European Central Bank Follows US Fed’s Footsteps With 25 BPS Hike

On Thursday, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) announced that it was raising “three key ECB interest rates” by 25 basis points (BPS) in a move similar to the one taken by the United States Federal Reserve. 

The US Federal Reserve, on Wednesday, increased its fund rates by an additional 25 BPS, its highest interest rate in 22 years.

European Central Bank In The Fight Against Inflation

The European Central Bank, in its statement, admitted that although inflation continues to decline, it is “still expected to remain too high for too long.” In a bid to fight inflation and return it to its 2% medium-term target in a timely manner, the governing council has continued to hike the interest rates for some time now, and this has further raised concerns for investors in the financial market as to whether or not there will be hikes before year ends. 

For context, the ECB has raised rates by 4.00% since last year July, accounting for the fastest-tightening cycle in its history. It is projected that this rapid increase in rates could negatively affect the expansion of loans in the European region and economic activity also. 

A quarterly poll released by the ECB on July 25 revealed that the companies’ demand for loans plunged to its lowest in the second quarter of this year. The eurozone has less developed and liquid capital markets than the United States, so there is an overreliance on banks in financing the economy. 

And now, according to ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane, the tighter monetary policy is massively impacting bank loans. So such policies will undoubtedly cause a liquidity squeeze. 

Bitcoin’s Role

Although inflation continues to decline, it is evident that the ECB and US Federal Reserve aren’t getting the desired results as to the target to which they want to bring inflation down to. As such, these financial bodies may continue increasing the rates to as high as possible despite the dramatic economic slowdown. 

Investors are aware of this position and are looking toward Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for succor. For a long time now, Bitcoin has been tagged as a ‘hedge against inflation,’ and it seems that many are realizing that this is more than a tag as Bitcoin has remained stable despite the growing rates, which many would have expected would send Bitcoin and the crypto market spiraling down. 

Unlike the United States, European investors are lucky to have more regulatory certainty in the region. The Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) regulation offers a sense of direction to stakeholders in the European crypto industry. This will help businesses and investors navigate their way when operating and dealing with crypto assets. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (European Central Bank)

Ethereum Gains 4.5% in Weekly Timescale As Shanghai Upgrade Nears

Ethereum, the king altcoin, has been generating a lot of buzz lately. According to CoinGecko, the coin appreciated by 4.5% in the weekly timescale.

This is because of the upcoming “Shanghai” upgrade which is expected to improve the overall usability of Ether’s Layer 1 chain. 

The term “Layer 1” describes the fundamental components of a network. Transactions on L1 blockchains do not require the involvement of any additional networks for verification or settlement.

Shanghai

The Gist Of The Upgrade

After the widely-recognized switch from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake consensus last year, Ethereum’s next big update is called Shanghai.

The team has already mentioned that the forthcoming Shanghai upgrade, scheduled for release this September or later, will allow for the withdrawal of staked ETH in addition to other minor enhancements.

The most noteworthy development to come out of Shanghai is the proposal known as EIP-4895, which will make it possible for those who took part in staking ETH into the Ethereum 2.0 contract to withdraw cash and staking incentives.

Another major highlight is the planned reduction of the Layer-2 gas fees as improvements would be made on the rollup system of L2s. This would allow more data to be processed on a single transaction therefore making the fees lower. 

Short-Term: Anything Can Happen

Although this news is great and all, the hype generated by this event could be sensationalized. The Merge, which was greatly publicized until the change happened, saw ETH drop after completing the consensus change. 

This increase could be another sell-the-news event which sees strong anticipation that the asset would go up in price. But with the upgrade happening in such a long time, further drops are possible as macroeconomics plays a huge part in ETH’s price movements. 

As of this writing, ETH is trading at $1,244, up 4.5% in the last seven days, data from Coingecko shows.

If the next week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data see that macro trend improving, we could see the U.S. Federal Reserve loosen up as they are aggressively trying to pin inflation at 2%. A dovish central bank will see more investors trusting that the market will be safe, thus moving capital to more volatile assets like crypto. 

Meanwhile, Ethereum investors and traders should focus on the consolidation on top of the $1,244 level. Bulls can and should target $1,270 resistance short-term to produce profits.

But with only a few days before the CPI data is released, investors and traders should capitalize on this small gain made by Ethereum this week. 

-Featured Image: Medium