Grand Finale: Bitcoin Price Closes Record High Weekly, Could Conclude Cycle

Bitcoin price is currently flirting with prices above $60,000, as the momentum of the ongoing bull market slowly begins to push the asset above the key resistance level.

The start of a breakout through resistance might have began with last night’s historic weekly close – the highest ever recorded. However, despite what could be a clean bullish breakout, there’s a bearish factor lingering that could make this the last weekly close the high for some time.

Bitcoin Price Closes Record High Weekly Candle Above $60,000

Bitcoin price has poked above $60,000 dozens of times now, yet has been unable to hold strong above the clearly strong resistance level. The leading cryptocurrency by market cap, however, has also yet to tumble any further than a mere 10-20% for most of the last 12 months.

Related Reading | Crypto CEO “Convinced” Of Bitcoin Cycle Top, Warns Of Sell Side Intensity

The first signs that new highs could be near, is the first ever historic weekly candle close above $60,000. Last night’s weekly candle is also only the second daily candle to close above the crucial rounded number.

bitcoin 2021 weekly 60000 zoomed

You have to zoom in to see it, but Bitcoin did close above $60,000 on Binance | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

The battle between bulls and bears came down to the very last seconds before the close, resulting in some disparity across exchanges. Bitcoin price made the achievement on Binance specifically and others, but failed to make a similar milestone on platforms like Bitfinex and Coinbase.

The slight discount on Coinbase could be a sign that buy pressure is finally waning and the sell side is intensifying.

Why The Record Could Precede A Short-Term Reversal

The cryptocurrency market has been on fire and its been mostly due to the rush to buy Bitcoin before other corporations and hedge funds buy it all.

But as mentioned, the FOMO could finally be running out of steam. Making matters worse, an ultra rare signal has appeared that has only in the past reared its head when the crypto cycle was finally complete.

bitcoin btc pi cycle top indicator

A rare crypto cycle top indicator has issued its signal. Is the rally over? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has now issued the fourth ever top signal with last night’s weekly candle close and subsequent daily candle open.

That could mean that a long term top could be in. A 2013-like scenario with two peaks in the same year would be bulls last hope for things to continue, albeit after a correction.

Related Reading | Analyst Expects “Escape Velocity” When Bitcoin Price Breaks $60K. Here’s Why

Back then the signal arrived early, Bitcoin price spiked much higher, then corrected 82% within just four days. After settling down, before the year was over Bitcoin price climbed another three to four times in value before the true top of that cycle was in.

What will it be this time around?

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

LA Real Estate Mogul Buys Bitcoin, Accepts BTC For Rent

A massive LA-based luxury real estate firm has begun accepting Bitcoin for rent payments.

In addition to loading up on BTC for its corporate reserves, the company has also tapped popular exchange Gemini to help build a crypto centric ecosystem for its retail, residential, and resort customers.

Rick Caruso and Caruso Real Estate Tap Gemini For Crypto

American real estate company Caruso, led by billionaire Rick Caruso, revealed this week that the firm would begin accepting Bitcoin for rent payments at both retail and residential properties.

The Los Angeles-based company offers stunning luxury properties in the area, including the Miramar Beach Resort, Palisades Village, Waterside at Marina Del Rey, The Commons at Calabasas, and many more.

Related Reading | Crypto CEO “Convinced” Of Bitcoin Cycle Top, Warns Of Sell Side Intensity

Through a partnership with the Winklevoss-owned Gemini, Caruso plans on further integrating cryptocurrencies into their company experience for consumers.

“You can use that cryptocurrency on the blockchain then to spend at our properties. Check into our resort. When you live with us, pay your rent. We create this whole ecosystem,” Caruso explained.

The strategy is something that Caruso plans to roll out over the next decade, and part of a long-term plan. “It’s not about the next year or five years,” he said.

Caruso also tapped Gemini as a custodian for its “significant initial investment” in BTC as part of its “treasury management strategy” – making the company the first in the real estate industry.

Completely integrating crypto within its customer experience reinforces “the company’s belief in the robust future of cryptocurrency.”

bitcoin la real estate mogul rent

How much further can Bitcoin climb in another decade? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The Boom Of Companies And Bitcoin Is Only Now Beginning

Caruso joins the growing list of corporations that have added BTC to their corporate treasure reserves, and more are coming.

A seminar led by MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor was intended to bring more businesses to the space by sharing his playbook.

Saylor’s lead also inspired the likes of Jack Dorsey’s Square Inc. and Elon Musk’s Tesla to start buying BTC. Dorsey also offers Bitcoin to customers through its Cash App, and Tesla added the ability to pay with the top cryptocurrency to buy its green vehicles.

Related Reading | Number Of Bitcoin Mentions In Company Earnings Reports Goes Parabolic

Companies that have done so have had substantial earnings to show for their innovative take. The mentions of Bitcoin in company earnings reports has gone parabolic recently, right alongside the asset’s price.

The proliferation of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is only just beginning, and its potential application from real estate to payments and more will scale exponentially over the next decade and more.

Featured image from Shutterstock, Charts from TradingView.com

Crypto Analyst Expects “Escape Velocity” When Bitcoin Breaks $60K. Here’s Why

Bitcoin price is still stuck under $60,000 but unable to push any lower than $55,000. The tightening across the crypto market has been long and arduous but when $60,000 is finally broken, the crypto asset should reach what one analyst calls “escape velocity.”

Here’s what the term means and what that could look like post-breakout of the key resistance level.

Bitcoin Could Reach Escape Velocity After Breaking Above $60,000

Bitcoin price action has come to a critical impasse, either ready to explode to hundreds of thousands of dollars per coin, or about to take a dive from current highs.

Resistance above $60,000 has been the first zone proving too strong for bulls to get through with ease, causing momentum to fizzle out. Momentum indicators have turned red for the first time in months, but bears have failed to take prices much lower.

Related Reading | Stablecoin Supply Rising, Diminishing Bitcoin Reserves Ready To Fuel Next Leg Up

The standoff has volume dropping, and volatility dipping to the lowest levels in months for the characteristically explosive crypto asset.

But when things finally do break above $60,000, one crypto analyst expects things to reach “escape velocity.”

bitcoin escape velocity

This is what escape velocity could look like in Bitcoin | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

What The Physics Term Playing Out In Crypto Would Look Like

According to Wikipedia, escape velocity is a physics term describing “the minimum speed needed for a free, non-propelled object to escape from the gravitational influence of a massive body.” In simpler terms, its the strength and speed needed for an object to escape a planet’s gravitational pull and exit its atmosphere.

The analogy makes sense. “Escape velocity rises with the body’s mass and falls with the escaping object’s distance from its center. The escape velocity thus depends on how far the object has already traveled,” a description reads.

Essentially, $60,000 is the object’s center, and resistance should weaken once it is passed, requiring less overall momentum to continue to head off toward the moon.

Related Reading | Crypto CEO “Convinced” Of Bitcoin Cycle Top, Warns Of Sell Side Intensity

The reason being is, Bitcoin has attracted substantial media attention above $50,000 where the coin has now spent weeks above. Those waiting for a breakout of $60,000 will buy with extreme force knowing that any correction was warded off.

At the same time, those waiting for prices lower will realize it isn’t coming, and FOMO back into Bitcoin, causing prices to soar with even greater ease.

Between the flurry of new buyers getting in for the first time, sellers buying back in after they’ve realized their mistake, and more, it should cause the final parabolic stage of the Bitcoin bull run, and the “escape velocity” the analyst is talking about.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Crypto CEO “Convinced” Of Bitcoin Cycle Top, Warns Of Sell Side Intensity

Despite the best efforts by bulls for what has been several weeks now, Bitcoin price can’t seem to get back above $60,000 and spend any meaningful time above it.

Fundamentals are as bullish as it gets for the top cryptocurrency, but bearish technicals might have finally caused sellers to step in. That’s according to one crypto company CEO, who has warned of sell side intensity increasing substantially in the last several hours. It’s caused them to be increasingly convinced that a cycle top is potentially in. Here’s a deeper look at why.

Bitcoin Bull Run On The Ropes As Technicals Face Off Against Fundamentals

Bitcoin price has had its best year on record yet dollar for dollars and fundamentals, the stock-to-flow, and just about all other data suggests that the bull run isn’t near finished yet.

Technicals have been long overheated given the strength of the showing by bulls, leaving a large string of green monthly candles on the price chart without any serious corrective behavior. The once trending strong cryptocurrency has begun to slow, struggling specifically with anything around $60,000.

Related Reading | Mathematical Mystery: Why Did The Crypto Rally Stop At The Golden Ratio?

Indicators such as the logarithmic MACD are turning down on weekly timeframes for the first time since the bull phase began, and the quarterly candle just closed with the first ever bearish divergence in history. Yet the top cryptocurrency hasn’t corrected anywhere near it has in the past.

Yet it is for none of these reasons that Embily CEO Joe Saz says could very well cause the “cycle top.”

bitcoin btcusdt

Bears have suddenly shown up just as the bull trend begins to falter | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Why One Crypto CEO Says The Cycle Top Could Be In

Joe Saz like everyone else these days regularly offers their thoughts on what might happen next across crypto. In his latest self-proclaimed “chart spam,” he warns of something with the potential to put in the cycle top.

Saz focuses on what’s called OB, or order book analysis. He says that the rising red wave in the indicator pictures above is “ask dominance of aggregated spot markets” which he says depicts a “very serious sell side” with enough power that could topple the now struggling Bitcoin rally.

Related Reading | Why The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Doesn’t Bode Well For BTC

Essentially, what this translates to is a sudden spike in sellers appearing at current levels – more so today as price has been rising than recently. At this point, it will be a showdown between bulls and bears, but also fundamentals versus technicals.

Fundamentals remain heavily bullish for Bitcoin, but bearish technicals could at least cause the first serious correction, if not the cycle top that Saz is warning of.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Number Of Bitcoin Mentions In Company Earnings Reports Goes Parabolic

Among the many reasons for the ongoing bull run in Bitcoin, has been the emergence of corporations and businesses adding BTC to their company treasury reserves.

The sudden increase in demand for large sums of BTC during a period of low supply has caused prices to go parabolic. Interestingly, so have the numbers of mentions in company earnings reports that reference the first ever cryptocurrency by name.

Bitcoin Becomes Corporate Treasury Asset, Led By MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor

2020 was undeniably the year Bitcoin officially matured as an asset. Rather than pure speculation, the cryptocurrency network has shown it is here to stay, and instead the underlying asset is being leveraged to protect against dollar inflation.

Related Reading | Mathematical Mystery: Why Did The Crypto Rally Stop At The Golden Ratio?

Hedge funds began dumping gold expecting Bitcoin to be the better performing safe haven asset and economic hedge, and shortly thereafter major publicly traded corporations started swapping out useless cash reserves for an asset that over its lifecycle has appreciated more than anything else in history.

bitcoin corproate fomo

The bull trend took off once corporations began buying BTC | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The effort was first led by Michael Saylor, CEO of the Nasdaq-listed software firm MicroStrategy, who has since attracted more high-level CEOs and brands to the cryptocurrency sector, such as Elon Musk’s Tesla, and long-time Bitcoin supporter Jack Dorsey, whose company Square Inc. also bought a lion’s share of BTC.

Mentions Of Top Cryptocurrency During Company Earnings Reports Breaks Record

Since the trend of corporations suddenly scrambling to buy the ultra scarce cryptocurrency first began, the price per coin has gone parabolic once again. Also climbing at a similar rate, is the number of mentions from company quarterly or annual earnings reports that include “Bitcoin.”

According to the Twitter handle Documenting Bitcoin via the website Compeete.com, the total mentions in earnings reports has followed a similar trajectory as the price action above.

bitcoin company mentions

Mentions of the top crypto during earnings report discussion are rising | Source: Documenting Bitcoin on Twitter

Bitcoin price is currently struggling to make it above $60,000 and push higher. However, these companies boasting about earnings could cause further FOMO-effect once other businesses learn of how much revenue participation in cryptocurrencies brought.

Related Reading | Why The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Doesn’t Bode Well For BTC

Coinbase is about to go public and its Bitcoin-related revenue has been record-breaking. FOMO might only get frothier from here on out, as the aforementioned Saylor held a seminar earlier this year focused on educating other executives on how to get BTC on the books.

The fruits of that labor could begin to blossom in the following months as those executives take a page from Saylor’s playbook, and get in on the growing earnings mentions due to rising Bitcoin revenue.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

How Bitcoin Dominance Bullish Engulfing Could Signal An End To Altcoin Season

Bitcoin price is diving currently, shaking up the crypto market as a whole. In addition to the correction in the top cryptocurrency by market cap, altcoins have taken an even more severe beating.

With top alts like Ethereum and Litecoin are seeing an even further drop on BTC trading pairs, Bitcoin dominance has formed a bullish engulfing candle just as a key technical indicator reach overheated status. Here’s how that could put an abrupt end to the ongoing altcoin season.

Bitcoin Price Drop Causes Altcoins To Flop

Bitcoin is the first ever cryptocurrency that an entire industry was built from since, and anything that isn’t BTC is considered an altcoin. Ethereum is currently the king of that camp, and is outpacing Bitcoin in performance since its inception.

But due to first move advantage and just how dominant Bitcoin is, it represents more than 50% of the entire crypto market cap. The BTC dominance metric was created to measure the rest of the crypto market and its weight compared to all altcoins.

Related Reading | Following Bitcoin “Reset,” It’s “Off To The Races Again”

BTC dominance has dropped by 18% since end of 2020 highs, leaving a red streak behind. However, during today’s crypto market bloodbath, the metric began to make a comeback and has formed a bullish engulfing candle.

A bullish engulfing candle is a type of Japanese candlestick formation, that typically suggests a short term reversal is in the coming. It forms when after a sharp bearish move, sellers are overwhelmed by a sudden surge in bullish buying. It is then up to bulls to continue the reversal.

bitcoin dominance btc.d reversal bullish engulfing

A bullish engulfing appears as daily RSI reached oversold conditions | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

BTC Dominance Reversal Could Put An End To Alt Season

Coinciding with the bullish engulfing candle pictured above, the daily Relative Strength Index fell sharply into oversold territory. If a reversal plays out in BTC dominance, whatever altcoin season that’s been going on recently, will be over.

Adding more credence to the theory of further reversal in the relationship between Bitcoin and altcoins, on weekly timeframes a hidden bullish divergence has formed, just as BTC.D touches down at the bottom Bollinger Band.

Bitcoin dominance hidden bull div

A bull div on the RSI has formed as dominance falls to Bollinger Band support | Source: CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D on TradingView.com

Divergences occur when price action moves opposite a technical indicator – in this case the Relative Strength Index again on weekly timeframes. Although daily has fallen into completely oversold levels, weekly either has more to go, or buyers are secretly showing up ready to stage a reversal.

Counter Point | Why Bitcoin Dominance Is No Longer Relevant To Crypto

If bulls can begin the comeback starting with a bullish engulfing today, and close out next week with a powerfully bullish move, a morning star doji pattern will be left on weekly charts, adding yet another signal that an extended reversal could result.

Any reversal in BTC.D, could either have Bitcoin leaving alts in its dust, or the coins crash far further than the top cryptocurrency does on its way back down. All that’s left to do, is wait and see.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Litecoin On The Verge Of Monster Move Against Bitcoin

Litecoin has been among the worst performers in the crypto market in 2020 and 2021 thus far, despite the coin’s longevity in the top ten assets by market cap.

The coin’s fortunes could soon turn completely around, due to what looks to be a monster-sized move brewing against Bitcoin on the altcoin trading pair. Here’s why technicals suggest that near and mid-term Litecoin should outperform the top cryptocurrency by miles.

Litecoin Longevity Helps Altcoin Maintain Top Ten Crypto Cap Ranking

The cryptocurrency market is constantly changing. The top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap currently looks vastly different now than it did one year ago. Coins that were in the top ten during the last bull market, are now no longer part of that elite.

Related Reading | Five Signs Litecoin Has Bottomed, Next In Line For New ATH

XRP, a coin ranked in third for most of its lifetime, nearly plummeted completely from the top ten – but has since made a dramatic recovery.

Another coin the cryptocurrency bull run has mostly ignored, has been Litecoin. Along with Ripple, the altcoin dubbed digital silver have lagged behind the rest of the top ten assets, yet some how have clung on. Both of failed to set a new all-time high, but according to technicals, they’re next in line to do so.

ltc btc litecoin bitcoin

Several bullish technicals suggest a major breakout and monster move is coming | Source: LTCBTC on TradingView.com

LTCBTC Monthly Technicals: On The Brink Of A Monster Bullish Move

Litecoin is an offshoot of Bitcoin code and often considered the silver to the digital gold narrative. The digital gold narrative has taken Bitcoin’s market cap to $1 trillion, but like silver lagging behind gold itself, Litecoin has barely been a blip on anyone’s radar.

However, bullish technicals on the LTCBTC trading pair are indicating a massive move against Bitcoin.

Related Reading | Litecoin Signal Shines, Suggests Downtrend Against Bitcoin Is Over

If a full turnaround starts now, a perfected TD 13 countdown marked the bottom with incredible precision. Supporting a major reversal on the altcoin ratio against Bitcoin, the monthly Stochastic indicator has crossed upward after spending two years in the bottom range. Coinciding with the crossover, the monthly Relative Strength Index has fallen back to touch a support level that wasn’t tapped since 2015.

The logarithmic MACD is also rolling upward, falling short of a bullish crossover just yet. The often considered lagging indicator is instead a signal that there’s clear skies ahead, and is more of a confirmation that a reversal has taken place.

Turning upward the last time in early 2017, took Litecoin to its current all-time high. After holding onto the top ten like a champ, it could finally be time for digital silver to shine.

Featured image from Pixabay, Charts from TradingView.com

Follow Up: BitTorrent (BTT) Crashes 40% After Logging Milestone Price Rally

Traders who bought BitTorrent at its top, believing that the Justin Sun-backed token would keep on pumping, are now facing huge intraday losses.

The BTT/USD exchange rate crashed by more than 40 percent after setting up a record high of $0.0134, questioning catalysts that prompted BitTorrent’s explosive upside move in the first place. Earlier, NewsBTC has raised alarms about an absence of concrete fundamental factors that should have been backing the BTT’s price rally. Excerpts:

“Traders might unload a portion of their BTT holdings to secure maximum profits. That could push the token towards its next downside target that lurks near its 20-4H exponential moving average (the green wave). If profit-taking intensifies, BTT will fall towards the blue wave target — the 50-4H simple moving average. That would wipe out almost most of the BTT’s 2021 profits.”

BitTorrent dumps more than 40 percent from its record high level. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent dumps more than 40 percent from its record high level. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

Except, one factor, the so-called altcoin season, or altseason, attempted to justify BTT’s gains to a certain degree. Altseasons point to a growth in digital assets that rival the top cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. BitTorrent, an alternative cryptocurrency, gained almost in sync with other altcoins, including Ethereum, Binance Coin, Litecoin, XRP, and others, indicating that bulls were merely riding the upside craze.

Is BitTorrent Still Bullish?

BitTorrent’s downside correction did little in offsetting its long-term bullish bias. The BTT/USD exchange rate was still up more than 3,000 percent on a year-to-date timeframe. While that made the pair extremely overvalued — according to its one-day Relative Strength Indicator readings, the ongoing craze in the altcoin market indicated that it would find sessional support in the short term.

The BitTorrent official Twitter channel attempted to underscore the BTT’s bullish bias by announcing a flurry of development updates. It noted that the BitTorrent File System would increase network decentralization by guarding testing on both client and server ends.

Nevertheless, the BTT/USD rate started heading lower hours after BitTorrent’s tweets.

What now appears possible is that BitTorrent finds support either in its 20-4H moving average or its 50-4H moving average. If the token manages to sustain above those levels, its possibility of bouncing back will remain higher. Else, it would risk falling to near $0.001, the Feb-March support level.

Photo by Sven tillack on Unsplash 

Why The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Doesn’t Bode Well For Bitcoin

Bitcoin price is currently trading at a substantial premium on South Korean crypto exchanges – more than $6,000 per coin in USD equivalent. However, in the past this so-called “Kimchi Premium” has signaled the end of the bull trend.

Is this a sign that things  across the crypto market could soon turn bearish? Or is there something else afoot going on with the US dollar and the South Korean won that is causing the discrepancy?

Bitcoin FOMO Comes To A Boiling Point In South Korea, According To Price Premium

Bitcoin is an asset unlike anything else in the world before it. There’s no company involved like stocks; no country like fiat currencies; nor does it have a physical form like a commodity.

Because the decentralized cryptocurrency technology is controlled by no state actor, the underlying asset could some day become the first non-sovereign global reserve currency.

Related Reading | Mathematical Mystery: Why Did The Bitcoin Rally Stop At The Golden Ratio?

The crypto market like these other assets, however, also trades globally, and is subject to deviations in price data depending on how aggressive one region’s currency is being exchange to buy up BTC.

Once again, crypto FOMO has taken hold in the country of South Korea, resulting in the return of something called the “Kimchi Premium.”

bitcoin kimchi premium

The Kimchi Premium has Bitcoin priced nearly $6,000 higher in South Korea | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The Return Of The Kimchi Premium Could Spell Danger For The Ongoing Crypto Bull Run

The chart above demonstrates the sizable deviation between BTCUSD and BTCKRW. The discrepancy is roughly $6,000 USD currency and climbing. The crypto community has dubbed this unusual phenomenon the “Kimchi Premium.”

Related Reading | Heads Up: Bearish Bitcoin Technical Pattern Shouldn’t Be Shrugged Off

It isn’t clear what’s causing such FOMO amongst South Korean investors, but the so-called premium hasn’t been around since the last week of 2017.

bitcoin kimchi premium zoomed

The last time the Kimchi Premium was so prominent, it was the peak of the last bull market. | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Zooming out, the last time the Kimchi Premium moved away from the standard BTCUSD ticker priced in dollars, that was the grand finale for the previous bull market.

While the USD trading pair made lower highs, the KRW trading pair made another higher high before together falling into the 2018 bear market. Thus far, the premium has never been used as a signal to take action, as historically, it hasn’t appeared often enough to take action on.

But its existence is undeniable, nor what came after the two country’s Bitcoin price tickers separated by this much in the past. Whatever the case may be, the Kimchi Premium should be something to pay close attention to for the near future.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Revised FATF Crypto Guidelines Could Spell The End of DEXes and DeFi

Dave Jevans, the CEO of crypto analytics firm CipherTrace, warned that regulators are looking to equalize compliance rules between decentralized and centralized exchanges. The knock-on effect poses questions on the operational feasibility of the segment and the DeFi platforms and protocols.

FATF Crypto Guidelines Gunning For DEXes

Last month, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) issued revised guidelines for the crypto industry. Commenting on the amendments, the Director of Research at Coin Center, Peter Van Valkenburgh, said the changes were akin to mass warrantless surveillance.

Van Valkenburgh highlighted three areas of concern with the new guidance. They were surveillance obligations for non-custodial entities, scrutinizing peer-to-peer and privacy technologies, and customer counterparty identification.

Jevans expanded on Van Valkenburgh’s initial comments by saying FATF is looking to widen the definition of Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP). This would obligate more entities, including non-custodial persons, to register with the local regulator to collect and report information on their activities and the activities of others.

“To me, I think point 79 comes across as the biggest one, which really is broadly the definition of a Virtual Asset Service Provider. To whom these regs would apply to…

whether it’s directly through transaction fees or indirectly through the price of a coin going up that they use to pay for fees and things of that nature would potentially fall under the umbrella of VASP, which would broadly cover pretty much almost every DeFi platform.”

In short, DEXes, whose primary selling point centers around users being able to trade without KYC compliance, would be subject to the same requirements as centralized exchanges.

It’s worth noting that FATF is accepting public comments on the guidelines until April 20th. But as Van Valkenburgh mentions, the organization is under no obligation to consider public feedback.

Should the guidelines get adopted and member countries enforce the recommendations, how would DEXes, such as Uniswap, respond? After all, the term decentralized should mean free from central control; but more relevantly, it should also mean no one can stop a DEX from operating.

Former SEC Chair Says Bitcoin Not Immune

Bitcoin has largely enjoyed a pass as far as the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is concerned. But in a recent interview, former SEC Chair Jay Clayton said that doesn’t make it immune to new regulations that could be on the way soon.

Where digital assets land at the end of the day […] will be driven in part by regulation — both domestic and international — and I expect, and I’m speaking as a citizen now, that regulation will come in this area both directly and indirectly whether it’s through how these are held at banks, security accounts, taxation and the like. We will see this regulatory environment evolve.

Rumors of a Bitcoin ban have been brewing in recent times. Billionaire Ray Dalio warned that central banks would do all they can to protect control of the money supply. He predicts if Bitcoin ever gets too big, authorities will take action.

The Bitcoin market cap has stayed consistently above $1tr since late March. Likewise, this month’s start saw TVL in DeFi cross $50bn for the first time.

Overvaluation Risks Haunt BitTorrent As Price Explodes 164% QTD

BitTorrent turned alarmingly overvalued on Monday as its price popped higher by as much as 164 percent quarter-to-date.

The BTT/USD exchange rate surged to $0.013, its highest level on record, after rallying seven days in a row. Every sell-off attempt met with an equally aggressive accumulation, prompting more and more traders to buy the Justin Sun-backed asset at intraday highs. The volumes soared likewise.

BitTorrent rally looks overblown. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent rally looks overblown. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

The strong upside move pushed BitTorrent’s Relative Strength Indicator to 94.95, a reading that pointed to an extremely overbought asset. Typically, a higher RSI reading prompts investors/traders to unwind their holdings. As they secure their profits, the asset tops out and falls lower to find its next local support. In a worst-case scenario, it just crashes.

Fundamentals

It isn’t easy to estimate what could happen to BTT/USD. Many analysts agree that the BitTorrent token’s rally has surfaced without any concrete catalyst.

But Joseph Young, an independent cryptocurrency analyst, pointed that Justin Sun’s acquisition of Poloniex crypto exchange alongside other partners, followed by the introduction of BTT staking on the platform, might have boosted the BTT prices. Mr. Sun backs BitTorrent via his key business, the Tron Foundation. The Tron blockchain supports BTT.

Staking takes active token supplies out of circulation. If the demand for the concerned cryptocurrency increases alongside, it tends to increase its bids across spot markets. Earlier, Ethereum’s native token Ether also surged twofold against a similar catalyst.

But BitTorrent is not Ethereum, the project that supports more than 80 percent of the alternative cryptocurrency space atop its blockchain, including decentralized exchange UniSwap and Tether’s stablecoin USDT. That leaves traders in conflict about BTT’s next direction.

Mr. Young also asserted that the BitTorrent price boom has “no clear fundamental catalyst.”

BitTorrent Price Outlook

The maximum risk for BitTorrent moving forward appears to the downside.

BitTorrent eyes correction towards its 20-4H moving average. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com
BitTorrent eyes correction towards its 20-4H moving average. Source: BTTUSD on TradingView.com

Traders might unload a portion of their BTT holdings to secure maximum profits. That could push the token towards its next downside target that lurks near its 20-4H exponential moving average (the green wave). If profit-taking intensifies, BTT will fall towards the blue wave target — the 50-4H simple moving average. That would wipe out almost most of the BTT’s 2021 profits.

Meanwhile, a continued pumping phase could risk turning BTT into a bubble that could hurt the latest buyers the most. For now, the token needs a vast correction downhill to neutralized its overbought sentiments.

Photo by Felipe Souza on Unsplash.

Litecoin Signal Shines, Suggests Downtrend Against Bitcoin Is Over

Litecoin is trading at around $200… still. The altcoin has failed to set a new all-time high like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others in the top ten have, yet it has clung onto the ranks for its entire lifetime.

A signal has appeared – across several of the highest timeframes – that could suggest that the long downtrend against Bitcoin is about to come to an explosive ending.

Litecoin Loses Luster During Bear Market, Can’t Catch A Spark

Few coins have had as difficult of a time recovering since the last bull market as Litecoin has. The only other coin in the top ten to struggle so severely is XRP, and the coin’s parent company Ripple is locked in a legal battle with the SEC.

Litecoin has no such issue to keep its prices down, yet the coin has yet to do much better than its 2019 peak, and is not even halfway recovered to its previous all-time high around $418 per LTC.

Related Reading | Now Or Never: Litecoin Plummets To Bottom Of Top Ten Crypto Assets

Meanwhile, Ethereum just smashed above $2,000 and Bitcoin is trading at around $60,000 per coin – more than three times its former high.

The rise in Bitcoin but subsequent stagnancy in Litecoin, has caused the altcoin to absolutely nosedive in terms of the LTCBTC trading pair. But with a handful of potential reversal signals forming on the ratio, things soon could turn around for an extended phase.

ltcbtc

A TD 13 signal has triggered on the LTCBTC monthly | Source: LTCBTC on TradingView.com

LTCBTC Reversal: The Sign That Things Could Finally Turn Around For The Altcoin

After Litecoin peaked, it spend nine full months in a downtrend against Bitcoin until a TD 9 signal appeared. The altcoin then saw a short-term boost with its halving in 2019, but after it peaked then, its been all about Bitcoin in the crypto industry ever since.

Following a bear market bounce, the altcoin fell for another consecutive 25 months, ignoring another TD 9 and instead reaching a TD 13 countdown on monthly timeframes. Coinciding with a narrowing pattern on the Relative Strength Index, an explosive breakout is imminent.

 

The same powerful 13 countdown is evident on quarterly timeframes also | Source: LTCBTC on TradingView.com

The TD 13 has also appeared on even more powerful timeframes, such as the LTCBTC quarterly represented in the chart above.

Related Reading | Five Signs Litecoin Has Bottomed, Next In Line For New ATH

Zoomed in even further for the chart below, there’s even a TD 9 within the past week on daily timeframes.

A less powerful TD 9 on daily timeframes may have kicked off the turning point | Source: LTCBTC on TradingView.com

Both a TD 9 and TD 13 signal suggest a trend is reaching a point of exhaustion, and due to turn around. And it already has since the daily TD 9 triggered.

The LTCBTC pair is now higher, and there’s green forming in a sea of red finally. If the tides finally turn, and Bitcoin maintains relatively high prices, the cost per Litecoin could explode as it finally plays catch up with the likes of its digital gold counterpart, Ethereum, and the rest of the altcoin space.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

How One Ethereum Could Soon Be Worth Half A Bitcoin

Ethereum just cleanly broke above $2,000 for the first time ever, and the altcoin has been soaring since. The milestone has revived talk about an altcoin season and even a “flippening” of Bitcoin itself.

And while that’s unlikely to happen, technical analysis of the ETHBTC pair could suggest that one full Ethereum will soon be worth nearly half a full Bitcoin. Here’s a closer look at the bottoming pattern on the trading pair that could spark the first true altcoin season since 2018.

Face That Facts: Ethereum Riding DeFi High, More Bullish Than Bitcoin

The cryptocurrency market has matured over the last several years. Bitcoin is now being widely adopted by institutions as a hedge against inflation. Ethereum, once the playground for ICOs and fly by night altcoins, has now become a hotbed for value, generated from various DeFi projects, NFTs, stablecoins, and more.

As well as Bitcoin is doing, it is Ethereum that is blossoming into an enormous ecosystem, and things are only going to be better when scalability is finally addressed properly.

Related Reading | Ethereum Bullish Retest Offers “Once-In-A-Lifetime Opportunity”

Rising fees have been a costly side effect of the DeFi explosion, but is also a sign that Ethereum is the place on the blockchain that everyone wants to be. To get in, you’ve got to pay the price of popularity.

The demand for ETH gas required for each and every transaction has helped the altcoin outperform even Bitcoin. But according to technicals, one full ETH could be worth around half a BTC, and then some.

ethereum bitcoin ethbtc adam and eve

Breaking above resistance could cause fireworks on the altcoin/BTC ratio | Source: ETHBTC on TradingView.com

How Adam And Eve Could Birth An Altcoin Season

The chart above of the ETHBTC trading pair shows a massive Adam and Eve double bottom structure. Based on the measure rule, the target of the sizable pattern would result in a move to the 0.7 range on the ratio.

That means, that each Ether token would be worth roughy 70% of a full BTC. At current Bitcoin pricing, that would send Ethereum to $42,000 per ETH.

Related Reading | Before And After: The Ethereum Fractal You Have Got To See

A more likely scenario, is that due to how crowded Bitcoin is for a trade right now, the top cryptocurrency sees a strong correction, while Ether prices continue to dominate for the time being.

ethereum bitcoin ethbtc head and shouldersThe same applied measure rule would take ETH to the neckline of the "Eve" | Source: ETHBTC on TradingView.com

For those skeptical about the validity of such a claim, the above chart displaying the measure rule target of a head and shoulders pattern almost perfectly lines up with current all-time high resistance on the ratio.

The pattern confirming, would take Ethereum to the neckline of the larger Adam and Eve structure on the Bitcoin pair. A further breakout there, could result in enough upside momentum for Ethereum to achieve halfway status to Bitcoin at the very least.

A breakout of the neckline should also solidify the chances of a greater crypto market altcoin season.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Filecoin (FIL) Sells Off After Delivering Grayscale-Driven Bumper Rally

Filecoin dropped ahead of hitting its previous record high, near $273.57, prompted by profit-taking among traders.

FIL Market Outlook

The FIL/USD exchange rate slipped closed Thursday down 2.82 percent despite logging its second-best historic level of $239.94 in the same session. Traders started securing their profits at the local top amid falling bids, leading to a 22.65 percent decline ahead of the session’s end.

Filecoin stabilizes near $180 after its recent rally. Source: FILUSD on TradingView.com
Filecoin stabilizes near $180 after its recent rally. Source: FILUSD on TradingView.com

Friday was slightly better as Filecoin attempted a brief rebound. The coin managed to float above its newfound support area near $180 while pursuing a retest of its recent high of $239.94. Its revival following the overnight sell-off appeared as a part of a broader uptrend across the altcoin market.

Read further: TA: Ethereum Revisits $2K, Why The Bulls Are Not Done Yet.

The price action showed investors’ continued trust in the Filecoin ecosystem. In general, it is a platform that allows users to sell their excess digital space on an open platform. Storage providers and users conduct traders over its blockchain using FIL token.

Meanwhile, FIL has a limited supply cap of 2 billion tokens. About 600 million of those FILs stay with Filecoin’s parent company Protocol Labs (with 6-year linear vesting) and its team and investors (again, with a 6-month to 6-year linear vesting). Meanwhile, Filecoin has allocated about 2.5 percent of the total 600 million FIL to fund its fundraising or ecosystem development.

The rest of the FIL supply powers the supply storage trades atop the Filecoin protocol, thereby ensuring that the token has a concrete utility and long-term value.

Institutional Accumulation Brings Retailers

New York investment firm Grayscale Investments introduced a Filecoin trust in March to its range of similar crypto-enabled services. In retrospect, the firm enabled institutional investors to gain exposure in the FIL markets without purchasing or managing the token. That prompted Grayscale to increase its FIL reserves, reflecting that institutions showed interest in the Filecoin project.

Grayscale Filecoin Trust increases FIL holdings. Source: ByBt.com
Grayscale Filecoin Trust increases FIL holdings. Source: ByBt.com

Two weeks after its introduction, Grayscale Filecoin Trust added 45,550 FIL to its reserves. The firm continued to hold it, showing no concrete selling pressure from institutions. That shows that the latest FIL plunge surfaced from the retail market.

Wu Blockchain, a fintech journalist, based in China, said the demand for FIL tokens is coming from the mainland.

“China is crazy for Filecoin, with a 24h increase of more than 30%, reaching a maximum of $236. The 24h trading volume of FIL in Huobi, China’s largest exchange, reached $24.2b, nearly three times the volume of the second ETH $8.8b, Bitcoin was $7.8b. FILDOWN, a short-selling leveraged token in Binance FIL, plummeted by 53%, with a turnover of US$3.4 billion, indicating a large number of short FIL liquidation in Binance.”

Photo by kaleb tapp on Unsplash 

Mathematical Mystery: Why Did The Bitcoin Rally Stop At The Golden Ratio?

Bitcoin is one of the most interesting and powerful pieces of mathematical code out there, launched as an open source project by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto.

In yet another one of the many ways math and mystery come together in relation to the cryptocurrency, its origins, and the underlying technology, the current peak in recent price action also just so happens to taken place perfectly at the golden ratio. But why?

Math, Mystery, And So Much More: Crunching The Cryptocurrency Numbers

Math is one of those love it or hate it subjects in school, but no one can discount just how powerful it is when used effectively. It is by definition “the study of quantity, structure, space, and change.”

When it comes to Bitcoin, math is everywhere around it. The hard-capped “quantity” of BTC will always remain at 21 million, while the “structure” of its code maintains that maximum cap.

Related Reading | Third Time’s The Harm: Trader Warns Of Bitcoin Reversal Pattern

“Space” in this case, isn’t in reference to moonshots, but in the geometric shapes and patterns that appear on Bitcoin price charts, which “change” with each buy or sell order.

Math is integral to quantifying data in fundamental analysis, and measurements go into plotting the lines and averages of technical indicators.

However, there’s no easy way to explain why the cryptocurrency’s recent bull rally, has topped out at a key mathematical area.

bitcoin golden ratio

Why did Bitcoin stop at the golden ratio? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Bull Rally Takes Pause At Golden Ratio, But Why?

Strangely, the current high in Bitcoin price is $61,800. At first glance, nothing appears to out of the ordinary about the number. But there very well could be some serious significance that could explain why momentum is beginning to turn around.

The number, now more than three times its 2017 record, just so happens to be 61.8% to the price point most investors are HODLing for, which is $100,000 per coin.

The golden ratio itself is 1.618, with the inverse as 0.618. The number is used in technical analysis as one of the Fibonacci retracement levels with the most significance.

Fib retracement and extensions are measured from lows to highs or vice versa, while in the case of the current rally, price action stopped instead at 61.8% of the way to the speculate target of $100,000.

Related Reading | Heads Up: Bearish Bitcoin Technical Pattern Shouldn’t Be Shrugged Off

It is a theory that cannot be proven, nor is it fully understood why the golden ratio is found so commonly throughout nature and within the price charts of assets like cryptocurencies.

Renowned twentieth-century artists such as Salvador Dalí have included the golden ratio within their works, “believing this to be aesthetically pleasing,” according to Wikipedia.

It also appears in various places within nature, such as within the pattern of leaves, or the spiral of the Nautilus shell. But could it also be the ideal zone for the speculators to begin taking profit before the bull market keeps going?

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Closes Best Quarter In History, But A Bearish Signal Lingers

Bitcoin price closed the historically red month of March not only in the green, but with the largest dollar for dollar gain on in the cryptocurrency’s short history.

Unfortunately, despite how strong the ongoing bull trend has been during the first quarter of the year so far, the quarterly candle which ended alongside March, also closed with a massively bearish signal.

Bitcoin Closes Quarterly With Record Gain, But Bearish Signal Couldn’t Be Avoided

Due the fact that both of Bitcoin’s largest bull markets topped as the fourth quarter of each year the concluded, Q1 is one of the worst quarters for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.

Even in 2020, the quarter ended with a bearish bang, taking Bitcoin back under $4,000 before it was all said and done. This year, March came, but bulls sustained the month in the green, closing out what is now the largest monthly candle in terms of total dollars moved.

Related Reading | Heads Up: Bearish BTCUSD Technical Pattern Shouldn’t Be Shrugged Off

The quarterly candle climbed double during the month, adding more than $28,000 per coin to the trending cryptocurrency’s price tag. Despite the enormous move, Bitcoin would have had to pump more than $20,000 to $30,000 more to avoid the first ever bearish divergence on the quarterly RSI.

Bitcoin btcusd quarterly bearish divergence

The quarterly Bitcoin candle closed with the largest gain ever, but left a bearish divergence behind | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Relative Strength Index Forewarns of Bearish Second Quarter of 2021, Before Bull Trend Resumes

According to the Relative Strength Index, a trend strength measuring gauge, the current trend is less strong than the buying momentum that took Bitcoin to $20,000 the first time – even though it is currently trading at three times that.

A bearish divergence appears when price action and technical indicators move in the opposite manner, revealing weakness in price action.

The current bull market peak is set at $61,800, and if the bearish divergence confirms, things could turn down for some time. The raging bull cryptocurrency, however, has shaken off nearly every bearish signal since Q4 of last year when the initial breakout took place.

Related Reading | Third Time’s The Harm: Trader Warns Of Bitcoin Reversal Pattern

A correction at current levels would likely be healthy for Bitcoin, bringing more interest and demand to the market with more supply to be bought overall.

Bitcoin has never closed more than five consecutive quarterly candles green, however, and the most recent close was its fourth. If the current quarterly candle closes green, chances are the top in Bitcoin could be in.

If things close red, however, the bull run might have another full year left of upward trajectory, once any short-term correction is out of the way.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Dogecoin Rallies After Elon Musk Commits “Literal Moon” to DOGE Bulls

Dogecoin rallied on Thursday after Elon Musk committed that he would send the meme cryptocurrency to the moon — literally.

The billionaire entrepreneur tweeted that SpaceX, a space technology company he owns, would take a “literal Dogecoin to the literal moon.” The cryptic message ignored to dwell into the hows and whys, but it was strong enough to send a bullish signal across the Dogecoin market. As a result, the DOGE/USD price exploded.

As of 0800 UTC, the pair was trading at $0.071, up 33.94 percent from its intraday opening rate. It looked obvious that traders played a prank of themselves by blowing Mr. Musk’s tweet out of proportion, given it arrived on April Fools’ day.

Dogecoin price rallies on April Fool's Day. Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com
Dogecoin price rallies on April Fool’s Day. Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com

Dogecoin is notorious for undergoing massive upside rallies over good-for-nothing factors. Last year, in July, a viral TikTok video urged daytraders to pump DOGE/USD bids to $1. The shenanigans were able to take the pair as far as 0.005 after pumping it by up to 155 percent in just three days of trading. It crashed by more than 50 percent after the social media-led buying frenzy.

A similar viral campaign surfaced in late January 2021. Dogecoin bulls pushed the prices by a whopping 1,299 percent in just two days of trading in a copycat rally, inspired by Redditors-led GameStop stock-buying mania.

The intraday upside rally originated from the same prankster bulls — on the day that celebrates pranks.

Dogecoin Pump or Dump Ahead?

The April Fool’s Dogecoin rally carries massive risks for traders who want to enter the cryptocurrency market at its sessional highs. A clear lack of concrete upside catalyst, coupled with a potential liquidity crisis, hints at a heavy profit-taking scenario ahead. In short, only traders with braver risk appetites could tread Dogecoin’s waters.

Dogecoin starts crashing. Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com
Dogecoin starts crashing. Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com

As of this press time, DOGE/USD was crashing down from its intraday high. It slipped by up to 15.52 percent ahead of the US session, breaking below a flipped support level of $0.06 to turn it back into support. The next downside target appeared at the mid-March resistance level near $0.05.

Photo by Maciej Ruminkiewicz on Unsplash