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Bitcoin Could Crash Below $55,000, Top Analyst Sounds The Alarm

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has recently been scrutinized by several analysts and traders as it struggles to maintain its market position.

Michaël van de Poppe, a recognized figure in the crypto analysis sector, has recently expressed his concerns regarding Bitcoin’s current price trajectory.

Bitcoin Risks Dropping to $52,000, Why?

Taking to Elon Musk’s social media platform X, Van de Poppe pointed out that Bitcoin is at the lower end of its current range, a crucial area for maintaining upward momentum.

Van de Poppe warned that if Bitcoin fails to hold this level, the market could see a downturn, with prices potentially falling as low as $52,000 to $55,000.

This prediction comes as Bitcoin attempts to stabilize above the $61,000 mark. Despite efforts to sustain this level, recent market behavior suggests a bearish trend could be looming.

Bitcoin (BTC)price chart on TradingView

Van de Poppe’s analysis indicates that failing to maintain the lower range could lead to significant corrections, affecting investor sentiment and market dynamics.

Meanwhile, recent data from the analytics firm IntoTheBlock reveals a noticeable decline in BTC whale accumulation volumes over the past month. These large investors, holding over 1,000 BTC, have been a stabilizing force in the market, particularly during price dips.

However, the trend of diminishing whale purchases, especially during recent market corrections, suggests a decrease in their market influence and potentially a broader loss of appetite for Bitcoin at current levels.

This pattern could indicate a shift in whale strategy or a broader market sentiment change, possibly leading to less support for Bitcoin prices during downturns.

BTC Surging Demand vs. Limited Supply

Despite the potential price dip, other market activities suggest a robust demand for Bitcoin. Samson Mow, a well-known Bitcoin community figure and former Blockstream CSO, highlighted the continuous buying from American spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to Mow, these US ETFs purchase 1,626 BTC daily. Additionally, MicroStrategy acquires 199 BTC daily, and Tether buys 70 BTC daily.

This significant daily demand, especially in the context of the reduced supply following the latest Bitcoin halving in April, where only 450 BTC are created each day, suggests that demand might significantly exceed supply.

Mow emphasized this imbalance, indicating that the aggregate demand could be outstripping the available supply by 5 to 10 times, hinting at a potential upward pressure on prices if this demand persists.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin’s Make-Or-Break Moment: Trading Guru Predicts Rally Amid Market Uncertainty

Seasoned trader Peter Brandt has reignited discussions with a bullish Bitcoin forecast that could see the premier cryptocurrency soar to new heights.

Amid skepticism and divergent market opinions, Brandt’s projection places Bitcoin on a potential path to reclaim its all-time high near $74,000.

Brandt’s Bullish Bitcoin Vision

Peter Brandt, synonymous with market foresight, recently outlined a scenario where Bitcoin could experience a significant rally.

His analysis, shared via a social media post on X with a BTC analyzed chart, suggests Bitcoin’s recent price movements align with patterns historically indicative of a bull market’s continuation.

Despite the market’s recent downturns, Brandt’s projection points towards a potential surge to $74,000, a figure mirroring Bitcoin’s peak valuation.

While Brandt’s optimistic outlook for Bitcoin has garnered attention, it also faces scrutiny from parts of the crypto community. Critics point to his past predictions, including significant downturns and peak valuations, as a reason for caution.

In response, Brandt emphasizes the critical role of adaptability in trading, noting:

I can tell you know that you will end up losing all your capital. I’ve supported myself by trading for 50 years and know that successful traders have and execute the ability to be flexible. I’ll welcome your money.

Split On Market Forecast

Meanwhile, the broader crypto analyst community remains divided. Some echo Brandt’s sentiments, seeing the market’s current state as a temporary correction before a bullish reversal.

Others, like analyst Scott Melker, suggest more bearish outcomes. They note the absence of key support levels that could lead to further declines if not held. Melker’s analysis indicates that, without these supports, Bitcoin could freefall to as low as $52,000.

Further complicating the landscape are indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which Melker points out has not reached oversold levels — typically a sign of a potential rebound.

This absence suggests a tepid confidence among investors, potentially paving the way for further price drops.

Despite the debates and technical analyses, the sentiment among some traders remains buoyantly optimistic. Traders like Marco Johanning argue that the structural market dynamics still favor a bull market scenario. This suggests that Bitcoin’s current price adjustments are part of a broader upward trend that will resume soon.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Hits ‘Danger Zone’: Peter Schiff Warns Of ‘Do or Die’ Scenario

Bitcoin is facing a critical juncture as it has entered a ‘danger zone,’ according to prominent gold advocate Peter Schiff. This investor, known for his skepticism toward Bitcoin, suggests that the cryptocurrency is entering a “do or die” phase, potentially marking the end of its bullish run if current trends continue.

Breaking Points And Bearish Signals

Peter Schiff has often voiced his bearish outlook on Bitcoin, and his latest comments come as Bitcoin has just slipped below the crucial $60,000 mark.

This level had previously served as strong support during the short-term bull run, and its breach has intensified the bearish sentiment among investors. Schiff warns that staying below this threshold could spell doom for the bullish fervor, potentially derailing Bitcoin’s momentum.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $57,054, teetering close to its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Schiff points out that remaining below this EMA could confirm a bearish trend, signaling an end to the rally.

Amidst these developments, the market has seen an increase in trading volume, coupled with the price drop, indicating strong selling pressure.

Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin’s trading volume has dropped from $45 billion to $48 billion, coinciding with a 6.3% price dip during the same period. This heightened activity is a traditional bearish indicator, lending weight to Schiff’s prediction of a downturn.

Moreover, investor sentiment is treading thin ice with significant outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs, hitting a weekly high of $162 million. This departure of funds is particularly poignant as it unfolds just before the FOMC meeting, where potential interest rate hikes are on the agenda.

These outflows reflect a broader market trend, with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) experiencing a substantial daily outflow of $93.23 million.

The Bitcoin ETF Conundrum And Market Forecasts

It is worth noting that last month was quite challenging for US Bitcoin ETFs. After a promising start with positive inflows in the initial months following their launch, April witnessed collective outflows amounting to $182 million across all active spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US.

This pullback is attributed to macroeconomic concerns and geopolitical tensions, which have clouded the investment landscape.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

As the market braces for further turbulence, analysts such as Micheal Van de Poppe are forecasting an additional correction, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price down to $55,000 before any sign of recovery.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Bottom Out? Analyst Signal Turnaround Amid Market Slump

Bitcoin has recently concluded April, marking its most significant monthly decline. Despite the bearish momentum, leading market analysts, including Michael van de Poppe, believe that the worst may soon be over, suggesting that Bitcoin is nearing the end of its current correction phase.

Bitcoin At The End Of Correction?

April was challenging for Bitcoin, as its value plunged nearly 20%, dipping below $57,000, the lowest level traded since late February.

This drop is part of an intense market sell-off that has slashed the combined cryptocurrency market cap by nearly 10%, bringing it down to $2.2 trillion. Amid these declines, Michael van de Poppe, a revered figure in the crypto analysis space, provided hope.

In his recent statements on the social platform X, Van de Poppe suggested that Bitcoin’s current price levels might be nearing the bottom of this correction cycle.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

He highlighted the critical price range of $56,000 to $58,000 as pivotal for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory, indicating potential areas for a rebound.

A Closer Look At Predictions And Market Sentiments

Van de Poppe isn’t alone in his optimistic outlook. Other analysts, like Checkmate, an on-chain expert, have analyzed Bitcoin’s historical data to predict future movements.

Checkmate introduced the term “chopsolidation,” describing it as a phase of stagnant yet volatile market conditions that could precede a significant bullish run.

He expects this phase to last about six months, followed by a potential 6 to 12 months of explosive growth reminiscent of past cycles. Furthermore, historical data from Bitcoin’s Halving years support the theory that after a halving event, the market tends to perform strongly towards the end of the year.

However, there are not all optimistic forecasts in the crypto realm. The spot Bitcoin ETF market witnessed over $300 million in net outflows in April, breaking a three-month streak of inflows, reflecting a broader sentiment of caution among investors.

Moreover, Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, has voiced concerns over the market’s extraordinary bullishness, warning of the necessity for corrections within such a volatile asset class.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Is Bitcoin’s Rally Over? Leverage Drops As Halving Highs Fade: Report

Recent trends in the crypto market have indicated a notable shift in trader behavior, particularly among those investing in Bitcoin.

Using data from CryptoQuant, Bloomberg has revealed that the Bitcoin funding rate—the cost for traders to open long positions in Bitcoin’s perpetual futures—has turned negative for the first time since October 2023.

Bitcoin Funding Rates

This change suggests a “cooling interest” in leveraging bullish bets on Bitcoin, coinciding with the fading impact of major market drivers.

Bitcoin Market Dynamics Post-Halving

The decline in Bitcoin’s funding rate correlates with a reduction in net inflows to US spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which previously pushed the cryptocurrency to record highs.

Despite the anticipation surrounding the Bitcoin Halving—an event reducing the reward for mining new blocks and theoretically lessening the supply of new coins—the price impact has been surprisingly muted.

According to Bloomberg, this subdued response has compounded the effects of broader economic factors, such as geopolitical tensions and changes in monetary policy expectations, leading to increased risk aversion among investors.

Following the latest Bitcoin halving, the market has not seen the bullish surge many expected. Instead, Bitcoin has only seen a correction of over 10%, from its all-time high (ATH) in March with prices stabilizing in the $63,000 region, at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

As CryptoQuant’s Head of Research Julio Moreno pointed out, the recent downturn in Bitcoin’s funding rates to below zero underscores a “decreased eagerness” among traders to take long positions.

According to Bloomberg, this trend is supported by a significant drop in daily inflows to US spot Bitcoin ETFs and a reduction in open interest in Bitcoin futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which indicates a broader cooling of enthusiasm for crypto investments.

In a Bloomberg report, K33 Research analyst Vetle Lunde noted that the “current streak of neutral-to-below-neutral funding rates is unusual,” suggesting that the market might be entering a price-consolidation phase.

Notably, this period of reduced leverage activity could potentially lead to further price stabilization, but it also raises questions about the near-term prospects for Bitcoin’s recovery.

Adjustments In Mining Difficulty And Market Implications

Interestingly, alongside these market adjustments, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has increased for the first time immediately following the fourth halving.

The difficulty adjustment, which occurs every 2016 block, increased by 2%, reaching a new high of 88.1 trillion, according to Bitbo data.

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty History Chart.

This adjustment contradicts past trends where the difficulty typically decreased post-halving due to reduced profitability pushing less efficient miners out of the market.

This anomaly in mining difficulty suggests that despite lower rewards post-Halving, miners remain active, possibly buoyed by more efficient mining technologies or strategic shifts within mining operations.

This resilience in mining activity could help sustain the network’s security and processing power. Still, it reflects the complexities of predicting Bitcoin’s market dynamics solely based on historical halving outcomes.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Is A $72K Bitcoin Surge On The Horizon? Glassnode’s Latest Analysis Points To An Answer

Recent insights from Glassnode’s cofounders, shared under their X (formerly Twitter) account ‘Negentrophic’ have sparked interest in Bitcoin market dynamics, leading to a promising stabilization and possible price surge.

Market Sentiments And EMA Trends

With Bitcoin’s value recently wavering below the $70,000 mark, a detailed analysis from the cofounders suggests that a strong support level around the $62,000 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could set the stage for a significant rebound.

This crucial support level indicates a strong buying sentiment, indicating the market’s confidence in the cryptocurrency’s value and a potential resistance against further declines.

Using the strategic placement of the 50-day EMA as a support point, the analysis suggests that investors might see the current price levels as a solid base, preventing significant downward movements.

This perspective is reinforced by recent price movements, where despite a pre-halving general dip, Bitcoin has experienced a 7.1% increase in value over the past week, and the same uptick continued in the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Further analysis by the Glassnode cofounders delves into the behavior of EMAs over different durations. Short-term EMAs indicate a growing inclination among investors to buy, while longer-term EMAs lean towards selling.

This contrasting behavior between short and long-term EMAs sheds light on the current phase of the market, which seems to be in a period of consolidation after the notable 92% increase in Bitcoin’s price over six weeks earlier in the year.

Such insights are vital as they offer a deeper understanding of the underlying market forces and investor behavior during volatile periods.

Meanwhile, Glassnode’s team’s analytical approach extends beyond simple price movements. Yesterday, they compared the current market conditions to the early 2021 “strong correction,” which they term “wave 4” of the ongoing market cycle.

This historical perspective provides a lens through which current trends can be evaluated, suggesting a cyclic return to bullish conditions reminiscent of past market behaviors.

Bitcoin Bullish Projections And Market Dynamics

Bitfinex analysts have highlighted significant activities around Bitcoin withdrawals, supporting the optimistic outlook on Bitcoin. The current levels, echo those of January 2023, suggest that investors are increasingly moving their Bitcoin to cold storage—a sign that many anticipate further price increases.

Veering back to Glassnode’s projections yesterday based on their indexes and Fibonacci levels, the cofounders were boldly optimistic, anticipating a potential 350% increase from current market levels.

Notably, this forecast highlights the expected financial trajectory and underscores a growing confidence among experts and market analysts in Bitcoin’s market performance and its foundational economic principles.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin’s Next Move Revealed: Trading Guru Reveals This Cryptic Chart Pattern, Here’s What It Says

Legendary trader Peter Brandt has recently shared notable insights into the potential future trajectory of Bitcoin price, suggesting the possibility of a significant market move for the crypto asset.

This insight comes as Bitcoin appears to be recovering slightly from its week-long decline. The asset is up nearly 5% over the past 24 hours, with a current trading price of $64,968 at the time of writing.

Bitcoin Next Move According To This Chart Pattern

Brandt’s analysis, presented through a series of charts, outlines a distinctive pattern in Bitcoin’s historical price behavior, characterized by three distinct phases.: the Hump-Slump, Bump-Rump, and Pump-Dump cycles.

As per Brandt’s observation, while Bitcoin has completed the initial two phases of the cycle, the third phase, marked by the “pump” component, remains unfulfilled, hinting at potential bullish momentum ahead.

Meanwhile, amid heightened market volatility and uncertainty, Bitcoin has faced notable price fluctuations, experiencing a nearly 10% decline over the past week.

However, recent bullish momentum has seen the cryptocurrency surging by 3.7% in the past 24 hours, with its price briefly climbing above $65,000 after hitting a 24-hour low of $60,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

This upward movement aligns with Brandt’s suggestion of a pending bullish phase in Bitcoin’s price cycle, adding weight to the anticipation of a potential market “pump.”

Insights From Industry Leaders And Analysts

In addition to Brandt’s analysis, industry leaders and analysts have offered their perspectives on Bitcoin’s future trajectory.

Anthony Scaramucci, founder and managing partner of Skybridge Capital, has recently projected a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, forecasting a potential price surge to $200,000 following the upcoming halving event.

Scaramucci cited various factors, including the influence of new financial products like spot ETFs and increasing institutional interest, as key drivers behind Bitcoin’s anticipated price appreciation.

However, amidst optimistic forecasts, CryptoQuant, a prominent crypto analytics platform, has cautioned that Bitcoin could face a significant downturn to $52,000 if its price breaches the critical $60,000 support level.

A CryptoQuant analyst particularly noted:

If the price breaks below $60,000, we might witness a decline to $52,000 before a subsequent rise. However, given the significant dominance of institutional ETFs, I wouldn’t be surprised if they accumulate excess supply from liquidations near the short-term support level of $60,000.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Bears Beware: $3 Billion Short Liquidation Looms At This Price Mark, Warns Analyst

The Bitcoin market is currently on edge as prominent analyst Crypto Rover warns of a potential liquidation event that could negatively affect the short holders.

With Bitcoin trading within a significant consolidation phase, as revealed by Rover, analysis suggests that over $3 billion in short positions could face liquidation should Bitcoin climb back to a specific price mark.

Bitcoin Bears Beware Of This Price Range

According to Rover, the crucial price mark, which is the $71,600 region, is where the $3 billion short liquidation would occur if Bitcoin reclaims it. Rover’s assessment is based on data gathered from CoinGlass, a renowned derivative market tracker, indicating a substantial liquidity accumulation at higher price levels.

BTC Liquidation Heatmap.

The recent warning from Crypto Rover comes amidst a period of turbulence in the crypto market, marked by sharp price movements and heightened trading activity.

Particularly, Bitcoin experienced a sudden decline over the weekend, bringing its price to as low as $62,000 in the zone. However, in the early hours of Monday, the asset showed signs of recovery, briefly reaching a high of $66,797 before retracing to its current price of $64,711.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

The market downturn over the weekend witnessed a record number of liquidations, with over $1.2 billion in Bitcoin long positions liquidated in a single day, according to WhaleWire.

The liquidation hasn’t stopped, as the latest data from Coinglass reveals that in the past 24 hours alone, 89,151 traders have been liquidated, resulting in a total loss of $266.10 million.

The crypto market liquidation heat map

Analyst Insights And Market Dynamics

It is worth noting that Bitcoin’s recorded slight recovery comes as Hong Kong regulators granted provisional approval for asset managers to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Crypto analyst Willy Woo has shared his perspective on the potential impact of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on market dynamics.

According to Woo, introducing the new Bitcoin ETFs could lead to significant price targets, with projections ranging from $91,000 at the bear market bottom to $650,000 at the bull market top.

Woo’s analysis underscores the growing institutional interest in BTC, with asset managers expected to allocate a substantial portion of their funds to the cryptocurrency.

However, Woo emphasizes that these projections are conservative estimates, and Bitcoin’s market capitalization could exceed gold as more capital is deployed into the asset.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Crypto Prophet Jeremy DaVinci Predicts Bitcoin Surge: Are We Headed For $130,000?

Amidst the recent market retracement, notable crypto enthusiast and YouTuber Jeremy DaVinci has sparked optimism in the Bitcoin community.

DaVinci’s analysis revolves around a technical indicator, the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a potential rally in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

Where Are We Headed To?

According to DaVinci, Bitcoin has closed above the upper Bollinger Bands indicator for two consecutive months, a pattern that historically preceded significant price surges. Drawing from past occurrences, DaVinci hints at the possibility of Bitcoin’s price doubling within three months following this setup.

DaVinci, renowned for his early adoption of Bitcoin and emotional support for the cryptocurrency, has positioned himself as a prominent figure within the crypto space.

With his latest forecast, DaVinci projects Bitcoin’s price to surpass $130,000 within the next three months potentially. This bullish prediction aligns with similar sentiments echoed by other market experts, further supporting optimism among Bitcoin investors.

Macroeconomic Factors To Drive Bitcoin Rise

Adding to Bitcoin’s bullish sentiment, prominent investor Dan Tapiero has voiced his optimistic outlook for the leading cryptocurrency.

Tapiero, known for his investment insights and founding roles in Gold Bullion International and 10T Holdings, highlighted a significant macroeconomic factor that drives Bitcoin’s potential ascent.

According to Tapiero, the observed correlation in the market points to concerns regarding “monetary debasement” fueled by a substantial increase in the Treasury market over the past five years.

Tapiero’s bullish stance centers on the unique scarcity of Bitcoin as a digital asset, emphasizing its potential to outperform traditional assets like gold.

While acknowledging the favorable prospects for gold in such a scenario, Tapiero remains particularly bullish on Bitcoin’s future price trajectory. His forecast hints at the possibility of Bitcoin surpassing the $200,000 mark, offering investors an opportunity for substantial gains in digital gold.

The asset has demonstrated resilience amid these speculations and predictions regarding BTC’s possible price rally in the coming months. While Bitcoin has plunged nearly 5% in the past 24 hours, it has traded above $69,000 at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Bulls Roar: Analysts Predict Surge To $82,000 Amid Bullish Pennant Formation

Renowned crypto analyst Jelle has caught the attention of the Bitcoin (BTC) community with his bold prediction of a target price of $82,000.

Notably, despite recent challenges in breaking above the $66,000 mark, Bitcoin currently hovers around $67,780, showing resilience in the face of a short-term pullback.

BTC To $82,000 Soon?

In an X post uploaded earlier today, crypto analyst Jelle shared his latest view on Bitcoin. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin target “remains the same: $82,000”.

It is worth noting that Jelle’s forecast is based on his observation of a “bullish pennant” formation, a technical pattern that suggests a potential surge in the price of BTC. According to the analyst, the asset might experience some volatility this month.

Jelle emphasized that a bullish pattern is forming, coinciding with the upcoming BTC halving in a few weeks. This adds credibility to the emerged bullish pennant formation and the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $82,000 shortly.

Notably, the Halving is a pre-programmed event built into the Bitcoin protocol that occurs approximately every four years or after every 210,000 blocks are mined to reduce the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks, ultimately decreasing the supply of new coins.

Historically, the event has triggered bullish price movements, as reduced supply often leads to increased demand and speculative buying. The Bitcoin halving is currently less than 20 days away.

Bitcoin Latest Price Action

While BTC has faced challenges in its upward trajectory over the past week, recent movements suggest a shift in momentum. Within the last 24 hours alone, the asset has shown a promising 2.7% increase, rising from a low of $65,135 to its current trading price of $67,628.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Despite this positive movement, BTC still reflects a decline of approximately 6.4% over the past 7 days. However, amid this fluctuation, analysts such as Captain Faibik foresee the potential for a significant rebound in Bitcoin’s value before April concludes.

Captain Faibik’s analysis, mirroring the sentiments of fellow analyst Jelle, focuses on Bitcoin’s bullish pennant formation observed on the 12-hour timeframe chart. This formation suggests an imminent breakout towards the upside.

If this breakout materializes successfully, BTC could soar to unprecedented levels, with projected price targets ranging from $88,000 to $90,000 by month’s end, according to Captain Faibik.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Next Stop $80,000? Crypto Analyst Sees BTC Soaring Ahead Of 2024 Halving

As the crypto market braces for the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) halving in April 2024, the discussion surrounding Bitcoin’s price trajectory has continued to gain momentum. Particularly, Michaël van de Poppe, a well-regarded figure in the crypto analysis domain, has shared his latest analysis on Bitcoin.

Next Stop $80,000?

In a post shared on X, Van de Poppe suggests that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a notable rise, eyeing a target range between $75,000 to $80,000 in the lead-up to the halving event.

This prediction is based on the current consolidation phase of Bitcoin, indicating a buildup toward testing its all-time high with the potential for a subsequent correction.

Notably, Bitcoin halving plays a crucial role in this scenario, serving as a pivotal event that historically influences Bitcoin’s market dynamics.

The halving, scheduled to occur in April 2024, will see the reward for mining new blocks halved, thereby reducing the rate at which new BTC are created and entering the market.

This event, occurring approximately every four years, is anticipated to create scarcity, pushing the demand and possibly the price higher than past patterns have suggested.

Bullish On Bitcoin

In addition to Van de Poppe’s predictions, other analysts have shared their optimistic outlooks regarding Bitcoin’s potential price movement. Jelle, another esteemed crypto analyst, posits that Bitcoin is poised for a significant leap, potentially breaching the $100,000 mark sooner than expected.

This bullish sentiment is also echoed by Doctor Profit, who highlights the importance of understanding Bitcoin’s current market behavior, including its recent sideways movement. He identifies this movement as an accumulation phase poised to catalyze a surge past the $80,000 mark, aiming for $100,000.

The significance of accumulation in this context cannot be overstated. As recently reported by NewsBTC, there is an increase in the number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC, suggesting that institutions and large-scale investors are gearing up for what may come post-halving.

However, despite this accumulation, Bitcoin over the past 24 hours has declined by nearly 2%, with a current market price below $70,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from Tradingview

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The Price Peak Puzzle: Unraveling The Timing Of Bitcoin Bull Market Peak

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues its remarkable ascent, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $72,300, investors wonder when the current bull market will peak. Considering historical data and the upcoming halving event scheduled for April 2024, crypto analyst Rekt Capital has provided insights into potential timing. 

Bitcoin Peak Expected Sooner Than Expected?

By examining previous halving cycles and the “acceleration” observed in the current cycle, Rekt Capital suggests that Bitcoin’s bull market may peak within 266-315 days from breaking its old all-time high, potentially occurring in December 2024 or February 2025.

Rekt Capital’s analysis reveals that Bitcoin has historically peaked in its bull market approximately 518-546 days after a halving event. However, the current cycle demonstrates accelerated growth, reducing approximately 260 days. 

According to the analyst, this acceleration has the potential to halve the typical cycle length, indicating that Bitcoin’s peak in the current bull market may occur much sooner than anticipated.

Bitcoin

Rekt Capital’s perspective, measuring the bull market peak from when an old all-time high is breached, provides valuable insights. In this cycle, Bitcoin recently broke to new all-time highs, indicating a potential milestone in the market. 

If the accelerated perspective holds, the next bull market peak is estimated to occur within 266-315 days from this breakout, landing somewhere between December 2024 and February 2025, according to the analysis provided by Rekt. 

Roughly every four years, Bitcoin’s halving events have historically played a crucial role in shaping market cycles. These events reduce the block reward miners receive, thereby reducing the rate of new Bitcoin supply, but this time may be different, according to Rekt, another analyst.  

From Four-Year Cycle To New Horizons

Similar to Rekt’s analysis, market expert Crypto Con suggests that the “conventional four-year cycle” may no longer hold, as Bitcoin is reaching new all-time highs sooner than expected, and as such, Crypto Con believes that the “boundaries of the traditional cycle” are being pushed, potentially signaling a paradigm shift in Bitcoin’s market dynamics. 

Historically, Bitcoin’s price cycles have adhered to a four-year pattern, characterized by market peaks around four years after each halving event. However, Crypto Con challenges this notion, arguing that the current cycle deviates from the “traditional timeline.” 

Bitcoin’s recent entry into “price discovery mode” and the achievement of new ATHs approximately a year earlier than expected suggest that the four-year cycle may no longer hold its predictive power.

Bitcoin

Crypto Con’s analysis indicates that the current market trajectory aligns more closely with the 2017 bull run than with previous cycles. Comparing the first tops of cycles 1 and 3 (2013 and 2021) to the present, both instances were on the verge of forming their initial peaks around April, mirroring the current market conditions. 

This observation supports the possibility of Bitcoin’s next bull market peak occurring in late 2024 rather than the previously anticipated late 2025.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Reaches Lowest Level In Three Months, Is The Bleed Over?

Amid the current market turmoil, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has continued on a sharp decline. This decline has seen the index fall to its lowest level in over three months as crypto investors become more fearful and hold their investments from the market.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Takes A Nosedive

In the months leading up to the end of the year 2023, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index climbed steadily until it reached high greed levels. Now, this index takes a number of factors into consideration to place investor sentiment across a number of categories ranging from Extreme Fear, Fear, Neutral, Greed, and Extreme Greed.

The Fear & Greed Index represents investor sentiment using scores between 1 and 100, with the lower end of the score representing fear levels and the higher ends representing greed. A score between 1 and 25 puts investor sentiment in Extreme Fear, 26-46 is Fear, 47-52 is Neutral, 53-75 is Greed, and 76-100 is Extreme Greed.

In 2023, the score climbed as high as 74 as Bitcoin rallied toward $50,000. However, as the market has retraced, so has investor sentiment, which is currently trending toward fear. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is showing a score of 58, which puts it in Neutral territory. It is also two scores down from the previous day’s figures of 50 which means that investor sentiment is trending more toward fear than greed.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index

The current figure is the lowest that the index has been since October 2023. The last time the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index fell below 48 was on October 17 2023. In cases like these, it shows that investors are less inclined to put money into the market. This causes demand to fall, and as a result, prices of assets across the space suffer for it.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (Fear & Greed Index)

When Will The Bleed Stop?

So far, the decline in the Bitcoin price has been triggered by massive outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) as investors redeemed their shares. Over $2 billion in BTC has flowed out from the fund, and this has put a lot of selling pressure on the asset.

However, as the week progresses, the outflows are expected to slow down as investors stop selling. In such a case, the demand would be all to catch up with the supply being dumped on the market, thereby giving Bitcoin and other assets a chance to recover.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is still trending around $40,000 after a bounce back from a dip to $38,500. The price is up 2.6% in the last week, according to data from Coinmarketcap.

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Hold On For Four Months: Analyst Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Reach New ATH

Bitcoin has been experiencing a downward trend recently, dropping from its 2023 all-time high of about $49,000 to below $41,000 at the time of writing. Despite this significant price correction, popular crypto analyst Kevin Svenson has predicted a new all-time high for BTC in the months after the 2024 Bitcoin halving. 

Bitcoin Anticipated To Hit New All-Time High

Svenson released a YouTube video last week, predicting that BTC’S new all-time high is set for June 2024. Despite the hype surrounding the approval and launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the crypto analyst revealed that Bitcoin has been witnessing significant declines and is currently approaching the critical price level of $40,200. 

The crypto analyst compared Bitcoin’s price movements with the recent stock market patterns. Last Friday, Wall Street stocks, particularly the S&P 500 index, achieved an all-time high of 4,839.81, surpassing its previous record in January 2022. 

Svenson pointed out a significant correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index in the months leading up to and following the Bitcoin halving. According to the crypto analyst, the last three Bitcoin halvings illustrated a key price pattern for BTC as the stock market hit its all-time high.

The analyst explained that after the first Bitcoin halving in November 2012, the S&P 500 index hit its all-time high, and BTC followed after, recording an all-time high two months later. 

Additionally, in the second halving in July 2016, the S&P 500 index achieved a record high, after which Bitcoin hit an all-time high about seven-and-a-half months later. In the third halving in May 2020, the S&P 500 index broke its all-time high in August, with BTC following suit about four months later.

Svenson has suggested that these results reveal a unique correlation between the price of BTC and the S&P 500 index during the halving phases. Using the average time difference observed in the three halving events, he projected the timeline for Bitcoin’s all-time high in the upcoming halving in April 2024. 

According to the crypto analyst, BTC is expected to achieve a new record high in approximately four-and-a-half months after the S&P 500 index hits its own all-time high. 

BTC Overcomes Critical Price Level

In his video, Svenson disclosed that BTC has successfully bounced off the critical price level of $40,200. He revealed that the cryptocurrency had achieved this feat around the same time the S&P 500 index had recorded its new all-time high. 

“Bitcoin is already bouncing, the weekly is now back in the green, and the daily chart, the daily candle is now also back in the green,” Svenson said.

It’s important to note that at the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin was trading at $40,832, reflecting a 2.06% decline in just 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. The crypto analyst warned that if BTC had failed to overcome the critical support level, it could have triggered major bearish signals. 

Svenson also noted that the recent gains in the stock market presented a positive development for both Bitcoin and altcoins in the crypto market. He stated that the stock market’s new all-time high would enable Bitcoin to effectively secure its critical position while also potentially influencing speculator sentiment positively within the crypto space.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (Crypto analyst)