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Bitcoin Price Gain Slows Down: Glassnode’s Fair Value Models Puts The Crypto At $36,000

Bitcoin seems to be undergoing a period of consolidation and profit-taking after eight weeks of phenomenal price growth. The world’s largest crypto has had incredible growth this year, with a special surge starting in the middle of October. 

However, after hitting a yearly high of $44,500 on December 8, the price of Bitcoin has pulled back about 6% as some investors look to be taking profits. According to on-chain data provider Glassnode, several of its on-chain pricing models suggest Bitcoin’s fair value is currently between $30,000 and $36,000.

Bitcoin’s Price Rally Pauses As After A Resistance At $44,500

Bitcoin’s price appreciation this year led to a 150% gain which pushed it above $44,500, but on-chain data shows the hot streak has cooled off a bit after forming a resistance at this price level. 

This has led to many short-term investors taking profit from their holdings. According to data from Whale Alerts, there have also been various instances of large BTC transactions into crypto exchanges in the past few days, suggesting some whale addresses might also be participating in the selloff.

A short-term correction was inevitable, according to crypto data firm Glassnode’s fair value models. Their analysis based on the investor cost basis and network throughput suggests the fair price is lagging behind the current market spike.

A metric cited was the Active Investor Realized Price, which monitors the degree of HODLing across the network. According to this model, Bitcoin’s spot prices are currently trading above its realized price (fair value). 

Taking a look at historical trends shows it has taken between 14 to 20 months between the realized price and the creation of an all-time high. The path to the creation of a new ATH has also always involved major spot price fluctuations of ±50% around the Active Investors Realized Price.

Bitcoin

The crypto asset is now 11 months into the break, with spot prices fluctuating between -38% and 21% of the realized price. If history repeats itself, we could see another few months of movements around the current fair value of $36,000. 

This price point correlates with a social media post by crypto analyst Ali Martinez. While noting IntoTheBlock data, the analyst noted strong support between $37,150 and $38,360, backed by 1.52 million addresses holding 534,000 BTC.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com

Another technical pricing model cited by Glassnode was the Mayer Multiple. The Mayer Multiple indicator is now at a value of 1.47, close to the 1.5 level which often forms a level of resistance in prior bull cycles. 

Glassnode’s report also looked at various other pricing models, including the NVT Premium indicator which evaluates the utility of the network throughput in terms of a USD value. According to the NVT Premium, the recent rally is one of the biggest spikes since Bitcoin’s all-time high in November 2021, suggesting an overvaluation in relation to the network throughput.

What’s Next For Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is trading at $40,963 at the time of writing. Although the crypto is now down by 6% in a 7-day timeframe, it is still monitoring gains of 8.5% from its December open of $37,731. The $44,500 level is now a crucial level for the asset, as the industry continues to wait for a bullish run after the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. 

The crypto market is still in bullish sentiment, with Coinmarket’s Fear & Greed Index pointing to a 73 greed. A power through $44,500 would signal the resumption of the bullish trend for Bitcoin. Another resistance level to watch after the break would be the $46,400 level.

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Immutable Momentum: IMX Rockets To $2.21, Scaling Heights Unseen Since 2022

Immutable and its native IMX token deviate from the current cryptocurrency market downturn triggered by declines in Bitcoin and Ethereum. While most prominent gaming tokens have followed suit, experiencing a decrease in value since late Sunday, this pattern highlights the interconnected nature of digital assets.

Despite market volatility, the IMX token fights the downward pressure and continues its previous upward trajectory, demonstrating a unique resilience and potential decoupling from cryptocurrency correlation.

Immutable’s IMX Hits $2 Milestone

The trajectory of Immutable’s IMX token has been characterized by a rapid and substantial increase in value since October. This upward movement reached its zenith today, as the IMX token breached past the key $2 level.

At the time of writing, IMX was trading at $2.01, up 42% in the last seven days, data from CoinMarketCap shows.

Such a peak represents a significant milestone for the token, as it marks a level that had not been reached since April 2022. This extended duration underscores the significance of the current price surge, suggesting a notable departure from the historical price trends of the IMX token.

With a market valuation of more than $2.8 billion, Immutable X is one of the largest layer-2 networks globally. It is a network that is essential to the non-fungible token (NFT) and gaming industries.

The organization has collaborated with some of the major names in the gaming sector in the last few years. Companies like Merit Circle, Illuvium, Unity, Ubisoft, and StarkWare are a few of the most renowned partners.

In an effort to transform gaming on Beam in the future, the network has partnered with Merit Circle DAO and GameStop, two of the biggest American retailers.

In order to establish Transak as the “principal payments partner” for Immutable Checkout on the zkEVM network, Immutable established a new partnership with the payments processor on Monday.

Because of Immutable X’s low transaction costs, Ethereum-grade security, speedy transaction rates, and user-friendliness, developers adore it. Additionally, it contains all the tools required by developers to create scalable games, including Orderbook, Marketplace, Checkout, and Passport.

IMX Price Prediction

With 18 of the 30 (or 60%) green days and 11.72% price volatility over the past 30 days, Immutable X is still attracting the interest of investors. Likewise, Immutable’s future appears bright as 27 technical indicators are glowing green.

The CoinMarketCap ranking of the IMX token has increased to 29th. The spike is in reaction to VanEck’s claim that the introduction of new blockchain-based video games, such Illuvium, which is due out next year, may raise the value of the IMX token.

Immutable has also been trying to fix many of the technological pain points that have hampered the success of Web3 gaming thus far, according to VanEck.

Meanwhile, Coincodex’s current Immutable price prediction indicates that this week’s price of Immutable will fall by -7.18% to $ 0.003929.

The coin’s technical indicators show a bearish attitude at the moment, despite the Fear & Greed Index hitting 65 (Greed).

Featured image from Shutterstock