Turkish Lira Vs BTC: What’s Behind The Bitcoin Chart You Can’t Miss

Bitcoin price quoted in United States dollars has been suffering from a sharp and sudden downtrend after setting a new all-time high in November. But when quoted in Turkish lira, the top cryptocurrency kept on climbing in November and has never looked back.

The result? A shocking cryptocurrency price chart you simply have to see to believe. We’ll also explain the background behind the devastating downtrend in TRYUSD.

BTCTRY: Bitcoin Makes A Bullish Bet Against Struggling Currencies

All throughout the history of Bitcoin price action, after setting a higher high, the notoriously volatile cryptocurrency would blast off to a cycle climax. But the recent macro concerns around the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise rates put any bullish momentum on pause.

Related Reading | This Bitcoin Morning Star Could Brighten The Bullish Narrative In A Flash

Instead of new highs in BTCUSD, the top crypto asset by market cap has fallen by 38% or around $20,000 per coin. However, crypto assets don’t only trade against the dollar, much like BTC can trade against altcoins like ETH.

Bitcoin trading against the lira looks a lot different than the dollar | Source: BTCTRY on TradingView.com

Bitcoin can be quoted in the euro, yen, or in the case of the chart above, the Turkish lira. On the BTCTRY trading pair, after the all-time high was breached in early November, the bullish trend has yet to take a breather – let alone the steep correction seen in USD terms.

Behind The Turkish Lira Plunge, An Omen For The Dollar?

The flight to the dollar caused by the mere mention of rate hikes has decimated assets. In Turkey, the opposite is happening. Under president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey’s central bank has cut interest rates by a full percentage point five times since September, sending the nation’s currency into a free fall.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Falls Flat: Examining A Rare Bull Market Corrective Pattern

During this time frame, the lira has fallen 50% against the dollar. Inflation in the country has also increased by 21%. Central banks in Turkey have attempted to intervene several times without success, selling off the country’s reserve of USD.

The lira has been in free fall against USD | Source: TRYUSD on TradingView.com

In response to inflation concerns, Erdoğan has raised the minimum wage by 50%, which Marek Drimal at Société Générale claims “will fuel inflation pressures further, together with the cumulative impact of the lira’s weakness”.

Additional, unspecified measures are also promised. But will they work? The lira is an example of what happens when there are no more levers left to pull. The United States Federal Reserve has a lot more shock and awe left in its war chest, but even it is struggling to balance markets, inflation, and a currency meltdown.

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Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Why The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Doesn’t Bode Well For Bitcoin

Bitcoin price is currently trading at a substantial premium on South Korean crypto exchanges – more than $6,000 per coin in USD equivalent. However, in the past this so-called “Kimchi Premium” has signaled the end of the bull trend.

Is this a sign that things  across the crypto market could soon turn bearish? Or is there something else afoot going on with the US dollar and the South Korean won that is causing the discrepancy?

Bitcoin FOMO Comes To A Boiling Point In South Korea, According To Price Premium

Bitcoin is an asset unlike anything else in the world before it. There’s no company involved like stocks; no country like fiat currencies; nor does it have a physical form like a commodity.

Because the decentralized cryptocurrency technology is controlled by no state actor, the underlying asset could some day become the first non-sovereign global reserve currency.

Related Reading | Mathematical Mystery: Why Did The Bitcoin Rally Stop At The Golden Ratio?

The crypto market like these other assets, however, also trades globally, and is subject to deviations in price data depending on how aggressive one region’s currency is being exchange to buy up BTC.

Once again, crypto FOMO has taken hold in the country of South Korea, resulting in the return of something called the “Kimchi Premium.”

bitcoin kimchi premium

The Kimchi Premium has Bitcoin priced nearly $6,000 higher in South Korea | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Could Spell Danger For The Ongoing Crypto Bull Run

The chart above demonstrates the sizable deviation between BTCUSD and BTCKRW. The discrepancy is roughly $6,000 USD currency and climbing. The crypto community has dubbed this unusual phenomenon the “Kimchi Premium.”

Related Reading | Heads Up: Bearish Bitcoin Technical Pattern Shouldn’t Be Shrugged Off

It isn’t clear what’s causing such FOMO amongst South Korean investors, but the so-called premium hasn’t been around since the last week of 2017.

bitcoin kimchi premium zoomed

The last time the Kimchi Premium was so prominent, it was the peak of the last bull market. | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Zooming out, the last time the Kimchi Premium moved away from the standard BTCUSD ticker priced in dollars, that was the grand finale for the previous bull market.

While the USD trading pair made lower highs, the KRW trading pair made another higher high before together falling into the 2018 bear market. Thus far, the premium has never been used as a signal to take action, as historically, it hasn’t appeared often enough to take action on.

But its existence is undeniable, nor what came after the two country’s Bitcoin price tickers separated by this much in the past. Whatever the case may be, the Kimchi Premium should be something to pay close attention to for the near future.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com