Dogecoin Dazzle: Netflix Director’s $4 Million Bet Turns Into $27 Million

In an audacious financial play, Carl Erik Rinsch, the director of Netflix’s sci-fi series “Conquest,” reportedly magnified a $4 million investment in Dogecoin to a whopping $27 million. This unexpected windfall is part of a larger, dramatic narrative involving Rinsch’s handling of the series’ budget.

Dogecoin Windfall And Extravagant Expenditure

Rinsch’s journey into the crypto realm began after he faced significant losses in the stock market. Financial records show that after receiving an additional $11 million from Netflix to support “Conquest,” Rinsch allocated $10.5 million to stock market ventures, primarily in pharmaceutical companies and the S&P 500. These risky options trades resulted in a loss of nearly $6 million in just a few weeks, leaving him with a little over $4 million.

In a bold pivot, Rinsch transferred the remaining funds to the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, where he invested heavily in Dogecoin, a then-emerging digital currency inspired by an internet meme. His investment coincided with an extraordinary surge in Dogecoin’s value, culminating in him cashing out around $27 million in May 2021, as evidenced by an account statement seen by the Times.

Following this success, Rinsch reportedly expressed his gratitude in an online chat with a Kraken representative, saying, “Thank you and god bless crypto.” However, Rinsch’s windfall quickly translated into extravagant spending.

He embarked on a lavish spree, purchasing five Rolls-Royces, a Ferrari, a high-priced Vacheron Constantin watch valued at $387,630, and an assortment of luxury furniture and designer clothing. The total expenditure amounted to $8.7 million, as determined by a forensic accountant hired by Ms. Rosés, Rinsch’s then-wife.

The spending raised suspicions during Rinsch’s acrimonious divorce from Ms. Rosés. Her legal team speculated that these purchases might be an attempt to conceal his cryptocurrency profits. In response, Rinsch claimed in a deposition that these items were props for “Conquest,” funded by Netflix’s production money.

“Conquest” Is Written Off

Remarkably, Rinsch’s financial upswing stands in sharp contrast to the fate of “Conquest.” Netflix, having invested over $55 million in the series, has yet to receive a single completed episode.

Rinsch’s unconventional financial maneuvers and erratic behavior during the production have led to a standoff with Netflix. The streaming giant is now embroiled in a confidential arbitration process with Rinsch, who claims a breach of contract and seeks at least $14 million in damages. Netflix, contesting these claims, views Rinsch’s demands as unfounded.

Thomas Cherian, a spokesman for Netflix, highlighted the company’s extensive support for Rinsch’s series, noting the eventual decision to write off the project due to the realization that Rinsch was not on track to complete it.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.0755.

Dogecoin DOGE price

Amid Macro Uncertainty, Bitcoin Stabilizes. Incredible October Stats Inside

The world is upside down. Is bitcoin stable now? Or is everything else extremely volatile all of a sudden? As the planet descends into chaos, bitcoin remains in a weird limbo that’s uncharacteristic of the asset and doesn’t seem to end. That’s both what it feels like and what the stats say. In the latest ARK Invest’s The Bitcoin Monthly report, they put it like this, “bitcoin finds itself in a tug of war between oversold on-chain conditions and a chaotic macro environment.”

What about the numbers, though? The stats support the thesis, “for the third month in a row, bitcoin continues to trade between support at its investor cost basis ($18,814) and resistance at its 200- week moving average ($23,460).” Three months in that range seems like too much. Something’s got to give. However, that’s what everyone’s been thinking for the last few months and we’re still here. 

The Dollar Milkshake Theory

Bitcoin has been less-volatile than usual, sure, but the main factor here is that the whole world is falling to pieces. Every company is in the red, especially techy ones, and all of the world’s currencies except the dollar fell off a cliff. Are we seeing “the dollar milkshake theory” playing out in front of our own eyes? It sure feels that way. Global central banks have been printing bills like there’s no tomorrow, and that extra liquidity is there for the stronger currency to take.

According to professional investor Darren Winter, the “dollar milkshake theory views central bank liquidity as the milkshake and when Fed’s policy transitions from easing to tightening they are exchanging a metaphoric syringe for a big straw sucking liquidity from global markets.” If that’s what we’re seeing, what happens next? Back to The Bitcoin Monthly, ARK says:

“As macro uncertainty and USD strength have increased, foreign currency pairs have been impacted negatively while bitcoin has been relatively stable. Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility is nearly equivalent to that of the GBP and EUR for the first time since October 2016”

BTCUSD price chart for 11/07/2022 - TradingView

BTC price chart for 11/07/2022 on Bitstamp | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Vs. Other Assets In October

The macro-environment has been so bad lately, that there’s the perception that bitcoin has been doing better than stocks. The facts are that, for the first time since 2020, “bitcoin’s 30-day volatility is on par with the Nasdaq’s and the S&P 500’s.” And, we know past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, but “the last time bitcoin’s volatility declined and equaled the rising volatility of equitiy indices was in late 2018 and early 2019, preceding bullish moves in the BTC price.”

However, let’s not kid ourselves, bitcoin has not been doing good. The thing is, not much is prospering out there. Especially in the tech sector. “The price drawdowns from alltime high in Meta (-75.87%) and Netflix (-76.38) have exceeded that of bitcoin’s (-74.46%). To a lesser extent, Amazon also suggests a correction proportional to that of BTC’s “usual” volatility (-48.05%).”

According to The Bitcoin Monthly, the situation “suggests the severity of the macroeconomic environment and bitcoin’s resilience against it.”

The only constant is change, however. Bitcoin’s stability suggests a violent breakout, either up or down. The entire world can’t remain the red forever, something or someone has got to rise above the crowd and show everyone how it’s done. We’ve been waiting for a resolution for what feels like ages, and we’ll probably have to wait some more. There will be a movement, though. When we least expect it, probably.

Featured Image: Bitcoin 3D logo from The Bitcoin Monthly | Charts by TradingView

Could Netflix Tumble Down The Crypto Market?

On Tuesday, the crypto market looked good in comparison to Netflix (NFLX). The shares of the world’s leading streaming company fell 27% to $256 in after-hours trading reaching 2019 levels after announcing a massive loss of 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter of 2022. This translated to roughly a $40 billion loss in half an hour.

This is the first time the company loses customers since 2011 and is expecting to lose 2 million more in the current second quarter. NFLX is already 63% down from its All-Time High and over 40% this year.

 

“For those wondering how long a miss like this can sting: A reminder that $FB is still down ~33% since it disclosed Facebook’s user growth hit a ceiling,” Bloomberg’s Brian Chappatta noted.

Analyst Michael Nathanson of MoffettNathanson LLC told Bloomberg that “It’s just shocking,” adding, “Everything they’ve tried to convince me of over the last five years was given up in one quarter. It’s such an about-face.”

Will Crypto Follow?

The news site further reported that “Disney fell as much as 5.2% in extended trading after Netflix reported its outlook, while Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., the owner of HBO Max, declined as much as 2.8%. Shares of Roku Inc., the maker of set-top boxes for streaming, dropped as much as 8.3%.”

Many have wondered if this could drag down the crypto market as well. An economist noted that the last time a sharp shed like this happened for Netflix (Jan 22, 2022), “it triggered [an over] 30% 4-day crash across crypto.” However, he added that he doesn’t think this will be an issue this time. “It’s now an idiosyncratic event.”

The global cryptocurrency market vaporized $1.4 trillion in value after Jan 22, 2022

The reason why many do not think this scenario will repeat is that the previous case was highly related to the macroeconomics –the general stock market sell-off over fear related to interest rate hikes in the U.S.–, while this time the indicator seems to be specific to the company’s declining demand.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Nosedives Below $38k As Tech Stocks Take A Beating, Pandemic Gains Disappears

Back in January, the company admitted that the competition is “affecting marginal growth some.” Now, besides the increasing competition, they stated that the bad performance in Q1 was partly due to a large amount of customers who share their passwords, estimating 100 million households that use the service technically for free.

They also pointed out macro factors, ” including sluggish economic growth, increasing inflation, geopolitical events such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and some continued disruption from COVID are likely having an impact as well.”

Netflix completely missed their forecast for a 2.5 million growth in subscribes as well as Wall Street’s estimate, which also expected them to add that many users in the first quarter of 2022.

In contrast, the anti-crypto propaganda that calls it “too volatile” and “too risky”, claiming that investors need protection from it, is looking weak and pale today.

BREAKING NEWS:

Stock traders realise that tech can drop as fast as #Crypto can.

My condolences, Netflix investors. $NFLX

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) April 19, 2022

Around January 27, after the first big Netflix plunge of the year, Bill Ackman had reported that his hedge fund purchased more than 3.1 million shares of the company. That makes his position currently 387.5M down.

Related Reading | Majority Of Crypto Holders Will Hold Through An 80% Crash, New Survey Shows

“Somebody Always Knows”

The second big thing that contrasts with crypto is that the industry is often called a fraud scheme, but to some analysts, this NFLX scenario is giving signs of insider trading.

The Twitter account Unusual Whales noticed that “the most active hot chain before close” was $NFLX with $300 put. “And the top floor trades were all bearish.” This means that traders with put options probably made a lot of money. Which sounds like they knew something would happen.

Similarly, the account also noted that “A trader took a huge $NFLX put position, buying +100k at ~$2 ask 7 days ago. The position had 4500 volume that day, 41 volume the day before, expiring in a month. Likely made 1000%.”

Crypto total market cap value at $1,8 trillion in the daily chart | Source: TradingView.com

7 Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google Staffers That Went Full Crypto

“Follow the talent.” It’s a maxim investor Chris Burniske tweeted recently to underscore another tweet from AngelList co-founder Naval Ravikant when he wrote back in March: “Blockchains are now sucking in top-tier Silicon Valley tech talent faster than any boom since the Internet.” Yet, as the first flurries of crypto winter blow, this narrative has hardly cooled. We heard […]