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Arbitrum (ARB) Faces Potential Selling Pressure As 1 Billion Tokens Become Unlocked In March

Arbitrum, the cryptocurrency network designed as a scalability solution for the Ethereum blockchain, has recently experienced a notable price correction, resulting in a drop in its native token, ARB. Over the past 24 hours, the token’s value dipped to $1.84, marking a retracement of 5%. 

As February draws to a close, attention is now turning to the potential downside price action expected in March as a substantial number of ARB tokens are set to be unlocked.

Major Unlock Event Looms For Arbitrum

According to a recent announcement on X (formerly Twitter), more than 1.11 billion ARB tokens, estimated at $1.24 billion, are scheduled to be released on March 16, 2024. 

This unlocking event signifies the beginning of a four-year phased unlocking process, which will gradually release a certain number of tokens every four weeks until 2027. 

The total number of tokens in circulation for Arbitrum currently stands at 1.275 billion, meaning the unlock will release an equivalent of 87% of the circulating supply, nearly quadrupling it to 2.375 billion tokens.

Token unlocks, especially when they exceed the average daily trading volume, can act as bearish catalysts for token prices as they introduce additional liquidity into the market. This influx of tokens can create inflationary pressures, leading to increased volatility and speculative trading. 

However, to fully understand the potential impact on ARB, it is crucial to examine historical data that sheds light on the token’s price performance following previous unlocks.

According to Token Unlocks data, there has been only one cliff unlock event for ARB tokens in the past. Analyzing the price impact that followed this unlock provides valuable insights.

On the first day after the unlock, the price of ARB experienced a 3% increase, indicating positive market sentiment and initial demand. Subsequently, the token’s price gradually declined, reaching a low of -21% approximately 21 days after the unlock event.

However, at around the 25-day mark, the price began to recover significantly, skyrocketing by 19% above the unlock-day level. 

These historical patterns suggest that while ARB may face initial downward pressure following the upcoming unlock, there is a potential for recovery and positive price movement in the following weeks. Nevertheless, it is important to note that market conditions and investor sentiment can vary, and past performance may not necessarily indicate future outcomes. 

ARB Price Analysis

In the event of a potential 20% price decline from the current level of $1.84, ARB may face selling pressure and a lack of demand. To safeguard its current all-time high (ATH) of $2.4, bulls must defend major support walls.

Forecasting a potential dip to around $1.44, the next crucial support level for bulls to monitor is $1.42. This support level would be the last line of defense before a potential further decline to the subsequent support line at $1.25. If both levels fail to hold, the $1 mark would be at risk, with the last support for bulls at the $1.102 level.

It is important to note that the token unlock event’s outcome and ARB’s subsequent price action remain uncertain. 

Additionally, the crypto market is bracing itself for the Bitcoin (BTC) halving event, which could introduce additional volatility to the overall market as the event draws nearer.

Arbitrum

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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Arbitrum (ARB) Rise: Daily DEX Volume Surges, Outpacing Ethereum By $400 Million

Arbitrum, a prominent Layer-2 (L2) scaling solution, has been on a remarkable upward trajectory since the launch of its native token, ARB, in March 2023. The past 30 days witnessed a staggering 74% surge in ARB’s value, underscoring the growing market interest in the protocol.

Notably, Arbitrum’s daily decentralized exchange (DEX) volume has experienced a significant surge, propelling the protocol to surpass Ethereum (ETH) for the first time in this key metric. 

This milestone highlights Arbitrum’s increasing adoption and recognition for its scalability within the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.

Arbitrum Sets New DEX Records

According to data from DefiLlama, Arbitrum’s daily DEX volume reached an impressive $1.834 billion over the past 24 hours, surpassing Ethereum’s volume of $1.444 billion. Analyzing DefiLlama’s data, it becomes evident that Arbitrum’s growth extends beyond daily DEX volume alone. 

The weekly change in ARB’s value soared by 32.58%, showcasing the token’s strong performance in the market. Moreover, Arbitrum’s seven-day volume reached an impressive $6.804 billion, indicating robust trading activity on the protocol.

Arbitrum

In terms of total value locked (TVL) in DEX, Arbitrum accounted for $1.297 billion, constituting 33.40% of the total TVL. In comparison, Ethereum’s TVL stood at $5.92 billion, making up 26.29% of the total. This demonstrates Arbitrum’s growing prominence as users increasingly recognize its potential for efficient and secure decentralized trading.

ARB’s Financial Metrics Soar

Further demonstrating the growth of the protocol’s ecosystem, token terminal data shows that Arbitrum’s market capitalization (in circulation) has increased by an impressive 83.84% to $2.56 billion. 

The revenue generated by Arbitrum over the past 30 days has also experienced remarkable growth, with a 79.82% increase to reach $11.66 million. 

Furthermore, looking at the fully diluted market capitalization, Arbitrum has witnessed an identical 83.84% rise to reach $20.07 billion. 

Arbitrum’s revenue on an annualized basis has seen a significant boost, surging by 101.67% to reach $141.81 million. This figure represents the projected revenue for a full year based on the current monthly revenue, underscoring the protocol’s sustained growth.

In terms of fees generated, Arbitrum’s 30-day figures have surged by 79.82% to reach $11.66 million, demonstrating the protocol’s ability to capture a significant share of transactional fees within its ecosystem. 

On an annualized basis, fees have soared by 101.67% to reach $141.81 million, further validating the protocol’s revenue growth and economic potential.

Arbitrum

Nevertheless, the protocol’s native token, ARB, is trading at $1.8962, down over 8% in the past 24 hours and below its all-time high (ATH) of $2.11 set on Thursday. Despite this pullback, it is still up 36% over the past 14 days, demonstrating the token’s bullish momentum.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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Arbitrum (ARB) Maintains Impressive 30% Price Uptrend, Analyst Predicts Breakout Above $2

Arbitrum (ARB), a prominent Layer 2 (L2) protocol, has emerged as one of the top gainers in the past month, experiencing a remarkable surge of 59%. Over the past 7 days, the token has grown substantially over 31%, propelling it to reach a new all-time high (ATH) of $1.8391 on Monday. 

Arbitrum’s Market Capitalization Surges To $2.21 Billion

The impressive price surge of ARB reflects the growing interest in the protocol and its native token within the Layer 2 ecosystem. This surge is evident when examining the data provided by Token Terminal, a leading analytics platform. 

According to Token Terminal’s data, Arbitrum’s market capitalization (circulating) is $2.21 billion, marking a significant increase of 56.18%. 

Additionally, the revenue generated by the protocol over the past 30 days amounts to $11.31 million, representing a substantial surge of 87.74%. 

The fully diluted market capitalization is $17.33 billion, reflecting the market’s positive sentiment toward the protocol’s potential. The revenue on an annual basis reaches $137.63 million, exhibiting an impressive growth of 106.63%.

Moreover, the strong performance of the market indicators, such as the P/F ratio (fully diluted) at 125.95x and the P/S ratio (fully diluted) at 125.95x, indicate robust investor confidence. 

The fees generated by the protocol over the past 30 days amount to $11.31 million, representing a significant increase of 87.74%. Additionally, the annualized fees reached $137.63 million, demonstrating a substantial growth of 106.63%. 

Furthermore, the data reveals that Arbitrum has a strong user base, with an average of 153,3100 active daily users over the past 30 days, highlighting its popularity and adoption. Even more encouraging is that a prominent crypto analyst foresees continued growth in price action for ARB.

Clear Uptrend In ARB Signals Potential Breakout

Renowned crypto analyst Michael van De Poppe has identified a clear and promising uptrend in the cryptocurrency ARB. 

Through his technical analysis, van de Poppe observes that the token has been consistently experiencing “beautiful retests” of previous resistance levels, which have now transformed into strong support zones.

If the current price trajectory continues, Michael van De Poppe suggests that investors should keep an eye on a potential optimal “go-to zone” for ARB between $1.50 and $1.60. 

This zone represents a strategic level where the token may experience a retest before deciding to break the psychological barrier of $2.

It remains to be seen if this prediction will come true and how ARB’s price action will develop through the first half of 2024.

ARB

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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Arbitrum Network Faces Major Outage, ARB Token Faces 4% Decline

Arbitrum (ARB), a prominent Ethereum scaling solution, encountered a significant downtime event on December 15, according to the network’s status page. 

The incident prompted an immediate investigation into the root cause and the deployment of a fix. As of the time of writing, the Arbitrum One network remained inaccessible for over 60 minutes due to sequencer and feed issues.

Arbitrum Struggles With Network Downtime

The status update from Arbitrum acknowledged the problem, stating that the Arbitrum One Sequencer and Feed stalled at 10:29 AM ET amidst a notable surge in network traffic. 

Notably, Martin Köppelmann, co-founder of Gnosis, alleged that the outage experienced within the Arbitrum network was a result of ordinals. Köppelmann remarked that the stress testing of various blockchains using ordinals had led to the disruption, stating, “Ordinals stress testing various blockchains is certainly entertaining to watch. Now they brought the Arbitrum sequencer down.”

In addition to the sequencer and feed issues, Arbitrum also encountered a halt in block production, ceasing to generate new blocks approximately 1.5 hours ago. The impact of this stoppage on the network’s overall functionality and transaction processing remains a concern for users and stakeholders.

The investigation into the root cause of the downtime is crucial for understanding the underlying technical issues and preventing similar disruptions in the future. Users and industry participants eagerly await the post-mortem analysis from Arbitrum, which will provide a detailed account of the incident and the proposed remedial measures.

ARB Thrives Despite Market Volatility

Over the past 24 hours, the ARB token experienced a decline of 4.94%, reflecting short-term market fluctuations. However, the token has demonstrated relative stability when considering its performance over longer timeframes.

Arbitrum

In the last 180 days, ARB has shown a significant growth of 17.76%, indicating a positive trend for long-term investors.

According to Token Terminal data, Arbitrum currently boasts a circulating market capitalization of $1.49 billion, with a fully diluted market capitalization of $11.69 billion. 

Revenue generated by the project has experienced significant growth over the past 30 days, with a notable increase of 68.00%. The revenue projection on an annualized basis stands at $85.97 million, highlighting the project’s ability to generate sustainable income.

Moreover, Arbitrum has witnessed a rise in active users, with a daily average of 166.37 thousand participants over the past 30 days. This growth in user adoption suggests increasing interest and utilization of the Layer 2 scaling solution.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com