Posted on

Will Worldcoin End In “Tears”? This Analyst Thinks So

One analyst on X is concerned about the long-term sustainability of Worldcoin (WLD), a project aiming to build a universal digital identity system. While acknowledging the project’s innovative approach and recent upswing that has seen WLD more than 4X, the analyst thinks “Worldcoin will end in tears.”

FDV Versus Market Cap Soars Doubt: A Massive Price Dump Incoming?

In a post, the analyst points to a significant discrepancy between Worldcoin’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $82.1 billion and its current market capitalization of around $1.1 billion, as seen from CoinMarketCap. To compare, Ethereum (ETH), the most valuable altcoin, has an FDV of $369 billion, slightly less than the current market cap of around $362.1 billion.

Worldcoin FDV versus market cap | Source: CoinMarketCap

The FDV shows the hypothetical market cap if all coins or tokens were in circulation. On the other hand, the market cap shows the total valuation of coins in circulation.

Typically, the higher the FDV, the higher the chance of the coins in circulation being diluted when locked assets are released. Prices will likely take a hit with the deluge of coins hitting the secondary markets. The sell-off would especially be intense if demand doesn’t increase proportionally.

In Worldcoin’s case, the massive difference between FDV and the current market cap portends possible price dumps should a considerable chunk of WLD be released. And this will likely be the case, especially in light of what’s expected in the coming weeks.

A breakdown of its tokenomics shows that besides coins airdropped to users, a big chunk was allocated to venture capital firms and individuals like Alameda Research and Three Arrows Capital (3AC). Token Unlocks data show that more WLD will be unlocked in less than five months. The release, observers note, could heap pressure on the coin, possibly pushing it lower from the current valuation.

WLD release schedule | Source: Token Unlocks

Worldcoin Is Expanding, Will WLD Bulls Succeed?

Worldcoin plans to release a universal digital identity system. This solution will run on the blockchain and, to a small degree, rely on artificial intelligence (AI). Although the project faced regulatory challenges in multiple countries, including Kenya, Worldcoin recently expanded into Singapore. 

Even so, the analyst is concerned that the lack of demand-side drivers, specifically adoption, could slow down the uptrend. WLD is in a sharp uptrend, looking at the development in the daily chart.

WLD price trending upward on the daily chart | Source: WLDUSDT on Binance, TradingView

If the coin stays above $6, WLD could soar in the coming sessions.

Posted on

Worldcoin (WLD) Gains By 10% Following Singapore Debut

Worldcoin (WLD), the brainchild of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, has experienced a significant level of positive traction in the past month. Notably, Worldcoin gained by over 50% in mid-December to attain an all-time high of $4.6. Although the token soon fell from these heights trading at $3.35 on December 25, it appears that WLD may be gathering momentum for another bullish breakout.

Singapore Launch, Among Others Spurs Interest In Worldcoin

According to data from CoinMarketCap, Worldcoin has gained by 9.68% in the last seven days, signifying a steady rise in buying pressure from investors in the WLD market. 

Using data from IntoTheBlock, popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez has given more insight into this bullish trend. On December 30, he shared via X that the number of WLD whales in possession of 10,000 to 100,000 WLD rose by 16.33% in the last week. Interestingly, this price increase and network growth occurred a few days after Worldcoin announced its expansion into the crypto-friendly nation of Singapore. 

 

In a blog post on December 27, the crypto project stated that it had successfully set up physical screening locations in the Asian nation allowing interested users to undergo the World ID verification process and join its growing network. 

Beyond Singapore, Worldcoin also shared that it has registered an increased presence in several nations in the last month. These include Spain, Germany, Chile, and Japan. Notably, in Argentina, the crypto project recorded a national record of over 10,000 World ID verifications in a single day. Apparently, these multiple strides appear to have increased investor confidence in Worldcoin, as indicated in the price action stated above. 

WLD Price Prediction

Based on recent developments surrounding Worldcoin, the token seems poised for a major boost in adoption which could translate into a price rise over the next few weeks. Aside from its expansion into new nations, the launch of the World ID 2.0 in mid-December, which introduced integrations with various Apps such as Reddit, Shopify, and Telegram, is also regarded as a positive development by the project’s growing number of users. 

Interestingly, Martinez predicts that WLD could soon experience an 80% rally based on chart indicators alone. If this projection proves true, the altcoin could trade as high as $6.30.

However, despite all these indications, it must be noted that Worldcoin remains under heavy regulatory scrutiny in some nations due to privacy concerns in regard to user data.

Worldcoin operations have been actively suspended in Kenya and are under investigation in Germany and the United Kingdom. In fact, the crypto project recently halted its orb verification service in Brazil, France, and India although citing a “limited time access” on the screening orbs provided in these markets.

At the time of writing, WLD trades around $3.73 with a 3.90% gain on the last day. In tandem, The token’s daily trading volume increased by 83.12% and is valued at $197.52 million. 

Worldcoin