Analysts recently debated whether or not the Bitcoin halving is still a meaningful catalyst for BTC’s price discovery.
What is quantitative easing, and how does it work?
Quantitative easing is a monetary policy tool where a central bank purchases financial assets to increase the money supply and stimulate economic activity.
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The U.S. central bank’s liabilities may increase if more regional banks fail, creating an upside scenario for the price of Bitcoin.
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This Crisis Will Define the Future of Money
The recent collapse of three high-profile banks – Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank – has caused worrying outflows at hundreds of regional banks. Now, with the U.S. Federal Reserve creating a new backstop facility reportedly worth $2 trillion and Switzerland’s central bank bailing out Credit Suisse to the tune of $54 billion, the echoes of prior crisis in 2008 and 2013 are loud.
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Why the rise of a Bitcoin standard could deter war-making
If nation-states held their reserves in Bitcoin, instead of fiat, they would be less incentivized to go to war, says CSO at the Human Right Foundation, Alex Gladstein.
Bitcoin ‘whales’ and ‘fishes’ pause accumulation as markets weigh March 50bps hike odds
If Bitcoin benefited from quantitative easing, will it be hurt by quantitative tightening?
Can Ethereum price reach $4K after a triple-support bounce?
A combination of multiple support levels, including a 21-month exponential moving average, helped ETH price rebound by nearly 30% from its local bottom.
Terra (LUNA) at risk of 50% drop if bearish head and shoulders pattern plays out
LUNA price is at risk of further downside, but analysts point to a possible rebound as the altcoin tests a reliable, multi-month moving average as support.
Boom or bust? Is there a way for Bitcoin price to hit $100K in 2022?
BTC price took an unexpected bearish turn in January, but are there any catalysts that could support a run to $100,000 in 2022?
Bitcoin, stocks and commodities correct after Fed chair mentions policy change
BTC, stocks and commodities took a hit after the Federal Reserve acknowledged that inflation is more than just a “transitory” problem and hinted that tapering could occur sooner than expected.
Bitcoin price dips under $60K as Dollar Strength Index reaches 16-month highs
The greenback regained strength in hopes that stronger inflation data in the U.S. would revive a tighter monetary policy and after better-than-expected retail sales growth.
Hawkish Fed comments and fears of stablecoin regulation spark market sell-off
BTC, ETH and altcoins saw a slight pullback a day after the Federal Reserve signaled that its monetary policy is subject to cool off soon.
Is Hyperinflation Inevitable? Jack Dorsey Says It’ll “Change Everything”
When Square’s boss Jack Dorsey talks about hyperinflation, the world listens. And Twitter reacts. Since so-called developed economies are now feeling the pain that inflation brings, the concept is in everyone’s mind. Every human has a front-row seat to witness the consequences of the United State’s relentless money printing. And, since the Dollar is still the reserve currency of the world, they’re all feeling it too.
Related Reading | Bullish For Bitcoin: US Inflation Expectation Breaks Out From Decade Long Downtrend
This is Jack Dorsey’s tweet:
Hyperinflation is going to change everything. It’s happening.
— jack⚡️ (@jack) October 23, 2021
As you can see, he doesn’t merely talk about inflation. He goes for “hyperinflation,” which caused adverse reactions in the replies and the quoted tweets. They accused him of fear-mongering and quoted official numbers at him. And the nay-sayers probably have a point here, because the US is far removed from the reality that word implies. However, one thing’s for sure: money printer goes brrrrrrrr… and it hasn’t stopped working since Covid hit.
Negative And Moderate Reactions To Jack Dorsey‘s Tweet
This is an example of an unnecessarily insulting response from a traditional finance person.
2/ step back and it’s disturbing that a lot of most powerful financial figures/oligarchs are invested, literally and figuratively, in various huckster schemes and libertarianish fantasies of state and civilizations collapse.
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 23, 2021
This man has obviously not done his homework regarding Bitcoin, so his argument is invalid. And doesn’t require a response. Plus, he’s being insulting to get attention, which he got. So, good for him and his dopamine levels. Let’s hope he has fun staying poor.
This is a Venezuelan economist with a moderate answer to Jack Dorsey.
I don't think it will. But it doesn't need to happen for things to get ugly. https://t.co/Cj85mJ8o7x
— Eduardo Gavotti (@EduardoGavotti) October 23, 2021
Since Venezuelans have first-hand experience with hyperinflation, let’s take what he says into account. The US is just feeling what inflation does. So-called developing economies live with that concept on their backs every second of every day.
BTC price chart for 10/23/2021 on Bitstamp | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com
Informative Reactions To Jack Dorsey’s Tweet
The Human Rights Foundation’s Alex Gladstein, a notorious Bitcoin maximalist, had this to say to Jack Dorsey.
Those shocked by this tweet live in a bubble of financial privilege.
*1.3 billion* live under double, triple, or quadruple-digit inflation: Turkey, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Iran, Lebanon, Venezuela, Cuba, Sudan, and beyond.
It’s already one of the world’s biggest humanitarian crises. https://t.co/P83opDagdu
— Alex Gladstein 🌋 ⚡ (@gladstein) October 23, 2021
He’s not lying. Hyperinflation is “already one of the world’s biggest humanitarian crises.” However, the US is far away from “Turkey, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Iran, Lebanon, Venezuela, Cuba”, and Sudan’s situation. And, since the Dollar is still the reserve currency of the world, they have a comfortable cushion to resist the constant money printing’s effects.
Serial entrepreneur and former Coinbase CTO, Balaji Srinivasan, answered Jack Dorsey with a fully-fledged idea. A “censorship-resistant inflation index.”
I wrote a spec for a censorship-resistant inflation index. It’s framed for a startup, but Square could easily do this. In a crisis, accurate inflation info would be something people checked Twitter for every day. @milessuter @moneyball @jack https://t.co/SYb2mfxjex
— Balaji Srinivasan (@balajis) October 23, 2021
In the project, he brings forth some hard truths:
“If inflation is a government-caused problem, we can’t necessarily rely on government statistics like the CPI to diagnose it or remediate it. Indeed, in places with high inflation, censorship and denial is the rule rather than the exception.”
If you are technically capable, there’s still time to send your proposal and earn “A $100k Prize for a Decentralized Inflation Dashboard.” Be aware that “if you use Chainlink’s oracle tech in your project, the best dashboard will be eligible to receive a $100k grant in LINK tokens.” Those tokens are in addition to the main prize.
Poor Understanding Of The Terminology
In a Twitter Spaces room specifically dedicated to Jack Dorsey’s tweet, notorious podcaster Preston Pysh concluded.
“I think people’s understanding of the terminology, deflation, inflation, is just grossly misunderstood. And so, when you say we’re going to have these deflationary events that are then going to lead to more QE, which is then going to result in more inflationary events. I completely agree with you, but we’re talking that there’s so much information loss in such a simple word as deflation and inflation. So the deflationary event is that this whole system is constructed as credit.”
When he says QE, Preston refers to Quantitative Easing, which Investopedia defines as:
“A form of unconventional monetary policy in which a central bank purchases longer-term securities from the open market in order to increase the money supply and encourage lending and investment. Buying these securities adds new money to the economy, and also serves to lower interest rates by bidding up fixed-income securities.”
Related Reading | Jack Dorsey Plans to Build A Decentralized Exchange For Bitcoin
That being said, Preston asks:
“How many people in the US, or in the world, have that context when that’s not their expertise, right? They didn’t get a major in macroeconomics, or finance, or whatever. So, it’s just all buzzwords that people throw around. And, in the meantime, no one really even understands what those definitions even represent.”
For more information about inflation, check out the Bitcoinist Book Club analysis of Saifedean Ammous’ “The Bitcoin Standard.”
Featured Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay – Charts by TradingView
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