Regulatory Victory: Gemini Receives Digital Asset Service Provider Registration In France

Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, founded by the Winklevoss twins, has been granted crypto registration by the French markets watchdog Autorite des marches financiers (AMF). 

According to a recent announcement made by the exchange, this approval allows Gemini to offer its services as a virtual asset services provider in France. The company plans to roll out its products to both retail and institutional clients in the coming weeks.

Gemini Seizes Growth Opportunities In Europe

As announced, Gemini customers in France will gain access to a wide range of cryptocurrencies for trading, as well as “advanced” trading platforms such as ActiveTrader. Institutional clients will also benefit from Gemini eOTC, an electronic over-the-counter trading solution.

Gemini’s regulatory approval in France marks a milestone in the company’s European expansion strategy. According to the exchange’s statement, with a strong sense of regulatory support for the cryptocurrency industry in Europe, Gemini sees growth opportunities in the French jurisdiction. 

The founders of Gemini recognized the need for regulatory clarity, which is on the horizon with the European Union (EU) Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). MiCA allows crypto companies to obtain licenses in one EU country and operate across the entire EU. 

Interestingly, Gemini chose Ireland as its European headquarters, joining other major US crypto companies that have selected Ireland as their regulatory hub. On this matter, Gillian Lynch, Gemini’s Head of Ireland and EU stated:

We are delighted to welcome customers based in France onto the Gemini platform in the coming weeks as we further expand access to crypto across Europe. France is a global innovation leader and has a vibrant crypto community as showcased by the success of Paris Blockchain Week. We are excited to soon be able to provide French customers with compliant and secure access to the future of finance as we continue on our mission to unlock the next era of financial, creative, and personal freedom

US Crypto Companies Seek Regulatory Haven In Europe

According to a CNBC report, major US crypto companies are increasingly looking to expand their operations in Europe driven by regulatory challenges in the United States. 

The crypto industry has faced scrutiny from US regulators, including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Gemini and Genesis, a crypto lender, were charged by the SEC last year for allegedly selling unregistered securities. Gemini is contesting the lawsuit, asserting that its interest-bearing products do not qualify as securities. 

Per the report, the European Union offers a “more favorable” regulatory environment, and the MiCA regulation provides a framework for companies to operate across EU member states.

While the US has yet to approve comprehensive federal-level crypto regulation, recent developments indicate a growing acceptance of cryptocurrency trade. The SEC’s approval of the first-ever spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is seen as a significant step toward integrating crypto into traditional finance. 

Despite initial concerns about market manipulation, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC is a positive development for the industry. At the same time, several bills related to crypto regulation are making their way through the US House of Representatives. 

Gemini

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

Quant Explains How Gemini Netflow Can Predict Bitcoin Tops

Quant explains how there may be a correlation between the Gemini Bitcoin netflow and BTC price tops, based on pattern of the last few years.

Can Gemini Netflow Predict Bitcoin’s Price Tops?

As posted by an analyst on CryptoQuant, the historical chart for the Gemini netflow (30-day MA) vs the price reveals there could be a correlation between the indicator and BTC tops.

The Bitcoin netflow here refers to the net number of coins exiting or entering the crypto exchange Gemini. The indicator’s value is simply calculated by taking the difference between the inflows and the outflows.

When the netflow takes negative values, it means more BTC is moving out of the exchange than in. During such periods, investors are withdrawing their coins to personal wallets, either for hodling or for selling through OTC deals.

Similarly, positive values imply that investors are moving their Bitcoin to exchanges for altcoin purchasing or withdrawing to fiat.

The below chart shows the trend for the Gemini BTC netflow over the past few years after applying a 30-day moving average (MA):

The correlation between the BTC price and the Gemini netflow | Source: CryptoQuant

The above chart highlights certain time periods in the history of Bitcoin versus the trend of the indicator then. Here is a breakdown:

The first period is 2017. The indicator showed a local top and started declining 5 days before the then price ATH was achieved.

Related Reading | Forget Walmart, Here’s The Real Reason Why Bitcoin Crashed

Next is 2019, where a similar trend seems to have been followed. Here, the BTC price peak wasn’t made until 23 days after the Gemini netflow started declining.

Then there is 2020, which had two instances where the pattern followed. And finally, the indicator was also able to correctly predict the 2021 ATH as well as the top of the latest rally.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Lowest In 3 Years, What Does It Mean For The Price?

The chart reveals all these peaks were attained after an average of 20 days from the netflow local top, with the latest high taking the longest (26 days).

Going by these cases, there does seem to be a correlation between the Gemini netflow declining after forming a peak and the Bitcoin price top.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $46.7k, down 0.1% in the last 7 days. Over the past month, the indicator has gained 1.3% in value.

Here is a chart showing the trend in the price of the coin over the last three months:

BTC’s price shows high volatility | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Over the last few days, Bitcoin’s value has shown a lot of volatility, and at the moment, it seems to be going back up. Some indicators suggest that BTC’s next move up could very well be the last for this run.

Bitcoin Turns Bearish As Whales Sell-Off On Gemini

On-chain data may suggest huge Bitcoin inflows to crypto exchange Gemini might be the reason behind the recent dip.

Huge Bitcoin Inflows To Crypto Exchange Gemini

As pointed out by a CryptoQuant post, these BTC inflows to Gemini might be the reason for the current downwards trend in the crypto’s price.

The Bitcoin inflow is an indicator that shows the amount of BTC transferred into exchange wallets. The opposite metric is called the outflow.

The difference between the inflows and outflows gives the exchange netflow. When this indicator’s value is positive, it means inflows are outweighing outflows.

While on the otherhand, if the netflow is negative, it implies more Bitcoin is moving out of exchanges than in. Now, here is a chart for the BTC Gemini netflow:

Gemini received huge inflows shortly before the price dip | Source: CryptoQuant

As the graph shows, the BTC price started moving down as soon as Gemini started noticing negative spikes in the netflow.

The reason behind the dip is that big inflows mean whales are sending their coins to the exchange for selling purposes/altcoin purchasing.

Related Reading | S2F Creator Beckons Beginning Of Second Leg Of Bitcoin Bull Run

However, as the graph shows, big inflows aren’t the only necessary condition for the price to go down. There are two other indicators that influence the price, namely the BTC spot reserves and the stablecoins issued metric.

The spot reserves is the total amount of Bitcoin in wallets of all exchanges. If the value of this indicator moves up, it means exchanges across the board are noticing large inflows.

On the contrary, if the spot reserves move down, it means exchanges are overall observing higher outflows. Looking at the above chart, spot reserves moving up seems to cause a drop in the price, as expected.

Related Reading | Could The New “China Model” Be The Reason The Country Banned Bitcoin Mining?

The graph also shows that if Gemini receives large inflows while the spot reserves go down, the price isn’t negatively affected. Similarly, large amounts of stablecoins being issued also seems to cause a similar effect.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is around $44k, up 8% in the last 7 days. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has amassed 34% in gains.

Below is a chart showing the changes in the coin’s value over the past three months:

BTC’s price seems to be crashing down | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

After peaking not too far from the $47k price mark, Bitcoin seems to be sharply moving downwards. As explained above, this could be related to the inflows to Gemini.

Some signs still seem to be bullish for the crypto so it’s hard to say which direction it will go in next. However, if such inflows continue, there could be a bear market ahead.