Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Returns To Neutral: Buying Push Already Over?

The positive Bitcoin Coinbase Premium that drove the latest rally above $70,000 has dissipated, suggesting buying has already slowed down.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Returned To Neutral Levels

CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn explained in a post on X that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has declined back toward the neutral line.

The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to a metric that keeps track of the difference between the BTC prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. Such a trend implies that the buying pressure on the former is higher than that on the latter platform (or alternatively, the selling pressure on there is just lower).

On the other hand, a negative value can imply the selling pressure on Coinbase is higher than on Binance as the price of the cryptocurrency listed there is lower.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past few days:

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

The chart shows that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap had taken to notably positive values as the latest upward push in the asset’s price had occurred. Since then, though, the metric has fallen, with its value approaching zero.

It would seem that the buying pressure on the platform contributed to the surge. The fact that the rally has slowed since the metric returned to neutral levels may add further evidence.

This isn’t unnatural for this year, however, as the Bitcoin price and Coinbase Premium Gap have shown a pretty tight relationship since the start of 2024.

Coinbase is popularly known as the preferred platform of American institutional investors, while Binance hosts more global traffic. As such, the premium’s value provides insight into how the behavior of the US-based large holders differs from that of world users.

Since the Coinbase Premium Gap has been the driver of the recent price surges, buying from these institutional entities could potentially have provided the fuel.

As the indicator’s value has now neared the neutral mark, it would imply that these whales have lifted their foot off the gas. Given the close relationship the metric and BTC price have held recently, it may be worth keeping an eye on how things develop in the coming days.

BTC may register some decline if the premium flips into the red from here. Naturally, a continuation of positive values would be a bullish sign instead.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around the $70,100 level, up more than 11% over the past week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Has Undergone This Bearish Structure Change, Analyst Explains

An analyst has explained that the recent trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap suggests a significant change in the asset’s structure.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Continued To Be Negative

In a new post on X, analyst Maartunn discussed how the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap is still negative. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to a metric that tracks the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

This indicator’s value provides hints about how the behavior of the former’s userbase currently differs from that of the latter platform.

Below is the chart shared by the analyst that reveals the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap since the start of the year.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

As the graph shows, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap had been mostly positive as Bitcoin had gone through its journey from $44,000 to beyond the $73,000 level.

This would imply that the price listed on the exchange was higher than on Binance during this period. Such a trend naturally suggests that the buying pressure on the former was greater than on the latter.

Coinbase is widely known to be the preferred platform of US-based institutional investors, while Binance has global traffic. Thus, the green positive premium values would imply these large American entities had been buying and supporting the rally.

Recently, however, the indicator’s value turned negative as these investors took to selling instead. Since then, the metric has continued to assume such values. Alongside this selloff, the BTC price has experienced a notable decline.

The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap followed a similar pattern during the first month or so of the year. In the first 10 days of January, the metric had been positive as buying had occurred in anticipation of the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Still, after the ETFs had been approved, the indicator had turned negative.

The red premium values had maintained for a few weeks, during which the cryptocurrency price had struggled. Based on this pattern and the recent trend, it would seem that American institutional traders have driven the price action this year.

As such, so long as the current bearish structure in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap exists, it’s possible that the price may not be able to amass too much upward momentum.

BTC Price

At the end of the positive Coinbase Premium Gap streak, Bitcoin had been able to achieve a new all-time high above $73,800, but as traders have switched to selling on the platform, the coin has dropped almost 9%, with its price now trading around $67,300.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Is Negative: What It Means For Price Recovery

Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap is currently negative. Here’s what this could mean for the asset’s recent attempt at recovery.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Been Deep Red Recently

An analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post pointed out that the Coinbase Premium Gap has been negative recently. The “Coinbase Premium Gap” here refers to an indicator that tracks the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. Such a trend implies that the former platform is currently witnessing a higher buying pressure or a lower selling pressure than the latter.

On the other hand, the negative indicator suggests Coinbase is witnessing relatively high selling pressure as the price listed here is lower than on Binance.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the last few years:

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has plunged into negative values recently, implying that the selling pressure on Coinbase has risen.

Earlier, the metric had a notable positive streak, and this run coincided with a rally in the cryptocurrency’s price. The asset fell as the indicator flipped towards red, suggesting increased selling pressure may have contributed.

US-based institutional investors commonly use Coinbase, while Binance has a more global audience. As such, the Premium Gap can provide hints about American whales’ buying or selling behavior.

It would appear that these institutional players were buying during the recent rally, but as soon as they switched towards selling, the price suffered for it. The last bull market also saw significant buying pressure from these investors, while the bear market saw the indicator restricted to negative or neutral levels.

Bitcoin has been trying to recover from its recent drawdown, but from the chart, it’s apparent that the Coinbase Premium Gap is still at deep red values.

Thus, the fact that large American investors are falling behind in buying pressure may not bode well for this recovery attempt if the recent pattern followed by the metric is anything to go by.

BTC Price

Since the visit below the $39,000 level, Bitcoin has seen a notable rebound below the $43,000 mark. The chart below shows how the coin has performed over the past month.

Bitcoin Price Chart

This recovery has stood so far, but given the negative Coinbase Premium Gap, the cryptocurrency may encounter some resistance soon.

Analyst Says “Rapid Price Recovery” Is Likely For Bitcoin, Here’s Why

An analyst has explained that a Bitcoin price recovery may be highly likely based on this pattern forming in a metric.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Is Becoming Less Negative

In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst pointed out how the selling pressure on Coinbase has been diminishing recently. The relevant indicator here is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which keeps track of the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Binance.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. Such a trend suggests either the buying pressure on the former is higher or the selling pressure is lower.

On the other hand, negative values imply the buying pressure on Binance may be greater as the price of the cryptocurrency listed there is higher.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the last couple of weeks:

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

Between the start of the month and around the time the Bitcoin spot ETFs went live, the Coinbase Premium Gap had remained optimistic, implying that buying pressure on the exchange had been stronger.

The exchange is popularly known to be used by US institutional investors, so it’s possible that the positive premium was due to these large entities constantly accumulating in the leadup to the ETFs.

The chart reveals that the Coinbase Premium Gap took a sharp plunge into negative territory once this event was over, implying that the American holders significantly increased their selling pressure.

Coinciding with this negative spike, Bitcoin observed its first major post-ETF plunge. This event started the indicator’s extended run inside the red zone, a sharp contrast to its trend in the year thus far.

Almost a week after this first crash, the cryptocurrency registered another sharp plummet, and with this drawdown, too, the selling pressure on Coinbase went up.

During the past few days, BTC has experienced another wave of price drops, but this time, the Coinbase Premium Gap hasn’t reached highly negative values. Instead, the indicator even briefly revisited the neutral mark during this plunge.

This would imply that the selling pressure from the US institutional traders may now be weakening. While they are still likely selling, the degree of their selling isn’t much higher than that of the global investors who use Binance.

“In the current range, there is a high likelihood of a rapid price recovery,” the analyst says, based on this pattern that has taken shape in the Coinbase Premium Gap.

BTC Price

Following the latest drawdown, Bitcoin has broken under the $39,000 level for the first time since the start of December.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Erases $49,000 ETF Rally As Coinbase Users Take To Selling

Bitcoin had earlier shown a sharp rally toward the $49,000 mark, but the asset was quick to retrace the entire surge as the Coinbase Premium turned negative.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Plunged Into Negative During Past Day

As pointed out by CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn in a post on X, the Coinbase Premium Gap has now turned notably negative after being mostly positive for the last few days.

The “Coinbase Premium Gap” refers to the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on the cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

This indicator’s value basically provides hints about how the buying or selling behaviors on these two largest platforms in the sector differ from each other right now.

When the metric has a positive value, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is higher than on Binance currently. Such a trend implies the former platform’s users are participating in a higher amount of buying (or lower amount of selling) than the Binance users.

On the other hand, the indicator being positive suggests that Binance might be observing a higher degree of buying pressure at the moment as the price listed on the exchange is greater.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap since the start of the year:

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has observed a sharp plunge down into the negative territory during the past day or so. Before this plummet, the indicator had been mostly at positive values since the start of the year.

There were a few dips into the red zone earlier as well, but the indicator only attained minor negative values during these drops. This time, though, the premium is down to significantly negative levels.

The price surges this year were being driven by the buyers on Coinbase, as the price rose every time the premium did as well. Coinbase is popularly known to be used by US institutional investors, so the green premium suggested that these large entities were buying, most likely in anticipation of the ETFs, which finally gained approval on January 10th.

A while after this approval, BTC went on to sharply rally toward the $49,000 level, but the asset’s run was very short-lived as its price plummeted hard back towards the price prior to the move, thus erasing all the gains.

The Coinbase Premium Gap had been notably positive alongside the surge, but the indicator then showed its plunge into the negative territory alongside this quick retrace. It would appear that some American institutional traders may have used the opportunity to harvest their profits.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has been moving sideways since the quick rally and drawdown, as its price is still floating around the $45,800 level.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Blasts Off As Institutionals Continue Buying On Coinbase

Bitcoin has observed a sharp rally beyond the $47,000 level as data shows buying pressure on Coinbase has displayed no signs of letting off.

Bitcoin Has Surged More Than 4% In Last 24 Hours As ETF Deadline Nears

After the asset’s indecisiveness over the last few days, the cryptocurrency has appeared to have picked its direction in the last 24 hours, as its price has increased sharply.

At the peak of this surge, the coin had crossed beyond the $47,300 mark, but since then, the coin has registered some pullback as it’s now down to $46,500. The below chart shows how Bitcoin has performed during the last few days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

With this surge, the coin is up over 4% in the last 24 hours. The only cryptocurrencies in the top 20 market cap list that have attained better returns during this period are Solana (SOL) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH).

This latest rally to levels not visited since March 2022 has come for the cryptocurrency as the US SEC deadline for a decision on BTC spot ETFs is approaching fast.

With the expectation in the market widely being that the ETFs would get approved, it’s not surprising that buyers may be jumping in, expecting the asset to rally further after the ETFs start trading.

Data of an indicator could also point towards large entities being involved in accumulation in this leadup to the day of decision.

BTC Coinbase Premium Gap Has Been Positive For More Than A Week Now

As CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn pointed out in a post on X, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been positive for several consecutive days.

The “Coinbase Premium Gap” refers to a metric that keeps track of the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

This indicator’s value tells us about the difference in the buying (or selling) behaviors on the two largest platforms in the sector. Below is a chart showing the recent trend in this metric’s 14-day simple moving average (SMA).

Image

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been positive for almost 2024, with only one dip in the metric coming on the first day of the year.

This suggests that the buying pressure on Coinbase has been greater than on Binance for over a week now. US-based institutional investors widely use the former, while the latter hosts more global traffic.

Thus, this indicates that large institutional traders have possibly been going shopping recently. Another indicator that suggests accumulation from the whales is the “large holders netflow” metric from IntoTheBlock, which has displayed positive spikes recently.

Bitcoin Large Holders Netflow

“Large holders bought the dip! Bitcoin holders holding >1% of the supply accumulated more than 14k BTC over the past week as prices dipped below $43k,” explains IntoTheBlock.

Bitcoin Rally Driven By Coinbase Users? Premium Would Say So

The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been positive during the past few days, implying the surge above $27,000 may be driven by the platform’s users.

Coinbase Users Have Been Participating In Aggressive Bitcoin Buying Recently

In a new post on X, the CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager, Maartunn, has pointed out how there appears to have been buying going on at Coinbase recently.

The relevant indicator here is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which keeps track of the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on the cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Binance.

The former platform is more popular among US-based investors (including large institutional holders), while the latter receives more global traffic. As such, the Premium Gap’s value may provide insight into how the behaviors of these two audiences differ.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the price on Coinbase is greater than that on Binance right now. This would imply that the American investors have either been applying a higher buying pressure or a lower selling pressure as compared to the global users.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the last few days:

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap had been negative earlier in the month, implying that Coinbase users had been selling more than Binance users.

The metric had turned especially deep in the leadup to and during the plunge towards the $25,000 level, suggesting the selloff was driven by the American holders.

During the recovery that had followed, the Premium Gap had turned positive, but only after a delay, implying that the US-based investors didn’t initially contribute towards the surge.

Since then, however, the indicator has remained at notable positive values, meaning that the platform’s user base has been constantly accumulating the cryptocurrency.

From the graph, it’s visible that the buying on Coinbase appears to have only ramped up during the past couple of days, as the Premium Gap has observed a sharp spike.

The timing of this surge could indicate that the US-based investors are the ones helping the asset’s recent growth beyond the $27,000 level. This is a good sign, naturally, as strong buying pressure from the US institutional holders could provide the appropriate fuel for the cryptocurrency to retest higher levels.

It now remains to be seen whether the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap would continue to remain at positive values in the coming days, or if buying would cool down on the platform.

BTC Price

Bitcoin had observed a sharp drop from the $27,200 level to $26,600 yesterday but has since made a swift recovery back to the mark, as the below chart displays.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Approaches Zero, Selloff Ending?

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin coinbase premium gap has improved recently and is now approaching a neutral value, suggesting the selling pressure may be drying up.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Close To Zero, But Still Negative

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the selling pressure from US investors seems to have reduced in recent days.

The “Coinbase Premium Gap” is an indicator that measures the difference in the Bitcoin prices listed on crypto exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

The quant notes that US investors are known to use the Coinbase platform, especially high-net entities and institutions.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the price on Coinbase is higher at the moment. Such a trend suggests there has been buying from US investors recently.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Whale Presence On Derivatives Still High, More Volatility Ahead?

On the other hand, a negative premium gap implies there has been some selling on the crypto exchange as the price is lesser than on Binance.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase premium gap over the year 2022 so far:

The value of the metric looks to be negative right now | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase premium gap has been negative in the last couple of months.

During the LUNA crash, it reached a highly red value of $131, which means there was some heavy selling from US investors then.

During the consolidation period that followed, as well as during the latest crash, the value of the indicator moved sideways around a negative $20.

Related Reading | Is Bitcoin Like Buying Google Early? Check Out The Shocking Comparison

Over the last few days, however, the trend seems to have changed and the premium gap is now observing some upwards movement.

While the indicator still has a negative value, it’s quite close to zero now as the gap between Coinbase and Binance stands at just -$5.

This shows that the selling pressure from US investors has been dying down recently, a sign that could prove to be bullish for the price of Bitcoin.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $21.2k, up 11% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 28% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Looks like the value of the crypto has been going up over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Since the low below $18k, Bitcoin has been trying to gradually make some recovery. However, the crypto is currently finding it difficult to leave the $21k level.

Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com