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Key Requirements For Spot XRP ETF Approval Revealed Amidst 4500% Price Surge Target

Following Bitcoin’s spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval on January 11, market speculation has grown around the possibility of similar investment vehicles for major cryptocurrencies, including a spot XRP ETF. However, certain requirements and regulatory considerations must be met before such a development can occur.

Regulatory Prerequisites For Spot XRP ETF

FOX reporter Eleanor Terret clarifies the matter, stating that launching an XRP spot ETF would first require the establishment of a futures ETF. 

In the case of Bitcoin, the approval of spot ETFs was conditional upon the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) concluding that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures market provided sufficient surveillance against fraud and manipulation. 

Terret suggests that for XRP to have a spot ETF, a futures ETF must first be established, marking a step in the right direction.

Bloomberg ETF expert James Seyffart shares a similar sentiment, stating that he does not anticipate an XRP ETF launching this year. Seyffart cites the ongoing SEC case against Ripple as a factor influencing his stance, suggesting that an XRP ETF is more likely to emerge once the regulatory matter is resolved. 

Seyffart adds that XRP futures trading on a regulated platform like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange would be a prerequisite for the SEC to consider any applications for a spot XRP ETF. Seyffart hints that an XRP futures ETF could also be advantageous in this context.

The SEC has maintained a cautious approach towards spot ETFs involving crypto assets due to concerns about potential market manipulation. Seyffart emphasizes that the availability of XRP futures trading on a regulated platform, such as the CME, would provide a favorable framework for the SEC’s consideration of a spot XRP ETF, especially given previous court rulings highlighting the correlation between futures and spot markets.

Amidst the ongoing speculation, blockchain firm Ripple seems to be preparing for potential involvement in the ETF space. 

A recent job advertisement posted on Ripple’s website reveals their search for a Senior Manager in business Development, with a focus on institutional decentralized finance (DeFi). The role includes spearheading cryptocurrency-related ETF initiatives with internal trading teams and relevant partners.

XRP’s Future Potential – From $0.5299 To $27?

Crypto market analyst EGRAG crypto has conducted a comprehensive price analysis of the XRP token. Despite peaking in 2023, when the price reached a high of $0.9376 on July 13, the token has retraced more than 15% since the start of 2024 to a current trading price of $0.5299.

However, according to EGRAG, the 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the monthly time frame is a significant indicator for assessing XRP’s price movement. 

The analysis focuses on three price levels: $3.5, $6.5, and $27. Based on previous instances (labeled A, B, and C), EGRAG extrapolates potential future price movements using the same percentage increases observed in the past.

XRP ETF

The first potential scenario is a significant price surge to $27, representing a massive 4500% increase. This prediction is based on a similar percentage move observed in the past (from previous instance A), seen in the chart above. 

The second scenario suggests a more conservative projection, with XRP potentially experiencing a solid 1000% increase to $6.5. This projection is based on historical patterns observed in previous instance B. 

In the third scenario, EGRAG anticipates a significant 500% rise in XRP’s price, reaching $3.5. Based on previous instance C, this projection indicates a significant upward movement for the token. 

Whether the XRP token can successfully surpass the upper resistance levels that have impeded its rise to the $0.600 mark since late December remains to be seen. 

Additionally, the market eagerly awaits a catalyst that could prompt a breakthrough in XRP’s seven-month downtrend structure, potentially resulting in a price surge above $0.700.

XRP ETF

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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Key Requirements For Spot XRP ETF Approval Revealed Amidst 4500% Price Surge Target

Following Bitcoin’s spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval on January 11, market speculation has grown around the possibility of similar investment vehicles for major cryptocurrencies, including a spot XRP ETF. However, certain requirements and regulatory considerations must be met before such a development can occur.

Regulatory Prerequisites For Spot XRP ETF

FOX reporter Eleanor Terret clarifies the matter, stating that launching an XRP spot ETF would first require the establishment of a futures ETF. 

In the case of Bitcoin, the approval of spot ETFs was conditional upon the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) concluding that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures market provided sufficient surveillance against fraud and manipulation. 

Terret suggests that for XRP to have a spot ETF, a futures ETF must first be established, marking a step in the right direction.

Bloomberg ETF expert James Seyffart shares a similar sentiment, stating that he does not anticipate an XRP ETF launching this year. Seyffart cites the ongoing SEC case against Ripple as a factor influencing his stance, suggesting that an XRP ETF is more likely to emerge once the regulatory matter is resolved. 

Seyffart adds that XRP futures trading on a regulated platform like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange would be a prerequisite for the SEC to consider any applications for a spot XRP ETF. Seyffart hints that an XRP futures ETF could also be advantageous in this context.

The SEC has maintained a cautious approach towards spot ETFs involving crypto assets due to concerns about potential market manipulation. Seyffart emphasizes that the availability of XRP futures trading on a regulated platform, such as the CME, would provide a favorable framework for the SEC’s consideration of a spot XRP ETF, especially given previous court rulings highlighting the correlation between futures and spot markets.

Amidst the ongoing speculation, blockchain firm Ripple seems to be preparing for potential involvement in the ETF space. 

A recent job advertisement posted on Ripple’s website reveals their search for a Senior Manager in business Development, with a focus on institutional decentralized finance (DeFi). The role includes spearheading cryptocurrency-related ETF initiatives with internal trading teams and relevant partners.

XRP’s Future Potential – From $0.5299 To $27?

Crypto market analyst EGRAG crypto has conducted a comprehensive price analysis of the XRP token. Despite peaking in 2023, when the price reached a high of $0.9376 on July 13, the token has retraced more than 15% since the start of 2024 to a current trading price of $0.5299.

However, according to EGRAG, the 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the monthly time frame is a significant indicator for assessing XRP’s price movement. 

The analysis focuses on three price levels: $3.5, $6.5, and $27. Based on previous instances (labeled A, B, and C), EGRAG extrapolates potential future price movements using the same percentage increases observed in the past.

XRP ETF

The first potential scenario is a significant price surge to $27, representing a massive 4500% increase. This prediction is based on a similar percentage move observed in the past (from previous instance A), seen in the chart above. 

The second scenario suggests a more conservative projection, with XRP potentially experiencing a solid 1000% increase to $6.5. This projection is based on historical patterns observed in previous instance B. 

In the third scenario, EGRAG anticipates a significant 500% rise in XRP’s price, reaching $3.5. Based on previous instance C, this projection indicates a significant upward movement for the token. 

Whether the XRP token can successfully surpass the upper resistance levels that have impeded its rise to the $0.600 mark since late December remains to be seen. 

Additionally, the market eagerly awaits a catalyst that could prompt a breakthrough in XRP’s seven-month downtrend structure, potentially resulting in a price surge above $0.700.

XRP ETF

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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XRP Price Outlook: Expert Forecasts Potential Rise To $5.5

In the evolving cryptocurrency market, XRP, currently ranked as the fifth largest digital asset, has recently exhibited a modest price increase compared to its major counterparts. 

However, when examining XRP’s performance across various time frames, the token has reported significant gains. Nonetheless, it is worth noting that XRP is currently trading well below its yearly high, in contrast to its peers who have achieved and surpassed new highs in 2023 during the recent bullish surge.

Impending XRP Price Breakout?

Prominent industry expert using the pseudonym “Crypto Insight” on the X platform (formerly known as Twitter) shared an intriguing update with his over 20,000 followers, signaling an impending XRP blastoff.

According to Crypto Insight, it becomes apparent that XRP tends to lag behind the price action of Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency. However, there are indications that XRP breakouts are gradually converging with the movements of BTC.

Analyzing historical data, Crypto Insight highlights that the time taken for XRP to experience significant breakouts has been decreasing over time. 

The first major breakout took approximately 22 days, while the most recent pump occurred within a shorter time frame of 13 days. If this trend of closing the gap between XRP and BTC continues, it suggests a potential breakout date around November 15th.

Additionally, XRP has undergone a cooling-off period in the 4-hour time frame, implying that there might be further room for a downside correction before a reversal to the upside occurs.

Crypto Analyst Targets $5.5

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has recently unveiled a noteworthy forecast for XRP, centering around the Multi-Year Ascending Triangle (MYAT) pattern, which holds significant implications for XRP’s price movements.

XRP Price

According to Egrag’s analysis, The MYAT pattern indicates that XRP experienced a breakout above the Symmetrical Triangle after reaching the 70% completion mark, which aligns with the timeline of July on the chart. 

The surge in price to $0.93 and the subsequent retest at the breakout point are seen as part of a standard retest process, indicating potential strength in the upward momentum.

Looking ahead, Egarg Crypto highlights several key projections for XRP:

  1. XRP appears to be poised to reach a target of $1.3, as indicated by the Blue Ascending Triangle on the chart. This level represents a significant milestone that XRP could potentially achieve in the near future.
  2. The next notable move for XRP could potentially propel it to $5.5. However, it is important to note that at this price level, a considerable selloff by retail investors is anticipated, according to Egrag. 
  3. Building upon the larger symmetrical triangle pattern, Egarg Crypto suggests that XRP could see a remarkable 500% price increase in the future, indicating the potential for a substantial pump. 

XRP Price

Currently, XRP is grappling with the challenge of establishing consolidation above the crucial $0.600 level, which holds significant implications for the cryptocurrency’s future price uptrend and overall prospects. In the past 30 days, XRP has recorded a gain of 35%. 

However, the sustainability of this price action for the anticipated second leg up in November remains uncertain.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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What To Expect This Month For XRP Price According To Historical Data

The XRP price has had a rollercoaster growth trajectory which was mostly hindered by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing a lawsuit against Ripple. But a lot of the altcoin’s performances over the months have been rather predictable, and with its history, we can get an idea of what to expect for the XRP price this month.

October Not Looking Good For XRP Price

In a heat map of historical XRP price data generated by NewsBTC, we can see how the month of October has usually gone in the past. The heat map shows XRP’s performance over the last eight years and the figures for October are some of the worst historically.

As shown in the image below, the month of October has historically seen more losses than gains when it comes to the XRP price. In fact, out of the last eight years, only two years have seen October record a positive return for the XRP price.

In the first four years of the altcoin’s life, we can see that the month of October was characterized by losses. Then in the fifth year in 2019, XRP saw its first profitable October with a 14.84% increase. Then from there, there is an alternating trend recorded with one year being profitable and the next being filled with losses.

XRP price October

The year 2022 was no different, seeing 3.24% losses after the previous year saw October end with 16.71% gains. So if this holds, it could be that October 2023 would end on a good note. However, as the charts show, this month is already seeing XRP prices fall, so for it to finish strong, there would have to be a massive price reversal. Otherwise, October 2023 could stick to historical performance and end in the red.

October Is Not A Good Month

As shown in this report from Bitcoinist, taking an average of the XRP price performance in October over the years shows that it is not a good month for the altcoin. The chart shared in the report reveals that historically, October is the third-worst month for the cryptocurrency.

The only months that have seen worse performance than October are the months of February with slightly higher loss numbers. Meanwhile, June takes the crown for the month with the worst returns as the last 7 seven years have seen the month end with losses.

On the other hand, December presents as the best month for the XRP price. This is followed by April being the second, with May and March snagging fourth and fifth place, respectively. January, November, and September are also profitable months but to a much lesser degree.

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com (October)