Immutable (IMX) Up By 23% In A Single Day, Analyst Suspects Market Manipulation

IMX, native token of Ethereum layer-2 scaling solution Immutable X, recorded massive gains on Thursday, soaring by over 23% within the last 24 hours. Before this price gain, IMX had been relatively stable all week, hovering around the $0.52 price zone, according to data from Coingecko.

Behind IMX’s Rise, Analysts Points To Price Manipulation

Although there may be no clear reasons for the token’s positive price movement, Chinese reporter Colin Wu speculated about potential price speculation. 

According to a post on X by Wu, 10.95 million of the token, valued at $8.1 million, were transferred to the Upbit exchange from several other crypto exchanges, including Binance, OKX, Bybit, Crypto.com, Gate, etc. 

Following these transactions, the token surged from $0.56 to $0.74, representing a 34.5% price gain. Wu has stated that Korean traders are “behind this move.” The Upbit exchange is mainly popular in South Korea, dominating over 83% of the nation’s crypto market.

Providing more insight into these transactions, on-chain analytics firm Lookonchain reports that these transfers to Upbit were sent to the same wallet with the address “0x2F77.” This indicates a single crypto whale was likely behind this price surge. 

Within three hours on Thursday, 12.54 million of the token, valued at $9.45 million, was transferred to “0x2F77,” allowing this address to become the 9th largest holder of the token, owning 20.4 million worth $15 million. 

Furthermore, Lookonchain also revealed that several IMX investors opted to take profit following the token’s price gain. These investors include GSR Markets, a crypto investment firm that moved 2 million IMX, worth $1.52 million, to Binance right after IMX rose.

In addition, three investors withdrew 3.5 million IMX, valued at $2.3 million, from the Foundation Treasury Locked wallet and may be planning a market dump. Following such transactions, it is no surprise that IMX soon experienced a price decline of about 13.33% a few hours after its boost.

IMX Gets Listed On Japanese Exchange

In other news, IMX has also been listed on the Japanese exchange Coincheck. According to a blog post by the crypto exchange on Thursday, IMX will now be eligible for its various services, including Coincheck NFT and  Coincheck crypto lending service. 

In addition to IMX, Coincheck also announced listing other cryptocurrencies, namely Apecoin (APE) and AXS, the governance token of the Axie Infinity gaming metaverse. 

At the time of writing, the IMX trades at around $0.64, with a price loss of 1.8% in the last hour. Based on more data from Coingecko, the token’s daily trading volume rose by 238.20%, valued at $808.50 million.

IMX

The Inside Story Of The Roger Ver Vs. CoinFLEX Conflict

The infamous Roger Ver is back in the headlines for all the wrong reasons. Like many players in the industry, the derivatives exchange CoinFLEX recently ran into financial trouble. Surprisingly, they blamed it all on Roger Ver and the circus started. Luckily for us, Chinese journalist Colin Wu covered “the entire insider details through a source close to the situation” in his newsletter. However, as you can see, it’s an anonymous source. So, take the story we’re about to analyze with a grain of salt. 

The summary of the situation according to Wu:

“On June 24, 2022, the exchange CoinFLEX announced that it made the decision to halt user withdraws, and the price of the platform Token FLEX subsequently plummeted, from $4.30 to less than $1.50 in four hours. At the same time, FlexUSD, the platform’s stablecoin, also began to de-peg, with prices dropping as low as $0.23.”

The funny thing is that both entities were clearly in business together. On May 14th, Roger Ver tweeted, “Interest paying FlexUSD by CoinFLEX  is on its way to being the default stable coin for the whole SmartBCH ecosystem if USDT & USDC don’t move quickly.” How did everything deteriorate so fast? That’s what this article’s about. 

Roger Ver Vs. CoinFLEX, The Play By Play

The story starts with CoinFLEX announcing to their partners that they “opened a special account for Roger Ver.” The account’s characteristics guaranteed that Roger Ver “would not be liquidated immediately if it fell below the maintenance margin, but rather that he would be given sufficient time to make a margin call.” Nothing special here, the man is a high-net-worth individual, deals like this are a dime a dozen in high finance. 

As a guarantee, Roger Ver offered “a margin of BCH,” valued “at around $400.” Then, the Terra collapse happened and the whole crypto market crashed. By the time CoinFLEX ”faced a liquidity crisis,” Bitcoin Cash was worth around $120. It’s still at that price range at the time of writing. This is where things get insane. The biggest revelation of Wu’s story is at the end of this paragraph.

“If that were all, CoinFLEX would have been able to cover its shortfall. However, prior to this, CoinFLEX had issued its own stablecoin, FlexUSD, like other exchanges. At this point, CoinFLEX used FlexUSD to buy a large amount of FLEX from the secondary market and opened short position to hedge the spot price. However, the counterparty to this short position was also Roger Ver!”

As we’ve seen happen again and again, “when the withdrawal restriction announcement was made, CoinFLEX’s total funds began to fall in a cyclical fashion.” And all hell broke loose. 

BCH price chart on Coinbase | Source: BCH/USD on TradingView.com
An All-Out Twitter War

On June 27th, the company’s CEO Mark Lamb tweeted, “CoinFLEX made the decision to halt user withdrawals on June 23, shortly after a long-time customer of CoinFLEX went into negative equity. ” Immediately after, the rumor that Roger Ver was that “long-time customer” began circulating.

The Bitcoin Cash leader went on the offensive and tweeted a statement obviously written by a lawyer. “Recently some rumors have been spreading that I have defaulted on a debt to a counter-party. These rumors are false. Not only do I not have a debt to this counter-party, but this counter-party owes me a substantial sum of money, and I am currently seeking the return of my funds.” How could those two statements be true? Remember that “the counterparty to this short position was also Roger Ver!”

However, Mark Lamb was not having it. Even though both parties were negotiating, Lamb took to Twitter and stated, “CoinFLEX also categorically denies that we have any debts owing to him.” Plus, “Roger Ver owes CoinFLEX $47 Million USDC. We have a written contract with him obligating him to personally guarantee any negative equity on his CoinFLEX account and top up margin regularly.”

Even if CoinFLEX is right in this instance, did they have to air their dirty laundry in public?

Roger Ver Vs. CoinFLEX, The Aftermath

Back to Colin Wu’s newsletter:

“In the end, Roger Ver’s position was completely worn out and turned into negative equity, while CoinFLEX was left with a lot of delisting FLEX. It was revealed that CoinFLEX had a real loss of $120 million, including losses from the de-peg of the stablecoin FlexUSD and the loss of withdrawals (less than $10 million) due to the collapse of the SmartBCH cross-chain bridge, which was built by CoinFLEX.”

And the fact of the matter is that, even if Roger Ver’s debt caused this, CoinFLEX’s risk management team has a few questions to answer. “Roger Ver became almost the only counterparty to the exchange, and this only counterparty had the privilege of not replenishing the margin in time,” Wu concludes. It was an unfortunate sequence of events, but both parties signed those deals and both parties took to Twitter to resolve what should’ve been a private matter. 

Shame all around.

Featured Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay | Charts by TradingView

The Ethereum Foundation Sold At The Top Again. Did They Know Something We Didn’t?

Apparently, the Ethereum Foundation employs incredible traders. Once again, they managed to cash out at the very top. On November 16th, ETH was worth an all-time high of $4891. On the very next day, the Ethereum Foundation sent 20,000 ETH to Kraken and sold them. Is this suspicious at all? Not per se, but this is the second time that they pull the same magic move. 

Related Reading | Why The Ethereum Foundation Launched A Client Incentive Program

A professional trader that goes by the name Edward Morra on Twitter was the first to spot the trade. “Friendly reminder that ETH foundation cashed out at the top (again). ETH down 40+% since then,” he said. Morra also provided a chart that shows ETH’s sharp decline in price since the sale.

$ETHFriendly reminder that ETH foundation cashed out at the top (again). ETH down 40+% since then pic.twitter.com/Bp80hEDvK0

— Edward Morra (@edwardmorra_btc) January 21, 2022

To add insult to injury, the Ethereum Foundation only paid $20 in gas fees. That might be the most impressive feat of them all.

At the time of writing, the Ethereum Foundation’s wallet holds 353,318 ETH, which is approximately $835K at current prices.

What Do We Know About The Organization’s Previous Sell-Off?

Back to Morra, his Twitter followers told him that this information was of no use to them this late in the game. The trader surprised the world and pulled an ace up his sleeve. As it turns out, Morra tweeted about the trade at the time it happened. Not only that, he warned them, “They cashed out 35k ETH on 17th of May this year, marked on the chart.”

Casual 20k ETH cashout by EthDev, sent to Kraken:https://t.co/w6AbdeW2AJThey cashed out 35k ETH on 17th of May this year, marked on the chart 👇 pic.twitter.com/sTbUwHSzD4

— Edward Morra (@edwardmorra_btc) November 11, 2021

As you can see on the chart, on May 17th the price of ETH was near its previous peak. And after the Ethereum Foundation sold, ETH trended down for months and months. Is this a coincidence? Does the foundation employ great traders? Or, is there something else to this story? Did they dump on retail ETH holders? Did the Ethereum Foundation know anything that the rest of the world didn’t?

The Ethereum Foundation still holds 394,787 ETH, and Vitalik said he persuaded foundation to sell 70,000 ETH at the top of 2018 to support the work of developers. This is a normal operation, but it also means that the Foundation thought that bear market is coming.

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) May 21, 2021

At the time of the first sell-off, journalist Colin Wu highlighted the trade and said, “The Ethereum Foundation transferred 35,000 Eth to the Kraken Exchange on May 17. Vitalik said bubbles could have ended already on May 20.” Analyzing the move, Wu said, “This is a normal operation, but it also means that the Foundation thought that bear market is coming.”

The gas fee for this operation was 0.00240474 ETH, or $5.66 at the time of writing. Wow.

ETH price chart for 01/25/2022 on Bitfinex | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com
What’s The Ethereum Foundation Anyway?

According to Ethereum’s official site:

“The EF is not a company, or even a traditional non-profit. Their role is not to control or lead Ethereum, nor they are the only organization that funds critical development of Ethereum-related technologies. The EF is one part of a much larger ecosystem.”

The Ethereum Foundation distributes funds to developers via the Ecosystem Support Program and the Fellowship Program, organizes Devcom, and more. To do all that, they surely need Fiat currency in some capacity. The trade makes sense from that angle.

Related Reading | Ethereum Foundation Devs Discuss ETH2 Launch & Economics

The question, though, is, did they know that a crash was coming? And if they did, did they reach that conclusion through technical and on-chain analysis or by… other methods?

Featured Image by PatriestB on Pixabay | Charts by TradingView

Is China Considering Lifting The Bitcoin Mining Ban? The NDRC Runs Public Survey

The National Development and Reform Commission is asking the Chinese public for their opinion on the Bitcoin mining ban. Is China’s government playing 4D chess or are they confused and considering backtracking their decision? Can they unring this particular bell or is this a too little too late scenario? Do they really care about what the general public thinks or is this survey just for the optics?

As it usually happens with the Chinese government’s actions, they leave more questions than answers. Nevertheless, let’s unpack the information available and see what Twitter thinks about the situation.

First of all, the official announcement says:

“In accordance with the relevant work arrangements for the rectification of virtual currency “mining” activities, the National Development and Reform Commission and relevant departments have revised the “Industrial Structure Adjustment Guidance Catalog (2019 Edition)”, and now solicit opinions from the public.”

So, they’re considering “rectification of virtual currency “mining” activities,” by which they mean the Bitcoin mining ban. And by “the public,” they mean “Relevant units and people from all walks of life can provide feedback.”

BTC price chart for 10/25/2021 on FTX | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com
Is China Actually Considering Lifting The Bitcoin Mining Ban?

Opinions differ. However, according to Three Arrows Capital’s Su Zhu, that’s exactly what’s happening.

China seeking public solicitation of comments regarding un-banning crypto mining 🧐https://t.co/g1wyUdORTt pic.twitter.com/qyRQyTBgcn

— Zhu Su 🔺 (@zhusu) October 25, 2021

People in the replies are not convinced. They theorize that the Chinese government is just trying to create a database of people in favor of Bitcoin mining, or that they are just thinking about lifting the Bitcoin mining ban so they can ban it again on the next cycle. Others doubt the miners will return or that new mining operations will pop up. A few, though, think that the Chinese government realized they made a trillion-dollar mistake.

Chinese journalist Colin Wu, however, sees the news from another angle. “It is not un-banning. On the contrary, its content is to write crypto mining into an industry that must be eliminated.”

Of course, many miners are making comments, but in terms of the current Chinese government’s strong opposition to Bitcoin mining, these comments are likely to be meaningless.

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 25, 2021

And he links to a .pdf that says the same thing as the original document, but in a different tone altogether:

“In the “Industrial Structure Adjustment Guidance Catalogue (2019 Edition)”, the elimination category “I. Item 7 is added to “Outdated production technology and equipment” and “(18) Others”, and the content is “virtual quasi-currency’mining’ activity.”

The phrases “Outdated production technology” and “Virtual quasi-currency’mining‘” hit different and tell another story about the Bitcoin mining ban. Wu finishes by saying that “in terms of the current Chinese government’s strong opposition to Bitcoin mining, these comments are likely to be meaningless.”

Conclusions And Speculation

Tick-tock next block. China’s Bitcoin mining ban was a blip on the radar. The network kept running as usual and, a few months later, Bitcoin’s hashrate recovered. We at NewsBTC have been trying to figure out the logic behind the Chinese government’s moves regarding Bitcoin. Unsuccessfully. We looked into the new “China Model” and the small hydropower stations question, wondered about the waning of their hashrate dominance, and looked closely into the now-defunct industry.

Even though it seems like a logical theory, we don’t know if the Chinese government is just clearing out the competition for their future CBDC. We are not sure if this whole operation is part of a bigger one that is trying to control all of the Chinese billionaires. Or if they’re just asserting their dominance and showing everyone who’s the boss. We just know that the Bitcoin mining ban might be the biggest mistake of the century. And we’re not even talking about the trillions in fiat currency that the country is losing. 

The Chinese are banning themselves from participation in the winning open network, from interaction with the biggest idea of the century, from owning a piece of the pristine asset that will change the world for the best.

Did they realize all of this and are gearing up for a change of mind?

Featured Image by Andreas Breitling from Pixabay – Charts by TradingView

Axie Infinity Raises $860K While Their AXS Token Rises 55% In The Last 24 Hours

The Axie Infinity team is making moves. On the one hand, they raised $860K “through a strategic sale of our governance token, AXS.” On the other, they announced an in-game decentralized exchange and their AXS increased in prize by 55% in the last 24 hours. Great numbers all around that would satisfy and attract any investor. And speaking about satisfied investors, their original backers were the people invited to Axie Infinity’s private sale.

Related Reading | New To Bitcoin? Learn To Trade Crypto With The NewsBTC Trading Course

Let’s digest all that part by part.

Axie Infinity ‘s $860K Private Sale

The terms of the “strategic sale” state the following:

“Axie Infinity raised $864,000 in a private sale of AXS to strategic investors in the middle of 2020. These investors purchased AXS at a 20% discount.

20% of the private sale tokens will be unlocked during the AXS public sale. The rest of the private sale tokens will be unlocked quarterly over the next 2 years.”

In the press release, they disclosed the investors:

  • Arca

  • Three Arrows Capital

  • DeFiance Capital

  • DeFi Capital

  • Sparq Ventures

  • Animoca Brands

  • Hashed

  • Dialectic

as well as angel investors:

  • Alexander John Amsel

  • Alex Svanevik (Nansen)

  • Bashylok Oleksander

The investors seem extremely satisfied. In a recent tweet, DeFiance Capital’s Zhu Su announced Axie Infinity and their Axie Infinity Shards (AXS) are the company’s most profitable seed investment by far. “Craziest thing is at the time of the round, it was so undersubbed that many people invested just to support ecosystem without any expectation of returns,” he adds for color. 

$AXS @AxieInfinity I think is now @DeFianceCapital best seed investment ever and it's not even close

Craziest thing is at the time of the round, it was so undersubbed that many people invested just to support ecosystem without any expectation of returns

World is unbound growth

— Zhu Su 🔺 (@zhusu) October 2, 2021

The Great AXS 55% Rise

According to Chinese journalist Colin Wu, “Axie Infinity is launching a decentralized exchange and its price rose 55% in 24h. However, its trading volume and active users are declining.” He also said it was “the highest increase among top50 crypto.” At the time of writing, the number has decreased a little. According to Coinmarketcap, AXS is “up 42.90% in the last 24 hours.”

Axie Infinity is launching a decentralized exchange and its price rosed 55% in 24h. However, its trading volume and active users are declining.

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 2, 2021

The recently announced decentralized exchange will eliminate the need to leave Axie Infinity to trade tokens. “People want to acquire and use their tokens from the same place without having to use a bridge constantly,” growth lead Jeff Zirlin told The Block” That website broke the Axie Infinity meets DeFi story, saying:

“The DEX could help keep users playing the game because it will remove certain frictions that exist for players who have to move their tokens off the platform to trade them. The DEX will be built on Ronin, an Ethereum-linked sidechain purpose-built for Axie Infinity.”

In the “Strategic Sale” press release, they quote Defiance Capital’s Arthur0x, who said:

“Axie has been building relentlessly since 2018 and we are impressed by their execution so far. Their vision of combining NFT, gaming and DeFi together is extremely exciting. We are thrilled to see Axie continue to be at the forefront of innovation in NFT gaming and DeFi space.”

AXS price chart for 10/02/2021 on Gemini | Source: AXS/USD on TradingView.com
Epilogue: Our Prediction

Just three months ago, when NewsBTC first covered Axie Infinity, we predicted: 

“In the long run, Axie Infinity could add new features to its game, a new game mode, more resources. The expansion of this universe is set to provide cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology with a real-world use case that nurtures the gaming experience.”

Related Reading | Jack Dorsey Plans to Build A Decentralized Exchange For Bitcoin

They did add new features, just not the ones we were expecting. 

At that time, AXS was trading at $17,47. Each token is worth $111.21 nowadays.

Featured Image: Axie Infinity screenshot from their press release | Charts by TradingView

The People’s Bank of China Blasts Bitcoin And Crypto. Once Again.

For a minute there, it seemed like the FUD was over. The People’s Bank of China contributes to its country’s crypto-crackdown at the “Financial Knowledge Popularization Month,” People’s Daily Online reports from Beijing. Speaking at an event, Yin Youping, Deputy Director of the Financial Consumer Rights Protection Bureau of the People’s Bank of China, claimed: 

“We remind the people once again that virtual currencies such as Bitcoin are not legal tender and have no actual value support.” 

Related Reading | “The Death Of China’s Bitcoin Mining Industry,” 7 Takeaways From The Article

Furthermore, Yin Youping classified all cryptocurrency-related investments as pure speculation. He advised the public to “consciously stay away” from virtual assets to avoid unnecessary risk, and to “protect their “pocket.” Nothing crazy coming from a fiat-fuelled bureaucrat. Nevertheless, an interesting new piece in China’s crypto-puzzle.

Disclaimer: This article used Google-Translated quotes and information. Small inconsistencies are a possibility. 
What Else Did The People’s Bank Of China Said?

Besides contributing to China’s crypto-crackdown, Yin Youping responded to the “rebound” in cryptocurrency trading in his country. The People’s Bank of China will:

  • Work overtime to “detect overseas exchanges and domestic traders.”
  • Block “trading websites, apps, and corporate channels.”
  • Intensify “policy publicity,” to let everyone in China know the law of the land. 
  • Establish “a normalized working mechanism” and continue to crack down on cryptocurrency transactions. 
  • Maintain “a high-pressure situation.”

The People’s Bank of China’s aim is pretty clear. And it seems to be working, Youping claimed that “the popularity of virtual currency trading has dropped significantly.” The Deputy Director also encouraged the general public to report “illegal fund-raising crimes” to the relevant authorities.

BTC price chart for 08/27/2021 on Bitstamp | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com
Does This Offer Insight Into China’s Crypto Strategy?

In a thread summarizing the case, Chinese journalist Colin Wu gave us inside information that wasn’t part of the article. “By blocking exchanges and strengthening policy publicity, China’s popularity has dropped significantly.”

3. By blocking exchanges and strengthening policy publicity, China's popularity has dropped significantly4. Crack down on illegal fund-raising activities with virtual currency and blockchain.

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) August 27, 2021

One of the surprising revelations from Chainalysis’ Global Crypto Adoption report is that P2P trading “declined dramatically” in China. At the time, we naively asked: 

Why are Chinese people abandoning P2P trading so radically? Wouldn’t the “government crackdowns on cryptocurrency trading” cause a surge in old P2P trading instead?

This “high-pressure situation” that the People’s Bank of China maintains might be the answer to both questions. As we learned, both  “the popularity of virtual currency trading” and “China’s popularity” dropped significantly. China’s cracking down on the general population as much as on their biggest industries. Bloomberg tried to explain their moves by defining the “New China Model” as:

If China is abandoning the Silicon Valley model, what will it replace it with? Insiders suggest it will be less founder-driven and more China-centric.

Related Reading | China Banned Bitcoin Mining. What Happens To Small Hydropower Stations Now?

We finished that article with more questions than answers. From “Why is China dwarfing its biggest industries and players? Is the “China Model” just concerned with scale?” To “Is their crackdown on Big Tech even related to their crackdown on Bitcoin mining?“ And concluded:

There’s only one thing we can know for sure: China’s making big coordinated moves when it comes to tech. And they seem to have a plan.

Maybe their plan is simpler than we thought. It’s possible that The People’s Bank of China is just going to make it really really hard for the common citizen to access Bitcoin. And, China’ll use propaganda and repetition to keep people in check and scared of the unknown. One of Bitcoin’s prototipical adversarial scenarios. A battle that Bitcoin expected sooner or later.

Featured Image by Bruce Röttgers on Unsplash – Charts by TradingView

China Banned Bitcoin Mining. What Happens To Small Hydropower Stations Now?

This China Business News article about hydropower stations will blow your mind. It contains revelation after revelation and clears the situation up. Now that Bitcoin mining is prohibited, who’s consuming that energy? How has the government decision affected private enterprises? Well, you’re not going to believe this.

It all started with this tweet by Chinese journalist Colin Wu.

The first paragraph of that article clears up what Colin Wu’s first tweet’s all about. Namely, that in the “largest second-hand trading platform, private hydropower stations are being sold in large numbers.” Why is that? Well…

In the power industry, a hydropower station is sometimes regarded as a tireless money printing machine. But after ten years of investing in a small hydropower station in Sichuan, Zhang Huifa decided to sell the power station for more than 60 million yuan on the second-hand trading platform Xianyu.

It’s mind-blowing that China has a second-hand trading platform that sells whole hydropower stations, but that’s neither here nor there. The plants are “mainly distributed in Sichuan, Guangxi, Gansu and Yunnan.” Both Sichuan and Yunnan were Bitcoin mining hubs, according to Nic Carter’s report. The reason all of this is happening is that “the huge initial investment and long return on investment often pose huge challenges to investors.” 

Related Reading | Bitcoin Hash Rate Goes On Death Spiral Post China’s Crackdown On Miners

Apparently, many of the owners had to take out loans. A decade later, in order to finish paying them, they have to sell the power stations. Or at least that’s what the article tries to convey. 

Abandonment Of Electricity

According to the article, the heyday of private power plants in China was the beginning of the century. Investors built thousands of hydropower stations because they saw them as a constant cash cow. For their part, the regions nearby saw them as a sign of progress and a solution to their energy problems. 

However, with the gradual surplus of electricity in China in recent years, the electricity generated by hydropower stations is often destined to being abandoned (commonly known as “abandonment of electricity”)

Now, Google did most of the translations. So, maybe the phenomenon is not “commonly known as “abandonment of electricity” in other areas of the world. However, the fact remains: Bitcoin mining tends to go where there’s surplus energy available, as our sister site Bitcoinist already told you. The reason for that is simple: energy is cheaper in those areas.

BTCUSD price chart for 07/07/2021 - TradingView

BTC price chart on FTX | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

Are They Selling Hydropower Stations Due To China’s Ban On Bitcoin Mining?

According to China Business News, nothing could be further from the truth:

Some people have linked this selling behavior to the ongoing rectification of virtual currency “mining” operations. Many small hydropower stations have indeed benefited from “mining”, but the sellers contacted by the CBN reporters all stated that they had their own reasons for the sale.

To prove this, they go into the numbers. In 2011, this one plant sold all the power it generated to the State Grid. 

But in 2016, the operator built a Bitcoin “mining” plant near the power station. He rented it out to companies that came to Sichuan to “mine.”

After that, the wind shifted and the tables turned:

In 2016, the power station’s electricity revenue from the State Grid was 4.6 million yuan, and the electricity revenue from Bitcoin mining companies was 1.8 million yuan. However, by 2018 the two numbers turned into 2.7 million yuan and 4.1 million yuan respectively.

Losing all of that revenue is reason enough to sell, and that was Colin Wu’s interpretation of the situation. However, the article’s subjects offer another perspective:

Zhang Huifa said that the main reason for the sale of the small hydropower station was the difficulty of capital turnover in the real estate sector he invested in. Li Chengming said that the reason for the sale of the small hydropower station was that he did not want to continue taking care of it, even though the hydropower station produced a stable income of hundreds of thousands of yuan per year.

But, are they telling the truth?

The Human Side Of Hydropower Stations

The article does a great job selling the story. They immediately explain the psychology and the mental state of its subjects in a way that makes the reader identify with their situation:

They are all in their 50s and 60s and need to return home to look after their families. The younger generation prefers to go to big cities. No one wants to go to the deep mountains and old forests where these small hydropower stations are located.

And to top it all off:

“Many small hydropower stations generally require only one employee to be guarded. Staying in that kind of place all the year round can make a person feel very lonely.” Some of them said, “You don’t know how to deal with the sound of running water every day. Someone say something!”

That sounds terrible. A question arises: What’s the article’s game? Are they trying to make sure those private hydropower stations don’t sell? Or… is this some kind of reverse psychology play?

The Revelation: They Might Be Trying To Get Rid Of These Hydropower Stations!

The article finishes with a bomb that explains everything:

According to 2020 statistics from the Sichuan Provincial Department of Water Resources, there are 5025 small hydropower stations in Sichuan. Out of those, 4774 are involved in rectification and decommissioning. It’s estimated that 1091 will be decommissioned and 3683 will be rectified. 

There’s a reason for that:

“Hydropower stations have always been one of the important factors restricting the ecology of Sichuan’s rivers.” Wang Hua, deputy director of the Sichuan Provincial Water Resources Department, said in 2020

It’s possible that the government is trying to get rid of those plants. That would explain the article’s tone, it seems like it was trying to get investors to stay away from those hydropower stations. In light of this, China’s ban on Bitcoin mining could just be part of an even bigger play. They’re serious and methodically shaking things up over there. 

Related Reading | Pakistan to build Bitcoin mining farms in pilot program

What could be their end-game? Is China just trying to go carbon neutral and repair the original flow of the rivers? Or is there something else at play here?

Featured Image by Gary Yost on Unsplash - Charts by TradingView