People Should Know Bitcoin and Wall Street Bitcoin Are Two Different Things Entirely

Chief Investment Officer at Second Foundation Partners, Ben Hunt, believes Bitcoin going mainstream dulls its original use case and brings unacceptable compromises.

The leading cryptocurrency was founded on the principles of being permissionless and censorship-resistant. In short, a way to stick it to the establishment. But with Wall Street increasingly co-opting Bitcoin for its own ends, Hunt sees a coming Bitcoin identity crisis ahead.

The Institutions Are Coming in a Big Way

Recent times have seen institutions getting into Bitcoin in a big way. A popular method for institutions to invest in the leading cryptocurrency is via Grayscale asset managers.

Grayscale deals only with accredited investors. This means they serve individuals earning more than $200k a year and a net worth of over $1 million. Or in the case of organizations, entities with more than $5 million in liquid assets, or all beneficial owners meeting the criteria for individuals above.

Grayscale’s Q4 2020 Report showed that last year’s total inflows equated to four times the cumulative inflows of the previous seven years. With over half of 2020’s coming in the final quarter of 2020.

$3 Billion Dollar Quarter: Grayscale experienced unprecedented investor demand, with approximately $3.3 billion of inflows. Investment into the Grayscale family of products surpassed $5.7 billion during 2020, more than four times the $1.2 billion cumulative inflow into the products from 2013-2019.”

Some big Wall Street players are also moving directly into Bitcoin themselves. The likes of BNY Mellon, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley, to name a few, have all given their nod of approval.

Their sudden interest in Bitcoin is for many reasons. A common theme from banks is the growing investor appetite for cryptocurrencies. There’s also the hedge narrative which is gaining traction as investors brace for a coming economic implosion.

Inventor Satoshi Nakamoto intended his creation to work as an alternative, even a replacement, to “the system.” However, as Hunt points out, that system is slowly subverting it for its own means.

Better to Stifle Bitcoin Than Ban it

Many called 2020 the year of institutional Bitcoin investment. Even attributing its break of $20k and the subsequent run-up to institutional money pouring into the markets. Either way, Q4’s unbelievable performance made it hard to ignore BTC.

While some investors, including Ray Dalio and Jim Rogers, believe a ban could come, Hunt takes a different view. Rather than outlawing the leading cryptocurrency, Hunt sees authorities striking back with “golden handcuffs and administrative surveillance.”

He describes the strategy as a way to accommodate and swallow Bitcoin, which is what they’ve done with every other financial innovation. Adding it’s preferable to stifle its censorship resistance and turn it into another Wall Street gaming table. The upshot to this is a future where people are encouraged to buy Bitcoin.

“Because the artistic Bitcoin identity I admire and value has been subverted by the neutering machine of Wall Street and the regulatory panopticon of the US Treasury Dept.

Because what made Bitcoin special in the first place is nearly lost, and what remains is a false and constructed narrative that exists in service to Wall Street and Washington rather than in resistance.”

The reality is most investors, whether libertarian or not, care only for the gains. At the same time, Bitcoin’s message may become diluted with institutional involvement, the primary concern for most remains making money.

Bitcoin daily chart

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Gains Momentum, Here’s What Could Spark A Major Rally

Bitcoin price gained momentum and settled above the $57,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC is likely to break the $58,500 resistance and start a strong rally.

  • Bitcoin started a steady increase and it broke the $56,500 resistance zone.
  • The price is now trading well above the $56,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $56,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start a strong rally if it clears the $58,500 resistance zone in the near term.

Bitcoin Price is Gaining Pace

Bitcoin failed to clear the $58,500 resistance and corrected lower. BTC traded below the $57,000 level, but it remained well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A low was formed near $56,112 and the price recently started a fresh increase. There was a break above the $56,500 and $57,000 resistance levels. Bitcoin climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $58,550 swing high to $56,112 low.

It is now trading well above the $56,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $56,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The pair is now consolidating just above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $58,550 swing high to $56,112 low. The first major resistance on the upside is near the $58,500 level. A successful break above the $58,500 could set the pace for a strong rally. In the stated case, the first target for the bulls could be $60,000. The next key stop for them may possibly be $62,000.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $58,500 resistance, it could correct lower once again. An initial support on the downside is near the $57,500 level.

The first key support is near the $57,000 level and the trend line. A downside break below the trend line might call for a test of the $56,000 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $57,500, followed by $57,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $58,500, $60,000 and $62,000.

Bitcoin Settles Above Key Support, Why BTC Could Revisit $60K

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $55,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC tested $58,500 and it remains elevated for a move towards the $60,000 zone.

  • Bitcoin is showing positive signs and it recently tested the $58,500 resistance zone.
  • The price is now trading well above $55,000 and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $55,400 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct losses, but it is likely to start a steady increase towards the $60,000 level.

Bitcoin Price Gains Traction

This past week, bitcoin price remained stable above the $52,500 support zone against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair started a steady increase and it broke a couple of important hurdles near $55,000.

The price even broke the $56,500 resistance and extended its rise. There was a spike above the $58,000 level, but the price struggled near the $58,500 zone. A high is formed near $58,494 and the price is now correcting lower.

It traded below the $57,500 level. There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $52,489 swing low to $58,494 high. On the downside, there is a major support forming near the $55,500 zone.

There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $55,400 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $52,489 swing low to $58,494 high.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price is facing a major resistance near the $58,000 and $58,500 levels. A successful close above the $58,000 and $58,500 resistance levels could open the doors for a fresh increase towards the $60,000 barrier.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails above the $58,000 level, there is a risk of a downside correction. The first major support is near the $55,500 level and the trend line zone.

The next major support is near the $55,000 level and the 100 SMA. Any more losses might call for a fresh drop towards the $52,500 support level.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $55,500

Major Resistance Level – $58,500

Bears Salivate As Bitcoin Monthly Close Leads To Indecision

Bitcoin price is back above $56,000 once again, after a tug-of-war between bulls and bears has led to a bit of a stalemate just as the April monthly comes to a close.

The monthly candle at current levels will close as a doji, signaling indecision, and a potential reversal ahead. Here’s a closer look at the potential reversal pattern that has crypto bears salivating for cheaper coins in the days ahead.

Bitcoin Bears Make A Stand Against Bulls, Rally Reaches Stopping Point

It is hard to be bearish on Bitcoin at all, let alone right now. The cryptocurrency has risen from pennies to more than $60,000 per coin. The scarce BTC supply suggests these are still early days and there’s a lot more ROI to go, potentially reaching prices of hundreds of thousands each in the future.

All of 2021 thus far has been like a rocket ship for Bitcoin and its altcoin brethren. Ethereum and Dogecoin have massively outperformed the top cryptocurrency and several others have done even better.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Price Forecast: Cloudy With A Chance Of Downside

Bitcoin profits being taken and flowing into altcoins is just one of many reasons for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap to take a pause. Incredibly overheated technical indicators, and a sudden fear of coming regulation combined with a huge capital gains tax hike on the horizon are also to blame.

The indecision has led the pivotal April monthly candle close to form a doji, if and when it closes tonight at 8PM ET.

bitcoin april monthly close

The monthly should close as a doji, but there's risk of a reversal | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Potential Evening Star Reversal Pattern Could Mean Lights Out For Crypto Bulls

A doji is either a sign of indecision before a trend continues or is a signal a reversal is near. But it all depends on what comes next after the doji is formed. If another massive move up follows in May, then the bull trend is back on full force.

However, if bears get the best of price action over the next month and close with another red candle, there’s risk of an evening star pattern.

Related Reading | Potential Island Reversal Leaves Bitcoin Bulls Stranded

An evening star reversal is a Japanese candlestick pattern that that forms when there’s a sharp rise capped off by a doji, then followed by an similarly strong showing by bears to the downside.

The red candle in May must engulf at least 50% of March’s historic candle close to be confirmed. If May closes below $50,000, there’s serious risk of more downside in the top cryptocurrency ahead.

The reversal pattern also has appeared during the same month as a rare “Pi cycle top indicator” has triggered its signal for only the fourth time in Bitcoin’s history.

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Revisits Key Support, Here’s What Could Trigger Sharp Increase

Bitcoin price extended its decline below the $54,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC is holding the $52,500 support, but it must clear $54,000 for a fresh increase.

  • Bitcoin failed to stay above the $54,000 support and extended its decline.
  • The price is now facing resistance near $54,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a major declining channel forming with resistance near $54,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could either rally above $54,000 or it might extend its decline towards $50,000.

Bitcoin Price is Facing Hurdles

Bitcoin struggled to continue higher above $55,000 and it started a fresh decline. BTC broke the $54,000 and $53,500 support levels.

There was also a close below the $54,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The price tested the $52,500 support zone. A low is formed near $52,375 and the price is now consolidating losses. It recovered above the $53,200 level.

There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $56,545 swing high to $52,375 low. It seems like the price is now facing resistance near $54,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

There is also a major declining channel forming with resistance near $54,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The next major resistance is near the $54,500 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $56,545 swing high to $52,375 low.

A successful break above the channel resistance and then a break above the $54,500 level could set the pace for a fresh increase towards the $56,500 level. The next major resistance above $56,500 could be $58,000.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $54,000 resistance and the 100 hourly SMA, there is a risk of more downsides. An initial support on the downside is near the $52,500 level.

A proper break and close below the $52,500 level is likely to set the pace for another 5% decline. In the stated case, the price could decline towards the $50,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is rising towards the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $52,500, followed by $50,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $54,000, $54,500 and $56,500.

Bitcoin Dominance Dives To Lowest In Years, Altcoin Season Is Finally Here

Bitcoin price was rejected from above $55,000 and is now back to sinking lower. Meanwhile, altcoins like Ethereum continue to climb complete unaffected by the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.

The recent divergence between the top dog and the rest of altcoins, has resulted in Bitcoin dominance taking a nosedive to levels not seen since 2017 and 2018. Could this be the official start of altcoin season before the market cycle starts all over again?

BTC Dominance Returns To Levels Not Seen Since Last Crypto Bull Market

It has been more than 1000 days that have passed since the last time BTC dominance was below the 50% level, signaling that altcoins had taken over the crypto market.

The past 1000 and then some days have been completely dominated by Bitcoin instead, rising to as high as 73% peak dominance at the end of 2020.

Related Reading | Ethereum Closing In on $2,800 As ETH 2.0 Deposit Contract Hit New ATH

BTC.D, a metric weighing the top cryptocurrency’s market cap against the rest of the space, is now back below 50% and could be ready to set new lows if an altcoin season truly is upon us.

Altcoins capturing much more dominance this time around makes sense, as there are easily several more times the coins that have appeared since, and each market cap individually is ballooning.

bitcoin dominance altcoin season

A weekly close below that box starts altcoin season | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

What Altcoin Season Means For Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, And Other Top Coins

If altcoin season really is here, there are a few things that crypto investors can expect according to past cycles. Altcoin season’s start doesn’t always mean that Bitcoin’s run is over.

During the 2017 bull run, there were two distinct altcoin seasons, with only one ending the historic crypto market cycle. Altcoins topped much after Bitcoin, which is a scenario that could be coming into play now.

Related Reading | The Rise Of Dogecoin: The Good, Bad, And The Ugly

But with Bitcoin still so bullish, just because altcoin season is here doesn’t mean the bull run for BTC is over. Instead, altcoin capital could flow back into BTC, propelling the top brass crypto asset even higher.

Once the coin then tops out for the grand finale cycle peak, another altcoin season could act as exit liquidity before the cycle ends, and it all starts to repeat again.

The biggest and most respected altcoins like Ethereum and Litecoin would run first, then from majors money will flow into mid-caps, and eventually risk will venture into small-caps for moonshot-type gains.

The most important thing is to get out when it looks like things are about to end, as altcoins tend to collapse by as much as 99% when they run out of steam eventually, and momentum turns downward instead.

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s Time is Done Says Investment Chief, Citing Dated Technology

Bitcoin is now 12 years old. Although it has managed to fend off all newcomers to date, its time at the top may be coming to an end. That’s according to Fahad Kamal, the Investment Chief at private bank Kleinwort Hambros.

Kamal likens the situation to the tech boom of the late nineties going into the new millennium. Not only was it a time of massive capital inflow, as we see now in crypto, but history shows that many pioneering projects faded as the competition got better. From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is a dinosaur compared to the latest third-generation blockchains. While nothing matches its network effect at present, is Bitcoin on a downward path?

“The cryptocurrency space today looks very similar to the internet space in 1997. In 1997, we thought Netscape Navigator was by far the most advanced sophisticated browser and there would never be anything to compete with that.”

Bitcoin Under Pressure

With the green plan, it’s difficult to ignore Bitcoin’s massive energy consumption due to its power-hungry Proof-of-Work consensus algorithm.

Over time as its price has gone up, so has its energy consumption. Current estimates put its annual energy consumption at 135 TWh. For comparison, that’s more than the electricity used by Sweden, at 132 TWh.

Kamal sees the energy conundrum Bitcoin faces as a significant factor in its breakdown. There’s also the broadening narrative surrounding its use in illicit activities. While this is an industry-wide problem, and one that is disputed, with data from Chainalysis estimating less than 1% of Bitcoin transactions involved in criminality, that in itself doesn’t matter.

What matters is how governments interpret the data and enact legislation taking into account other agendas. Kamal mentioned the tougher regulations coming in from both Turkey and India.

Ethereum to Take Over Top Spot?

ETH 2.0 will see Ethereum switch from a Proof-of-Work protocol to a more environmentally friendly Proof-of-Stake model. Phase 2, the final phase, is penciled in for a 2022 rollout.

While some expect Bitcoin to follow suit and make significant protocol changes to move with the times, the founder of Bitcoin Suisse, Niklas Nikolajsen, said that as the dominant chain carrying the most value, it’s logical that Bitcoin is the most conservative in terms of changing its formula.

However, Nikolajsen doesn’t rule out a change altogether. He believes new technological advancements in computer science, cryptography, and mathematics could inspire change.

“I believe that it is entirely possible that if one day new consensus algorithms and advancements are proven to possess the right balance of qualities such as a high degree of decentralization, scalability and security, these will in time inspire BTC and its forks.”

Since the start of April, Ethereum is up 40% versus a 7% drop for Bitcoin. Based on current market caps, if there’s one cryptocurrency to displace Bitcoin, it’s Ethereum.

JP Morgan echoes this sentiment. They see Ethereum’s superior utility as a factor in Bitcoin losing out in the long term.

Bitcoin daily chart YTD

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Struggles Near $56K, Here’s Why 100 SMA Is The Key

Bitcoin price spiked above the $56,000 resistance against the US Dollar, but it failed to continue higher. BTC is could correct lower, but the 100 hourly SMA is likely to provide support.

  • Bitcoin extended its rise above the $55,500 and $56,000 resistance levels.
  • The price is now trading well above $54,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $54,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could dip towards the $53,000 support before it extends its rise.

Bitcoin Price Remains Supported

Bitcoin remained stable above the $53,000 support zone and it extended its upward move. BTC broke the $55,000 resistance level and it settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The price even spiked above the $56,000 resistance level. However, the bulls failed to push the price above the $56,500 level. A high is formed near $56,490 and the price is now correcting lower. It broke the $56,000 and $55,800 levels.

Bitcoin almost tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward wave from the $47,010 swing low to $56,490 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $54,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If the pair breaks the trend line support, it could extend its decline towards the $53,000 support. The 100 hourly simple moving average is near the $53,000 zone to act as a strong support.

Any more losses might call for a test of the $51,500 support. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward wave from the $47,010 swing low to $56,490 high is also near the $51,750 zone.

Fresh Increase in BTC?

If bitcoin remains stable above the 100 hourly SMA and the $53,000 support, it could start a fresh increase. An initial resistance on the upside is near the $55,500 level.

The next major resistance is near the $56,000 level. A successful close above the $56,000 resistance zone could set the pace for a move towards the $58,000 level in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is just above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $54,500, followed by $53,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $55,000, $55,500 and $56,000.

TA: Bitcoin Price Gains Traction, Here’s How BTC Could Revisit $60K

Bitcoin price gained pace and it cleared the $55,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC is showing positive signs and it is likely to accelerate higher above $56,500.

  • Bitcoin started a decent increase it settled nicely above the $53,000 resistance.
  • The price is now trading well above $54,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a short-term rising channel forming with resistance near $55,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to continue higher above the $56,000 and $56,500 resistance levels.

Bitcoin Price Remains Bullish

Bitcoin formed a strong support base above the $53,000 level and it extended gains. BTC even broke the main $55,000 resistance zone and settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There was also a push above the $55,500 level and the price traded as high as $55,782. It is now consolidating gains well above the $55,000 level. There seems to be a short-term rising channel forming with resistance near $55,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If there is an upside break above the channel resistance, the price could continue to rise towards the $56,500 and $57,000 levels. The next major resistance is near the $58,000 level, above which the price could accelerate higher towards the $60,000 level.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $56,000 and $56,500 resistance levels, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $55,200 level.

The first key support is near the $55,000 level and the channel lower trend line. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $47,000 swing low to $55,782 high is also near the $53,700 level.

If there are more losses, the price could slide towards the $52,000 support and 100 hourly simple moving average. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $47,000 swing low to $55,782 high is also positioned near the $51,500 zone to provide support if there is an extended decline.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $55,000, followed by $53,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $56,000, $58,000 and $60,000.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Cloudy With A Chance Of Downside

Bitcoin price is back above $55,000 in a lighting fast recovery from below the key level of $50,000. Although the rebound thus far appears as if it is a gift from the heavens above, the technical forecast suggests cloudy days are ahead.

Here’s a closer look at everything going on with Bitcoin “at a glance” and a deep dive into the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator.

Forecast Says Cloudy Days Ahead For Top Cryptocurrency

Spring is in the air. The grass is turning green and the birds are chirping again. As the saying goes, “April showers bring May flowers.”

And although things have been fully bullish for some time in Bitcoin, April has been the first month where things have turned from green, to grey.

April kicked off aggressively, pushing Bitcoin to new highs. The top cryptocurrency consolidated there’s and made one more push higher the day Coinbase Global went public.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Loses Important Lifeline That Got Bulls Blood Pumping

The rejection there, however, sent Bitcoin price raining down, and pushed the cryptocurrency into and below the Ichimoku cloud.

If you’re questioning the validity of the cloud, also called the Kumo, then check out the zoomed in shot in the chart below. The example shows price action halting right at the edge of the cloud.

bitcoin cloudy

Bitcoin price action stopped right at the top of the cloud | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Could Bitcoin Price Rain Down Further?

The edge Bitcoin price stopped at is called the Senkou span B or leading span B, together with span A, they form the Kumo that widens and tightens depending on volatility.

When the two spans twist, it is a sign that things have turned fully bearish, which as can be seen is just starting to take place.

However, the Ichimoku indicator is said to offer a full “at a glance” look at the market, so there are more details to pay attention to.

Related Reading | Potential Island Reversal Leaves Bitcoin Bulls Stranded

The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen – also called the conversion line and base line – have crossed bearish. This itself has happened many times on the daily chart on the way up, but is the first time since the bull market began that Bitcoin is also trading within the cloud while this crossover happens.

The last piece of the Ichimoku indicator’s intel, is the Chikou span, or lagging span. This tool falls back several trading periods and shows where support and resistance might lie.

According to the tool and where price action clustered, the most prominent levels of support left untested if things do turn bearish in the short term, are $34,000 and $18,000 – two levels bulls do not want to return to. Will this cloudy forecast instead bring sunshine in May?

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Price Breaks Hurdle, Here’s Why Bulls Could Aim $58K

Bitcoin price gained pace and it cleared the $53,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC is consolidating and it seems ready for more gains above $54,000.

  • Bitcoin remained well bid and it was able to clear the $53,000 resistance.
  • The price is now trading well above $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $54,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to continue higher above the $54,000 and $54,500 resistance levels.

Bitcoin Price is Gaining Pace

Bitcoin remained well supported above the $51,000 level and it managed to extend gains. BTC gained bullish momentum above the $52,000 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

It even cleared the $53,000 and $53,500 resistance levels. A high is formed near $54,455 and the price is now consolidating gains. It already tested the $53,000 support level. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $47,010 swing low to $54,455 high is acting as a support.

It seems like there is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $54,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading well above $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If there is a clear break above the $54,000 resistance zone, the price is likely to accelerate higher. The next key resistance is near the $54,500 level, above which the doors could open for a run up towards the $58,000 barrier in the near term.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $54,500 and $55,000 resistance levels, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $53,000 level.

The first key support is near the $51,250 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $47,010 swing low to $54,455 high is also near the $50,700 level to act as a support. Moreover, the 100 hourly simple moving average is at $50,500 to act as a strong support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 55 level.

Major Support Levels – $53,000, followed by $51,250.

Major Resistance Levels – $54,500, $55,000 and $58,000.

Cuban Expects Number of Bitcoin Hodlers to Double, But Ban Fears Still Linger

The billionaire owner of the Dallas Mavericks, Mark Cuban, thinks the number of Bitcoin hodlers could more than double. Estimates put the current number of Bitcoin users at around 100 million people.

“It’s not inconceivable that the number of people that own [bitcoin] could more than double.”

With momentum behind the cryptocurrency movement, he expects demand to continue increasing over time. However, as Jim Rogers and Ray Dalio referred to, this path could see the leading cryptocurrency reach loggerheads with world central banks.

Bitcoin Manages to Stop The Rot

Bitcoin bounced at $47k late last night to stage a recovery from the recent slump. Today, the leading cryptocurrency is up 12% from that point, with the rest of the market largely following suit.

The turn around brings welcome relief over the narrative that the bull run had ended. All the same, it remains to be seen if crypto markets can sustain this push going into this week.

Bitcoin daily chart

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Nonetheless, Cuban maintains bullishness over the medium to long term. He insists demand will likely increase as more people cotton on to the benefits of holding Bitcoin.

“The price of [bitcoin] is built on supply and demand … We know what [the] supply is. There is no reason for the demand not to increase.”

Bitcoin advocates cite its benefits as a hedge against inflation, due to its finite supply, peer-to-peer transactability without the permission of a third party, portability and storage advantages over gold, and its decentralized and apolitical nature.

Previously, Cuban had stated he believes Ethereum will eventually flip Bitcoin. His reasoning comes down to the lack of in-built programmability on Bitcoin.

“Bitcoin, right now, has evolved to be primarily a store value, and it’s very difficult to use it for anything else … You really have to work a lot harder on bitcoin than you do on ethereum.”

Will The Government Ban Crypto Once it Gets Too Big?

U.S. investor and founder of the Quantum Fund, Jim Rogers, spoke on Kitco News recently to warn that governments will ban Bitcoin if it becomes too successful.

Rogers said all governments are working to implement their own central bank digital currencies (CBDC). To maintain monopoly control of money, he believes they will force citizens to adopt CBDCs over private alternatives.

“If cryptocurrencies become successful, most governments will outlaw it, because they don’t want to lose their monopoly, every government in the world is working on computer money now, including the U.S. The Chinese are there already. I can’t imagine that the governments are going to say ok, this is our crypto money, or you can use their crypto money, that’s not the way governments work, historically.”

A similar point was made by Ray Dalio, who cited India’s recent moves to ban cryptocurrency as evidence of this happening. More recently, Turkey banned cryptocurrency for payment for goods and services following the collapse of the Lira. Although officials have since denied they intend an outright ban.

Bitcoin-bull Anthony Pompliano said a ban is impossible to enforce and would only drive greater adoption.

TA: Bitcoin Makes Comeback, Here’s Why $53.5K Holds The Key

Bitcoin price tested the $47,000 support zone before starting a recovery against the US Dollar. BTC is showing positive signs, but it might face hurdles near $53,500.

  • Bitcoin is rising and it is trading nicely above the $50,000 pivot level.
  • The price is now trading well above $51,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $51,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to rally if there is a clear break above the $53,500 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price is Recovering

Bitcoin declined again below the $48,500 support level. BTC even spiked below the $47,500 low and it traded to a new swing low near $47,000.

The bulls appeared near the $47,000 zone and the price started a steady recovery. There was a break above the $50,000 resistance level. The price climbed above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last key drop from the $51,050 high to $47,000 swing low.

There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $51,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading well above $51,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The current price action is positive and the price is now trading nicely above $52,000. On the upside, there is a major resistance waiting near the $53,200 and $53,500 levels. The 1.618 Fib extension level of the last key drop from the $51,050 high to $47,000 swing low is also near $53,500.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A successful break and close above the $53,500 level could spark a strong upward move. In the stated case, the price is likely to rally above the $54,500 and $55,000 levels in the near term.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $53,200 and $53,500 resistance levels, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $51,500 level.

The first key support is near the $51,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A fresh close below the 100 hourly simple moving average is likely to open the doors for a drop towards the $48,500 support.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining strength in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $51,500, followed by $51,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $53,200, $53,500 and $55,000.

Bitcoin Price Consolidates Near $50K, Why BTC Bulls Could Fail Near $52.5K

Bitcoin price extended its decline below the $50,000 support against the US Dollar. BTC is now consolidating losses and it remains at a risk of more downside below $48,000.

  • Bitcoin declined heavily below the $52,000 and $50,000 support levels.
  • The price is now trading well below $52,000 and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $52,800 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct losses, but it might face resistance near $52,000 and $52,500.

Bitcoin Price Turns Red

This past week, bitcoin price saw a steady decline from well above $60,000 against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair broke many important supports near $55,000 and $52,500 to move into a bearish zone.

The price even broke the $50,000 level and it settled below the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). It traded to a new weekly low at $47,511 before it started consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery above the $48,000 and $48,500 levels.

There was a recovery above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $57,597 high to $47,511 low. It is now consolidating near the $50,000 level.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price is facing a major resistance near the $52,000 and $52,500 levels. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $52,800 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $57,597 high to $47,511 low.

A successful close above the $52,000 and $52,500 resistance levels could open the doors for a fresh increase in the coming sessions.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails above the $52,000 level, there is a risk of more losses. The first major support is near the $48,200 and $58,000 levels.

The next major support is near the $57,500 level. Any more losses might call for a fresh drop towards the $46,000 support level. In the stated case, there are even chances of a drop towards the key $45,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $47,500

Major Resistance Level – $52,500

Parabolic Bitcoin Price Structure In Danger: Cycle Climax Or Risky Reset?

Bitcoin price is now below $50,000 for the first time in a month, and despite the still-high prices the market is in a panic. There’s now widespread fear that the current market cycle has peaked and things will soon fall back into a bear phase.

At the same time, there’s a looming bubble about to pop, aggressive tax measures and coming enforcement from the US government, and more that’s recently taken the legs out from beneath the bull run. Is this really the cycle climax, or just time for a long overdue reset?

Bitcoin Price Action Turns Deadly Fast, Bears Blindside Bulls

Rewind to only just a week or so ago, and full blown exuberance was in the air. Coinbase Global had gone public, listed on the Nasdaq for the first time and ushering in a “new paradigm” in crypto.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Price Breakdown: Bulls In Trouble As $50,000 Is Lost

Things have certainly been going well for the asset class, garnering support from brands like PayPal, Venmo, and even Tesla. With corporations buying up what little BTC is left on exchanges – a number that has been rapidly decreasing – and expectations of more than $100,000 per coin, FOMO has been aggressive.

Dip buying at every drop has formed a parabolic price structure, that’s unfortunately at risk of breaking down.

bitcoin price parabola

A rare signal calls the top as price action falls to parabolic curve | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Crypto Cycle Climax Could Be Upon Us Unexpectedly

The chart above demonstrates just how risky the situation is right now for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap. Along with price action ready to smash through the parabolic curve just as bad news starts to come in, a rare cycle top based on Pi has appeared for only the fourth time in the asset’s young history.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Loses Important Lifeline That Got Bulls Blood Pumping

The tool has called several important tops, including two out of three that led to extended bear markets in Bitcoin. When parabolic assets break down, data suggests that they retrace a full 80% of their gains. The last market cycle saw the cryptocurrency fall a full 84% before rebounding after this signal appeared.

Another 84% drop here would take Bitcoin back to around $10,000. A retracement of that magnitude, would be shocking to all and certainly not what projections suggest. A fall of that size would also suggest a bear market, sooner than most would have expected.

bitcoin elliott wave

Could our friend Elliott Wave "hi" and save the day? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Another theory involves Elliott Wave and says that so long as the top cryptocurrency never makes it below the January 2019 top, the foundation of the bull market is still strong and should continue once the dust settles.

Volatility is coming, so don’t get caught up in the storm that could soon ensue.

Featured image from Pixabay, Chart from TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Dives Below Key Support, Here’s Why BTC Bears Are Back

Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $54,000 support against the US Dollar. BTC is declining and it is likely to accelerate losses below the $50,000 support zone.

  • Bitcoin is declining from well above $55,000 and it broke the $53,500 support.
  • The price is now trading well below $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a major declining channel with support near $52,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to continue lower below the $50,500 and $50,000 support levels.

Bitcoin Price is Down 7%

Bitcoin attempted an upside break above the $55,500 level, but it failed. BTC traded as high as $55,493 and recently started a strong decline.

There was a break below the $54,000 and $53,500 support levels. There was also a break below a major declining channel with support near $52,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading well below $52,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

It even broke $51,000 and traded as low as $50,512. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $51,680 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $55,493 high to $50,512 low.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $52,500 level. The main resistance is now forming near the $53,000 zone. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $55,493 high to $50,512 low is also near the $53,000 zone. A successful break above the $52,500 and $53,000 levels is must to start a fresh increase in the near term.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $52,500 and $53,000 resistance levels, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $50,500 level.

The first key support is near the $50,000 level. If the bears are able to clear the $50,000 support, the price could dive further. The next major support is near the $49,200 level, below which the price could test the $48,000 zone.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining strength in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 30 level.

Major Support Levels – $50,000, followed by $48,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $51,500, $52,500 and $53,000.

Bitcoin Price Breakdown: Bulls In Trouble As $50,000 Is Lost

Bitcoin price has been in free fall mode, plummeting sharply from $65,000 to now under $50,000 for the first time since March.

Bitcoin Price Falls Under $50,000 Briefly

Bulls at the moment have pushed Bitcoin price back up more than $1,200 as orders at $50,000 filled for the first time in a month.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Loses Important Lifeline That Got Bulls Blood Pumping

A recent proposal under US President Biden to increase capital gains tax for the wealthiest individuals has spooked markets.

Combined with recent FUD surrounding the China hash rate decline and potential coming regulatory and tax crackdown, the once hot cryptocurrency is now struggling.

For now, bulls continue to insist on buying the dip considering how little time Bitcoin spent below the key psychological level before a decent bounce arrived.

bitcoin 50000

Bitcoin price took a sharp dive below $50,000 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Is The Crypto Market In Jeopardy Due To Capital Gains Proposal?

Bulls will need to call in the calvary with how bearish things just turned from a sentiment standpoint. Technicals have also started to turn for some time.

Fundamentals such as strong hands and a decrease in BTC supply on exchanges has kept the uptrend climbing, but the capital gains FUD could get some coins moving.

At the very least, some profit taking to cover off on what could be sizable capital gains for crypto investors might occur and free up supply and weaken some of the stronger hands.

Related Reading | Potential Island Reversal Leaves Bitcoin Bulls Stranded

Thus far, the market doesn’t like this proposal. However, it’s being done on purpose to slow down perceived dollar inflation, as these assets the dollar trades against have recently gone parabolic.

All eyes will be on Bitcoin from here and if bulls can defend $50,000. Lose it, and the uptrend is in danger.

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

Ex WWE Wrestler Kane, Now Knox County Mayor, Looking Into Bitcoin and Litecoin

As mayor of Knox County, Tennessee, former wrestler Glen Jacob, stage name Kane, is looking into Bitcoin and Litecoin to help his municipality.

Since Q4 2020, several high-profile mainstream public companies, including Tesla, have invested in cryptocurrency. But municipalities doing the same are thin on the ground. Does Jacob’s interest signal a change in that?

Is Bitcoin The Answer to Balancing The County Books?

Performers who turned politicians are not an infrequent affair. Prominent figures that did so include Ronald Reagan, Arnold Schwarzenegger, and Jerry Springer.

Since retiring from the WWE, Jacob announced his intent to run for the mayorship of Knox County as a Republican. Following his 66% – 34% win over Democratic opponent Linda Haney, he took office in August 2018.

Jacob advocates for more personal responsibility and less government intervention. An example of this was his response to the mask mandate, in which he said people should be free to decide for themselves. At the same time, he called out the terrible government overreach the mandate represents.

“I worry that one-size-fits-all mandates such as this set a terrible precedent for government overreach, are difficult to enforce, can cause conflict between the authorities and the public when enforced, and, as written, this order places enforcement responsibilities on private businesses.”

He recently tweeted about a meeting he had discussing Bitcoin and Litecoin. In attendance was the Litecoin Foundation Project Director, David Schwartz.

At this stage, it’s unknown how, or even if, Knox County will utilize cryptocurrency. Only that Jacob is excited about the future. He also referenced crypto mining in his tweet.

Tennesse made the list of top five states for Bitcoin mining due to its cheap electricity. Mining firm Bitmain also has a presence there.

Miami Plans to Become a Crypto Hub

While it’s still early days for Knox County, under the leadership of Mayor Francis Suarez, Miami has already laid out its plans to become the crypto capital of the world. Achieving this would require tech firms, in particular blockchain companies, to set up there.

Suarez said he’s in the process of changing the local regulatory framework to model Wyoming’s crypto-friendly approach to encourage this.

Local officials are also considering giving city workers the option to be paid in Bitcoin and for local fees and taxes to be paid in cryptocurrency. There is also talk about the city buying Bitcoin as a treasury strategy.

On his motivation for doing this, Suarez said:

“I think, more than anything, Bitcoin presents an opportunity. The cryptocurrency space as a whole is a rapidly growing industry and as of today, it doesn’t really have a “home.” I want to make Miami the “capitol of capital” and that includes Bitcoin.”

While few municipalities are jumping on the Bitcoin train, Jacob’s interest may signal burgeoning attention at the local level.

Bitcoin daily chart

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Loses Important Lifeline That Got Bulls Blood Pumping

Bitcoin price is back below $55,000, unable to keep its bullish momentum it had leading into the Coinbase Global listing. Since then, things have turned down.

The fall back below $60,000 has with it also taken the coin below a critical life-saving support level that’s been untouched since late 2020.

Bitcoin Loses Life-Saving Support Level, First Time Since 2020

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are notorious for their volatility, but that’s also how they’re able to generate life-changing wealth for early investors.

Because of how volatile the emerging speculative asset class is, volatility measuring tools like the Bollinger Bands are especially effective. When the bands tighten is says that price action has been sideways and a major move is coming.

Related Reading | “Exponential Decay” Of The Dollar To Benefit Bitcoin Long-Term

If any coins close a candle outside of the bands with volume, there’s often an opportunity to “ride the bands” to incredible gains.

That’s exactly what happened that took Bitcoin from under $12,000 to more than $64,000 in a matter of months. The Bollinger Bands got tight, began to expand, and because the top cryptocurrency was above the middle-SMA, the bull market was cleared for takeoff.

The problem is, that same signal is back but in reverse.

bitcoin bollinger bands 3d

It's been more than 190 days of uptrend. Is it time for a change? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

What The Bollinger Bands Are Saying About The Current Crypto Cycle

More than six months and around 200 days have gone by since Bitcoin has passed through the middle-SMA on the Bollinger Bands on three-day timeframes.

The Bollinger Bands themselves – created by John Bollinger – are a standard deviation of the simple moving average. They expand and contract based on volatility, as mentioned earlier.

The toolset can tell traders a lot about what’s about to go down. For example:

According to the tool, what’s about to go down could be Bitcoin price. Passing through the mid-BB can be used as an effective buy or sell signal. After several candle closes below the SMA, a fall to the lower Bollinger Band is the most likely next target.

That target is around $46,000 per BTC, at the height of the “Elon Musk” candle.

Remember, the close below for Bitcoin is only on the three-day timeframe, suggesting that the more dominant bull trend is still hanging on. During past bull markets, the top cryptocurrency has always retraced to the middle-SMA on weekly timeframes. This level sits right around $44,000.

bitcoin bollinger bands zoomed

Two potential targets for Bitcoin are highlighted by the SMA | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Either that holds strong, or there’s a chance the bull market is over. The only line left for bulls to keep hope alive, would be the same middle-SMA on the monthly timeframes.

The middle-SMA in the monthly is right around $18,000 per coin and below the cryptocurrency’s former all-time high. A fall of that magnitude would be a frightening 70% drop, comparable to the fall from June 2019 to Black Thursday last year.

Related Reading | Potential Island Reversal Leaves Bitcoin Bulls Stranded

It’s not impossible for Bitcoin, and the bull run would still be intact. Are you ready for the volatility that the Bollinger Bands are warning of ahead?

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

TA: Bitcoin Stuck in Range, Here’s What Could Trigger More Losses

Bitcoin price is trading in a range below the $57,500 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC is likely to start a major decline if there is a clear break below the $53,500 support zone.

  • Bitcoin is struggling to gain momentum above the $56,000 and $56,500 levels.
  • The price is now trading well below $56,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a new declining channel forming with resistance near $55,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct higher, but the bulls are likely to struggle near $55,750 and $56,500.

Bitcoin Price Remains At Risk

Bitcoin recovered higher above the $56,000 level, but the bulls failed to gain strength. BTC topped near the $56,400 level and it failed to clear the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A high was formed near $56,404 and the price resumed its decline. It broke the $55,400 support and revisited the $53,500 support zone. A low is formed near $53,650 and the price is now consolidating losses. An immediate resistance is near the $55,050 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $56,404 high to $53,670 low is also near $55,050. The next key resistance is near the $55,400 level.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Moreover, there is a new declining channel forming with resistance near $55,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The channel resistance is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $56,404 high to $53,670 low.

Above the channel resistance, the main range resistance is near the $57,500 level. A successful break above the channel resistance and then a follow up move above $57,500 is must to start a fresh rally.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $55,050 and $55,500 resistance levels, it could correct lower. An immediate support on the downside is near the $54,000 level.

The first key support is near the $53,500 level and the channel lower trend line. Any more losses may possibly call for a downside break towards the $51,000 and $50,000 levels.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $54,000, followed by $53,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $55,050, $55,500 and $56,500.