Bitcoin Goes To The Doctor: 5 Key Metrics For BTC In 2024

The Bitcoin network and its underlying assets have evolved since its launch in 2009, and keeping up with the changes and updates can be challenging. In a post, financial strategist Lyn Alden broke down five key metrics to help BTC investors assess the network’s current state.   

Beyond Price: A Look At The Bitcoin Network Vitality

As Lyn Alden suggests, a deeper dive into the Bitcoin network is essential for any investor. This approach offers a more nuanced understanding of Bitcoin’s status, moving past the “superficialities of price fluctuations” to gauge its true potential and challenges.

Alden claims that price may not capture the complete story but remains a critical signal of adoption and market positioning. Bitcoin competes not just with other cryptocurrencies but also with traditional assets like gold and fiat currencies.

Its fluctuating price reflects its relative youth and volatility compared to more established currencies. However, its fixed supply of 21 million Bitcoin provides an alternative to the constantly inflated supply of fiat currencies, such as the US dollar. The analyst stated:

The Bitcoin network itself might be serving as a heartbeat of clockwork order in a world of chaos, but price is nonetheless a measure of its adoption.

Bitcoin has consistently shown an upward trend, historically making it one of the best-performing assets, as seen in the chart below. The uptrend in the BTC price shows that the project has successfully operated as an alternative to traditional forms of money.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT chart 1

A key aspect to consider is liquidity – how much daily trading volume occurs and how much transaction value is circulated on-chain. High liquidity indicates a robust, widely used network. On the latter, Alden pointed out:

(…) now that bitcoin has billions of dollars of trading volume, there are trillion-dollar pools of capital that can’t put meaningful percentages into it; it’s still too small and illiquid for them. If they start putting a few hundred million dollars or a couple billions of dollars per day into it, that’s enough to tilt the supply/demand toward the buy side and seriously inflect the price upward. Since inception, the Bitcoin ecosystem has had to achieve certain levels of liquidity before it even gets on the radar of bigger pools of capital. It’s like leveling up.

The narrative surrounding Bitcoin is ever-evolving. It’s been viewed as both a payment method and a savings tool, reflecting its multifaceted utility. The balance between these functions – being able to execute transactions globally while serving as a reliable store of value – is vital.

The growing number of conversion points, where Bitcoin can be exchanged for goods, services, or fiat currencies, plays a crucial role in its adoption and practical use.

Bitcoin’s fundamental value proposition lies in its security and decentralization. The network must remain resilient against attacks and maintain its decentralized nature to continue being a credible and valuable digital asset. Despite facing technical challenges and bugs in its history, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable robustness, maintaining 100% uptime since 2013.

bitcoin btc btcusdt

What About The Bitcoin User?

As Bitcoin evolves, so does the ease of its use. Developing user-friendly hardware wallets, improved software interfaces, and increased Bitcoin ATMs have significantly enhanced the user experience. This evolution is critical for Bitcoin’s wider adoption beyond tech-savvy individuals to the general public.

On this key metric, Alden points to the progress in BTC hardware wallets, which allow people to store their private keys while maintaining the usability of their coins. Setting up a BTC wallet is becoming easier and will likely continue moving in that direction.

The legal landscape surrounding Bitcoin varies significantly across different jurisdictions. While some governments have embraced it, others remain skeptical. However, Bitcoin’s global nature offers a kind of resilience to localized regulatory challenges. Its decentralized nature makes it a formidable entity to regulate or ban effectively.

In conclusion, while challenges in miner decentralization and user experience persist, the overall trend is positive. Alden believes the network continues to grow in liquidity, technical robustness, and global acceptance.

For investors and enthusiasts alike, Bitcoin remains a “dynamic and promising field, ripe with opportunities for growth and innovation.” As Alden points out, Bitcoin’s open-source nature invites continuous refinement and enhancement, making it a “resilient and adaptive digital asset.”

Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Strike Brings The Lightning Network To Every US Merchant. The Market Yawns

The Strike announcement was an atomic bomb, but the market is not impressed. Since Jack Mallers wasn’t there to reveal an Apple deal as rumored, the general public was somewhat disappointed. However, the Strike CEO announced something much bigger. The company partnered with Blackhawk and NCR to bring Lightning Network transactions to Point Of Sale terminals all over the United States. Plus, with Shopify for the e-commerce equivalent. 

The man was playing third-dimensional chess with us. Mallers titled the presentation “The King’s Gambit,” an alternative to the “pawn to e4” chess opening he usually mentions. Here’s the video:

Inside Strike ‘s Announcement

The presentation started with a brief history of payment networks, starting in 1949 with the invention of the Diner’s Club card. The first revelation comes next: payment networks have not evolved or innovated in 50 years. The legacy financial system is still using this ancient technology like there’s no tomorrow. 

These merchants are adopting Bitcoin for payment this year. (Jack Ballers – Strike). pic.twitter.com/FF57vYF7BH

— Big Sky HODL ⚡ CO Beef Initiative (@BigSky_HODL) April 7, 2022

As usual, Strike’s Jack Mallers proposes to the world that it should join an “open payment standard.” That it should use a “superior payment network.“ And with these partnerships, he finally accomplishes it. Strike will use the bitcoin network as payment rails to enable Lightning Network transactions in a high percentage of merchants in the US. According to Mallers, bitcoin will finally be “embedded into our lives.”

Another interesting part of the story is Senator Cynthia Lummis’ support. According to a letter she sent to Mallers, she says “I am working to bring smart legislation to the digital assets space, so that innovations like this can be integrated into America’s financial services industry.“ That’s reassuring. Because chances are legacy players will fight this. 

thank you @jackmallers. you're an incredible inspiration.

— jack⚡ (@jack) April 7, 2022

The senator will speak tomorrow, on Bitcoin 2022’s final day of conference. 

BTC price chart for 04/08/2022 on Oanda | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com
How Did The News Affect The Market?

The general public was expecting Strike to announce an Apple partnership that would’ve made bitcoin’s price pump to infinity. It didn’t get it. So, bitcoin traded around the $43K range the whole day and acted unaffected in front of Jack Mallers’ news. It seems like the market didn’t even flinch. 

What @jackmallers just announced is going to kick off the #Bitcoin circular economy in a massive way.

I think few understand that the inability to easily use BTC is what makes it difficult to accept as a daily driver.

Medium of exchange is here. Next stop, Unit of Account.

— Guy Swann ⚡ (@TheGuySwann) April 7, 2022

More nuanced than an Apple partnership, it will take months, maybe years to see the new’s impact. On the one hand, people aren’t incentivized to spend their bitcoin. As long as its price is increasing, people will want to hold the asset. On the other, this provides a non-KYC way to spend your bitcoin. A non-KYC way of paying. The Strike announcement makes bitcoin a competing Medium of Exchange and puts it into every store in the US.

Is that fact priced in? 

What Does The Twitterati Think About Strike ‘s News? 

The Guy Swann sums up the announcement by declaring it’ll “kick off the Bitcoin circular economy in a massive way. I think few understand that the inability to easily use BTC is what makes it difficult to accept as a daily driver.” For his part, podcaster Anthony Pompliano said, “Hundreds of millions of people can now spend bitcoin or dollars across the Lightning Network instantaneously, completely for free at every major US retailer.”

Strike CEO @jackmallers and Strike just announced partnerships with Shopify and other leading payment providers.

Hundreds of millions of people can now spend bitcoin or dollars across the Lightning Network instantaneously, completely for free at every major US retailer.

— Pomp 🌪 (@APompliano) April 7, 2022

In a phenomenal thread, Economist Lyn Alden explains the implications. “The more places that accepted BTC at point of sale (on-chain or Lightning or otherwise), the more permissionless the whole network is. This is because, if all you can do with BTC is convert it back into fiat on a major exchange, then it’s easy to isolate it, effectively blacklist addresses, etc.”

This is because, if all you can do with BTC is convert it back into fiat on a major exchange, then it's easy to isolate it, effectively blacklist addresses, etc.

But if you can directly spend it on goods and services across companies and jurisdictions, it's harder to isolate.

— Lyn Alden (@LynAldenContact) April 7, 2022

On the other hand, notorious YouTuber Bitboy Crypto misses the point completely and says. “Michael Saylor: Never Sell your Bitcoin (crowd goes WILD) Jack Mallers: Here’s a great way to spend your Bitcoin (Crowd goes WILD) Like does no one see the disconnect here?” 

Michael Saylor: Never Sell your Bitcoin (crowd goes WILD)

Jack Mallers: Here’s a great way to spend your Bitcoin (Crowd goes WILD)

Like does no one see the disconnect here?

— Ben Armstrong (@Bitboy_Crypto) April 7, 2022

Matt Ahlborg, head of research at Bitrefil, gives Bitboy the 411. “What Jack Mallers is really saying is that you will be soon be able to offload your Bitcoins in the real world without KYC’ing through an exchange first.” While Jack Dorsey keeps it short and sweet by saying, “thank you Jack Mallers. you’re an incredible inspiration.”

What Jack Mallers is really saying is that you will be soon be able to offload your Bitcoins in the real world without KYC'ing through an exchange first.

If this is true, it is actually an extremely substantive and important development for Bitcoin.

— Matt Ahlborg (@MattAhlborg) April 7, 2022

The whole world changed after that Strike announcement. It might feel similar, but we’re living in bitcoin world now. Make of that what you will. 

Featured Image: Jack Mallers at Bitcoin 2022 taken from this tweet | Charts by TradingView

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