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Crypto Expert Weighs In On ETH/BTC Pair’s Recent Decline

Amid turbulence surrounding the crypto market, popular founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Into The Cryptoverse Benjamin Cowen has taken the spotlight to shed his insights on the recent downtrend observed in the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair. Cowen’s views examine the complex relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin pricing and the potential for further downside risk.

According to Benjamin Cowen, the ETH/BTC pair is currently on the downside, and the last 2 times that the pair declined, ETHUSD witnessed a steep decline of around 70%. Given that the crypto community has been eagerly anticipating an Altcoin season for the past 2.5 years, Cowen thinks it is crucial to warn the community that there is still a possibility of a downward movement.

ETH/BTC Pair Rejected By The Bull Market Band

Cowen has also confirmed that ETH/BTC is presently being rejected by the bull market support band, which he previously predicted days back due to a price pump. “I would expect it (ETH/BTC) to be rejected by the bull market support band, at least when looking at weekly closes ($0.053-$0.054),” he stated. He further noted that the pump appears to be mirroring the last cycle of rate cuts right before summer capitulation.

Following the launch of Bitcoin Spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), Cowen mentioned that ETH/BTC saw a sharp rally. The analyst affirms that the rally was probably similar to the trend of the previous bull cycle, ushering in new lows.

ETH/BTC

Furthermore, Cowen stated that there has been an unquestionable macro downtrend since November 2021, particularly following the merger of the ETH/BTC pair. However, it is also evident that the market did not decrease abruptly.

As a result, investors held ETH instead of BTC all the way down from 0.085 to 0.048 because of the multiple lower highs, giving the impression that it was holding up quite well. 

Prior to the Bitcoin Halving, Cowen predicted that the bull market support band would reject ETH/BTC, at least when considering weekly closes ($0.053-$0.054), should there be a rebound after the Halving, similar to that witnessed with BTC spot ETF launch. Regardless of what occurs, the expert is confident that ETH/BTC will reach between $0.03 and $0.04 by this summer.

Heightened Divergence Between Ethereum And Bitcoin

Being the two leading cryptocurrency assets, there is great interest surrounding Ethereum and Bitcoin. However, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted a shift in performance between both digital assets.

According to the firm, the performance of Ethereum and Bitcoin has been increasingly diverging so far in the 2023–2024 cycle. This is due to poorer performance in ETH price, which is explained by a generally weaker trend in capital rotation. In addition, this is evident when particularly compared to preceding cycles and all-time highs.

ETH/BTC

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Cracking the Crypto Code: ETH/BTC Signals The Next Altcoin Explosion – Here’s How

Recently, a seasoned crypto investor, Daan Crypto Trades, offered a fresh perspective on evaluating altcoin market sentiment.

Daan believes the ETH/BTC ratio is a superior indicator of altcoin market sentiment over the SOL/BTC ratio, showing data that suggests the potential for an upcoming altcoin season.

ETH/BTC vs. SOL/BTC: Decoding The True Alts Barometer

Daan Crypto Trades has challenged the emerging view that SOL/BTC might be a better gauge for altcoin strength, arguing instead for the enduring relevance of ETH/BTC. According to Daan, while Solana’s performance has been notable, it hasn’t significantly impacted Bitcoin’s dominance, which remains strong.

This observation suggests that SOL/BTC may not accurately reflect broader alternative coins market trends. On the other hand, ETH/BTC has historically mirrored shifts in altcoin market sentiment more closely, making it a more reliable metric.

This distinction is crucial for investors seeking to understand the real-time health and potential shifts within the broader altcoin market.

Daan’s analysis points out that significant movements in the ETH/BTC ratio have often preceded dynamic phases in the altcoin market, commonly referred to as ‘altcoin seasons.’ These periods are characterized by rapid price increases across altcoins, often outpacing Bitcoin.

Signs Of An Emerging Altcoin Season?

Current market analysis by Daan and on-chain data from Santiment underline a brewing sentiment that could lead to another alternative coins season. Santiment’s report highlights an unusual accumulation pattern across altcoins, with their Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios suggesting many are undervalued.

Over 85% of altcoins analyzed are currently positioned in what Santiment describes as the historical “opportunity zone.” This zone indicates that the assets are trading below their realized value, presenting potential buying opportunities for savvy investors.

Further reinforcing this sentiment, the Bitcoin dominance index (BTC.D), which tracks Bitcoin’s market cap relative to the entire crypto market, has slightly declined. BTC.D has dropped from 57.10% as of the middle of this month to roughly 54.69% as of today.

Bitcoin Crypto Market Dominance on TradingView

This decline could suggest that capital is beginning to flow more substantially into altcoins. Notably, the combination of favorable MVRV ratios and shifting dominance lends credence to Daan’s assertion that an alternative coins season may be on the horizon, ready to unleash notable gains similar to past cycles.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView