Category: BTC news

The Bitcoin price continues to trend below $60,000 as a 20% decline triggered a brutal market-wide crash. This has exposed multiple critical support points for the cryptocurrency, some of which the price has already fallen below. In light of this, a crypto analyst known as Norok has revealed the level the BTC price must not fall below to maintain its bullish trend.

Bitcoin Price Must Hold Above $51,800

In an analysis posted on the TradingView website, crypto analyst Norok revealed that $51,800 is now the most important support level for Bitcoin. Norok pointed out that Bitcoin has since returned to its last support level which was last seen in December 2023, making this a crucial support.

In the meantime, the support that had been built up by bulls at the $62,000 level has since been broken by bears and has now been turned into resistance. Nevertheless, the crypto analyst does not believe that the Bitcoin price has turned bearish, despite the crash that has rocked the crypto market.

For Norok to turn bearish, he stated that the BTC price would have to break down below support at $51,800. According to him, such a move will invalidate whatever bullish thesis is in play for Bitcoin, ending the bullish trend of 2023-2024.

In the short term, Norok identifies $56,900 as a level that bulls must hold. He explains that this could help to reinforce the current bullish trend. “Price must hold here at this Support and then it can recapture the cloud to resume to Bullish Trend,” the crypto analyst said. “This is a highly decisive moment in Price action today.”

BTC Suffers As A Result Of ETF Outflows

One major driver of the Bitcoin price decline in the last few weeks has been a turn from inflows to outflows in Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since these ETFs require the issuers to hold BTC to support the assets they are selling to investors, inflows are incredibly bullish as these issuers have taken to buying BTC to fulfill this requirement.

However, with investors beginning to withdraw their funds, the reverse has been the case, leading to a high selling pressure in the market. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have now recorded six consecutive trading days of outflows, reaching an all-time high outflow record $563.7 million on Wednesday, according to data from Coinglass.

If these outflows continue, then the BTC price could continue to decline, and at the current rate, the pioneer cryptocurrency might be testing Norok’s $51,800 soon enough. However, a turn toward inflows would mean issuers have to buy BTC and this can translate to a price recover.

Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Real Vision, Raoul Pal has shed light on the current market state and the future outlook of Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Despite the cryptocurrency witnessing declines of more than 15%, the financial expert has uncovered a significant pattern that indicates a potential bull flag following Bitcoin’s price correction. 

Crypto Expert Unveils “Banana Zone” Rally For Bitcoin

In an X (formerly Twitter) post published on Tuesday, April 28, Pal shared a yearly chart depicting Bitcoin’s price movements from October 2023 to April 2024. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is trading below the $60,000 mark, at $59,185, marking monthly declines of 15.12% and weekly lows of 11.31%, according to CoinMarketCap. 

The crypto analyst has suggested that Bitcoin’s recent price correction was a temporary setback. He predicts that once the market fully refreshes, what he calls “the Banana zone” will kick in. He also described Bitcoin’s recent price declines as a “pause that refreshes.” 

The pause emphasizes the final days of the crypto spring, a period marked by renewed optimism after bearish markets. A prime illustration of this phase occurred when Bitcoin surged to new all-time highs, surpassing $73,000 in March, following its decline from 2022 to 2023. 

On the other hand, the Banana zone represents a phase characterized by intense market excitement and the possibility of significant price increases. However, Pal has described this distinctive period as “when the market begins to anoint the new big L1 or L2, which explodes even vs SOL.”

The financial expert noted that once the Banana zone commences, it may pick up momentum towards the end of the year and continue well into 2025, potentially reaching peak mania. He also shared a historical pictorial analysis illustrating his Bitcoin predictions. 

In the chart, the price of Bitcoin witnessed a Banana zone rally from $1,000 to $5,000 between 2014 and 2016 and from $10,000 to $60,000 between 2019 and 2020. Basing his predictions on this unique historical pattern, Pal suggested that Bitcoin’s price action from 2022 to 2024, starting at $50,000 could potentially skyrocket to a new all-time high of $300,000. 

Crypto Summer Is The Start Of Altcoin Season

Pal has predicted that after the crypto spring, a new season for cryptocurrencies will occur, termed “the crypto summer.” The financial expert has confirmed that this period will be the start of the altcoin season, highlighting that it is typically marked by an intense bubble in the crypto fall. 

During the crypto summer, Pal projects that Ethereum would begin to outperform Bitcoin while Solana would accelerate its outperformance of both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The financial CEO disclosed that the crypto summer and fall are often confusing, as cryptocurrencies tend to adopt a narrative and may get caught up in the prevailing euphoria. 

He predicts another two or more “nasty corrections” triggered by excessive leverage before the onset of the Banana zone. Additionally, Pal has indicated that three or four cryptocurrencies are set to lead the altcoin season, with one particular cryptocurrency emerging as the “Big new entrant,” much like Solana did during the previous cycle alongside Avalanche and Polygon.

Bitcoin has finally broken below the $60,000 support level for the first time in two months. The world’s largest digital asset has largely been in a euphoria phase since the beginning of the year, particularly after the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US market. However, the current consolidation of the price of Bitcoin indicates the euphoria might be fading.

According to a new report from Glassnode, an on-chain analytics firm, the euphoria surrounding Bitcoin, which has been active for the past 6.5 months, looks to be fading. At the same time, the BTC distribution has entered into the fear zone and investors are now heavily weighted towards selling.

Selling Pressure Rises

After reaching an all-time high of over $73,737 in March 2024, Bitcoin has declined by more than 18% as investors take profits. This drop in price has been accompanied by a rise in the percentage of addresses holding losses, indicating increased selling pressure. The percentage of addresses making a profit has fallen in tandem from over 99% to 86% at the time of writing. 

Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes Bullish Signals, Can It Rally 50% From Here?

On-chain analytics platform Glassnode noted in its recent report the consolidation action. According to the Net Unrealized Profit & Loss (NUPL) metric, Bitcoin has been in a euphoria mode very early in this cycle when compared to past cycles. Notably, the NUPL crossed over 0.5 approximately 6.5 months before the just concluded halving amidst hype about Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

This is in comparison to the 2021 market cycle, where the NUPL was triggered into a profit zone 8.5 months after the Bitcoin halving. This metric suggests the market is still in its euphoria phase for the last seven months but has cooled off significantly due to correction in the past two months.

Interestingly, the report noted a “distinct uptick in net outflows” across all wallet sizes throughout April, indicating the current sentiment among traders. This means traders are now in a sell-side pressure across the board. Furthermore, a majority of short-term (one week to one month) holders have been posting losses on the 90-day +1sd level since March. 

What Does This Mean For Bitcoin?

While the “fear” rating may worry investors, a pullback after such a steep price rise is considered healthy by most crypto analysts. Many long-term holders are still holding strong and are waiting for the halving effect to kick in. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $59,899 and is down by 5.35% in the past 24 hours.

Related Reading: Crypto Funds Mark 3rd Consecutive Weeks Of Outflows With $435 Million In Withdrawals

Considering the current cost-basis for short-term holders (STH) is at $66,700, and their realized price is at $59,800, many more holders in this cohort have possibly entered into the loss zone. 

According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, $59,800 is a key price level to watch, as history has shown Bitcoin tends to bounce over the STH realized price.

The Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate wildly after crashing from its all-time high price above $73,000. This has triggered a wave of bearish sentiment in the market, causing a large number of crypto traders to go short on the pioneer cryptocurrency. As a result, these bears lose, risking a large amount if the Bitcoin price resumes its bullish rally.

Bears Will Lose $7.2 Billion If Bitcoin Reclaims All-Time High

In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Ash Crypto revealed an interesting trend concerning Bitcoin that has been developing. The screenshot shared shows that a large number of short trades have been placed on BTC, with the expectation that the price could continue to fall.

Now, so far, these bulls look to be right as Bitcoin has failed to successfully clear $67,000. However, they stand to lose a lot of money if BTC is able to clear this resistance and resume upward. According to Ash Crypto, there is over $7.2 billion worth of BTC shorts which risk liquidation if Bitcoin were to reach a new all-time high price above $74,000.

At the time, the Bitcoin price had recovered above $66,000, spurring a flurry of bearish activity in the market. However, these bears seem to have succeeded, as the BTC price has fallen below $64,000 at the time of writing.

As a result, bears have been emboldened, with the expectation that the Bitcoin price will still from here. So far, the liquidation trends risks have continued to rise as the BTC price falls. Data from Coinglass shows that if Bitcoin were to recover above $44,000 and reach a new all-time high, bears stand to lose over $10 billion.

BTC Bulls Are Not Giving Up

Even though Bitcoin bears seem to be making bank with the price of Bitcoin falling, the bulls are far from done. Rather, they have been using this price decline as an opportunity to fill up their bags. This accumulation has been even more prominent among Bitcoin whales, who have picked up 1.4% of the total supply in the last month.

On-chain data tracker Santiment reported that in the last four weeks, Bitcoin whales have added 266,000 BTC to their balance. The cohort responsible for this are those holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC, making them the mega whales. In total, they spent $17.8 billion on buying BTC in just one month.

As a result of this accumulation, these 1,000-10,000 BTC whales now hold 25.16% of all BTC in existence. Their numbers are also on the rise, with Santiment identifying this as the “Highest crowd bullish bias since all-time high week in early March.”

For now, Bitcoin continues to struggle with the bears to hold the $63,000 support. Its price is down 4.05% in the last day to trade at $63,600, at the time of writing.

Chief economist and Bitcoin critic, Peter Schiff has issued a somber prediction regarding the world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. The financial expert has cautioned investors of the potential repercussions should BTC drop below critical resistance levels.

Economist Predicts Bitcoin Price Decline

In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, Schiff shared a price chart of Bitcoin against the United States Dollar (USD), pinpointing Bitcoin’s price at the time of the post at $63,814, alongside key support levels around $60,000. The economist has argued that Bitcoin’s current price position was not conducive for HODLers. 

Emphasizing the importance of BTC maintaining a stronghold above $60,000, Schiff urged investors to proceed with caution and hope that the cryptocurrency successfully sustains support levels. He also predicted that if Bitcoin failed to hold critical support levels, a substantial price decline would be inevitable. 

While Schiff’s predictions may appear to align with his usual skepticism towards Bitcoin, the timing of his warnings coincides with a period of heightened uncertainty and volatility surrounding Bitcoin’s price. 

The cryptocurrency is currently trading at $63,909, marking a notable decrease from its previous all-time high of over $73,000 before the halving event. Data from CoinMarketCap has revealed a series of declines, with Bitcoin experiencing a 3.75% drop in the last 24 hours and a 4.38% decrease over the past month. 

This underscores the uncertain price condition of the pioneer cryptocurrency, hinting at the possibility of further declines unless the cryptocurrency makes a quick price correction. 

Schiff has stated that while experienced Bitcoin holders are accustomed to large price drops and periods of volatility, new investors who have recently entered the Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) market should be prepared for a “rude awakening.”

Crypto Analyst Says Potential Upsurge In Store For BTC

On Monday, April 22, prominent crypto analyst, Ali Martinez shared insights on Bitcoin’s future price trajectory in an X post. Martinez noted that the price of Bitcoin was steadily rising, aiming to secure new highs around $66,000. 

The crypto analyst predicts that if Bitcoin can successfully break past key support levels at $66,000, the cryptocurrency’s next critical resistance level would be between $69,900 and $71,200. Despite this optimistic forecast, Martinez has also warned investors about a potential pullback, emphasizing the importance of exercising caution and closely monitoring Bitcoin’s price if it falls below $65,500.

With Bitcoin currently priced at $63,909, it has fallen notably below the key support level highlighted by Martinez. This continuous price decrease could be attributed to recent trends indicating that Bitcoin’s accumulation score has dropped to zero. This suggests that whales may be moving away from the pioneer cryptocurrency or refraining from accumulating Bitcoin at its present price level. 

After announcing in March its plans to include Bitcoin futures in its offerings, B3, a Brazilian stock exchange, has officially opened up trades, achieving a significant milestone on its very first day of trading Bitcoin futures. 

B3 Bitcoin Futures Sees Surge In Demand

Following its launch of Bitcoin futures on April 17, B3 experienced a massive wave of demand and interest from cryptocurrency enthusiasts eager to trade the newly listed Bitcoin futures. The stock exchange reported that on the debut trading day, more than 7,400 Bitcoin futures contracts were actively traded. 

This unprecedented trading volume underscores investors’ strong interest in cryptocurrency derivatives as well as the increasing demand for BTC exposure among Brazilian cryptocurrency traders and enthusiasts. 

Notably, B3 disclosed that the demand for Bitcoin futures on its exchange was so profound that it had hit 111,000 buy or sell orders on the trading screen. The market had displayed intense participation in the newly launched contracts, with the Director of Listed Products at B3, Marcos Skistymas, affirming that the heightened demand resulted from B3’s introduction of its first-ever derivative linked to a cryptocurrency. 

The introduction of Bitcoin futures marks a significant step forward for the stock exchange, aligning with its vision to expand its offerings to cater to users’ needs. Skistymas has also indicated that the market’s response to the recently listed Bitcoin futures was overwhelmingly positive, reflecting a significant potential for these contracts within the Brazilian market. 

BTC Futures To Act As A Hedge Against Market Volatility

According to Skistymas, Bitcoin futures were a “suitable instrument” that could become a hedge against Bitcoin, potentially providing Brazilian investors a means to manage the flurry of risks associated with Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.

For more clarity, a Bitcoin future is a contract between investors who wager on the future price of the pioneer cryptocurrency, providing exposure to Bitcoin without the need to purchase it. Given btc’s high volatility and price fluctuations during certain market conditions, accurately predicting the price of the cryptocurrency can be challenging. Additionally, only a handful of crypto analysts and investors have managed to forecast Bitcoin’s price actions with precision. 

At the beginning of the year, the price of BTC surged from below $50,000 to an all-time high of more than $75,000 in March 2024. As of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $66,129 after witnessing a major price correction and plummeting by 0.09% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. 

Irrespective of BTC’s unpredictability and price variations, the launch of Bitcoin futures on B3 has the potential to bring in a new era of adoption among Brazilian investors, providing them with fresh opportunities to diversify their portfolios with these regulated financial instruments.

Bitcoin holders have again reaffirmed their faith in the flagship crypto despite its recent price declines. This follows recent data showing that Bitcoin accumulation addresses recorded a new all-time high (ATH) amidst the current market downward trend. 

Accumulation Addresses Record New All-Time High Of Bitcoin Inflows

Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that over 27,700 BTC was transferred into accumulation addresses between April 16 and 17. This is a new all-time high (ATH) for these addresses in terms of their daily Bitcoin inflows. 

Before now, the highest amount of BTC sent to these addresses in a day stood at 25,500, recorded on March 23 earlier this year. Interestingly, the March 23 record came just about a month after Bitcoin inflows into accumulation addresses hit an all-time high (ATH) of 25,300 BTC on February 21. 

Accumulation addresses are wallets with no outgoing transactions and have a balance of over 10 BTC. Accounts belonging to centralized exchanges and Bitcoin Miners are excluded from this category. Meanwhile, these addresses must have received two incoming transactions, with the most recent occurring within the last seven years. 

These addresses can be considered the most bullish on Bitcoin, and the growing accumulation trend from these wallets shows how much faith these long-term holders have in the flagship crypto. Furthermore, they are also believed to be positioning themselves ahead of the bull run, as BTC may never drop to these price levels once it comes into full force. 

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s CEO, Ki Young Ju, also highlighted the significance of this development, noting that on-chain accumulation has remained “very active” even as the demand for Spot Bitcoin ETFs has stagnated for four weeks. This suggests that Bitcoin bulls could help shore up the demand gap left open by these ETFs. 

BTC Price Shows Strength

Bitcoin dropped below the $60,000 support level following reports about Israel’s retaliatory attack on Iran. However, the flagship crypto showed strength as it quickly rebounded above the $60,000 price mark. This is significant considering how much Bitcoin and the broader crypto market declined rapidly following Iran’s attack against Israel on April 13. 

Furthermore, the quick price recovery also suggests that Bitcoin has established strong support around the $60,000 price range and could be set for a parabolic move to the upside once this period of consolidation is over. Crypto analyst Crypto Rover also recently commented on Bitcoin’s future trajectory, stating that the crypto token will come out with a “banger” soon enough.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $62,000, up in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap.