Bitcoin Demands Exceeds Miner Supply By 1,300%, Why A Push To $237,000 Is Possible

As the Bitcoin Halving draws nearer, there is so much optimism about what could happen to Bitcoin’s price in the aftermath of this event. This optimism is further heightened by a recent development showing how Bitcoin’s demand far outpaces its supply, which could see the flagship crypto token rise to as high as $237,000. 

Bitcoin Demand Significantly Outpacing Its Demand

Crypto analyst Willy Woo mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the Bitcoin network receives an average of $607 million of new investor demand daily. On the other hand, this demand is said to be met by a supply of just $46 million daily in terms of Bitcoin mined. This development is more significant considering that the Halving is fast approaching. 

This is when Bitcoin Miners’ rewards are cut in half, acting as a deflationary measure and reducing the rate at which more BTC comes into circulation. This also offers a bullish narrative, as the already insufficient supply will decline further after the Halving event. Once that happens, Bitcoin is expected to become more valuable, with more price increases imminent. 

Industry expert Anthony Pompliano also highlighted this phenomenon when he noted how institutional investors were gobbling up BTC almost 13x faster than its production rate. He added that the flagship crypto token was bound to see a new all-time high (ATH) if this trend continues. 

This institutional demand for BTC is mainly driven by the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which were approved in January. Due to the impressive demand for these funds, fund issuers like BlackRock have continued to accumulate a significant portion of the BTC supply on a daily. Interestingly, these Bitcoin ETFs were reported to hold 3.3% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply earlier in the month. 

Bitcoin’s Road To $237,000

In response to Willy Woo’s post, crypto analyst MacronautBTC made a “conservative” calculation of how Bitcoin’s price could rise to $237,000. Using a multiplier of 3x the Dollar currently flowing into the Bitcoin ecosystem, the analyst mentioned that Bitcoin could see an added market cap of 4.38 trillion. 

He then added the 4.38 trillion to Bitcoin’s current market cap of 1 trillion, which sums up to a 5.38 trillion market cap. This potentially puts Bitcoin’s price at $273,000 (a year from now, going by MacronautBTC’s calculation. 

The analyst also highlighted how this price level coincides with predictions made by notable Bitcoin bulls. One of them is Tim Draper, who recently stated that BTC will hit $250,000 in 2025. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $50,900, down almost 2%% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin Miner Selling Power At Lowest For 2022, Green Sign For Market?

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin miner selling power is at its lowest for the year, something that could be favorable for the price of the crypto.

Bitcoin Miner Selling Power Has Been Going Down In Recent Weeks

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the metric has observed surges in its value a few times this year, and each time the BTC price has gone down.

The “miner selling power” is an indicator that’s defined as the ratio between the Bitcoin miner outflows and the total number of coins held by this cohort (30-day moving average, log-scaled)

Here, the “miner outflows” is a measure of the total amount of BTC that miners are transferring out of their personal wallets.

When the value of the miner selling power rises, it means the ability of miners to dump their coins is going up right now as they are withdrawing more of them from their reserve. Naturally, such a trend can be bearish for the value of the crypto.

On the other hand, low values of the indicator suggest miners aren’t putting much selling pressure on the market at the moment, and hence might prove to be bullish for the BTC price.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin miner selling power (log-scaled) over the year 2022 so far:

Bitcoin Miner Selling Power

Looks like the log-scaled value of the metric has been on the way down recently | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant points of trend for the Bitcoin miner selling power.

It seems like during the past year, the indicator has observed three instances of sharp growth, and around the time of each of these surges, the price of the crypto has taken a beating.

In the last few weeks, the metric has been on a constant decline, suggesting that miners haven’t been selling much during the period.

As a result of this downtrend, the Bitcoin miner selling power has now reached its lowest value for the last year. Going by the previous trend, this could be a positive sign for the current rally in the crypto.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $20.5k, up 6% in the last week. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 5% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

The value of the crypto seems to have been moving sideways between $20k and $21k | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Brian Wangenheim on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com