Traders have scaled back bets of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve ahead of the U.S. GDP report.
Ether Options Out of Sync With Bullish Sentiment on Street
The way ether options are priced suggests investor preference for bets that prices will fall, contradicting the bullish outlook presented by some analysts.
Bullish Bitcoin Bets Rise as Implied Volatility Slides
Some traders bought bitcoin calls at strikes $45,000 and $46,000 during Thursday’s U.S. trading hours, according to over-the-counter institutional cryptocurrency trading network Paradigm.
Bitcoin Traders Seek Protection From Price Declines as ETF Deadline Looms: Deribit
Puts are overbought and calls [are] being sold, Deribit’s CCO Luuk Strijers told CoinDesk, noting the decline in the bitcoin implied volatility index.
Bitcoin Traders Pare Bullish Bias as Spot ETF Deadline Nears
A Record $11B Crypto Options Expiry Looms as BTC Shows Little Volatility
The expiry is Deribit’s largest so far and a record of almost $5 billion of options will expire in the money.
U.S. CFTC Approves Bitcoin Futures Platform Bitnomial’s Derivatives Clearing Application
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission granted crypto derivatives company Bitnomial approval to register as a derivatives clearing organization in the U.S., letting it settle margined futures and options contracts.
Why 2023 Is Like 2020 and Bitcoin Is Set to Head Towards $50k
Crypto derivatives show bullish positioning but are not over-extended by historical norms. That’s good news for the whole crypto market.
Bitcoin, Ether Options’ Value on Deribit Reaches Record High of $23B
Increased interest in the three-dimensional options market suggests an influx of sophisticated traders in the crypto market.
Bitcoin options data shows whales betting big — Will $50K BTC come in January?
Institutional investor interest soars as Bitcoin options open interest hits record high.
Bitcoin price continues to drop, but how are pro BTC traders positioned?
Data shows top traders futures’ Bitcoin long-to-short at the lowest level in 30 days, but what does this mean for BTC’s short-term price action.
Crypto Traders Load Up on Bitcoin Topside Option Plays After Binance’s Gulity Plea
We have seen interest in loading up more topside with strong demand for the March 2024 expiry calls, one OTC desk said.
Bitcoin Options Open Interest Climbs to Record $15B on Crypto Exchange Deribit
The notional open interest in BTC options listed on Deribit rose to a record $15 billion last week as traders scrambled to take bullish exposure.
Bitcoin’s Options Market Has Overtaken Its Futures Market in a Sign of Growing Sophistication
The notional open interest in the global BTC options market stood at $17.5 billion at press time, while open interest in the futures market was $15.84 billion.
Opyn DeFi protocol founders are leaving crypto after CFTC crackdown
Two of the founders of crypto options platform Opyn are stepping down from leadership roles to pursue other aims, but Opyn will continue under new leadership.
Bitcoin Call Skew Hints at Further Price Rise as Spot ETF Optimism Energizes BTC
The one-month call-put skew has risen above 10%, indicating a strongest bullish bias in 31 months.
Data highlights Bitcoin’s potential path to $40K amid global economic turbulence
Robust BTC derivatives data indicates strong demand for leverage longs.
Analyst Predicts A Mega Bull Run If Bitcoin Breaks $36,000
Crypto and Bitcoin traders should prepare for another sharp leg up, especially if the coin breaks above the $35,750 to $36,000 resistance wall this week. According to an X user, Alex Thorn, the Head of Firmwide Research, the $250 zone between those prices is a crucial liquidation barrier that derivatives traders closely watch.
If bulls have the upper hand and push above the upper limit of the belt, prices could rip higher this week primarily because of the resulting demand in the spot market.
Is Bitcoin Ready For Another Rally?
Thorn compares the current setup evolving in the Bitcoin chart to the events last week, which saw the coin explode. At spot rates, Bitcoin is stable but trending around 2023 highs, with buyers expecting more gains as market sentiment improves.
Though most users are looking at the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) as a trigger for the next leg up, Thorn is closely tracking events in the Bitcoin trading scene, specifically, the derivatives market. In the analyst’s assessment, options traders will be the primary drivers of the next bull run.
Why $36,000 Is A Key Price Level To Watch
Based on the analyst’s assessment, once Bitcoin breaks the $35,750 to $36,000 zone, “options dealers will need to buy $20m in spot BTC for every 1% upside move,” driving prices higher. The reason dealers have to buy or sell Bitcoin at the spot market depends on whether they are “short or long gamma.”
The objective, when this happens, is to stay “delta neutral.” The decision to buy at the spot market comes after a “gamma squeeze,” which, as Thorn notes, lifted prices last week.
Technically, a gamma squeeze arises when there is a spike in call (or buy) options being purchased, forcing options dealers, most of whom are market makers, to buy the underlying asset, in this case, Bitcoin, to hedge their positions and stay “delta neutral.” Going by trends and the current setup, especially in the daily chart, this could happen.
Looking at other metrics, Thorn noticed a divergence in supply held by speculators and long-term holders, opining that on-chain liquidity could be dwindling. However, on the bright side, the Z-Score ratio of market price to realized price shows that Bitcoin is in a “healthy” position.
As of October 30, Bitcoin is within a bullish breakout formation, with traders bullish. Whether the uptrend remains depends on whether buyers follow through, pushing the coin above recent highs, away from the breakout level at around $32,000.
Bitcoin options data highlights traders’ belief in further BTC price upside
Open interest on Bitcoin options recently hit a year-to-date high, but what is fueling this newfound bullish sentiment?