CryptoQuant CEO Archives

Bitcoin Could Rise To As High As $265,000

Young Ju mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that “Bitcoin’s network fundamentals could support a market cap three times its current size compared to the last cyclical top.” He added that this development could help BTC rise to $265,000. The fundamental that the crypto founder was alluding to was the Hashrate/Market Cap ratio.

The accompanying chart that Young Ju shared showed that Bitcoin’s hash rate is currently more than three times what it was at the last market cycle top. Meanwhile, BTC is still at the price level it was during that period. As such, the CryptoQuant CEO believes that Bitcoin could also see a 3x increase in its price, just like the Hash rate.

Young Ju’s prediction provides a much-needed bullish outlook for Bitcoin, especially given the flagship crypto’s recent decline and talk that Bitcoin may have already attained the market top for this cycle. Tom Lee, co-founder of research firm Fundstrat, also recently shared his bullish sentiment towards BTC, stating that the crypto token will still reach $150,000 this year.

Meanwhile, similarly to Young Ju’s prediction, crypto analyst MacronautBTC had previously stated that Bitcoin could rise to $237,000. The crypto analyst made this “conservative” calculation based on BTC’s demand outpacing its supply in the long run, especially with the halving further reducing Miners’ supply.

A Rise To $265,000 Not Ambitious

Young Ju’s prediction of $265,000 for Bitcoin is far from ambitious when considering that Samson Mow, the CEO of JAN3, predicted that Bitcoin could rise to as high as $1 million this year. He explained that this unprecedented rise was possible due to the impressive demand that Bitcoin was currently enjoying.

Pseudonymous crypto analyst PlanB also echoed a similar sentiment, stating that BTC hitting $1 million is possible, although he suggested that could happen in 2025 rather than this year. He made this prediction based on the Bitcoin stock-to-flow (STF) indicator, which hints at $500,000 being the average price level for Bitcoin in this market cycle.

As such, the analyst believes that $1 million could be the market top for this bull run. Meanwhile, PlanB mentioned that Bitcoin hitting $100,000 this year was “inevitable.”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $61,700, down over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (CryptoQuant CEO)

In the midst of the dramatic changes that have occurred in the cryptocurrency space after the Bitcoin halving event, Bitfinex provides a perceptive analysis that reassures investors that the market dynamics of BTC have remained positive in the post-halving period. Bitfinex examines the on-chain data and finds encouraging signs for Bitcoin in spite of the United States economy’s current state of uncertainty in its most recent Alpha report, which was released on April 22.

Bitcoin Market Dynamics Remains Bullish

According to the Hong Kong-based crypto platform, exchange withdrawals of Bitcoin are currently at levels not seen since January 2023. This simply indicates that a lot of investors are putting their assets in cold storage in expectation of price rises.

Also, the exchange noted that long-term investors’ aggressive selling has not yet caused the usual pre-halving price decline, which suggests that new market participants are absorbing the selling pressure quite well, highlighting the tenacity of the present market structure of Bitcoin.

The Bitfinex Alpha report revealed that the average daily net inflow from spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is $150 million. Given the ETFs’ inflows far exceeding the $30 and $40 million daily issuance rate of BTC following the halving, this significant supply and demand imbalance could encourage further price appreciation.

Bitfinex further claims the massive purchases of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have dominated the entire year’s market narrative, may decline. However, recent ETF outflows have shown that ETF demand may be starting to stabilize.

It is important to note that the recently concluded Halving cut down miners’ reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. As a result, miners are now modifying their operating tactics in order to sustain their activities against the decline in reward following the Halving.

Thus, the amount of Bitcoin that miners are sending to exchanges has significantly decreased, which may indicate that they are selling ahead of time or collateralizing their holdings to upgrade infrastructure. Consequently, this could possibly lead to a gradual increase in selling pressure rather than a sudden drop in value at the Halving.

New BTC Whales Surpassed Old Whales

Since the conclusion of the fourth Halving, on-chain data shows a significant rise in new Bitcoin whales. CryptoQuant Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Ki Young Ju, reported the development, noting that the initial investment made by the new whales in Bitcoin is nearly twice that of the old whales combined.

According to the data, the total holding by these new whales, which are short-term holders, is valued at $110.6 billion. Meanwhile, the old whales, which are long-term holders, own a whopping $67 billion worth of BTC. This change in whale demographics may impact Bitcoin’s future course and the dynamics of the cryptocurrency landscape as a whole.

Bitcoin