bitcoin’s price fall and perhaps an insight into the future price movements of the crypto market leader.

BTC Potential Price Decline Ahead?

In an X post on April 26, Rekt Capital stated that Bitcoin has now entered the Post-Halving “Danger Zone.” The analyst described this phenomenon as a period during which Bitcoin has historically experienced price corrections after the halving event. Rekt Capital noted that in 2016, Bitcoin recorded these price retraces in the three weeks following the Halving event. During this time, the token’s price declined by 11%. 

The analyst postulates that Bitcoin is now in the Post-Halving “Danger Zone” of the current bull cycle following its price fall over the last two days. It is worth stating that if Bitcoin mirrors past price movement in this phase, the token could be heading for $60,000. However, Rekt Capital states that if the crypto market leader experiences such a fate, it will be within the next two weeks. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades around $62,672 with a decline of 2.44% in the last day. This price fall underscores BTC’s negative performance in the last month in which it has lost 11.16% of its market value. 

BitcoinBTC trades at $63,023 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSD chart on Tradingview.com

Bitcoin ETFs Record Minor Inflow; Net Outflows Hit $217 Million

According to data from SoSoValue, the Bitcoin Spot ETF market recorded net outflows to the tune of $217 million on April 25. Unsurprisingly, Grayscale’s GBTC accounted for $138 million of these figures as its total outflows now approach $17 billion.

Notably, for the first time ever, Fidelity’s FBTC and Valkyrie’s BRRR  produced net outflows estimated at $22 million and $20 million, respectively. Meanwhile, ARK Invest’s ARKB and Bitwise’s BITB also experienced a loss in investment on Thursday.

Interestingly, all other Bitcoin Spot ETFs recorded zero net flows except Franklin Tempton’s EZBC, which saw a net inflow of $1.87 million. At the time of writing, the BTC spot ETFs have a combined value of $128 billion, reflecting a remarkable growth since their trading debut on January 11.

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Forbes Unveils 20 Crypto ‘Zombies,’ Declares Ripple And XRP Among The Undead

In a controversial report, Forbes unveiled a list of 20 “crypto billion-dollar zombies,” Layer 1 (L1) tokens, which the news outlet defines as crypto assets with substantial valuations but “limited utility beyond speculative trading.” 

These cryptocurrencies and projects include Ripple, XRP, Ethereum Classic (ETC), Tezos (XTZ), Algorand (ALGO), and Cardano (ADA), among others. 

XRP And Ethereum Classic In The Spotlight

Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, was highlighted as a prominent crypto zombie. Despite XRP’s active trading volume of around $2 billion daily, Forbes asserts that the token’s primary purpose remains “speculative” and “lacking meaningful utility.” 

However, Ripple Labs and XRP are not alone in this regard. Forbes reveals that 50 blockchains, excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), currently trade at values surpassing $1 billion, with at least 20 of them classified as “functional zombies.” Collectively, these 20 blockchains hold a market value of $116 billion, despite having “limited user bases.”

Crypto

According to Forbes, an example of a “functional zombie” is Ethereum Classic, which maintains the distinction of being the original Ethereum chain. 

While ETC has a market value of $4.6 billion, its fee generation in 2023 was less than $41,000, raising questions about the blockchain’s viability for the news organization.

Another crypto project in Forbes’ report is Tezos, which raised $230 million through an initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017. 

Tezos’ XTZ token currently holds a market capitalization of $1.2 billion. However, the blockchain’s fee earnings were meager, with $5,640 in February 2024 and a total of $177,653 for all of 2023. 

Algorand, once hailed as an “Ethereum killer” due to its capability of processing 7,500 transactions per second, faces similar challenges. 

Despite a market cap of $2 billion and a treasury holding of $500 million, Algorand earned $63,000 in blockchain transaction fees throughout 2023. For Forbes, this casts doubt on its actual adoption and utility.

Crypto ‘Zombie’ Blockchains

The zombie blockchains are categorized into two groups by Forbes: spin-offs and direct competitors to established blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum. 

Spin-off zombies include Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Litecoin (LTC), Monero (XMR), Bitcoin SV (BSV), and Ethereum Classic. 

These blockchains, collectively valued at $23 billion, reportedly emerged from “disagreements” among programmers regarding the governance and direction of the original chains. 

Forbes notes that when such conflicts arise, hard forks occur, resulting in new networks that share the same transaction history as their predecessors. The agency claims that their market value “often exceeds” their real-world usage.

Overall, The report highlights a growing disparity between the valuations of certain projects in the cryptocurrency industry and their actual utility and usage. Consequently, Forbes refers to these projects as “zombies.”

Crypto

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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Expert Makes Bold Call: It’s Time To Swap Your Dollars For Bitcoin

Billionaire investor Anthony Scaramucci, the founder of SkyBridge Capital, recently discussed the viability of financial assets. He took to X, a social media platform previously known as Twitter and owned by Elon Musk, to highlight the decreasing purchasing power of the United States dollar in comparison to the potential of Bitcoin (BTC).

US Dollar Vs. Bitcoin Value Performance

In the post on X, the SkyBridge Capital founder pointed out that a dollar from 2020 is now only worth about 75 cents, underscoring a significant devaluation due to inflation.

According to Scaramucci, this scenario illustrates why investors should reconsider traditional fiat currencies as a reliable store of value, advocating instead for the inherent benefits of digital assets like Bitcoin.

Scaramucci’s critique comes at a time when the global economy grapples with heightened inflation rates, which have eroded the real value of fiat money.

He specifically cited a “25.14% compounded inflation rate” as a critical indicator of why the dollar is losing ground. In contrast, Bitcoin has not only maintained a strong profile but has also appreciated in value, further cementing its position as a viable hedge against inflation and a potential safe haven for investors.

So far, Bitcoin’s market performance has been quite appealing. Particularly, despite the significant downturn experienced in the past few years, the asset has managed to come out of the bloodbath and recently soared to an all-time high above $73,000 in March.

This peak performance labels Bitcoin as not just a digital asset but a major player in the global financial landscape.

However, despite Scaramucci’s bullish outlook, it’s worth noting that Bitcoin has seen its share of volatility. It has been struggling to maintain its appeal recently, with a modest 0.9% increase in the last 24 hours – a slight recovery from a 2% drop over the past week.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

BTC Shifting Market Sentiments

Further insights into the market’s behavior towards Bitcoin reveal changing dynamics. Data from CryptoQuant highlighted a negative turn in the Bitcoin funding rate for the first time since October 2023, indicating a cooling interest in speculative trading on the asset.

This shift suggests that while the long-term outlook might still be strong, short-term investor sentiment has become cautious, possibly awaiting clearer signals before making further commitments.

The current market sentiment is also reflected in the technical analysis of a prominent crypto analyst, Ali. In Ali’s recent post on X, a notable mention was made of a “death cross” seen in Bitcoin’s 12-hour chart, where the short-term moving average dips below a long-term counterpart, traditionally a bearish signal.

Additionally, the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential indicator points to potential price reversals after a consistent trend, adding another layer of complexity to Bitcoin’s trading strategy.

Despite these potentially bearish indicators, on-chain data from Santiment shows an interesting trend: Bitcoin whales have increased their holdings significantly, now owning 25.16% of the total supply.

This accumulation suggests that while retail sentiment may be bearish, large-scale investors are seeing the dips as buying opportunities, potentially prepping for a future bullish run.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Timing The Breakout: When Will Bitcoin Escape The Post-Halving Consolidation?

Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency in the market, has been trading within a re-accumulation range between the $59,000 and $70,000 price levels for the past month and a half. 

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently shared its perspective on this phase and its potential duration, drawing from historical patterns and data in a post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter).

Breakout Timing And Historical Patterns

According to Rekt’s analysis, Bitcoin tends to experience a re-accumulation range following the Halving event, which occurs every four years to counteract any inflationary effect on Bitcoin by lowering the reward amount for miners and maintaining scarcity. 

Historically, This consolidation phase lasts up to 150 days before Bitcoin breaks into a parabolic uptrend. Based on this pattern, if Bitcoin continues to consolidate for the next 150 days, Rekt suggests a breakout would be expected in September 2024.

The ideal duration of a re-accumulation range is crucial in determining Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Rekt Capital noted that when Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $73,700 in mid-March, it accelerated its cycle by 260 days. However, with over 49 days of consolidation, the acceleration has reduced to approximately 210 days.

Resetting The Bitcoin Halving Cycle

Repeating historical trends, where Bitcoin consolidates for 150 days after the Halving, would still indicate an acceleration in the current cycle, albeit by a lesser extent of 60 days. 

Nevertheless, Rekt contends that Bitcoin would ideally need to consolidate for at least 210 days to fully resynchronize with its historical Halving cycles and reset the current acceleration in this cycle to 0. This would bring the rate of acceleration to 0 days and potentially lead to a breakout around November 2024.

The analyst further suggested that to achieve a 200+ day post-Halving consolidation and fully resynchronize with historical Halving cycles, Bitcoin would need to replicate its mid-2023 re-accumulation range, which lasted 224 days before a new uptrend emerged. Rekt concluded:

Overall, how long this current Re-Accumulation Range will last will dictate the remaining acceleration in this cycle and ultimately influence where Bitcoin will finally peak in its Bull Market. 

Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency, with a market capitalization of $1.2 billion, is currently trading at $64,400, showing minimal fluctuations compared to Thursday’s price movements. 

Recently, Bitcoin has encountered resistance at the $66,000 level, hindering its ability to consolidate above this threshold. Conversely, the $63,400 level may serve as a support base for the cryptocurrency in the event of heightened downward volatility over the weekend.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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Brace For Price Impact: Dogecoin Whales Move Massive 456 Million DOGE To Exchanges

Recent on-chain data has shown a transfer of 456 million DOGE tokens into crypto exchange Coinbase amidst a flurry of Dogecoin whale transactions across various exchanges in the past 24 hours. The price of DOGE has majorly traded below the $0.165 price level in the past seven days despite the price uptick among other meme coins. These recent events of whale transfers, however, appear to be leading to a bearish view towards DOGE. Transfers of this nature into a crypto exchange point to the whales getting ready to sell off their bags, which risks crashing the DOGE price. 

Whales Move 456 Million DOGE To Crypto Exchange

Whale Alerts, a crypto whale transaction tracker, has shown various instances of whale transactions in recent hours. Amidst these transactions is the transfer of 456.83 million DOGE tokens worth $68.7 million into popular crypto exchange Coinbase. Interestingly, the transfer of DOGE was made to Coinbase in two bouts of 228 million DOGE, each worth over $34 million.

Related Reading: Renowned Economist Reveals What Will Happen If Bitcoin Can’t Hold $60,000

However, considering these transactions were sent in quick succession, the nature of their movement points to them being controlled by the same whale entity. 

A further look into the two whale addresses involved, “DFBx6m” and “DCTpBb”, showed that they no longer hold any tokens at the time of writing. This lends additional credibility to the idea that the transfers were made with the intention of selling off tokens.

Notably, on-chain data shows that both addresses have been holding their DOGE tokens since last year, considering the last inflow of DOGE occurred on November 1, 2023. During this time, the price of Dogecoin was trading around $0.068. It is worth noting that DOGE has gone on an over 120% price increase since then, putting the holdings at a significant profit.

What’s Next For Dogecoin?

At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.1511. The crypto is now on a correction path after failing to substantially break above $0.164 in the past week. The recent movement of nearly half a billion Dogecoin suggests major price volatility could be on the horizon. Furthermore, the recent DOGE rally seems to have stalled out as other altcoins and meme coins gain momentum.

While DOGE is currently down by 0.64% in the past seven days, Shiba Inu, PEPE, Dogwifhat, and FLOKI are up by 13.8%, 47.5%, and 32.5% in the same timeframe. 

The future of DOGE can be hard to predict. As with any meme coin, Dogecoin remains highly speculative. Its price continues to be volatile and heavily influenced by hype and social media. According to a crypto analyst, DOGE could continue to drop in the short term. Other analysts are bullish on DOGE, with analyst Ali Martinez even predicting a rally to the $1 price mark. 

Dogecoin price chart from Tradingview.com

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NEAR Protocol Soars 7.3%, Is It Poised To Go Higher?

As the crypto industry navigates the waves of this bull run, projects like NEAR Protocol (NEAR) are edging forward with new partnerships and developments. NEAR’s remarkable performance has crypto analysts considering that the toke is getting underway for a massive surge.

Is NEAR Protocol A “Market Leader”?

At the beginning of the week, crypto analyst World of Charts recognized a bullish flag pattern formed on NEAR’s monthly chart. According to the analyst, a successful breakout could be followed by a 60-65% bullish wave in the coming days.

On Thursday, NEAR tested the $7.00 resistance level, reaching above the $7.50 mark before retracing as the day ended.

NEAR Protocol, crypto

Affirming his previous forecast, the analyst stated that if the token successfully holds above the breakout level, investors could expect the price to move towards $14-$15. Since then, the token has remained above the $7.00 mark, hovering between $7.3-$7.1.

Another crypto analyst has been following NEAR’s performance this week similarly. According to Bluntz, the token “has been one of the strongest movers from the lows and will probably be one of the first to make fresh highs.”

Moreover, he considers NEAR “one of the better performers” in the top 20 cryptocurrencies. Previously, the trader displayed a chart identifying an ABC zigzag pattern followed by a still-forming impulse wave pattern.

NEAR; crypto analyst

As NEAR broke out of the $7,00 resistance, the analyst reaffirmed his prediction for the token’s movements, considering it “a market leader right now.”

Bluntz added that the token kept “plodding along making fresh highs while everything else has stalled out and continued accumulating.”

Network Expansion And Price Surge

The NEAR Protocol is a Layer-1 “user-friendly and carbon-neutral” blockchain focused on performance, security, and scalability. According to its team, the “blockchain for everyone” was built with “usability in mind.”

NEAR’s total value locked (TVL) of $309 million makes it the 16th largest blockchain by this metric. Notably, the network has doubled its TVL since Q4 2023, when it sat in the 25th spot with $128 million.

The protocol collaborates with other projects constantly to continue “expanding financial horizons.” Projects like NodeKit and TrueZK have recently integrated NEAR’s solution designed for Ethereum rollups, NEAR DA.

Similarly, on Thursday, it announced its partnership with Colombian fintech Lulo X and Peersyst Technology “to redefine the parameters of digital finance.” These collaborations have been seemingly well-received by the NEAR community.

Despite being down by 6.25% in the monthly time frame and 65% below its all-time high (ATH) of $20,44 set in January 2022, the blockchain’s token has shown a remarkable performance during this bull run. In the last three months, NEAR has soared over 146%.

Moreover, the token’s daily trading volume has increased by 6.5% in the past day, with over $800 million traded. Likewise, its market capitalization has risen 5% during the same timeframe, making it the 17th biggest cryptocurrency by this metric.

As of this writing, NEAR is trading at $7.2, representing a 7.3% jump in the last 24 hours and a 26% rise in the past week.

NEAR, NEARUSDT, crypto

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Bitcoin Under Pressure But Whales Hold Over $331 Billion Of BTC: A Sign To Buy?

While Bitcoin prices struggle for momentum and are caged inside a narrow range, on-chain data tells a different story. Taking to X, one analyst notes that whales, which are large crypto holders, are actively accumulating the world’s largest coin by market cap. 

BTC whales accumulating | Source: Analyst via X

Bitcoin Whales Accumulating Despite Weakness

By the time this data was shared, Bitcoin whales held over 5.1 million BTC worth a staggering $331 billion. That there is still demand when the coin moves in a narrow range flies in the face of recent market weakness and skeptics betting on even more price dumps.

Currently, Bitcoin is inside a range, with caps at $73,800 and $60,000. Despite overall market confidence, the coin has failed to pull higher, breaking above $70,000 even after Halving on April 20. Even though prices are firm, the absence of follow-through after April 21 and 22 hints at weakness.

Bitcoin price trending sideways on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

From the BTCUSDT price chart, the coin could explode should it break above the middle BB. If the leg up is accompanied by positive fundamental events, momentum could push the coin to all-time highs.

On the flip side, BTC is likely to slip even lower should sellers flow back. The sharp rejection of bulls on April 24 is bearish. As such, this might set a wave of lower lows in motion, taking the coin below April 2023 lows.

Traders Panicked Sold, Register Huge Losses

Parallel market data shows panic sellers on Binance and OKX, two major crypto exchanges by trading volumes, have dumped a combined 5,137 BTC at a loss over the past two weeks. As data shows, prices have been weaving lower during this time, with bulls failing to counter the dump, especially after two consecutive losses on April 12 and 13.

Meanwhile, there have been sharp outflows from ARKB, the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). Data shows that ARKB sold 490 BTC, worth $31 million, on April 25. This is the third-largest single-day outflow in history.

ARKB outflows | Source: Analyst via X

Recent price pressures on BTC coincide with a marked drop in spot ETF inflows in the second half of April. On April 25, Lookonchain data revealed that GBTC and all the nine spot ETF issuers decreased over 2,100 BTC worth roughly $135 million.

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Crypto Analyst Predicts Massive Move For Bitcoin, What’s The Target?

Despite BTC’s recent unimpressive price action, crypto analyst Doctor Profit has shared his bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. The analyst further suggested that a parabolic move was imminent and that crypto investors should position themselves accordingly. 

Crypto Market Preparing For A “Third Industrial Revolution”

Doctor Profit mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the crypto market “is preparing itself for the third Industrial Revolution,” thereby hinting at a trend reversal for Bitcoin and altcoins soon enough. “Be part of it, or regret for [a] lifetime,” the crypto analyst added as he warned crypto investors of missing this market rally.  

Related Reading: HBAR Prices Crashes 35% As BlackRock Denies Any Ties To Hedera

In a previous X post, Doctor Profit gave an idea of what to expect from the crypto market (Bitcoin in particular) when it makes its next leg up. He stated that the flagship crypto will rise to $84,000 after it is done trading the sideway range between $60,000 and $72,000. In another X post, he claimed that the super cycle will start after Bitcoin hits $72,000. 

Meanwhile, Doctor Profit suggested that the price corrections experienced were normal and usually occur in each crypto cycle. He further remarked that the 10 to 20% price fluctuations weren’t big moves. His statement echoes the sentiment of Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, who previously warned that bull markets weren’t “straight lines up.”

Bitcoin Is In The Re-Accumulation Period 

In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, crypto analyst Rekt Capital confirmed that Bitcoin is currently in the Re-Accumulation phase, which occurs after the Bitcoin Halving. He further noted that the goal now “is for Bitcoin to move sideways to catch a breather, for the market to cool off after [a] fantastic Pre-Halving price performance.  

According to Rekt Capital, this Re-Accumulation period can last for multiple weeks “and even up to 150 days.” The analyst revealed that once this period is over, Bitcoin will experience a breakout from this sideways range, followed by a parabolic uptrend. 

This uptrend phase is said to last for over a year. However, with the probability of this being an accelerated market cycle, Rekt Capital remarked that the duration for this uptrend could be cut in half. Crypto analysts like Tom Dunleavy, Partner and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at MV Capital, predict that the flagship crypto will rise as high as $100,000 when that time comes. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $64,360, up in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com