UNIBOT Crashes 37% Following End Of Cooperation With Solana Team

In a significant move, the Unibot core team has announced a decisive shift in its collaboration on the Solana blockchain, pointing toward a future where trust, security, and community values take center stage, per a statement on their official social media accounts. 

Unibot Core Team Emphasizes Commitment To Transparency and Security

This pivot comes as the team ends its partnership with the group that previously deployed Unibot on Solana, citing a misalignment with Unibot’s foundational principles of transparency, security, and honesty.

According to a recent Unibot’s official X account update, this separation was fueled by “trust and commitment breaches.” Notably, an unauthorized launch of a Blast bot under Unibot’s name without prior approval and a consistent refusal to adhere to Know Your Customer (KYC) protocols “raised red flags.”

Moreover, the Solana group’s failure to fulfill financial obligations to Unibot holders prompted the core team to take decisive action to “protect its community and uphold its standards.”

Despite these challenges, Unibot is turning a new page by announcing a proprietary Solana bot in collaboration with a new partner, which will soon be revealed.

This partnership aims to ensure that Unibot users on the Telegram and Unisol-X platforms can continue engaging with the trading bot securely and efficiently, with the promise of SOL reward tokens directly from the Unibot Core Team.

unibot unibotusdt ethereum solana sol solusdt

Unibot Announces Billion-Dollar Milestone And New User-Centric Features

The shift comes at a time of notable achievement for Unibot, having crossed an impressive $1 billion in lifetime trading volume. This milestone, coupled with a daily record of $20 million in volume and an active user base of 10,000, underscores the vibrant growth and potential of Unibot’s platform.

The team is also exploring innovative features to enhance user experience, including trading directly through Telegram for fast transactions, integrating leveraged trades with decentralized exchanges, and expanding trading strategies through options.

As the project embarks on this new chapter, the focus remains squarely on fostering a secure and empowering user environment. With an eye on the future, the Unibot team is committed to “pioneering the next wave of trading bot technology,” guided by the values that have always set them apart.

For those new to the platform or seeking to deepen their engagement, Unibot offers a wealth of resources to get started and maximize their trading experience. According to a community member speaking about the project:

UNIBOT is a pretty incredible invention. Trading with MM (market makers) or a ledger is slow and clunky. Trading directly through telegram is great for fast swaps, scalps, etc. Some things that would blow Team Unibot out of the water…

Cover image from Dall-E, chart from Tradingview

A Dual Tech Saga: Disruptive Trends From ETHDenver And MWC

As the first quarter of 2024 ends, the crypto industry has also seen the conclusion of major events, including ETHDenver. The 2018-launched mythical event has grown as the industry matures, becoming a crucial venue for founders and community members to observe new developments across the crypto ecosystem.

In addition, crypto and blockchain took center stage at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Spain. The event, which took place last week, hosted over 100,000 attendees from over 200 countries and 2,700 exhibitors from different tech sectors.

We sat down with Claudia Richoux, Founder and CEO of Banyan, and Sheraz Ahmed, Managing Partner at STORM, to discuss these conferences, and get a behind-the-scenes look at the trends and key topics for the industry now and in the future. This is what they told us.

“… people actually really don’t know where we’re going or don’t know where we’re headed.”

Sheraz Ahmed, STORM Managing Partner

ETHDenver: A Chat With Filecoin-Based Banyan Founder Claudia Richoux

Claudia Richoux founded Banyan on top of the Filecoin network to empower users and give them control over their data. In that sense, the project is an alternative to Amazon Web Services (AWS), as it pushes for data sovereignty and price optimization for startups and companies.

In a world built on centralized data storage solutions, individuals are at risk of suffering from censorship, but companies face different risks as their operations become more and more reliable on a single point of failure. We spoke with Claudia about this and much more:

Q: What do you think about ETHDenver? What’s the sentiment and overall vibe at the conference, and what are people talking about behind the scenes?

Claudia:

(…) people have been talking a lot about crypto and AI stuff and decentralized compute because that’s really, really exciting. A lot of things like Filecoin (…) we’ve all built storage and so now it’s time to figure out compute; computes really exciting, (it’s) like 60% of most AWS bills that you’re going to see from startups.

So, being able to undercut the prices there and open up more freedom to compute on different platforms is super exciting. That’s something that I’ve seen a lot of the Filecoin stuff. And then at the Ethereum stuff, I’ve seen a lot of re-staking stuff. I went to some ZK (Zero Knowledge) and scaling events that were really interesting as well, and there were a lot of cool toolkits coming out.

Q: Why is data storage and cloud storage so important and why would they be important in the future? And maybe you can talk a little bit about Banyan and what you guys do?

Claudia:

Yeah, for sure. So I mean, a lot of people come at decentralization from the angle of, “oh, it’s so important that we can’t get censored.” And that’s important. However, it’s not important to 90% of the market because most startups are not worried they’re going to get censored. Most large enterprises are not worried that they’re going to get censored. What they are worried about coming from AWS is that AWS is just going to charge them in the same amount of money. Their business will be incredibly dependent on that, (and) there’s nothing they can do and they’re just kind of stuck and they’re (spending) a huge amount of their runway is going into the pocket of AWS.

So I think decentralization is really interesting. Less for the censorship angle, more for the idea of competition. So yeah, if you have 10 different service providers, all of which you can trust because of some combination of cryptographic incentives or notary systems or auditing systems, and they are competing for your business instead of you using AWS (…).

(…) And yeah, if you have that competition, you’re going to have hopefully way lower prices. And we’ve already seen in the open source world that open source software development where you can have one piece of software that is kind of the commons. It’s maintained by a lot of different people who are all contributing to the same piece of software, which can save costs because you’re not duplicating work as much (…).

So, with an open thing where we’re collaborating instead of competing on the development of this new cloud, we can probably drive costs down. We can probably make people fight for a more sensible margin than what AWS is charging people right now. So I think that decentralization is going to be really, really good for cutting cloud costs if we actually execute on this vision and generally just for accessibility of compute resources and making it so that you’re not having as much cloud block and dealing with that. (…) What Banyan does is we take what Filecoin has already built and we make it ready for an enterprise user to use. And that can be a big company, that can be a startup, that can be a small and medium enterprise (…).

(…) we’re very focused on that. When people ask me what I do in Web3, I say, I onboard data on  Filecoin. And they’re like, is that a startup? Why is that an entire company? And I think they just, there’s an immense amount of complexity in actually bringing a decentralized startup to the enterprise, but we’re almost in GA, we’re about to launch and finally reaching the exciting part of this journey.

ETHDenver sheraz ahmed claudia filecoin fil filusdt

Mobile World Congress: Insights From STORM’s Sheraz Ahmed

Sheraz Ahmed, Managing Partner at STORM, attended the Mobile World Congress and gave us a look into the massive event. While not directly speaking with Richoux, they coincided on several points: the importance of data user ownership, and decentralize data storage solutions as a key sector for the industry. Speaking about the MWC, Sheraz told us:

Q: What do you think about the Mobile World Congress? What were the main topics of the conversation, and how do they intertwine with blockchain and cryptocurrencies? Do you think this technology and assets are important to the conversation?

Sheraz:

(…) I think a core point is that it’s not only about mobile phones, it’s become about mobile technology and interconnectivity play at large. So everything from Wi-Fi 5G, satellite connection and the likes. And I think when you look at that from a broader play of data interconnectivity, because all of these companies, their main business model is the data angle. It was very interesting to discuss, see and even challenge some of those things. Honestly, when I was looking at some of the companies, seeing what they were doing and the likes, and maybe this is my perspective, but I felt like there was a lot of underlying uncertainty, so I’ve been to a few of these conferences before that have like 60,000, 80,000 people, et cetera.

I’ve never seen so much interest in the consultancy, strategic consultancy side of an industry in terms of if you look at who were some of the main pavilions, I mean you had Huawei, that was huge. Some of these huge phone makers, et cetera, et cetera, they are the mobiles of Mobile World Congress. But then if you looked at how busy they were from a retail perspective, yes people would check out the new folks, check new innovation, great. But then if you really looked behind the scenes and saw the equally big consultancy firm pavilions, Deloitte, PWC, et cetera, et cetera, they were as big. So they had invested as much money, and I saw at least twice as big in terms of, or in terms of volume of people that were going there.

And what that meant or what that triggered me to believe is the fact that people actually really don’t know where we’re going or don’t know where we’re headed. There was a huge reliance on consultants to tell big companies what to do. What is their strategy, what should they innovate in now, how should they innovate? And then speaking with some of the consultants themselves, they’re always very macro, very strategic, etc. But it was interesting to see that they themselves are moving away from just consultancy. That is like advisory report. Here you go. This is your strategy. Okay, well if we have the experts in-house, why don’t we build the technology or technology that then we can use to service/support some of these larger organizations on an ongoing basis basis. And I thought that that was quite interesting because they’re essentially innovating in their business model as the innovation landscape moves forward.

But I definitely believe that there is this large wave of, what’s the right way to put it, a form of uncontrolled technological innovation or I feel like everyone’s a bit out of their depths. Things are moving so fast that the larger organizations are building things that they believe are going to be important to the consumers over the next years to come. And they’re building layer on top of layer of innovation that is driven by the money that they’re making and some things that the consultants are telling them and the likes. But it seems like, and again, maybe this is from my perspective, but it does seem like it’s kind of getting out of their hands in some of the innovation that’s going forward (…). But there is a lot of, “oh, what the hell? Technology has definitely made a leap into its next era, it’s next phase, it’s next generation.”

And if you pull that back to the Web3 kind of angle and you look at the metaverse as an aggregation of those kind of four wave technologies, I definitely believe that that is becoming real today with how interconnected we can be through some of those mobile technologies through some of the augmented reality, virtual reality and technologies. Let’s say applications that are coming out or hardware, software that is coming out. And it was quite crazy in terms of, it didn’t necessarily feel like, there was this one kind of common one. Common direction, yes, maybe in a way. But it really felt like there was a lot happening. A lot of people are trying to shoot not in the dark, but shoot in a lot of different places to see okay, where are we headed? And it was kind of a moment as well where you can look at in each moment of uncertainty, chaos, there’s a lot of opportunity. It felt like we were at that pivotal moment and the energy of opportunism was in the air.

 

Q: Microsoft, JP Morgan, Accenture, and many other big names in one place talking about the emergences of new technologies, such as AI, blockchain, etc., and it seems like every year it is easier to see the likes of Google joining hands with a crypto project, but what are they contributing with? Where can we see these collaborations actually coming to life?

Sheraz:

Yeah, I think today most of the blockchain world is based on centralized cloud storage, cloud computing. And there were quite some applications at the Mobile World Congress that were looking at decentralized forms of cloud storage. Now if you look at the Amazon’s AWS or Google, these kind of companies like Google Cloud is heavily pushing for more blockchain based businesses to run their nodes on their clouds and the likes, right? So I think that was a big push there.

That is a push there definitely that’s foreseeable. I’ve seen a lot of them start pushing more kind of innovation programs that are not only blockchain led, but that some of the ideas that they’re trying to bring in, they want to have some form of distributed technology as an underlying for maybe some properties that blockchain can provide.

So I think that was a big one. It wasn’t really spoken at the Mobile World Congress, but I think the whole zero knowledge kind of privacy side is going to be super important play when it comes to data and especially when it comes to interconnectivity of different devices together and being able to, you don’t want your data to just be flown through different channels and systems left, right and center. You’re going to want to have some form of encrypted, but also privacy filtered innovation or applications that allow you to ensure that what you’re putting into a certain database isn’t going in and out and everywhere. So I think that’s an important one that is coming as well. And I think that’s something that some of the larger organizations are working towards.

Cover image from Dall-E, chart from Tradingview

FOMO Fuels Bitcoin’s 35% Jump, Options Flow Hints At Bigger Upswing

The price of Bitcoin seems on the brink of blasting past its all-time high (ATH) at the high area of its current levels. The cryptocurrency has been on a bull run due to the launch of spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETF), which officially onboarded institutions to the nascent sector.

As of this writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at around $62,900 with a 3% profit in the last 24 hours. In the previous week, the cryptocurrency recorded a critical 22% profit. It stood as one of the three top gainers in the top 10 by market cap, only surpassed by Solana (25%) and Dogecoin (57%) in the same period.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT price

Bitcoin-Based Derivatives Hint At Further Gains

Data from the derivatives platform Deribit indicates a spike in long positions by Options operators. Since early February, these traders have accumulated important call (buy) contracts with a strike price above $65,000.

At first, as the report indicates, the increase in bullish positions was thought to be part of a Bitcoin “Halving” strategy. However, the BTC ETF Flows seem to be the key component behind the rally.

As cryptocurrency entered the $60,000 area, several operators rushed to accumulate call contracts, leading to a Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) rally to its current levels. The chart below shows that the FOMO buying began when BTC breached the $57,000 level.

Bitcoin price BTC BTCUSDT chart 1 options flow

The spike in trading activity during yesterday’s session led to a significant jump in Implied Volatility (IV). Overleveraged positions further propelled the metric, Deribit stated:

The 62k to 64k surge was so quick, and with high leverage across the whole system, that when sales hit the market a cascade sent BTC down to 59k in 15mins, and some Alts (also massively leveraged) dropped 50% on some exchanges before promptly bouncing as BTC jumped to 61.5k.

As the market continues to experience sudden moves due to the high IV, there is little change in the market structure in the derivatives sector. In other words, Deribit still records a lot of bullish positions for the coming months, which suggests optimistic conviction by these players.

BTC Price On The Short Timeframe

Despite the bull run, the Bitcoin price could dip as euphoria takes over the market. According to economist Alex Krüeger, the spike in trading volume across the derivatives sector indicates the formation of a “local top.”

The analyst believes that retail has returned to the market driven by FOMO, which often hints at short-term predicaments for long traders. Krüger predicted further gains into the $70,000 area via his official X account and then a drop into the $55,000 area.

The analyst stated:

ATH are inches away. That’s price discovery territory. Thus very easy for things to get even crazier. This is just not where one opens new longs. Too easy to get a quick flush out of nowhere. Ideally we see funding cool down and price consolidate below ATH then break out.

Cover image from Dall-E, Chart from Tradingview

Dogecoin Price Echoes Past Bull Run: Will It Rise Above $1 Soon?

The Dogecoin price has been trending sideways on low timeframes, but the cryptocurrency might be gearing up for a massive rally. The bull run across the nascent sector has been unkind to the king of the memecoins, but an analyst pointed at a potential change in direction towards a fresh all-time high.

As of this writing, DOGE has stalled at its current levels with a 2% loss over the past 24 hours. Over the previous seven days, the token has recorded similar performance, but it remains green on the 2-week and 30-day horizon.

dogecoin price doge dogeusdt

Dogecoin Price Aims For The Moon? 23,000% Rally Possible

According to analyst Ali Martinez, the Dogecoin price is moving with previous bullish trends. Despite the low timeframe bearish momentum, the king of the memecoins could record a new massive rally above its current all-time high near the $0.80 level.

As seen in the chart below, the Dogecoin price experiences a sideways trend, which can extend to 679 days before exploding into a new all-time high. On DOGE’s weekly chart, the token records profits of 8,000% and 23,000% each time this happens.

In late 2017, when the price of Bitcoin rose to $20,000, the Dogecoin price followed and broke the 679-day sideways trend with an 8,700% rally. In 2021, the memecoin experienced a similar breakout but with an even bigger rally.

dogecoin doge dogeusdt chart 1

As the chart shows, Dogecoin might see an even bigger rally above $1 and $3 if this potential rally materializes. This price action is supported by DOGE’s capacity to move more aggressively to the upside every time it breaks the long sideways trend.

The analyst stated:

The price action of #Dogecoin appears to mirror patterns observed in its past bull markets. If history repeats itself, we could see $DOGE enter a parabolic breakout around April!

DOGE Price On The Short-Term

On low timeframes, the $0.10 level is critical resistance for the token to fulfill its bullish potential. NewsBTC reported that the cryptocurrency hints at a potential breakout, but DOGE must recover the $0.0914 area before scoring further gains.

This week, the crypto market might see opposition from macroeconomic developments, which could spark volatility. If the Dogecoin price can hold its ground, the possibility of a bull run will gain further momentum.

Cover image from Dall-E, chart from Tradingview

What Is Sui (SUI) Network?

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What Is SUI?

Sui (pronounced “Swee”) is a decentralized Layer 1 proof of stake blockchain, meaning it serves as the foundational infrastructure for verifying and processing transactions, similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum. Layer 1 blockchains are the backbone that supports a specific token or a network of different tokens. 

Sui was developed by Mysten Labs, a group of former Meta employees. It is designed to limit how long it takes to execute smart contracts and support scalability for decentralized applications (dApps). The network believes it has cracked the code on smart contract execution in terms of speed, high security, and low gas fees. This is possible because of the programming language it was designed with called “Move”. Move is a Rust-based programming language that prioritizes fast and secure transaction executions.

According to the whitepaper, the network is named after the element water in Japanese philosophy, a reference to its fluidity and flexibility that developers can use to shape the development of Web3. The network is focused on low latency and super scalability. This has seen it termed by supporters as “the Solana Killer.”

The Sui project was announced by Mysten Labs in September 2021, and in December 2021, Mysten Labs invested $36 million into the project. This was followed by a $300 million series B announcement led by a $140 million commitment by FTX in 2022, valuing the startup at $2 billion.

SUI Network

Reasons Why Sui Network Was Created

In the words of Sui Co-Founder and CEO, Evan Cheng, the current Web3 infrastructure is slow, expensive, and notoriously unreliable. Given this, Cheng said the network was created to change the Web3 game with some 5G level upgrades that would allow developers to create blockchain-powered applications with scalability that you can only associate with centralized technology hubs that dominated Web 2.0. 

In other words, the Sui network was created to solve Web3 problems by simplifying and improving the creation of various applications and functions in the Web3 ecosystem, solving the most common problems in the Web3 industry: speed, security, and stability.

How Does The Blockchain Work?

Sui operates as a Layer 1 blockchain focused on optimizing fast blockchain transfers. It places a high level of importance on immediate transaction finalization, making Sui an ideal platform for on-chain applications such as decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and other real-time use cases. 

Unlike the existing Layer 1 blockchains where transactions are added one after the other, which makes it slow as more transactions are being added to the blockchain, Sui does not make every transaction go through all the computers in the network. Instead, it picks the relevant part of the data it needs to check, which eliminates the problem of congestion on the blockchain and drastically reduces gas fees to carry out transactions.

The Sui network uses a permissionless set of validators to reduce latency and a protocol called the Delegate Proof of Stake system. It has epochs (each consisting of 24 hours), during which Sui holders select a set of validators with whom they store their staked tokens. The validators are then in charge of transaction selection and approval.

Who Are The Brains Behind The Sui Network?

Co-Founder and CEO Evan Cheng: Cheng previously worked at Apple for 10 years, and he was also the former Head of Research and Development at Novi and Technical Director of Meta. 

The Chief Scientist George Danezis: Former researcher at Novi, Meta, and previously worked at Chainspace, Microsoft.

Adeniyi Abiodun, CPO: Former Head of Product Development at Novi, Meta. Previously worked at VMware, Oracle, PeerNova, HSBC, and JP Morgan.

Kostas Chalkias: Former leading cryptographer at Novi. He previously worked at R3, Erybo, Safemarket, and NewCrypt.

Sam Blackshear, CTO: Former Chief Engineer at Novi, specializing in the Move programming language.

SUI Team

Investors and Institutions Backing The Network

Sui was valued at $2 billion after FTX Ventures committed $140 million to the project. However, Sui also has other credible investors who also committed, like Binance Labs, the largest centralized crypto exchange by daily trading volume, and Coinbase Ventures, the largest crypto exchange in the United States.

Other investors included  Franklin Templeton, a global leader in asset management with more than seven decades of experience, and Jump Crypto, an experienced team of builders, developers, and traders. Apollo, Lightspeed Venture, Circle Ventures,  Partners, Sino Global, Dentsu Ventures, Greenoaks Capital, and O’Leary Ventures also invested in the blockchain.

Uses of Sui Coin

SUI coin plays a crucial role within the ecosystem and serves various functions:

  • Governance: Sui coin holders can participate in governance decision-making, which includes parameter adjustments, protocol upgrades, and other key network changes. This means SUI holders have a say in the direction and development of the Sui Network. 
  • Transaction Fees: SUI coin is used to pay for transaction fees within the network. The coin acts as the medium of exchange to cover all associated fees, whether you are interacting with smart contracts, transferring assets, or participating in any Sui on-chain activity. 
  • Utility: The native coin will be used in various decentralized applications (dApps), gaming applications, and other projects built on the network. It will be used to purchase in-game accessories and NFTs. 
  • Staking: Staking SUI coin helps network security and consensus. SUI coin holders who stake their coins are being rewarded and given incentives for participation and engagement. 
  • Investment: Investors can buy and hold or trade SUI coins as an investment on centralized exchanges, just like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, BNB, and all other blockchains with good use cases.

Sui Network Plans To Improve The Web3 Ecosystem 

Transaction Speeds

Sui Network aims to solve the slow transaction problems on Web3. The network was built on a Rust-based programming language called Move, which prioritizes fast and secure transaction executions. Transactions on the Sui network are validated in epochs of 24 hours, each epoch can be validated independently rather than in blocks like it’s done on traditional blockchains. 

The parallel execution of transactions increases Sui network transaction speed to 297,000 transactions per second and 400 milliseconds time of finality compared to Ethereum’s 20 transactions per second and 6 minutes time of finality or Solana’s 10,000 transactions per second and 2.5 seconds time of finality.

Network speed

Focus On Web3 And Asset Ownership

The Sui network is focused on improving Web3 and Web3 experience by catering to the needs of millions of users, which includes speed and security. Sui allows users to create, upgrade, and deploy decentralized applications and non-fungible tokens (NFTs)

Scalability

Sui Network aims to make Web3 more scalable through parallel processing or execution. This means that the Sui network identifies independent transactions and processes them simultaneously. The implication is that transaction times are reduced, and it accommodates larger transactions loaded per time. It is made possible because of the Sui implementation of the Move programming language and the Narwhal-Bullshark-Tusk Consensus algorithm, which focuses on the details of a transaction rather than the entire chain of transactions.

The Tokenomics Of SUI coin

Sui’s native token is called SUI, which has several use cases. According to Coingecko, the max and total supply of SUI is capped at 10 billion coins with a current circulating supply of 1.2 billion, and it is ranked number 48 based on market cap value. 

A share of the total supply of SUI was made liquid at the launch of its mainnet on May 3, 2023. Sui’s all-time high was on the day it was launched at $2.16. However, it is currently trading at $1.51, which is a 320% pump from its all-time low of $0.364 last year on October 19.

The tokenomics included 6% going to its Community Access Program and App Testers, 10% of the supply went to the Mysten Labs Treasury, 14% went to its Investors, and 20% went to Early Contributors. The vast majority of the supply, 50%, is kept in its Community Reserve. The purpose and distribution of the Community Reserve include a Delegation Program, Grant Programs, Research & Development, and Validator Subsidies, as shown in the illustration below:

Sui Tokenomics

Only about 5% of SUI coins were already in use when the Sui Mainnet launched, while the rest will be gradually released according to their planned schedule, as shown below:

SUI Network

Conclusion

Sui Network aims to improve Web3 by giving every Web3 user a much better Web3 experience without the struggles of slow transaction speeds. The network uses parallel execution for transactions to ensure lightning-fast speed, high security, and low gas fees.

New Milestone For Google And MultiversX, Partners Launch New Data Integration

In a new development for their partnership, MultiversX has announced its integration with Google BigQuery, marking a significant milestone in making blockchain data more accessible and insightful, per an official post.

MultiversX Ecosystem Gains a Boost With BigQuery Integration

This integration hints at potential growth for the MultiversX ecosystem, underscoring the network’s commitment to enhancing the user experience and assisting its developer community by providing them with new tools.

With this latest collaboration, Google replicates its role as the internet’s information custodian by making MultiversX’s blockchain data readily accessible through BigQuery. This platform operates as an enterprise-grade cloud data warehouse.

The official post claims this move will “democratize access to blockchain insights, offering unprecedented transparency and analysis capability to users and developers alike.”

Integrating BigQuery enables anyone with an account to delve into the MultiversX network’s intricacies without needing specialized software or the lengthy process of syncing the ledger.

Users can now easily query the network’s data, including details about the top 100 block producers, daily transaction counts, and much more, as seen in the chart below. This capability is expected to drive further innovation and development within the MultiversX ecosystem.

Google MultiversX EGLD EGLDUSDT GOOGL

Lucian Mincu, CIO of the MultiversX Foundation, highlighted the significance of this development, stating:

Analyzing and interpreting data to reveal useful insights about product usage is a science barely explored in the web3 space. Having Google resolve a big part of the hassle for MultiversX projects is an important step towards making dApps better, more useful, and more appealing to the masses.

Google Support Accelerates MultiversX Development

In addition to data accessibility, the partnership between MultiversX and Google Cloud encompasses a wide range of initiatives to accelerate Web3 adoption and ecosystem expansion. As announced during the xDay 2023 Conference in Bucharest, Romania.

These include a startup accelerator program, hackathons, developer initiatives, and joint business developments. MultiversX’s presence at the company’s booth at GITEX Global in Dubai in 2023 exemplifies the partnership’s deepening collaboration.

The partnership also shows Google Cloud’s commitment to supporting the blockchain community, as highlighted by Daniel Rood, Head of Web3 EMEA for Google Cloud. The partnership aims to drive adoption, “accelerating” the growth of the MultiversX ecosystem and, by extension, the broader Web3 space.

With Google’s backing, MultiversX is poised for accelerated growth, bringing new opportunities for users and developers.

MultiversX EGLD EGLDUSDT

As blockchain technology continues to evolve, partnerships between MultiversX and Google BigQuery are pivotal in shaping the future of digital assets and Web3. By enhancing data accessibility and supporting the development community, MultiversX and Google are setting new standards for innovation and collaboration in the blockchain space.

Chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Set For ‘Dullest Rally’ With A Twist, Whale Forecasts

Bitcoin has been unable to retain its bullish momentum and seems likely to extend its current downside trend. However, the long run remains positive, and the next months could see BTC reach its all-time high, but in a different fashion than in previous rallies, according to a large investor.

As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $42,000 with a 1% loss in the last 24 hours. Over the previous week, the cryptocurrency still records a 5% profit.

bitcoin btc btcusdt

Bitcoin Whales Makes Bullish Forecast

According to a pseudonym Bitcoin Whale that goes by “Joe007” on social media X, the cryptocurrency is poised for a bull run. The institutions trading the US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) will drive this bullish momentum.

In that sense, these institutions are likely to suck the volatility out of Bitcoin by pushing to trade similar to traditional assets. Thus, Joe007 claims that this cycle’s rally will lack the excitement of 2017 and 2021 when BTC hit $20,000 and $69,000, respectively, creating euphoria amongst investors.

The Bitcoin whale stated:

I think we’re about to witness the most boring rally in Bitcoin history. No retail-driven parabolic swings that excite degens/noobs and produce headlines. Rather a slow relentless drive higher by professional accumulators taking out layer after layer of paper handed holders.

The whale dismissed the possibility when asked if traditional institutions could fail in “taming” BTC due to the “systemic crises” in the space. In addition, Joe007 dismissed the possibility of the cryptocurrency not running higher in the long run.

The only thing that could stand between Bitcoin and a rally is a “low probability” scenario where the traditional finance sector experiences a similar crash to 2008. The BTC whale added:

(…) unless there is a sudden complete tradfi meltdown (2008-style or worse). Then I can see Bitcoin being dragged into a general panic-crash, at least initially. Certainly possible but hard to assign realistic probability.

BTC Price In The Short Term

On low timeframes, an analyst pointed at the Daily On Balance Volume (OBV), which suggests further downside for BTC. The chart below shows that this metric broke out of a trending channel during Bitcoin’s recent crash.

bitcoin price btc btcusdt

The OBV was rejected out of a critical level and seems poised to trend to the upside along with the price of BTC. The analyst stated:

Daily OBV still looks like it wants more downside. Looks like this might have been a lower high that we just put in.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Rising Stars: Report Highlights 5 Solana Projects Set For Success In 2024

Solana has been on a downward trend over the past week, following a surge from multi-year low levels. The token suffered when its biggest promoter, crypto exchange FTX, fell, but the ecosystem continued to thrive, leading to the high timeframe recovery. 

As of this writing, Solana’s native token SOL trades at $87 with a 2% profit over the past 24 hours. Over the previous seven days, the cryptocurrency records a 12% correction.

Solana SOL SOLUSDT

Rising Stars In The Solana Landscape

According to a report from Coingecko, the Solana network is witnessing a resurgence fueled by its recovery in the cryptocurrency market, notable reductions in network outages, and a series of positive developments.

This rejuvenation has drawn the attention of investors and developers and led to a surge in the adoption of existing projects within its ecosystem. Specific projects stand out among these, poised to shape the future of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on Solana, Coingecko claims.

Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) such as Jupiter, Orca, and Drift are at the forefront of Solana’s innovation. Jupiter is “transforming” the landscape with its limit-order decentralized swap services, offering a DEX aggregator to ensure users get the optimal price offers.

The chart below shows that its daily trading volume, involving around 90,000 unique wallets, has reached an average of $400 million.

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Orca, another DEX, has a concentrated liquidity feature, Whirlpools, which enhances returns for liquidity providers and reduces slippage for traders. With a total value of approximately $185 million, Orca’s community-driven governance model is another selling point to attract new users in the coming months.

Drift is a decentralized perpetual trading platform, allowing traders to engage with up to 20x leverage. It integrates a series of features, including a money market for decentralized lending, offering additional passive income opportunities through staking and market maker rewards.

Furthermore, Solend, Marginfi, and Kamino are making strides on the lending front. Solend, a prominent money market, enables users to lend and borrow crypto assets, with over $165 million locked in its smart contracts.

Marginfi, boasting over $345 million in tokens locked, enhances the lending experience with advanced risk management technologies.

Kamino, another lending platform, manages over $242 million in assets. It offers liquidity through CLMM-based lending vaults, allowing users to deploy tokens in yield-bearing programs.

Emerging Projects: Helium And Render Network

In addition to these platforms, the report identified projects that could benefit from the surge of interest in Solana over the long run.

These include Marinade Finance and Jito. Marinade Finance, with over $1 billion in assets, offers maximized returns through liquid staking and immediate unstaking options. Jito, enhancing staking yields via MEV rewards, boasts about 6.7 million SOL staked across its platform.

In the world of NFTs, collections like Mad Lads and Tensorians are gaining popularity. Mad Lads, a unique collection of 10,000 artworks, reached a new all-time high in floor price, reflecting the increasing interest in Solana-based NFTs.

According to the report, Helium and Render Network are two emerging projects within the Solana ecosystem worth watching. Helium, a decentralized connectivity service provider, utilizes Solana’s blockchain to remit and administer its internet services. Its multi-token system incentivizes hotspot owners and fosters the expansion of decentralized internet facilities.

Render Network, expanding to Solana in 2023, offers GPU rendering services for creators. By renting out excess GPU power, artists can produce high-resolution graphics with the Render token (RNDR) as the network’s remittance token.

The Solana ecosystem, marked by innovation and rapid growth, solidifies its position in the smart contract blockchain space. Its diverse projects, from DEXs and lending protocols to staking solutions and NFT collections, showcase the network’s dynamic and burgeoning landscape. With the SOL token climbing the ranks, Solana’s ecosystem is poised for continued expansion and success in the years ahead.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Goes To The Doctor: 5 Key Metrics For BTC In 2024

The Bitcoin network and its underlying assets have evolved since its launch in 2009, and keeping up with the changes and updates can be challenging. In a post, financial strategist Lyn Alden broke down five key metrics to help BTC investors assess the network’s current state.   

Beyond Price: A Look At The Bitcoin Network Vitality

As Lyn Alden suggests, a deeper dive into the Bitcoin network is essential for any investor. This approach offers a more nuanced understanding of Bitcoin’s status, moving past the “superficialities of price fluctuations” to gauge its true potential and challenges.

Alden claims that price may not capture the complete story but remains a critical signal of adoption and market positioning. Bitcoin competes not just with other cryptocurrencies but also with traditional assets like gold and fiat currencies.

Its fluctuating price reflects its relative youth and volatility compared to more established currencies. However, its fixed supply of 21 million Bitcoin provides an alternative to the constantly inflated supply of fiat currencies, such as the US dollar. The analyst stated:

The Bitcoin network itself might be serving as a heartbeat of clockwork order in a world of chaos, but price is nonetheless a measure of its adoption.

Bitcoin has consistently shown an upward trend, historically making it one of the best-performing assets, as seen in the chart below. The uptrend in the BTC price shows that the project has successfully operated as an alternative to traditional forms of money.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT chart 1

A key aspect to consider is liquidity – how much daily trading volume occurs and how much transaction value is circulated on-chain. High liquidity indicates a robust, widely used network. On the latter, Alden pointed out:

(…) now that bitcoin has billions of dollars of trading volume, there are trillion-dollar pools of capital that can’t put meaningful percentages into it; it’s still too small and illiquid for them. If they start putting a few hundred million dollars or a couple billions of dollars per day into it, that’s enough to tilt the supply/demand toward the buy side and seriously inflect the price upward. Since inception, the Bitcoin ecosystem has had to achieve certain levels of liquidity before it even gets on the radar of bigger pools of capital. It’s like leveling up.

The narrative surrounding Bitcoin is ever-evolving. It’s been viewed as both a payment method and a savings tool, reflecting its multifaceted utility. The balance between these functions – being able to execute transactions globally while serving as a reliable store of value – is vital.

The growing number of conversion points, where Bitcoin can be exchanged for goods, services, or fiat currencies, plays a crucial role in its adoption and practical use.

Bitcoin’s fundamental value proposition lies in its security and decentralization. The network must remain resilient against attacks and maintain its decentralized nature to continue being a credible and valuable digital asset. Despite facing technical challenges and bugs in its history, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable robustness, maintaining 100% uptime since 2013.

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What About The Bitcoin User?

As Bitcoin evolves, so does the ease of its use. Developing user-friendly hardware wallets, improved software interfaces, and increased Bitcoin ATMs have significantly enhanced the user experience. This evolution is critical for Bitcoin’s wider adoption beyond tech-savvy individuals to the general public.

On this key metric, Alden points to the progress in BTC hardware wallets, which allow people to store their private keys while maintaining the usability of their coins. Setting up a BTC wallet is becoming easier and will likely continue moving in that direction.

The legal landscape surrounding Bitcoin varies significantly across different jurisdictions. While some governments have embraced it, others remain skeptical. However, Bitcoin’s global nature offers a kind of resilience to localized regulatory challenges. Its decentralized nature makes it a formidable entity to regulate or ban effectively.

In conclusion, while challenges in miner decentralization and user experience persist, the overall trend is positive. Alden believes the network continues to grow in liquidity, technical robustness, and global acceptance.

For investors and enthusiasts alike, Bitcoin remains a “dynamic and promising field, ripe with opportunities for growth and innovation.” As Alden points out, Bitcoin’s open-source nature invites continuous refinement and enhancement, making it a “resilient and adaptive digital asset.”

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Price “Mad Heavy,” Why A Detour To $30,000 Might Be Imminent

The Bitcoin price took a downside turn over the weekend and seems ready to re-test critical support levels. The downside price action was triggered by a spike in selling pressure following the approval of Bitcoin spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in the US.

As of this writing, the Bitcoin price trades at $40,900 with a 2% loss in the past 24 hours. Over the last week, these losses doubled, with other assets in the crypto top 10 by market underperforming, except for Dogecoin (DOGE), which still records a 4% profit in the same period.

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Bitcoin Price Loses Steam, How Low Can BTC Go?

Via the social media platform X, the founder and former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, shared a forecast for the Bitcoin price. According to Hayes, BTC seems poised to lose its current levels.

The crypto founder and trader claims that the low timeframe price action will likely push Bitcoin below $40,000 and potentially below $35,000 if bulls fail to defend the higher area around these levels.

The main issue regarding the current market structure rests upon the liquidity in the Bitcoin market. As seen in the chart below and as pointed out by Hayes, the liquidity in the BTC market has been trending to the downside since the Bitcoin spot ETF was approved.

As a result, and due to the constant selling pressure from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the market has been trending to the downside and could maintain this course until the next major macroeconomic event.

On the above, the BitMEX founder stated:

Why has $SPX and $BTC stopped moving up together post US BTC ETF launch? Both are love more $ liq, which one is right about the future? $BTC is telling us that there are hiccups ahead for $ liq, next signpost is 31st Jan US Treasury refunding annc (announcement).

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If Bitcoin Goes South, What Levels Could Hold The Line?

A pseudonym crypto analyst showed a cluster of buying orders stacked from the $38,819 to the $40,000 levels in a separate report. In other words, these levels should present opposition and seem like BTC’s biggest opportunity to bounce back, at least on low timeframes.

In that sense, the analyst stated the following, anticipating a possible short-term recovery, and showing the image below:

Some big zones starting to build up around 41K & 42K. Pretty certain we’ll at least take out that top part somewhere next week. Will see if price sustains after that.

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Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Price In Danger? This Terrible Story Could Happen Again

The Bitcoin price has been moving steadily at its current but failed to meet general expectations. Following the approval of the spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), market participants were expecting potential scenarios.

In these potential scenarios, Bitcoin pushed through critical resistance at $48,000 and continued making new highs, or the cryptocurrency retraced to $30,000. As usual, the market has avoided pleasing the crowd as BTC trades at $42,000.

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Bitcoin Price Ready To Dip?

The spot BTC ETFs have been influencing the market; the capital flows from these financial products have been used to suppress the cryptocurrency. A pseudonym analyst has been keeping track of crypto exchange Coinbase to connect the flows with the Bitcoin price action.

Since its initial launch on January 11, the BTC flows into Coinbase have increased. This trading venue is key due to its role as Custodian in most spot Bitcoin ETFs filed with the US SEC.

Thus, asset managers who want to buy or sell BTC go to Coinbase. The exchange sees fluctuations in its Bitcoin price in the spot market compared to other exchanges.

As the trading volume on Coinbase has increased since the spot Bitcoin ETFs launch, the platform records some of its highest activity. In the meantime, the Bitcoin price trends sideways. The pseudonym analyst stated:

(…) supply is coming from somewhere, obviously gbtc and maybe some others, like cme futures, anyways, whats most important is coinbase is still trading discount compared to other spot venues and thats very weak, unless you’re managing billions $, you can probably wait to fomo once coinbase is dragging market up instead of dripping sells.

Another crypto analyst echoed these words; the chart below shows that the Coinbase Premium Gap signals strong selling pressure. If history repeats, the metric hints at a fierce crash for Bitcoin.

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In that sense, the analyst recommends “patience” while Bitcoin moves sideways and the Coinbase Premium Gap signals a potential dip into support.

Bitcoin ETFs Breaking Record

A report from Reuters indicates that the spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted almost $2 billion in their first few days of trading. BlackRock and Fidelity led these capital inflows and will maintain them depending on their fee structure, CEO of CF Benchmarks Sui Chung claims, while adding:

Those that charge the lower management fees will unsurprisingly make themselves more appealing compared to their peers. Brand recognition is another core aspect.

However, several experts have questioned these flows, which disputed the numbers. Three days after the ETFs launched, NewsBTC reported $800 million in new inflows based on a report by Eric Balchunas, ETF expert for Bloomberg Intelligence.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Cardano’s 2024 Kickoff: First Two Weeks Show Major Updates, Report

In a report from the educational tool Essential Cardano, the team behind Input Output Global (IOG) showed some of the latest updates to ship in the ecosystem. From performance to scalability, the network continues to implement improvements.

Cardano has been regaining bullish momentum in the crypto market as the news of the spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded (ETF) fund in the US pushed the sector higher. At the time of writing, ADA’s price trades at $0.5 with a 7% profit in the last week.

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Big Updates, Big Things In Store? Cardano Picks Up Bullish Momentum

According to the report from Essential Cardano, the network saw the introduction of a new version of its client, v.8.7.3, by its core technology team. The update addresses an issue with the outbound governor function, causing communication problems across specific nodes and impacting network performance.

On the other hand, the networking and consensus teams implemented an update on the decision logic used by a cluster run by IOG and integrated a new ledger database, respectively. These updates will allow the network to mitigate performance issues.

The report noted that the Lace team fixed a bug in the wallet and services sector that affected the singData method, impacting the visualization of stake pool rewards. The team also fixed issues with reading minting transaction data, stake pool visualization, and transaction signatures.

An official post stated the following regarding a new feature that gave users more freedom to synchronize their wallets:

Using multi-address wallets with Lace just got smoother, with a new simple way to discover and sync new addresses. Ready to make your life easier? Go to ‘Wallet Sync’ in your settings to resync your multi-address wallet and discover new addresses. After all, why shouldn’t we have our wallets and use them, simultaneously?

Cardano Funding, Smart Contracts, And More

On the smart contract side, the Cardano platform, Plutus, received an update to enhance its performance. In addition, the team implemented an update that allows the node to index consensus events and ledger states.

This implementation represents a milestone in the platform’s long-term progress and in its capacity to deploy a queryable node, IOG noted.

As in previous years, the Cardano ecosystem will stay focused on its community and in ways of promoting participation in its governance model. In that sense, the community awaits the release of a “constitution” to be agreed upon and voted by elected delegates.

Furthermore, the fundraising device for the ecosystem, Project Catalyst, will conclude its voter registration. This tool will continue to be a key ecosystem component throughout 2024. The post noted:

Fund11 is progressing through the community review stage, now entering the moderation part where experienced community members help cross-check the output of the reviews. Results of this stage should be known within two weeks.

The improvements have allowed the Cardano ecosystem to grow, deploy new features, and onboard new projects. All of which will be easier to visualize with the new Mithril Explorer.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Price Omega Candle “Very Real” Says This Developer, Here’s Why

The Bitcoin price saw a spike in volatility due to the decision around the spot Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). Market participants await an announcement at any point during the upcoming days, which will likely result in further spikes in volatility.

As of this writing, the Bitcoin price trades at $43,900 with a 1% profit recorded over the last 24 hours. Over the previous seven days, the cryptocurrency records a 3% increase, acting as the best-performing asset in the crypto top 10 by market cap.

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Bitcoin Price Ready For A Massive Rally?

According to many analysts, the potential implications for the Bitcoin price should the spot ETFs get approval are “impossible” for the market to price in this event. Thus, the bullish effects of this approval can only impact BTC in the mid to long-term as capital enters the financial product.

On the other hand, volatility has been susceptible to sudden spikes, as mentioned above. In late 2022, any news related to the Bitcoin ETF moved the market by thousands of dollars, most notably, the report by the crypto news outlet Cointelegraph inaccurately announcing the financial product launch before receiving confirmation from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Developer Samson Mow claims this effect can benefit Bitcoin prices by pushing them beyond expectations. This week, two conflicting reports by analysis firm Matrixport pushed BTC back to critical support levels.

A similar effect might drive Bitcoin back above the $50,000 area. Mow stated:

Bitcoin dropped $5k on some fake news from a no-name analyst. Imagine what happens when a dozen ETFs are approved and start smash market buying. You may think an Omega candle is impossible, but it’s very real.

Confidence In BTC Grows Stronger

In support of the bullish thesis, trading desk QCP Capital pointed at the recent leverage “washed out” triggered by the Matrixport reports. Over $1 billion in long liquidations were triggered as BTC returned to the $40,000 level.

However, the cryptocurrency climbed back and re-took these levels’ mid-area. In a report, QCP Capital stated the following regarding Bitcoin’s potential to see a stronger rally in the mid-term:

For now, the topside remains capped by resistance at the 46 – 48.5k region with support at the 40.5 – 42k region. In spite of the leveraged washout, BTC has climbed back up to 44,000 level. While we remain wary of a “sell the news” knee-jerk reaction to the downside, this resilient price action gives us more confidence in the medium-term bullish view into BTC halving towards Mar/Apr this year.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Why This Analyst Thinks It’s Impossible For The Bitcoin ETF To Be Priced In

On a high note, the crypto market starts in 2024, with BTC’s price rising steadily from $41,000 to around $46,000 as the Bitcoin ETF decision looms. The upcoming decisions by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) could lead to significant market fluctuations.

These decisions, expected between January 5th and 10th, have kept Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), along with altcoins, on a tightrope with high funding rates indicating a preference for leveraged trades.

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Crypto Market Braces For Bitcoin ETF Decision: Volatility Spikes The New Normal?

According to a report from options platform Deribit, the current market environment is hard to read with the usual indicators. Still, the readings across funding rates hint at a potential decline.

The anticipation of a price drop following the ETF announcement, a classic ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ scenario, is in full swing. Nevertheless, the report claims the continued rise in crypto and sustained interest in trading BTC futures via the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) highlights a growing enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies from traditional finance institutions.

History suggests that the crypto market often reacts more negatively to actual product launches than preliminary approvals. This was evident in events like the BTC CME futures launch and the Coinbase IPO. If the market prices are high during the launch of these new financial products, it might trigger a short-term sell-off, especially if they fail to meet flow expectations, Deribit stated.

However, any major price corrections should be “brief,” given the favorable macro environment, technical factors, and the build-up to Bitcoin’s halving. In case of decline, traders should watch the $40,000, $37,000, and $31,800 levels as potential support.

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The volatility in Bitcoin and Ethereum has been noteworthy in the run-up to these ETF approvals, with Bitcoin’s implied volatility rising sharply to around 70, outperforming Ethereum. The current volatility levels are likely to decline following the Bitcoin ETF decision.

On the BTC volatility, the report stated the following forecasting a trend for the upcoming bull market:

Ethereum, while similar to Bitcoin, hasn’t yet reached inversion. That said, its long-term volatility is outperforming Bitcoin’s, suggesting optimism for Ethereum in 2024.

In that sense, traders should look for any downside momentum in the ETH/BTC trading pair. Deribit claims that any decrease in the price of ETH is a “buy opportunity,” as suggested by the current market structure.

Impact On Bitcoin Derivatives

The options market’s reaction to the upcoming ETF decision is subtle, with Bitcoin’s call skew recovering quickly after recent market fluctuations. Ethereum maintains a consistent call premium, indicating a marked shift in focus towards Ethereum following Bitcoin ETF approvals.

As for option flows and dealer gamma positioning, Bitcoin’s option volumes have decreased, with the market favoring buying in call spreads and selling in put spreads. In other words, derivatives player have been increasing their call positions in anticipation of the ETF decision in the US.

Regarding the impact of this decision, Deribit and others have provided their views, but one analyst believes that the long-term effect of a Bitcoin spot ETF can’t be measured at the moment. Via the social media platform X, this analyst stated:

It’s impossible for something to be “priced in” if a huge amount of capital literally doesn’t have access yet. Yes, currently eligible speculators and their available capital can buy ahead of an event. But that’s as far as any “pricing in” goes if the pool of participants is about to greatly expand. Note: this does not predict what will happen immediately after ETF approval.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

By The Numbers: Crypto Users Lose $300 Million To Phishing Scams In 2023

In a startling revelation by Scam Sniffer, the cryptocurrency world has been hit hard by a series of sophisticated phishing scams in 2023. The team behind the crypto security tool has reported that Wallet Drainers, a type of malware, have successfully siphoned off nearly $295 million from approximately 324,000 unsuspecting victims in the space.

These malicious software programs, predominantly found on phishing websites, trick users into authorizing harmful transactions, leading to significant asset theft from their crypto wallets.

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Wallet Drainers: The New Threat in Crypto Security?

A closer examination of the data reveals a worrying trend of increasing phishing activities; each correlated with specific events in the crypto space. For instance, a significant theft of almost $7 million was reported on March 11, coinciding with fluctuations in USDC rates and an impersonation scam of Circle, the company behind the stablecoin.

Additionally, a noticeable theft spike was observed around March 24, aligning with the hacking of Arbitrum’s Discord and its airdrop date. Scam Sniffer’s report highlighted several notable Wallet Drainers, including Inferno Drainer, which alone stole $81 million from 134,000 victims, and MS Drainer, with a haul of $59 million from 63,000 victims.

The report notes the alarming scale and velocity of these operations. For example, Monkey Drainer extracted $16 million over six months, whereas Inferno Drainer looted $81 million in just nine months, as seen in the chart below. The report also sheds light on the common phishing signatures these Drainers use.

Depending on the type of assets in a victim’s wallet, various phishing methods are deployed, ranging from increased allowance to ERC20 permit signatures. The most severe cases involved victims losing millions to these sophisticated scams.

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Scam Sniffer’s Analysis: Tracking Malicious Trends

Scam Sniffer has ramped up its efforts in response to this growing threat. Over the past year, the tool scanned nearly 12 million URLs, identifying close to 145,000 as malicious. Furthermore, its open-source blacklist contains nearly 100,000 dangerous domains, continuously updated to platforms like Chainabuse.

The increasing use of smart contracts by scammers, such as multicall for efficient asset transfers and CREATE2 & CREATE functions to bypass wallet security checks, marks a significant change from the previous year. This evolution underscores the need for enhanced vigilance and updated security measures in the crypto community.

Scam Sniffer’s work extends beyond just tracking and reporting. The team actively collaborates with well-known platforms, offering its services to their users. They encourage all stakeholders in the crypto ecosystem to “join the fight against phishing, emphasizing that security is a collective responsibility.”

In closing, Scam Sniffer acknowledges the support of its community:

(…) crypto phishing involves multiple parties, crypto, and non-crypto platforms. Security requires a collective effort. If you wish to enhance your product’s capabilities in this area, please contact us at b2b@scamsniffer.io.

Finally, thanks to all the supporters of Scam Sniffer! Your support is the motivation that keeps us going.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

A Crypto Holiday Special With Blofin: Past, Present, And Future

Another year, another Crypto Holiday special from our team at NewsBTC. In the coming week, we’ll be unpacking 2023, its downs and ups, to reveal what the next months could bring for crypto and DeFi investors.

Like last year, we paid homage to Charles Dicke’s classic “A Christmas Carol” and gathered a group of experts to discuss the crypto market’s past, present, and future. In that way, our readers might discover clues that will allow them to transverse 2024 and its potential trends.

Crypto Holiday With Blofin: A Deep Dive Into 2024

We wrapped up this Holiday Special with crypto educational and investment firm Blofin. In our 2022 interview, Blofin spoke about the fallout created by FTX, Three Arrows Capital (3AC) collapse, and Terra (LUNA). At the same time, the firm predicted a return from the ashes for Bitcoin and the crypto market. The resurrection seems well underway, with Bitcoin surpassing the $40,000 mark. This is what they told us:

Q: In light of the prolonged bearish trends observed in 2022 and 2023, how do these periods compare to previous downturns in severity and impact? With Bitcoin now crossing the $40,000 threshold, does this signify a conclusive end to the bear market, or are there potential market twists investors should brace for?

Blofin:

Compared to previous crypto recessions, the 2022-2023 bear market appears milder. Unlike previous cycles, in the last bull market, the widespread use of stablecoins and the entry of massive traditional institutions brought more than $100 billion in cash liquidity to the crypto market, and most of the cash liquidity did not leave the crypto market due to a series of events in 2022.

Even in Mar 2023, when investors’ macro expectations were the most pessimistic, and in 2023Q3, when liquidity bottomed out, the crypto market still had no less than $120 billion in cash liquidity in the form of stablecoins, which provides sufficient support and risk resistance for BTC, ETH and altcoins.

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Similarly, due to abundant cash liquidity, in the bear market of 2022-2023, we did not experience a “liquidity dryness” situation similar to March 2020 and May 2021. In 2023, with the gradual recovery of the crypto market, liquidity risks were significantly reduced compared to 2022.

The only troubling thing is that in the summer and autumn of 2023, risk-free returns of more than 5% have caused investors to focus more on the money market and brought about the lowest volatility in the crypto market since 2019.

However, low volatility does not indicate a recession. The performance of the crypto market in the fourth 2023Q4 proves that more investors are actually holding on to the sidelines. They are not leaving the crypto market but are waiting for the right time to enter.

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Currently, the total market cap of the crypto market has recovered to more than 55% of its previous peak. It can be considered that the crypto market has emerged from the bear market cycle, but the current stage should be called a “technical bull market” rather than a “real bull market.”

Again, let’s start our explanation from a cash liquidity perspective. Although the price of BTC has reached $44k once, the size of cash liquidity in the entire crypto market has only rebounded slightly, reaching around $125b. $125b in cash supports over $1.6T in total crypto market cap, implying an overall leverage ratio of over 12x.

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Additionally, many tokens have seen significant increases in their annualized funding rates, even exceeding 70%. High overall leverage and high funding rates mean that speculative sentiment has as much impact on the crypto market as improving fundamentals. However, the higher the leverage ratio, the lower the investors’ risk tolerance, and the high financing costs are difficult to sustain in the long term. Any bad news could trigger deleveraging and cause massive liquidations.

Furthermore, real improvements in liquidity are yet to come. The current federal funds rate remains at 5.5%. In the interest rate market, traders expect the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve to occur no earlier than March and the European Central Bank and Bank of England to cut interest rates for the first time no earlier than May. At the same time, central bank officials from various countries have repeatedly emphasized that interest rate cuts “depend on the data” and “will not happen soon.”

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Therefore, when liquidity levels have not really improved, the recovery and rebound of the crypto market are gratifying, but the “leverage-based” recovery is significantly related to investors’ financing costs and risk tolerance, and the potential callback risk is relatively high. In fact, in the options market, investors have begun to accumulate put options after experiencing a rise in December to deal with the risk of any possible pullback after the start of 2024.

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Q: Right now, we are seeing Bitcoin reach new highs. Do you think we are in the early days of a full bull run? What has changed in the market that enabled the current price action; is it the Bitcoin spot ETF or the US Fed hinting at a loser policy or the upcoming Halving? What is the big narrative that will go on in 2024?

Blofin:

As stated above, we are still some way away from the early stages of a full-blown bull market. “Technical bull market” better describes the current market status. This round of technical bull market started with improved expectations: the spot Bitcoin ETF narrative triggered investors’ expectations for the return of funds to the crypto market, while the peak of the federal funds rate and expectations for an interest rate cut next year reflected the improvement at the macro environment level.

In addition, some funds from traditional markets have tried to be the “early birds” and make early arrangements in the crypto market. These are all important reasons why BTC’s price is back above $40k.

However, we believe that changes in the macro environment are the most important influencing elements among the above factors. The arrival of expectations of interest rate cuts has allowed investors to see the dawn of a return to the bull market in risk assets. It is not hard to find that in November and December, not only Bitcoin experienced a sharp rise, but Nasdaq, the Dow Jones Index, and gold all hit all-time highs. This pattern typically occurs at or near the end of each economic cycle.

The beginning and end of a cycle can significantly impact asset pricing. At the beginning of a cycle, investors typically convert their risky assets into cash or treasury bonds. When the cycle ends, investors will take cash liquidity back to the market and buy risk-free assets without distinction. Risk assets typically experience a “widespread and significant” rise at this time. The above situation is what we have experienced in 2023Q4.

As for the Bitcoin halving, we prefer that the positive effects it brings result from an improvement in the macro environment rather than the result of the “halving.” Bitcoin had not become a mainstream asset with institutional acceptance when the first and second halvings occurred. However, after 2021, as the market microstructure changes, institutions have gained sufficient influence over Bitcoin, and each halving coincides with the economic cycle to a higher degree.

In 2024, we will witness the end of the tightening cycle and the beginning of a new easing cycle. But compared with every previous cycle change, this cycle change may be relatively stable. Although the period of high inflation is over, inflation is still “one step away” from returning to the target range.

Therefore, all major central banks will avoid releasing liquidity too quickly and be wary of the economy overheating again. For the crypto market, a solid liquidity release will lead to a mild bull run. Perhaps it is difficult for us to have the opportunity to see a bull market similar to that in 2021, but the new bull market will last relatively longer. More new chances will also emerge with the participation of more new investors and the emergence of new narratives.

Q: Last year, we spoke about the most resilient sectors during the Crypto Winter. Which sectors and coins will likely benefit from a new Bull Run? We are seeing the Solana ecosystem bloom along with the NFT market; what trends could benefit in the coming months?

Blofin:

What is certain is that exchanges (whether CEX or DEX) are the first beneficiaries when the bull market returns. As the trading volume and user activities begin to rebound again, it can be expected that their income (including the exchange’s fee income, token listing income, etc.) will increase significantly, and the performance of the exchange tokens may also benefit from this.

At the same time, infrastructure related to transactions and capital circulation will also benefit from the new bull market, such as public chains and Layer-2. When liquidity returns to the crypto market, crypto infrastructure is an indispensable part: liquidity must first enter the public chain before it can be transferred to various projects and underlying tokens.

In the last bull market, the congestion and high gas cost of the Ethereum network were criticized by many users, which became an opportunity for the emergence and development of Layer-2 and also promoted the development and growth of many non-Ethereum public chains, while Solana and Avalanche are some of the biggest beneficiaries.

Therefore, with the arrival of a new bull market, more usage scenarios and possibilities for Layer 2 and non-Ethereum public chains will be discovered. Ethereum will also naturally not be far behind; we may witness a new boom in public chain ecosystems and tokens in 2024.

In addition, as an exploration of the latest applications of BTC, the development of BRC-20 cannot be ignored. As a new token issuance standard based on the BTC network that emerged in 2023, BRC-20 allows users to deploy standardized contracts or mint NFTs based on the BTC network, providing new narratives and use cases for the oldest and most mature public chain.

With the return of liquidity, the exploration and development of BRC-20-related applications may gradually begin, and together with other public chain ecosystems, they will make great progress in the new “moderate but long-term” bull market.

Crypto holiday blofin

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

A Crypto Christmas Special With Sheraz Ahmed: Past, Present, And Future

Another year, another Crypto Christmas special for our team at NewsBTC. In the coming week, we’ll be unpacking 2023, its downs and ups, to reveal what the next months could bring for crypto and DeFi investors.
Related Reading: A Crypto Christmas Special With Jlabs Digital: Past, Present, And Future

Like last year, we paid homage to Charles Dicke’s classic “A Christmas Carol” and gathered a group of experts to discuss the crypto market’s past, present, and future. In that way, our readers might discover clues that will allow them to transverse 2024 and its potential trends.

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Crypto Christmas With STORM: Bitcoin ETF Should Be Out Of Your Wishlist?

For today’s issue, our team got to chat with Sheraz Ahmed, Managing Partner at blockchain solutions provider STORM and founder of Decentral House. Ahmed has been present at some of the most important crypto events in 2023 and is constantly speaking with founders, organizations, and relevant actors within and outside the nascent sector.

Thus, Ahmed has a unique perspective on the industry, its blindspots, and possible catalyzers. During the interview, we talked about the downside of approving a Bitcoin spot Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) in the United States and why the space might be unprepared for a new bull cycle. This is what he told us.

Q: Our team has coincided with you in several crypto events this year; where do you think most of these events coincide? And what do you believe has been overlooked during 2023, a narrative, a project, something people missed as the industry enters another cycle?

Switzerland, Europe, Dubai, Singapore, and Rio (de Janeiro). I do believe that we are too early for the next cycle. The broken models of the last bull run are yet to be rebuilt. Infrastructure has improved, custody, wallets, exchanges, and stablecoins, but the business models for Dapps (Decentralized Applications) have not evolved.

I fear that we enter into another vaporware cycle and, at best have to wait 4 more years for real use cases/adoption or risk burning ourselves completely with shitcoins and scams.

Q: As Crypto enters a new cycle, what’s different about the industry when you compare it to early 2021 and 2017? Where can investors see the growth? Is it in the players joining the industry, the financial products, or in its community?

There is a bit more maturity, although that sometimes just feels like the veterans are just numb to the pain this industry can self-inflict. We do see genuine interest from large institutional players in the financial, consumer, and impact fields. But can we convert those ideas into adoption?

Investment in utility and payment tokens is an oxymoron. They are not meant to be investment products and are not regulated as such. An investor could look into an infrastructure play, although I believe that is quite saturated today at approx. $700M. My bet would be early-stage protocol ecosystem funds (equity-based), with a portion of that taken in tokens for the utility of governance, etc., that might be attached.

Q: The upcoming approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the US seems like the perfect indicator that crypto has made it to the mainstream, but what’s the next frontier? Where does the industry go from here?

I don’t agree. For me, it just sounds like the bankers finally believe they can make money off our industry. Now, does that mean it’ll be good for prices in the short term and more eyeballs? Yes. But be careful what you wish for, as when the heavy artillery comes in, they crush everything/everyone in their path.

In 2023, we founded Decentral House. An innovation centre focused on blockchain-based application that provide the infrastructure to spark ideas to life. I believe that by having the right tools in your arsenal, you can navigate the Web3 space to find the light at the end of the tunnel. Without the right guidance, WANGMI (We Are Not Gonna Make It). Let’s work together to create an industry of trust we can all be proud of!

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

A Crypto Christmas Special With Material Indicators: Past, Present, And Future

Another year, another Crypto Christmas special for our team at NewsBTC. In the coming week, we’ll be unpacking 2023, its downs and ups, to reveal what the next months could bring for crypto and DeFi investors.

Like last year, we paid homage to Charles Dicke’s classic “A Christmas Carol” and gathered a group of experts to discuss the crypto market’s past, present, and future. In that way, our readers might discover clues that will allow them to transverse 2024 and its potential trends.

Crypto Christmas: A Deep Look Into The Bull Market And A Secret Pattern

Once again, the crypto analytics firm Material Indicators joined us to discuss the current market structure.
This year, we spoke with Keith Alan, one of the co-founders and analysts at the firm. Alan gave us his perspective on the bull market or what looks like the beginning of a bullish trend.

Material Indicators is well known for their reliance on hard data, and for sharing views that often questioned the general beliefs in the crypto market. This time was no difference as Alan pointed to the evidence favoring both sides, bulls and bears. This is what he told us.

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Q: In light of the prolonged bearish trends observed in 2022 and 2023, how do these periods compare to previous downturns in severity and impact? With Bitcoin now crossing the $40,000 threshold, does this signify a conclusive end to the bear market, or are there potential market twists investors should brace for?

MI:

Nobody could argue that 2022 was anything but a bear market. After Bitcoin reached an ATH in November of 2021 we saw the bear market develop in classic fashion by losing support at key technical levels. While the bear was playing out in somewhat predictable fashion, the market was caught off guard by the events that led to the FTX crash in November 2022. Because the contagion from FTX had a devastating ripple effect that was felt by the largest institutions with crypto exposure as well as banks, I actually expected prices to fall even lower. 

At the time, fear and fighting among institutional players like Galaxy, Gemini and Grayscale (under DCG) who were among SBF’s largest institutional victims added to the concern that price would grind down towards the lower teens, yet somewhat remarkably and perhaps not so coincidentally on January 1, 2023 Bitcoin started to rally. What was first considered weekend whale games evolved long past the weekend, and in fact, through Q1/2023 I identified an entity on FireCharts which I nicknamed “Notorious B.I.D.” that was double stacking large blocks of bid liquidity to push price higher. There was a pattern to the behavior that made it somewhat predictable and tradable. Those moves were well documented in my X feed during that period of time. Once price reached $25k that entity disappeared. Even without the help of that manipulation pushing price up, and despite the fact that the macroeconomic situation was horrible, the geopolitical situation went from bad to worse and the US political situation evolved from a dysfunctional sh*t show to a full blown circus, the market continued to rally. 

Now, nearly 12 months and > 150% from the day the rally began, the debate between bulls and bears over whether this is a confirmed bull market or a sequence of bear market distribution rallies literally continues today. While it’s understandable that someone could look at 150% and immediately assume bull market, it does require a deeper understanding of what distribution and accumulation look like. From my view, that still isn’t as clear as one would expect. Historically, the Purple Class of Whales with orders in the $100k – $1M range have had the most influence over BTC price direction. The order flow data I’ve been monitoring on Binance shows that through most of the year they (along with larger MegaWhales) have been buying dips and distributing significantly more than they bought on those dips on the uptrends that followed.

Only recently have we seen an uptick that could be an indication that the trend is shifting. Parallel to that, some on-chain data providers are showing an increase in the number of wallets holding BTC which is also an indication that we could be transitioning from a distribution phase to an accumulation phase and I’m looking for more clear evidence of that. One of the things I look for to get a sense of that is bid liquidity. I believe that “Liquidity = Sentiment,” and it’s no secret that order books have been thin on both sides of price through most of the year, however in the last 3 weeks or so, we’ve started seeing more institutional sized bid ladders coming into the order book and that fact supports a bullish thesis, as long as they don’t dump through the next pump.
With all of the above in mind, there are most certainly turns and twists that investors should look out for. Sure we are starting to see some improvements on the U.S. inflation and unemployment numbers, but something in those reports doesn’t jive with reality. For most middle and lower income Americans, credit card debt is climbing to new highs, rents have soared, home ownership is unattainable, grocery prices are high and a Metallica “Standing Room Only” Field ticket is $575.  So in my mind, we still have a percolating macroeconomic problem and the geopolitical and U.S. political issues seem to get worse by the day.

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Aside from that, the RSI has been over cooked for an extended period of time and we just had 8 consecutive green weekly candles. Both of those factors have historically led to corrections. I could give you the “History doesn’t have to repeat itself…” spiel or I can show you what historically happens after moves like this and let you decide. 

Another potential twist to consider is that the current PA has a striking resemblance to the first leg of the 2019 rally that turned out to be a Fib retracement, that ultimately got rejected from the top of the Golden Pocket at .618 Fib. That led to a 53% correction before the Covid Crash took it down more than 70% from the .618 Fib.

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At this stage, I’d be surprised to see a downside move that deep without the aid of a Black Swan, but we are currently having some interaction with the Golden Pocket that seems familiar. While it is reasonable to expect some resistance entering and exiting the Golden Pocket, there is one very weird twist to what we are seeing and that is a strange pattern I’ve noticed occurring on or around December 17th. Every year since 2017 there has been a move on December 17th that had Macro implications. The only exception to that is last year when it happened on December 20th. On each occasion the price action led to a macro breakout or breakdown. It’s too soon to tell if this move will validate the pattern on the day of writing (Dec 19th), but on the 17th we saw BTC get rejected from the lower end of the Golden Pocket and also lose the 21-Day moving average. Price has been flirting with both of those levels ever since so we’ll have to wait to see how it plays out over time. Aside from those things I’m watching the upcoming ETF window very closely. I think that the market is numb to SEC delays on these decisions, but there is so much anticipation that this time we’ll see an approval, that a flat out rejection has the potential to be the catalyst that triggers a correction. 

Regardless of where you side on whether we are or are not in a confirmed bull market, we’re seeing a lot of evidence that if we are not in it, we’re close to it. If you’re a long term investor and you haven’t already started building a position, it’s a good time to identify some targets to start scaling into one. This of course depends on your time horizon and risk appetite, but if you have a long term outlook and 6 figure targets for BTC it’s still early enough to get in, but it’s also a good idea to save some dry powder for a correction because in my opinion, it’s not a matter of if it will come, but when.

Q: Right now, we are seeing Bitcoin reach new highs. Do you think we are in the early days of a full bull run? What has changed in the market that enabled the current price action; is it the Bitcoin spot ETF or the US Fed hinting at a loser policy or the upcoming Halving? What is the big narrative that will go on in 2024?
MI:

Despite the ongoing debate between bulls and bears over whether or not we’ve been in a bull market, I can say that despite the uptrend, there has been no clear confirmation that we’ve been in a bull market through most of the year. However, the fact that we’ve recently started to see more institutional sized bid ladders coming into the order book along with the on-chain data that indicates more wallets holding for longer and the recent buying after the R/S flip at $40k are indications that we may be on the verge of a breakout.

There’s no doubt in my mind that a lot of the momentum we’ve been seeing is related to the next ETF decision window opening January 5-10 and the April 2024 Halving. The FED’s recent decision to pause rate hikes and hint at a pivot to cuts in 2024 certainly added fuel to that momentum that pushed price above $40k. In typical crypto form, we also had some help in late October through early December when I noticed some familiar patterns in the order book. I can’t confirm with absolute certainty if it was the Notorious B.I.D. spoofer we saw in Q1 returned, but it was the same game I identified through Q1 being executed and there is no question that it helped push price up through the $35k – $40k range before it disappeared.

(…) As much as I’d like to see a correction come before we get there (the Bitcoin spot ETF decision), the market doesn’t care what I want. I would expect it to come before the Halving. Whether it comes before or after the ETF decision window closes remains to be seen. In the meantime, I’ll continue to watch order book and order flow data and trade what’s in front of me.

Q: Last year, we spoke about the most resilient sectors during the Crypto Winter. Which sectors and coins will likely benefit from a new Bull Run? We are seeing the Solana ecosystem bloom along with the NFT market; what trends could benefit in the coming months?

MI:

The vast majority of my focus is on Bitcoin and to be honest, after seeing so many ponzi’s in the space, it’s the only digital asset I truly trust. There are certainly some great opportunities with certain alts, but with that comes increased risk. As for sectors, it’s no secret that AI and Gaming have been hot. According to some research I’ve been reviewing Memes, DePin and GambleFi are dominant narratives right now.

The fact that Memes are more dominant than something that’s actually physical like DePin speaks to the immaturity of this market. Perhaps a better way of stating that is, “We are still early.” That said, if I’ve learned anything in crypto there is an opportunity cost associated with having high standards and principles for projects you invest in. As ridiculous as that may sound, the biggest upside potential seems to come from some of the most meaningless projects because they have large communities of “Crypto Bros” pumping them and thin liquidity makes them easy to pump. Just know that they also come with a huge risk and like every other ponzi, you don’t want to be the last guy holding the bag.

I personally tend to avoid memes for all the reasons I mentioned above, but I do trade DOGE on occasion because it’s been a relatively easy scalp lately. Elon Musk playing kingmaker with that coin doesn’t make me like it any more or less (okay maybe less), but the results have been predictable.  The fact he has obtained a money transfer license for X (Twitter) and that he has a DOGE logo on his X profile has me considering taking a flier on DOGE, but that’s not something I’m recommending to anyone who isn’t willing to lose that money. The fact he has SpaceX launching a DOGE sponsored satellite next month should at the very least bring a short term pump.

Of the leading narratives mentioned, Memes may be the most dominant, but DePin is the most interesting to me, because it’s associated with something very real and very hot right now. For those who may not be familiar, DePin stands for Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks which are blockchain protocols that build, maintain and operate infrastructure for the AI industry. (Do Your Own Research).

The fact that you mentioned Solana is proof that nothing changes sentiment like price. Solana has been through the ringer since falling from it’s ATH in November 2021 and the FTX crash of 2022 delivered another 80% correction that took it to single digit levels. There is no denying that it has been on an epic run recently. It’s somewhat puzzling to me how that is happening at the exact same time FTX liquidators have started the long process of distributing over $1B worth of $SOL back into the market.

Rather than speculate on what may be behind that, I’ll say that it is apparent that they have a very strong community and despite the network issues they’ve had in the past, they seem to be growing in popularity in staking pools. Then again, nothing influences sentiment like price, so I expect we’ll see a number of coins filter their way in and out of the leading narratives through the year. I’m just hoping more of them do so for legitimate reasons rather than fake news or P&D groups. IMO, until we see the projects with real teams, real use cases, real adoption and real revenue establishing themselves as the best projects to invest in for their fundamentals, “We’re still early.”

Keith Alan is President at Keith Alan Productions, Inc., Co-Founder at Blacknox, LLC and Material Indicators, LLC. Nothing written should be taken as financial advice. For more insight and analysis follow @KAProductions and @MI_Algos. Find premium tools for traders at Material Indicators.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

A Crypto Christmas Special With Jlabs Digital: Past, Present, And Future

Another year, another Crypto Christmas special for our team at NewsBTC. In the coming week, we’ll be unpacking 2023, its downs and ups, to reveal what the next months could bring for crypto and DeFi investors.

Like last year, we paid homage to Charles Dicke’s classic “A Christmas Carol” and gathered a group of experts to discuss the crypto market’s past, present, and future. In that way, our readers might discover clues that will allow them to transverse 2024 and its potential trends.

Crypto Christmas: What’s Behind The Bitcoin Rally, And Which Coin Has The Most Potential?

This year, we kicked off this special with JLabs Digital, formerly Jarvis Labs. One of the most prominent crypto analytics firm in the nascent sector. Their insight into the market dynamics has been popular due to their use of solid data and easy-to-follow style.
Since 2022, the team at JLabs Digital has been expanding as they bring in new analysts, educational tools, and new ways to share their insights. Last year, we spoke to one of its founders, Ben Lilly, who was betting on crypto becoming “better” and more mature due to the lessons left by the fall of FTX and others.
JJ walked us through the differences between this rally and previous years, the most undervalued coin in the sector, the potential twists in the market, and more.

crypto christmas bitcoin etc btcusdt

Q: In light of the prolonged bearish trends observed in 2022 and 2023, how do these periods compare to previous downturns in severity and impact? With Bitcoin now crossing the $40,000 threshold, does this signify a conclusive end to the bear market, or are there potential market twists investors should brace for?

JJ:

So with Bitcoin now crossing over the $40,000 threshold, does this signify a conclusive end to the bear market (…) I’m leaning towards the twist portion of that. I think most of this rally was really driven by disbelief and people shorting it to each pump, especially as we neared $30K, there was just a huge washout of shorts that had ated over the past year between options and derivatives. So that forced buying is really what set us up over $40,000 in my opinion. So now to sustain this, there’s going to have to be continued spot buying to see the price above, say $48,000 to $52,000.
I think it’s possible we get up to that range, but I don’t think we’re just going to get to that range and keep ripping. I think sooner or later we’re going to come back down and retest that $30,000 mark. So that’s an eye investors and traders should have their eye on into 2024. I do think you’ll inevitably get that large leverage washout as is very typical in Bitcoin.
Q: Right now, we are seeing Bitcoin reach new highs. Do you think we are in the early days of a full bull run? What has changed in the market that enabled the current price action; is it the Bitcoin spot ETF or the US Fed hinting at a loser policy or the upcoming Halving? What is the big narrative that will go on in 2024?
JJ:
I do think we’re entering a new bull market, but that said, there’s always going to be twists and turns and leverage liquidations. Keep that level in mind. $28K to $32K, think will be as good an entry as any if we get that opportunity in 2024.
Anytime we see those big breakouts we saw in October, it’s just so typical Bitcoin to come back and retrace it. But what it first wants to do is engineer liquidity. So you have to realize the people that paint these charts are very sophisticated and they want to make you enter at less than optimal prices and sell less than optimal prices. So how they do that, they kind of coax you into buying at $40K. (They make you think) It’s never going to go back down again. And then next thing you know you’re holding onto those buys and it’s at $28,000 and you’re being forced to sell.
I think this (rally) is much different. Basically if you look at 2021, we had (Microstrategy’s Michael) Sailor and Tesla buying (BTC), but outside of that, as we know, it was a lot of leverage to (investors) such as Three Arrows Capital, Grayscale, the Digital Currency Group that was overlooking it. All these people were getting access to massive amounts of leverage due to how cheap it was to borrow the dollars at the time, due to the interest rates being zero, they were using that to leverage themselves and basically pump Bitcoin artificially. And then we all saw that washout last year and as opposed to what we see now, this is actual institutional buying.
So there’s been no doubt that I’m sure BlackRock, Fidelity, et cetera, they’re not buying now, they were buying below $20,000, they were buying throughout the $20,000 range. They’re not buying above $35,000 to $40,4K. So we do see a bit more strength at the bottom of the market, which is going to form a better base for 2024.
But that said, there’s always going to be those ups and downs, but I think long-term, the fact that we saw that capitulation from kind of the leverage deigns to institutional players who know how to organize and manage these trades more efficiently, I think it’s very bullish for Bitcoin and definitely regime shift.
I think it’s kind of forming. I mean as of right now, the future’s kind of unpredictable, but the things I see, we have this ETF coming. Do I think it’s going to be like the moment it’s approved, Bitcoin’s just going to take off? No, there’s a lot of complications with that. Like the Grayscale BTC trust, I think they hold over 600,000 BTC that’s going to have to get distributed. I’m not sure that there’s enough demand as of yet to just soak up all that supply that’ll be coming onto the market. But as we go down the line a few months later, these ETFs are rolling. BlackRock has their team of thousands of advisors out there selling this because they’re incentivized to. And at the same time we have “The Halving” where supply cuts down on the amount of emissions miners able to readily sell as supply.
So you’ll have this massive influx. It’s very hard to be overstated the amount of new demand that will be coming online because of the ETF. At the same time we have “The Halving” event which is going to cut down on the amount of supply available for sale. I think that’s kind of forming a perfect storm in of itself. And then you look at the dollar, the DXY index, this is something I hit on a lot in my articles and the videos that we do on YouTube, and you see it’s (the DXY) been on a downtrend throughout 2023. It looks like it’s getting worse into 2024.
We just had the Fed signaling that they’re thinking about rate cuts, which is usually as good a sign as any that those rate cuts will be happening. So the dollar will be weakening. At the same time we have this massive new demand for Bitcoin. At the same time the supply of Bitcoin’s dropping down. So you can see that all the stars are aligning for new all time highs, a hundred thousand plus targets. But it’s going to be a tricky road there.
Like I said, I think we’re going to inevitably go back down to that $28 to $30K range, and then probably in the second half of the year we’ll really see it defy expectations to the upside.
Q: Last year, we spoke about the most resilient sectors during the Crypto Winter. Which sectors and coins will likely benefit from a new Bull Run? We are seeing the Solana ecosystem bloom along with the NFT market; what trends could benefit in the coming months?

JJ:
It’s hard to say. As of right now, the narratives that’ll take hold, there’s going to be some crazy pumps on things and there’s going to be wild narratives like we saw with DeFi in 2021, what those are right now, we could guess, but there’s nothing definitive in my mind that it seems like, I think a lot of it’s being priced in now, actually. You see kind of these wild altcoin pumps over the past month. I don’t know how sustainable that is over the near term, but I think one thing people are overlooking is if this BTC ETF gets approved, we’ve kind of set the legal precedent that what the SEC did in approving the Bitcoin ETF, the futures ETF, but not approving the spot was illegal.

They’ve already approved Ethereum futures ETFs and now there’s a bunch of spot Ethereum ETFs open for application. So I think it’s inevitable that those will get approved and I think Ethereum is wildly underpriced. Not to say we won’t get pullbacks from here, but those are pullbacks you should be looking to buy because I think an Ethereum spot ETF is almost a hundred percent likely in the second half of 2024. And I think we’ll see some coins that were probably overpriced compared to Ethereum. If you factor that in, and I think we’ll see Ethereum and its use cases really start to take life in 2024. You see a flight to value at some point there, rather than the wild speculation that happens on other alts.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Nansen’s Crypto Crystal Ball: AI Integration And A Potential Plot Twist In 2024?

As 2024 approaches, crypto analytics firm Nansen offers insightful predictions for the crypto sector, anticipating significant developments and shifts. Despite cautious optimism, they acknowledge a 10-20% chance of inflation resurgence after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) pivot, potentially impacting crypto prices.

Related Reading: Ethereum Price Close Below $2,120 Could Spark Larger Degree Decline

As of this writing, the total crypto market capitalization is $1.5 trillion on the daily chart and seems poised for further upside in the long run.

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AI As Primary Use Case: The New Hot Thing In 2024?

According to the firm, a key high-conviction bet for 2024 is the emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) agents as primary blockchain users. Integrating AI and blockchain is expected to “advance rapidly, enhancing blockchain performance and broadening use cases.”

This development signifies a crucial step in the blockchain world, potentially transforming how transactions and interactions are processed on the network.

Another focus area is the intent-centric applications that address user experience (UX) challenges in the crypto space. These applications are designed to simplify user interactions with networks, removing complexities and making the technology more accessible to a broader audience.

As seen in the chart below, the integration between AI and crypto is already paying off for early investors. Despite the persistent downside pressure recorded across the board, the AI tokens sector has been among the best-performing in the nascent industry.

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2024 is also projected to be a pivotal year for decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Nansen forecasts that DEXs will gain significant market share from centralized exchanges (CEXs), driven by monetary incentives and innovative features.

This shift could mark a fundamental change in the crypto trading landscape, emphasizing the growing importance of decentralized financial systems. Since 2020 and 2021, DEX has been gaining ground over CEX, and the trend might favor the former in 2024.

Finally, Nansen believes that the largest and most trusted cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, is expected to secure a broader range of use cases beyond simple transactions. This expansion could open new avenues for Bitcoin and highlight its versatility and robustness as a digital asset.

Use cases such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs) already gained popularity in 2023, and this trend might continue. However, some Bitcoin community members are fighting the change, which could hinder its adoption and implementation.

Nansen: Market Scenario Analysis For 2024

The potential scenarios for the crypto market in 2024 depend a lot on the macroeconomic situation. In a “soft landing” situation, where inflation slows without drastically increasing unemployment, crypto prices are expected to grow steadily.

However, there’s also the possibility of a re-acceleration of inflation or a recession, which would pose challenges for crypto prices and change the bullish narrative. Nansen’s analysis also acknowledges structural drivers likely to influence the crypto market, such as the statistical boost around Bitcoin’s halving.

These structural drivers also include the adoption of blockchain by major traditional players and regulatory clarity, particularly around a BTC spot Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) in the US. However, unknowns like geopolitical events and macroeconomic shifts could significantly impact the market.

In conclusion, Nansen’s research presents a nuanced view of the crypto market in 2024, highlighting potential growth areas like AI integration and DEXs while remaining aware of the challenges ahead. The year promises to be crucial for the crypto sector, with significant developments expected in technology integration, market structures, and regulatory landscapes.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview