Category: BTC news Bitcoin ETF

The Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen their demand drop since the start of this month, and this was again evident in the considerable outflows recorded on April 26. This poor run has had far-reaching effects on the broader crypto market as Bitcoin’s price has succumbed to unfavorable market conditions. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFS Record $217 Million Of Outflows

Farside Investors revealed in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $217 million of net outflows on April 25, one of their largest this month. Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) accounted for most of these outflows, with investors moving $139.4 million out of the fund. 

Related Reading: Why Is The Dogecoin Price Down Today?

Some other funds also recorded individual outflows. Ark Invest’s Spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $31.3 million in outflows, while Valkyrie and Bitwise’s ETFs saw $20 million and $6 million in daily outflows, respectively. Notably, Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) recorded a net daily outflow for the first time since these funds were approved, with $22.6 being moved out of the fund on Thursday. 

Meanwhile, BlackRock’s dry spell continued with its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recording zero inflows for the second consecutive day. Although the fund has yet to record net daily outflows since launching, this undoubtedly represents a setback, considering that it had, before April 24, recorded 71 consecutive days of daily inflows. 

These Spot Bitcoin ETFs’ outflows have led to a wave of sell-offs from the fund issuers to fulfill redemptions. As a result, Bitcoin’s price action has been rather unimpressive as of late, with the flagship crypto experiencing significant price declines due to the heightened selling pressure. This development has put the bears firmly in control, with data from Coinglass showing that more Bitcoin longs than shorts have been liquidated in the last 24 hours. 

Macro Economic Factors Also Affecting Bitcoin’s Price

An initial estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on April 25 showed that the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 1.6% in the first quarter, which was way below expectations. This data report further diminishes hopes of rate cuts this year and looks to have played out in investors’ minds as Bitcoin briefly dropped below $63,000 following the report’s release. 

Meanwhile, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data is set to be released on April 26. This PCE report could come in higher than expectations, adding to the growing concerns about the unlikelihood of rate cuts this year.

Interest rates have significant implications on risk assets, including crypto, and if the Federal Reserve decides to take a hawkish stance, it could negatively impact the crypto market. 

A crypto analyst has made a bold prediction about Bitcoin, anticipating that the pioneer cryptocurrency could surge to $650,000 as the Spot Bitcoin ETF market continues to grow. 

BTC’s Next Price Target Expected At $650,000

In an X (formerly Twitter) post published on Monday, Willy Woo, a popular analyst and crypto expert with over 1 million followers, predicted Bitcoin’s next price target, fueled by the growth and demand of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to Woo, Spot Bitcoin ETFs could propel the price of BTC to $91,000 at bear market bottoms, while during bull market tops, the cryptocurrency could skyrocket as high as $650,000. It’s important to note that at the time of writing, Bitcoin haD not even reached $100,000, and is trading at $63,408, according to CoinMarketCap.

Woo has explained that BTC’s surge to this exponential level can only be possible when ETF investors completely utilize their capital. He highlights that a total capital deployment typically takes time, emphasizing that his price predictions are not constrained to the current crypto market cycle. 

The crypto analyst also predicted that BTC will eventually flip gold’s market capitalization as the asset manager’s capital is deployed. Basing his forecast on gold’s 12-year bull run after the launch of its ETF, Woo disclosed that Bitcoin could have a similar bullish trend soon.  

How Bitcoin Will Surge To $650,000

To efficiently explain his predictions, Woo provided a brief but clear insight into the potential impact Spot Bitcoin ETFs could have on the price of Bitcoin. He provided “back-to-envelope calculations” that could be used to fully understand how BTC could surge to $650,000.

During his calculations, the crypto analyst estimated the total capital managed by asset managers at $100 trillion. He mentioned that the current allocation recommendation was 2% for Bitcoin, and given the total amount of assets managed, it would mean $2 trillion could potentially flow into BTC. 

Presently, Bitcoin holds about $561,159,959 of investments that can be measured on-chain. By adding the potential inflow from asset managers, the total investment in BTC would rise to $2.56 trillion. 

Woo also introduced a Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which compares the total market capitalization of Bitcoin to the amount of funds invested into it. The crypto analyst claimed that historically, this ratio usually surges by 5x during bull market tops and by 0.7x during bear market bottoms. 

Based on this ratio, Woo calculated the potential market capitalization of BTC, estimating a price of $12.8 trillion during bull tops and $1.8 trillion during bear bottoms. Dividing this total market capitalization by the amount of Bitcoin in circulation would position BTC’s price per coin at $650,000 and $91,000 respectively.