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Why This Crypto Bull Run Might Not Live Up To The Past: Analyst

In a detailed analysis shared with his 788,000 followers on X (formerly Twitter), renowned analyst Pentoshi has forecasted a more restrained outlook for the current crypto bull run, suggesting that it may not mirror the explosive growth seen in previous cycles. His insights provide a deep dive into the underlying factors that could temper the market’s performance.

Why Crypto Investors Have To Expect Diminishing Returns

Pentoshi began his analysis by stating, “This cycle should have the largest diminishing returns of any cycle,” attributing this prediction to several key market conditions. Primarily, he noted that the base market capitalization for cryptocurrencies has increased significantly in each successive cycle, setting a higher starting point that makes further exponential growth increasingly challenging.

“Each cycle has set a floor about 10x the previous lows in terms of market cap,” Pentoshi explained. He provided a historical context, recounting that when he entered the crypto market in 2017, the market cap for altcoins was only around $12-15 billion, a figure that ballooned to over $1 trillion during peak periods. He argued, “That growth isn’t repeatable,” pointing out that the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which was then nascent, played a significant role in driving previous cycles’ exceptional returns.

Another significant factor Pentoshi highlighted is the dramatic increase in the number of altcoins and the corresponding market dilution. “Today, however, there are a lot more alts, and a lot more dilution,” he remarked, indicating that the proliferation of new tokens spreads investment thinner across the market, reducing the potential for individual tokens to achieve substantial price increases.

Pentoshi also touched upon the demographic shifts in crypto ownership. He contrasted the early days of crypto adoption, when approximately 2% of Americans were involved in the market, to the present, where over 25% of Americans have some form of crypto investment. “It just requires more capital to move the markets, and there will continue to be a lot more alts, spreading it out further,” he noted, emphasizing the logistical and financial challenges of replicating past growth rates in a much more saturated market.

An often-overlooked aspect of market dynamics, according to Pentoshi, is the role of token liquidity and its impact on price stability. He detailed that recently, tokens amounting to about $250 million were unlocked daily, though not necessarily sold. “Assuming they all got sold, that is the inflows you’d need just to keep prices stable for 24 hours,” he explained, highlighting the delicate balance required to maintain current market levels, let alone drive prices upward.

Looking forward, Pentoshi was conservative in his expectations for the Total3 index, which tracks the top 125 altcoins (excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum). He estimated, “My best guess is that this cycle we don’t see Total 3 go 2x past the 21′ cycle ATH. So 2.2T max for Total3.” This projection underscores his broader thesis that while the market continues to offer daily opportunities, the era of “easy, outsized gains” might be behind us.

Pentoshi concluded his analysis with advice for investors, suggesting a more cautious approach to market participation. “If you believe the cycle is 50% over, you should be taking out more than you are putting in and building up some cash and buying other assets with lower risk in the meantime,” he advised, stressing the importance of securing gains and diversifying holdings to mitigate risk.

Reflecting on the psychological aspects of investing, he added, “Most people never really learn. Because if you can’t control your greed, and defeat it, you are destined to give back your gains repeatedly.” His parting words were a reminder of the cyclical and often predatory nature of financial markets, urging investors to secure profits and protect themselves from foreseeable downturns.

At press time, TOTAL3 stood at $635.565 billion, which is still more than -43 % below the last cycle high.

crypto TOTAL3

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Incoming MATIC Surge: Analyst Predicts $15 Price Target

Digital asset analyst with X handle Crypto Patel has recently shared a bullish prediction on MATIC price movement in the coming weeks. This forecast comes amidst MATIC’s poor performance in the last seven days, during which it lost 6.68% of its market value, based on data from CoinMarketCap. 

The Polygon native token had been one of the best-performing assets in 2024 rising by over 76.38% between January to March. However, the altcoin has now recorded a 22.83% decline over the last two weeks, drawing much concern over its future price movement. 

$1.20 Price Level Critical For MATIC Price Surge, Analyst Says

In a post on X on March 23, Crypto Patel presented a bullish case for MATIC despite the token’s current downtrend, naming the forecast the “MATIC BULL RUN ROADMAP.”

Firstly, the analyst stated that a MATIC bullish pennant was being formed. For context, the bullish pennant represents a price pattern that typically follows a string of upward movement in price (the flagpole) followed by a period of consolidation (pennant).

A bullish pennant is characterized by converging trendlines, which indicates the continuation of the previous uptrend once the price breaks out of consolidation. Importantly, Crypto Patel emphasized that MATIC’s bullish pennant was being formed on a higher time frame (HTF), such as the weekly chart. 

Following historical trends, the complete formation of the bullish pennant could result in Polygon native asset experiencing a 100x price increase in the highly anticipated crypto bull run, as observed in 2021.

However, with a focus on short-term targets, Crypto Patel has stated that MATIC reaching the $1.20 price zone on the HTF could trigger a surge to a range of $10-$15, representing a potential 1500% gain on the asset’s current price.  Albeit, in the advent of an unexpected crash, the crypto analyst expects MATIC could be significantly affected but should find support around the $0.60-$0.70 price zone. 

MATIC Price Overview

At the time of writing, MATIC trades around $0.9817 with a 1.30% gain in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, the token’s daily trading volume has declined by 31.82% and is valued at $291.65 million. With a market cap value of $9.7 billion, MATIC is ranked the 16th largest cryptocurrency and one of the world’s most prominent digital assets.

MATICMATIC trading at $0.9771 on the daily chart | Source: MATICUSDT chart on Tradingview.com

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Rising Stars: Report Highlights 5 Solana Projects Set For Success In 2024

Solana has been on a downward trend over the past week, following a surge from multi-year low levels. The token suffered when its biggest promoter, crypto exchange FTX, fell, but the ecosystem continued to thrive, leading to the high timeframe recovery. 

As of this writing, Solana’s native token SOL trades at $87 with a 2% profit over the past 24 hours. Over the previous seven days, the cryptocurrency records a 12% correction.

Solana SOL SOLUSDT

Rising Stars In The Solana Landscape

According to a report from Coingecko, the Solana network is witnessing a resurgence fueled by its recovery in the cryptocurrency market, notable reductions in network outages, and a series of positive developments.

This rejuvenation has drawn the attention of investors and developers and led to a surge in the adoption of existing projects within its ecosystem. Specific projects stand out among these, poised to shape the future of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on Solana, Coingecko claims.

Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) such as Jupiter, Orca, and Drift are at the forefront of Solana’s innovation. Jupiter is “transforming” the landscape with its limit-order decentralized swap services, offering a DEX aggregator to ensure users get the optimal price offers.

The chart below shows that its daily trading volume, involving around 90,000 unique wallets, has reached an average of $400 million.

Solana SOL SOLUSDT

Orca, another DEX, has a concentrated liquidity feature, Whirlpools, which enhances returns for liquidity providers and reduces slippage for traders. With a total value of approximately $185 million, Orca’s community-driven governance model is another selling point to attract new users in the coming months.

Drift is a decentralized perpetual trading platform, allowing traders to engage with up to 20x leverage. It integrates a series of features, including a money market for decentralized lending, offering additional passive income opportunities through staking and market maker rewards.

Furthermore, Solend, Marginfi, and Kamino are making strides on the lending front. Solend, a prominent money market, enables users to lend and borrow crypto assets, with over $165 million locked in its smart contracts.

Marginfi, boasting over $345 million in tokens locked, enhances the lending experience with advanced risk management technologies.

Kamino, another lending platform, manages over $242 million in assets. It offers liquidity through CLMM-based lending vaults, allowing users to deploy tokens in yield-bearing programs.

Emerging Projects: Helium And Render Network

In addition to these platforms, the report identified projects that could benefit from the surge of interest in Solana over the long run.

These include Marinade Finance and Jito. Marinade Finance, with over $1 billion in assets, offers maximized returns through liquid staking and immediate unstaking options. Jito, enhancing staking yields via MEV rewards, boasts about 6.7 million SOL staked across its platform.

In the world of NFTs, collections like Mad Lads and Tensorians are gaining popularity. Mad Lads, a unique collection of 10,000 artworks, reached a new all-time high in floor price, reflecting the increasing interest in Solana-based NFTs.

According to the report, Helium and Render Network are two emerging projects within the Solana ecosystem worth watching. Helium, a decentralized connectivity service provider, utilizes Solana’s blockchain to remit and administer its internet services. Its multi-token system incentivizes hotspot owners and fosters the expansion of decentralized internet facilities.

Render Network, expanding to Solana in 2023, offers GPU rendering services for creators. By renting out excess GPU power, artists can produce high-resolution graphics with the Render token (RNDR) as the network’s remittance token.

The Solana ecosystem, marked by innovation and rapid growth, solidifies its position in the smart contract blockchain space. Its diverse projects, from DEXs and lending protocols to staking solutions and NFT collections, showcase the network’s dynamic and burgeoning landscape. With the SOL token climbing the ranks, Solana’s ecosystem is poised for continued expansion and success in the years ahead.

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

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When Is The Next Crypto Bull Run?

The next crypto bull run, a highly anticipated event in the financial world, promises significant gains for investors according to many analysts and experts. This guide explores the dynamics of such crypto bull runs, their historical impact, and the potential triggers that could ignite the next bullrun. With a focus on Bitcoin’s influential role and expert insights into the possibilities for 2023 and 2024, we aim to provide a comprehensive understanding of what the future holds for crypto investors.

Crypto Bullrun Phenomenon Explained

The term ‘crypto bull run’ is more than just a buzzword in the world of digital finance; it’s a phase of significant importance. A crypto bull run occurs when the market experiences a prolonged period of rising cryptocurrency prices, often characterized by high investor confidence and increased buying activity.

This phenomenon is not just about the upward trend in prices; it represents a broader shift in market sentiment, often fueled by various economic, technological, and socio-political factors. Understanding the crypto bull run requires a look at its core elements:

  • Market Sentiment: The collective optimism of investors plays a pivotal role. Positive news, technological advancements, or favorable regulations can boost confidence, leading to increased investments and higher prices.
  • Increased Adoption: Wider acceptance and use of cryptocurrencies, both by individuals and institutions, often correlate with bullruns. As more people and businesses embrace crypto, demand rises, pushing prices up.
  • Technological Innovations: Breakthroughs in blockchain technology or the launch of new and promising projects can trigger a bullrun. Innovations that solve existing problems or offer new possibilities can attract investors.
  • Global Economic Factors: Economic conditions, such as inflation rates, currency devaluation, and changes in monetary policy, can influence the crypto market. For example, investors might turn to crypto as a hedge against inflation, sparking a bullrun.
  • Network Effects: The increasing utility and network growth of a particular cryptocurrency can lead to a crypto bull run. As more people use and hold a cryptocurrency, its value often increases, creating a positive feedback loop.

In essence, a crypto bull run is a complex interplay of these factors, leading to a sustained increase in prices. While the exact timing and duration of a crypto bull run are unpredictable, understanding these elements helps investors make informed decisions in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

Understanding The Term “Bullrun”

The term “bullrun” in the financial world, particularly in cryptocurrency, refers to a market condition where prices are rising or are expected to rise. The origin of the term ties back to how a bull attacks its opponents, thrusting its horns upward – symbolizing the upward movement of the market.

In contrast, a bear market is characterized by declining prices, reduced investor confidence, and generally negative sentiment. These terms – bullish vs. bearish – reflect the prevailing mood in the market: bullish for upward trends and bearish for downward trends.

Historical Overview Of Crypto Bull Runs

The cryptocurrency market has seen several notable bull runs since its inception, each marked by significant price surges and investor enthusiasm. Here’s a brief overview:

  1. The Early Days (2009-2012): After Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, the first notable bull run occurred in 2011, when Bitcoin’s value reached $1 for the first time and subsequently peaked around $32, showcasing the potential of decentralized digital currencies.
  2. The 2013 Surge: Two major bullruns characterized 2013. Initially, Bitcoin’s price soared to $266 in April, driven by increased media attention and investor interest. Later in the year, it spiked again, reaching over $1,000, fueled by factors like the popularization of Bitcoin in China and improved market infrastructure.
  3. The 2017 Boom: Marked as one of the most dramatic, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin’s price reaching nearly $20,000. This period was characterized by the ICO (Initial Coin Offering) craze, mainstream media coverage, and a significant influx of retail investors.
  4. The 2020-2021 Rally: Triggered by a combination of institutional investment, extreme levels of liquidity in the entire financial markets due to central banks printing excessive amounts of money (due to COVID-19), and increased interest in decentralized finance (DeFi), Bitcoin again reached new heights, surpassing $60,000 in 2021.

Bitcoin and crypto bull run history

Significant corrections or bear markets followed each of these bull runs, demonstrating the cryptocurrency market’s cyclical nature. These periods have been crucial in shaping the landscape of the Bitcoin and crypto market.

Bitcoin’s Role In The Crypto Bull Market: The 4-Year Cycle Theory

Bitcoin’s influence on the crypto bull market closely ties to its 4-Year Cycle Theory, driven predominantly by the cryptocurrency’s halving events. Occurring about every four years or every 210,000 blocks, these events cut the Bitcoin mining reward in half, thus reducing the rate of new bitcoin generation.

This halving mechanism is integral to Bitcoin’s design, intended to create scarcity and control inflation, mirroring the extraction of a natural resource becoming more challenging over time. The theory posits that this reduced supply, in the face of steady or increasing demand, drives up the price of Bitcoin, often leading to a Bitcoin and crypto bull market phase.

Historical data supports this theory. For instance, the first halving in 2012 saw Bitcoin’s price increase from about $12 to over $1,100 in the following year. Similarly, the 2016 halving preceded a significant bullrun, culminating in Bitcoin’s late-2017 peak near $20,000. The most recent halving in 2020 also led to substantial price gains, with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs in November 2021.

This pattern of post-halving bull runs not only boosts Bitcoin’s value but often triggers a market-wide crypto bull run. Bitcoin’s market dominance and its role as a digital gold standard mean that its price movements significantly influence the entire cryptocurrency market.

However, these bullish phases are not permanent. Post-halving surges are often followed by corrections, leading to bear markets. This cyclical nature emphasizes the speculative aspects of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, underscoring the importance of market timing and risk management for investors.

Crypto bull run

Key Triggers For The Next Crypto Bull Run

Several concrete events and developments as of November 2023 could potentially trigger the next crypto bull run. These include specific milestones and regulatory shifts that could significantly impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.

  • Bitcoin Halving In April 2024: The Bitcoin halving, which is expected to occur in April 2024, is a significant event for the Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. If history repeats itself, it could mark the beginning of the next crypto bull market.
  • Approval Of The First US Spot Bitcoin ETF (Expected January 2024): Currently, the US SEC is actively collaborating with financial heavyweights such as BlackRock, Fidelity, VanEck, Invesco, Galaxy, Ark Invest, and Grayscale, fine-tuning the final details of ETF applications for potential approval. Analysts estimate a 90% chance of at least one spot Bitcoin ETF receiving approval by January 10, 2024.
  • First US Spot Ethereum ETF (Expected Sometime In 2024): The world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, filed an application for a spot Ether ETF with the SEC. Moreover, Bitwise, Grayscale and Galaxy, among others, have also filed applications. Market analysts believe that spot Ethereum ETFs have good chances, given the fact that there are already Ethereum Futures ETFs in the US.
  • Ripple vs. SEC Case: The cryptocurrency industry is closely watching the legal dispute between Ripple and the SEC, which is inching closer to a final judgment. This case’s outcome will significantly influence the regulation of altcoins in the United States.
  • Coinbase vs. SEC Case: The legal showdown between Coinbase and the SEC could have notable implications for crypto regulation and the status of various tokens under SEC purview​​. Thus, a victory by Coinbase could also be a major catalyst for a crypto bull run.

When Is The Next Crypto Bull Run?

The question on every cryptocurrency investor’s mind is: When is the next crypto bull run? Predicting the precise timing of a bull run in the highly volatile and unpredictable crypto market is challenging. However, by analyzing current trends, upcoming events, and market sentiment, we can attempt to estimate when the next surge in cryptocurrency prices might occur.

Bull Run Crypto: Has It Already Started?

Despite the fact that the Bitcoin price is still -45% away from its all-time high, Ethereum even -58%, XRP -82%, Solana -77% and Cardano -87%, there is currently a bullish sentiment across the entire crypto market. There is no definitive definition of when a bull market begins, which is why opinions may differ.

However, the fact is that Bitcoin and crypto have made massive gains year-to-date (as of November 30, 2023): Bitcoin has risen by 127%, Ethereum by 70%, XRP by 75%, Solana by as much as 508%. Thus, one can argue that we are at the beginning of the next crypto bull run.

Furthermore, it can be argued that the Fear & Greed Index can be used as an indication of a Bitcoin and crypto bull run. Typically, the indicator is very high for a very long time (with a few dips) during a bull market. A look at the development over the last year shows that sentiment has clearly turned from fear to greed. In this respect, the indicator can serve as a sign that we are in an earlier phase of the crypto bull run.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index
Expert Analysis: Crypto Bull Run 2023/2024

In a recent post on X, renowned crypto analyst Miles Deutscher remarked that altcoins could gain strength ahead of the Bitcoin halving in mid-April next year, if history repeats:

Is Bitcoin dominance following the same pattern from last cycle? In 2019, dominance topped out in September – before alts gained steam into the halving. In 2023, dominance looks to be exhibiting a similar pattern – which would indicate a reversal into the halving.

Crypto bull run pre-halving

Meanwhile, crypto analyst highlighted a bullish trend for the entire crypto market cap (Bitcoin + altcoins):

The total market capitalization for crypto is still seeking for continuation here. Higher lows, higher highs, which means that dips are there to be bought. Next target remains $1.8 trillion.

Total crypto market cap
Bitcoin Bull: Projecting The BTC Price For 2023/2024

Nevertheless, Bitcoin has always been the leading indicator for the entire crypto market in the past. Thus, it’s interesting to project how the Bitcoin price could evolve in the coming months, pre- and past-halving. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has provided a detailed analysis of the phases surrounding Bitcoin’s Halving, projecting potential market trends for 2023/2024:

  1. Pre-Halving Period: According to the analyst, we are currently in this phase, with about 5 months left until the Bitcoin Halving in April 2024. Historically, this period offers high return on investment opportunities, especially after any deeper market retraces.
  2. Pre-Halving Rally: Expected to start around 60 days before the Halving. This phase typically sees investors buying in anticipation of the event, aiming to sell at its peak.
  3. Pre-Halving Retrace: Occurring around the Halving event, this phase has historically seen significant retraces (e.g., -38% in 2016 and -20% in 2020). It often leads investors to question the Halving’s bullish impact.
  4. Re-Accumulation: Post-Halving, this stage involves multi-month re-accumulation, where many investors may exit due to impatience or disillusionment with Bitcoin’s performance.
  5. Parabolic Uptrend: Following the breakout from re-accumulation, Bitcoin is expected to enter a phase of accelerated growth, potentially reaching new all-time highs.

Bitcoin and crypto bull run cycle

Rekt Capital’s analysis offers a roadmap, outlining potential expectations for the coming months by drawing on historical patterns linked to Bitcoin halvings.

Renowned financial expert Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, also has a theory. According to him, Bitcoin is currently in an early bull market phase that began at around $31,000 per BTC and will end at around $60,000. The mid Bitcoin bull phase goes up to $90,000. The late Bitcoin bull phase ends at $180,000, according to him.

Bitcoin bull run

Factors Affecting The Crypto Bull Market

Several factors can significantly influence the trajectory of a crypto bull market. These include macroeconomic conditions, regulatory changes, technological advancements, market sentiment, and institutional involvement. Understanding these factors is crucial in assessing the potential and duration of a bull run in the cryptocurrency market:

  • Bitcoin Halving Cycle: It is important to recognize that each cycle has had its dramatic end. When investors take profit on their (massive gains), the Bitcoin and crypto bull run can suddenly end (while most influencers tout that BTC and crypto will “go to the moon”)
  • Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic trends, like inflation rates, monetary policies, and especially market liquidity, play a significant role in shaping investor confidence and behavior in the crypto market. Following the macro environment can be crucial.
  • Regulatory Landscape: Regulatory decisions and policies regarding cryptocurrencies can dramatically affect market sentiment and investor participation. Positive regulatory like a victory by Coinbase or Ripple Labs against the US SEC can initiate or further bolster a crypto bull run. However, regulatory crackdowns can also bring a bullrun to an abrupt end.
  • Technological Advancements: Innovations in blockchain technology, scaling solutions, and new applications (such as DeFi and NFTs) can attract new investors and boost market growth.
  • Market Sentiment: Public perception (Fear & Greed Index), media coverage, and overall investor sentiment can drive market trends. Positive news and investor optimism often fuel bull markets.
  • Institutional Involvement: The entry of institutional investors into the crypto space can bring significant capital, legitimacy, and stability to the market, potentially driving a bullrun. If more companies like MicroStrategy add Bitcoin (or altcoins) to their balance sheet on a larger scale, or more countries like El Salvador use it as a national reserve, this will strengthen the market and likely drive prices higher.

Next Crypto Bull Run Predictions: Price Targets

As we approach the anticipated Bitcoin halving in April 2024 and with growing excitement around Bitcoin ETFs, various experts and financial institutions have offered their predictions for Bitcoin’s price in 2024:

  • Pantera Capital predicts a rise to approximately $150,000 post-halving, based on the stock-to-flow model.
  • Standard Chartered Bank forecasts Bitcoin could soar to $120,000 by the end of 2024.
  • JPMorgan estimates a more conservative target of $45,000 for Bitcoin.
  • Matrixport suggests Bitcoin could reach $125,000 by the end of 2024.
  • Tim Draper maintains a bullish prediction of $250,000, possibly by 2024 or 2025.
  • Berenberg predicts a value of around $56,630 by the time of the Bitcoin halving in April 2024.
  • Blockware Solutions presents an ambitious forecast of $400,000 during the next halving epoch.
  • Cathie Wood’s (ARK Invest) offers an ambitious projection of Bitcoin reaching $1 million
  • Mike Novogratz (Galaxy Digital) predicts a potential surge to $500,000.
  • Tom Lee (Fundstrat Global) sees Bitcoin possibly climbing to $180,000.
  • Robert Kiyosaki (Rich Dad Company) anticipates a rise to $100,000.
  • Adam Back (BlockStream CEO) also predicts a $100,000 valuation for Bitcoin.

These diverse predictions highlight the varied expectations from different sectors of the finance and crypto industry, reflecting the speculative and dynamic nature of crypto bull market.

FAQ Next Crypto Bull Run

When Is The Next Crypto Bull Run Predicted?

The next crypto bull run is difficult to predict precisely. However, experts point towards late 2023 to 2024, aligning with events like the Bitcoin halving in April 2024 and potential regulatory developments.

When Is The Next Bull Market In Crypto?

Predictions for the next bull market in crypto vary, with many analysts eyeing 2024 post the Bitcoin halving, assuming favorable regulatory and market conditions.

When Is The Next Crypto Bull Run Expected?

Expectations for the next crypto bull run are particularly high around 2024, driven by the Bitcoin halving and potential ETF approvals.

When Will The Next Crypto Bull Run Be?

While exact timing is uncertain, the next crypto bull run could potentially start building up in late 2023 and gain momentum through 2024.

When Is the Next Bull Market?

The next general bull market, including crypto, might coincide with improved macroeconomic conditions and institutional adoption, possibly around 2024.

When Is the Next Bull Run?

Many anticipate the next bull run for cryptocurrencies will begin leading up to the 2024 Bitcoin halving, provided market and regulatory conditions are supportive.

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Synthetix (SNX) Shines As TVL Hits $670M, Analyst Predicts Continued Upswing

Synthetix (SNX), currently positioned as the 54th largest cryptocurrency, has been closely aligned with the overall market trend. Over the past 30 days, SNX has experienced a substantial uptrend of 60%, while its year-to-date performance shows an impressive price increase of over 108%. 

These notable achievements indicate the potential for continued bullish momentum for the decentralized protocol and its native token.

Significant Growth For Synthetix As Demand For On-Chain Derivatives Surges

Renowned cryptocurrency analyst and writer, Jake Pahor, has expressed a highly optimistic outlook on SNX, hailing it as the ultimate “picks & shovels play” in anticipation of the forthcoming bull market. 

Pahor highlights Synthetix’s pivotal role as the backbone for derivatives trading in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. The protocol has already amassed an annualized revenue of $54 million, serving as a platform that enables the creation and trading of synthetic assets such as commodities, stocks, and currencies.

While Synthetix may not have user-facing front-ends, it powers popular DeFi applications like Kwenta, Polynomial, dHedge, and Lyra. As the demand for permissionless trading of spot synthetics and on-chain derivatives of traditional assets continues to rise, Synthetix stands poised for significant growth in the coming years, according to Pahor.

Notably, a key driver of Synthetix’s success lies in the fees generated on every synthetic asset exchange, ranging from 0.1% to 1% (average 0.3%). These fees are directed towards SNX stakers, creating a rewarding incentive structure. 

SNX, sUSD, and eSNX are the three primary tokens utilized within the Synthetix ecosystem, each serving distinct purposes in staking, collateralization, and protocol functionality.

With a circulating supply of 326.5 million SNX tokens and a total supply of 327.2 million, Synthetix boasts a market cap of $1.14 billion, placing it at the forefront of the Synthetics category. The protocol’s treasury holds a healthy $145.96 million, including stablecoins, BTC/ETH, and its token SNX.

SNX Bulls Poised For Breakout Opportunity

Synthetix operates under the governance of four key bodies: Spartan Council, Treasury Council, Ambassador Council, and Grants Council. These councils’ Decisions and proposals are subject to majority votes from SNX stakers, ensuring a democratic and community-driven approach to protocol development.

It was established as Havven in 2017, a stablecoin protocol, the project rebranded in 2018 to become Synthetix, focusing on synthetic assets and derivatives trading. 

According to Pahor’s analysis, with a “strong ecosystem” of projects built on its infrastructure and a first-mover advantage, Synthetix has established itself as the market leader in the Synthetics category.

Furthermore, the impending release of Synthetix V3, including Perps, Base, and USDC, is expected to be a significant catalyst for the protocol. Additionally, the protocol’s DEX perps feature aims to compete with centralized exchanges, while the Infinex front-end promises a user experience akin to traditional CEX trading.

Synthetix

Currently, SNX is trading at $3.455, reflecting a significant 4.7% uptrend over the past 24 hours. This positive momentum follows a 31% gain over the last fourteen days. 

In the immediate future, SNX faces a crucial hurdle in surpassing the resistance level at $3.58, which is necessary to retest its recently achieved yearly high of $3.810. As SNX reached this high only a few hours ago, its next target is to surpass the $4 mark, a level not seen since August 2022.

On the other hand, if a short-term pullback or correction unfolds for SNX, it will be crucial for bullish investors to defend the $3.035 support level. Maintaining this level can sustain a favorable bullish trend throughout the remainder of the month.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com