SOLETH Archives

Solana Price Poised For Rally Towards $250

On X, crypto trader Bob Loukas (@BobLoukas) has provided an optimistic outlook, stating, “SOL now based and fuel up for leg to $250.” This statement is based on a thorough analysis of the weekly SOL/USD chart.

The chart exposes that SOL has transformed its March 2022 resistance level of around $140 into a robust support zone. Previously, this level served as a strong resistance from mid-December last year until the beginning of March.

By converting this resistance into support, SOL is now poised for a rally towards $250. This price target is just $10 shy of Solana’s all-time high at around $260 from late October 2021.

Adding to the bullish sentiment, crypto analyst Byzantine General (@ByzGeneral) remarked, “SOL looks pretty good to me. Leverage in the system has actually gone down while price is up and at the same time Coinbase has been buying a lot of spot.”

Notably, not only the SOL/USD charts look ultra strong, but also the chart of SOL against its most fierce competitor in the fight for the superior layer-1 network, Ethereum. According to several analysts, SOL/ETH is primed for a major breakout.

Christopher Inks, the founder of TexasWest Capital, shared his analysis, noting, “SOL/ETH on the weekly looks amazing. It doesn’t get much better than this with the wedge breakout while Stoch RSI is crossing bullishly in oversold and threatening to break out and RSI has bounced at neutral and is nearing a bullish cross. Breaking out above 0.04597 adds confidence to the rally toward a minimum expected target of 0.07231.”

This technical breakdown suggests a very optimistic future for SOL in comparison to ETH. If this technical setup plays out, SOL could outperform ETH by more than 70%.

Macro expert Raoul Pal has also chimed in, stating, “SOL/ETH is looking like a breakout after a perfect consolidation… SOL is likely to take the lead again soon.” Pal’s analysis is based on a falling wedge correction pattern, a bullish signal, which SOL/ETH has already broken out from.

However, it is important to note that this breakout needs to be confirmed to avoid being considered a fakeout, indicating a potential major breakout against ETH. Renowned trader Peter Brandt, commenting on Pal’s analysis, identified the pattern as a “Classic Schabacker falling wedge correction,” a bullish signal typically indicating a potential reversal or continuation of the trend.

The Falling Wedge pattern, characterized by converging trend lines, decreasing volume, and a breakout with increased volume, suggests that SOL’s current pattern positions it for significant upward movement.

At press time, SOL traded at $168.59, surpassing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level in the weekly chart.

In a recent analysis, Andrew Kang, co-founder and partner of Mechanism Capital, provided a comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on the comparative strengths of Solana (SOL) over Ethereum (ETH) in the current bull cycle. Kang shared his insights via X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

Central to Kang’s argument is the idea that in the current market, Solana presents a more favorable trading option than Ethereum. He states, “The definition of insanity is repeatedly trying to long ETHBTC when longing SOLBTC (or SOLETH) is the much better trade in a bullish environment.” This succinctly captures his perspective on the shifting dynamics between these major cryptocurrencies.

Why Solana Is The Superior Trade Than Ethereum

Kang offers a retrospective view of Ethereum’s journey, noting, “Over the first 6-7 years of ETH’s life, there was a lot of uncertainty and lack of education around ETH. There were a lot of Bitcoin holders to be converted to Ethereum holders.” He recognizes Ethereum’s early volatility and its eventual emergence as a stable trading asset.

However, he suggests that this relative stability has now become a double-edged sword: “ETH also became a ‘safe’ risk-on asset that traders could get into in size. That’s what made it a great cross to trade. But over time, people’s allocation to eth vs btc started to harden and the amount of people left to convert whittled away.”

Addressing Ethereum’s advancements in technology, Kang points out a paradox. He states, “While these [Layer 2 solutions and Modular technology] might seem like good things, it is these characteristics/innovations that weighs heavy on ETH during risk on periods where ETH previously outperformed.” He suggests that these developments, though innovative, have introduced new complexities that impact Ethereum’s performance in bull markets.

“Yes, you may have some conversion from BTC to ETH during risk on periods (much less so these days), but in this era ETH faces much more rotational pressure from those going from ETH as their base asset to these very L2s, modularity coins, SOL, those capitulating ETHBTC longs, and other shitcoins that it is supposed to benefit from,” Kang claimed.

In contrast, the crypto expert highlights Solana’s advantages, asserting, “Not only does SOL not face these same issues but it also has crossed the chasm in becoming a blue-chip Layer 1.” He emphasizes Solana’s resilience and its appeal to conservative investors who previously focused mainly on Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Kang further elucidates, “Conservative giants that previously were comfortable with BTC and ETH have SOL as an easy, safe next step. It is this transition phase of becoming a new major or base asset that you want to ride. A young fast horse, not a horse encumbered by the troubles of age, baggage and Jared Gray.”

Significantly, Kang notes a major shift in market dynamics, stating, “There was a secular shift in the collapse of ETHBTC volatility in 2023.” He posits that this shift has redefined the comparative advantage in favor of Solana. Concluding his analysis, Kang confidently asserts, “Even if that ever changes, SOLBTC will be the superior trade.”

At press time, SOL was just 30% short of a new all-time high against ETH.

Solana Ethereum chart