Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

Few things in crypto are as elusive and misunderstood as the concept of an “altcoin season.” Traditionally, this term referred to a brief window — usually 2–3 months — following a Bitcoin (BTC) price rally, where altcoins outperform BTC in cumulative returns. That pattern held in the 2015–2018 and 2019–2022 cycles, but the verdict is not yet in on whether the current bull market has had its altcoin season. 

The Blockchain Center defines an altcoin season as a period when 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin over a rolling 90-day timeframe. Its Altseason Index registered upticks in March 2024 and again in January 2025 — but neither lasted long enough to qualify as a full-fledged altseason.

Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

Altcoin season index. Source: Blockchain Center

Some analysts argue that memecoins drained liquidity from the broader altcoin market. Others blame the oversaturation of crypto investment products — particularly ETFs — which cater to institutions and spotlight only the largest altcoins. A third explanation calls for a deeper rethink of what altcoins actually are. Within this view, altcoins are perceived as a unified asset class but are a diverse collection of crypto assets with different functions, value structures, and growth potential.

Memecoins stole the spotlight

For the crypto analyst Miles Deutscher, the launch of Pump.fun is directly correlated to the destruction of the altcoin market vs BTC.

“The reason we’ve seen no major “altseason” across majors is because the speculative capital that would’ve once poured into top 200 assets, instead decided to jump the gun and flood into onchain low caps instead.”

Deutscher notes that the early birds and insiders got insanely rich from this, but most retail investors who entered late lost. This was also the case in previous altcoin cycles. However, unlike 2022, where the losses were mainly limited to CEX altcoins with solid liquidity, they got stuck into illiquid onchain memecoins, which quickly retraced 70%-80%. This led to a “wealth destruction event greater than the early 2022 bear (LUNA aside),” even though BTC (and some majors) are still in a macro bull trend.

Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

Solana TVL vs Top 125 Alts (excl. Top 10). Source: Miles Deutscher

Politics in the United States added fuel to the memecoin craze. For example, President Donald Trump’s public embrace of memecoins sparked momentum — but the results quickly disappointed. TRUMP and MELANIA tokens have dropped 83% and 95%, respectively, since launching at the end of January, delivering another hit to retail sentiment.

Related: Will new US SEC rules bring crypto companies onshore?

Institutional investors and ETFs shifted the tide

Another factor impacting the strength of the current bull market’s altcoin season was the arrival of Wall Street. The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 brought $129 billion in inflows as investors rushed into familiar structures with custody, regulation, and easy access. BlackRock’s IBIT became a dominant vehicle, and the introduction of ETF options in July 2024 added even more depth. 

Some analysts believe that the safety and scalability of spot BTC ETFs sucked capital away from speculative assets. With the ability to hedge through options and futures, the incentive to gamble on illiquid, low-volume altcoins diminishes significantly. 

Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

But this explanation has limits. Crypto is not a zero-sum market — global liquidity is growing, and capital entering the space can flow in many directions. If anything, institutional demand could expand the total crypto pie.

Furthermore, some altcoins already have their ETFs as well. Spot Ether ETFs debuted in July 2024 and have since registered a modest net inflow of $565,000, according to CoinGlass. Such a drastic difference in scale with spot BTC ETFs suggests that the ETF structure alone isn’t enough; investor conviction still matters.

Altcoin’s function and their rallies became more nuanced

The term “altcoin” emerged when any non-Bitcoin token was novel. But in today’s ecosystem, the term lumps together wildly different assets: blockchain-native coins, governance tokens, stablecoins, memecoins, DApp tokens, and real-world asset protocol tokens — each with distinct functions and investor profiles. Just as it wouldn’t make sense to group gold, Nvidia stock, and the US dollar into a single index in traditional finance, it makes little sense to treat all altcoins as one unified category.

A closer look at price action supports this idea. According to CoinGecko data, major altcoin categories have diverged sharply this cycle. Real-world asset (RWA) tokens surged 15x. GameFi, by contrast, lost half its market cap. This shows that narratives play a growing role in driving investors’ capital allocation decisions.

Waiting for altcoin season? Data suggests it’s already here

Crypto categories market cap. Source: CoinGecko

Even core blockchain tokens have started to specialize. Ethereum remains the hub for DeFi. Solana dominates memecoins. Tron now holds second place in stablecoin transfers. ImmutableX is carving out its territory in the gaming space. In each case, token performance is increasingly tied to ecosystem activity. This means that we might want to abandon the term “altseason” and start to pay more attention to specific narratives within the crypto space.

Altcoins aren’t moving as a pack anymore, and that might be the biggest signal of how the crypto market is maturing.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Prospective SEC chair discloses up to $327M assets with his wife

Prospective SEC chair discloses up to $327M assets with his wife

Former US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) member Paul Atkins disclosed combined employment assets of at least $327 million with his wife before a scheduled confirmation hearing with the US Senate Banking Committee.

According to a financial disclosure report made public by the US Office of Government Ethics on March 25, Atkins and his spouse, Sarah Humphreys, held up to a combined $327 million worth of assets, in part through their respective stakes in the prospective SEC chair’s consulting firm Patomak Global Partners and Tamko Building Products.

Sarah and her family members reportedly control a 75% stake in the roofing business founded by her grandfather.

Atkins personally disclosed up to $78.8 million in total employment assets — many of them up to $15,000 each — between $25,000,001 and $50 million in membership interest at Patomak, between $250,001 and $500,000 in call options at the real-world asset tokenization platform Securitize, and between $50,001 and $100,000 at financial technology company Pontoro.

If confirmed as an SEC commissioner, Atkins stated he would resign as CEO of Patomak and divest his membership interest, as well as divest his stock options at Securitize. 

The financial disclosure was made public before Atkins was scheduled to answer questions from US lawmakers in the Senate Banking Committee on March 27 for his nomination as an SEC commissioner. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, ranking member on the committee, called on Atkins to be prepared to answer questions related to his “deep involvement with FTX and other high-paying crypto clients.”

Related: What to expect at Paul Atkins’ SEC confirmation hearing

Atkins could also have some Republican allies on the committee and face some softball questions during his hearing. The prospective SEC commissioner previously met with Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis, who told Cointelegraph she expected he would “work quickly to provide regulatory certainty for the digital asset industry.”

Conflicts of interest regulating digital assets?

In addition to Atkins saying he would divest interests potentially causing conflicts of interest regulating the crypto industry, other government officials in the Trump administration have claimed to take similar steps. David Sacks filed a notice on March 5 suggesting that his venture capital firm sold more than $200 million in crypto and related stocks ahead of assuming his role as the White House AI and crypto czar.

President Donald Trump also faces criticism from lawmakers and figures in the crypto industry due to his family’s involvement with the firm World Liberty Financial and the launch of his memecoin in January.

Atkins’ March 27 hearing will mark the first time US lawmakers will consider his nomination since Trump put his name forward as a potential replacement to former SEC Chair Gary Gensler in December. Commissioner Mark Uyeda became acting chair of the agency following Gensler’s departure on Jan. 20.

Magazine: Trump’s crypto ventures raise conflict of interest, insider trading questions

Prospective SEC chair discloses up to $327M assets with his wife

Prospective SEC chair discloses up to $327M assets with his wife

Former US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) member Paul Atkins disclosed combined employment assets of at least $327 million with his wife before a scheduled confirmation hearing with the US Senate Banking Committee.

According to a financial disclosure report made public by the US Office of Government Ethics on March 25, Atkins and his spouse, Sarah Humphreys, held up to a combined $327 million worth of assets, in part through their respective stakes in the prospective SEC chair’s consulting firm Patomak Global Partners and Tamko Building Products.

Sarah and her family members reportedly control a 75% stake in the roofing business founded by her grandfather.

Atkins personally disclosed up to $78.8 million in total employment assets — many of them up to $15,000 each — between $25,000,001 and $50 million in membership interest at Patomak, between $250,001 and $500,000 in call options at the real-world asset tokenization platform Securitize, and between $50,001 and $100,000 at financial technology company Pontoro.

If confirmed as an SEC commissioner, Atkins stated he would resign as CEO of Patomak and divest his membership interest, as well as divest his stock options at Securitize. 

The financial disclosure was made public before Atkins was scheduled to answer questions from US lawmakers in the Senate Banking Committee on March 27 for his nomination as an SEC commissioner. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, ranking member on the committee, called on Atkins to be prepared to answer questions related to his “deep involvement with FTX and other high-paying crypto clients.”

Related: What to expect at Paul Atkins’ SEC confirmation hearing

Atkins could also have some Republican allies on the committee and face some softball questions during his hearing. The prospective SEC commissioner previously met with Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis, who told Cointelegraph she expected he would “work quickly to provide regulatory certainty for the digital asset industry.”

Conflicts of interest regulating digital assets?

In addition to Atkins saying he would divest interests potentially causing conflicts of interest regulating the crypto industry, other government officials in the Trump administration have claimed to take similar steps. David Sacks filed a notice on March 5 suggesting that his venture capital firm sold more than $200 million in crypto and related stocks ahead of assuming his role as the White House AI and crypto czar.

President Donald Trump also faces criticism from lawmakers and figures in the crypto industry due to his family’s involvement with the firm World Liberty Financial and the launch of his memecoin in January.

Atkins’ March 27 hearing will mark the first time US lawmakers will consider his nomination since Trump put his name forward as a potential replacement to former SEC Chair Gary Gensler in December. Commissioner Mark Uyeda became acting chair of the agency following Gensler’s departure on Jan. 20.

Magazine: Trump’s crypto ventures raise conflict of interest, insider trading questions

Fidelity Files for Spot Solana ETF on Cboe Exchange

Fidelity Investments is looking to create an exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracking the price of Solana (SOL), a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Tuesday shows.

Cboe Exchange uploaded a 19b-4 filing to list a Solana ETF proposed by the $5 trillion Wall Street veteran. This comes after the firm registered a Fidelity Solana Fund in Delaware last Thursday.

Fidelity has yet to submit an S-1 filing, which is required for companies seeking to issue a new security and be listed on a public stock exchange.

Solana, at $74 billion, is currently the sixth-largest crypto asset by market capitalization in the world. Several asset managers have filed applications with the SEC to launch funds holding the token, including Grayscale, Franklin Templeton and VanEck.

Last week, two ETFs (SOLZ and SOLT) tracking SOL futures hit the market on Nasdaq, a significant step in getting a spot exchange-traded product approved.

Fidelity has previously issued two spot crypto ETFs: the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH). Both launched last year. FBTC has attracted nearly $17 billion in assets — or bitcoin — and FETH handles roughly $975 million.

Many of Fidelity’s clients are interested in owning cryptocurrencies and a large portion already does. The firm has been working on its digital asset ecosystem since 2014.

Cboe seeks approval for Fidelity's Solana ETF

Cboe seeks approval for Fidelity's Solana ETF

Cboe BZX Exchange, a US securities exchange, has requested permission to list a proposed Fidelity exchange-traded fund (ETF) holding Solana (SOL), according to March 25 filings. 

The request now sits with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, which must approve the filing before trading of the Fidelity Solana Fund can commence on the exchange.

This is the latest in a spate of filings with the federal agency by exchanges and fund sponsors seeking to launch ETFs holding SOL and other cryptocurrencies. 

On March 12, Cboe filed to list another spot SOL ETF sponsored by asset manager Franklin Templeton.

Cryptocurrencies, Investments, SEC, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Donald Trump, CME, Solana, Ethereum ETF, Bitcoin ETF, ETF

Source: James Seyfart/Bloomberg Intelligence

Related: Solana CME futures tip impending US ETF approvals — Exec

Numerous filings

Cboe’s filing comes after asset manager Volatility Shares launched an ETF using financial derivatives known as futures to track the performance of spot SOL. 

Launched in March, Volatility Shares Solana ETF (SOLZ) and the Volatility Shares 2X Solana ETF (SOLT) are the first ETFs providing US investors with exposure to Solana’s native token. The SOLT ETF tracks SOL’s performance with 2x leverage. 

Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence peg the odds at 70% that US regulators approve a spot SOL ETF this year, according to a February post on the X platform. 

Other asset managers seeking to list spot SOL ETFs include Grayscale, VanEck, 21Shares, Canary and Bitwise, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

On March 17, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the US’s largest derivatives exchange, launched SOL futures contracts. Experts say this is further indication that spot SOL ETFs will soon be approved in the US.

Roughly a dozen asset managers are seeking the SEC’s approval to launch altcoin ETFs in the US. The proposed ETFs for altcoins range from Litecoin (LTC) and XRP (XRP) to Dogecoin (DOGE) and Official Trump (TRUMP).

Issuers are also asking for the SEC to approve changes to existing ETFs, including allowances for staking, options and in-kind redemptions. 

The SEC eased its stance on cryptocurrency after US President Donald Trump began his second term in January. 

Under former President Joe Biden, the SEC brought upwards of 100 lawsuits against crypto firms, alleging various securities law violations. In 2024, the regulator greenlighted spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) ETFs but stymied proposed ETFs tied to other cryptocurrencies.

Magazine: Memecoins are ded — But Solana ‘100x better’ despite revenue plunge

Brazil’s data watchdog upholds ban on World crypto payments

Brazil’s data watchdog upholds ban on World crypto payments

Brazil’s data protection agency has upheld its decision to restrict cryptocurrency compensation tied to the World ID project, citing user privacy concerns. 

The National Data Protection Authority (ANDP) rejected a petition by World ID developer Tools For Humanity to review its ban on offering financial compensation to users who provide biometric data through iris scans, the agency said in a March 25 announcement.  

ANDP will “maintain the suspension of the granting of financial compensation, in the form of cryptocurrency (Worldcoin – WLD) or in any other format, for any World ID created by collecting iris scans of personal data subjects in Brazil,” a translated version of the announcement reads. 

The company faces a daily fine of 50,000 Brazilian reais ($8,800) if it resumes data collection activities. 

Cointelegraph reached out to Tools for Humanity but had not received a response at the time of publication.

Brazil, Identity, Identification, Worldcoin

World ID verification in Brazil was short-lived, with the ANDP banning data collection more than two months after it was launched in the country. Source: Worldcoin

ANDP’s investigation into World, formerly known as Worldcoin, began in November of last year amid concerns that financial rewards could compromise users’ ability to consent to offering sensitive biometric data. 

The controversial “World ID” is created when users agree to iris scans, which generates a unique digital passport that can authenticate humans online. 

As Cointelegraph reported, Tools For Humanity was ordered to stop offering services to Brazilians as of Jan. 25. 

Related: Blockchain identity platform Humanity Protocol valued at $1.1B after fundraise

Race for digital identity solution heats up

Although World ID has run afoul of Brazilian law, the use of digital identification methods is growing in other markets due to the rise of AI deepfakes and Sybil attacks.

The rise of bots and AI is also watering down online discourse on social media platforms such as X and Facebook. As Cointelegraph reported, up to 15% of X accounts are believed to be bots. 

Research from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis also showed that generative AI is making crypto scams more profitable by enabling the creation of fake identities. 

Some companies are attempting to create digital identity solutions without triggering privacy concerns and regulatory crackdowns. Earlier this year, Billions Network launched its own digital identity platform that doesn’t require biometric data. 

The platform is based on a zero-knowledge verification technology known as Circom and has already been tested by major financial institutions such as HSBC and Deutsche Bank.

Magazine: 9 curious things about DeepSeek R1: AI Eye

Ethereum Accumulation Is Almost Over – Breakout Above $2,200 Could Trigger Expansion Phase

Ethereum is trading back above the key $2,000 level after spending several volatile weeks attempting to reclaim it. Since late February, ETH has dropped more than 38%, triggering widespread panic as the price broke below major support and briefly dipped under $1,800. The decline sparked fears of a prolonged downtrend, with many questioning whether Ethereum had entered a bear market.

However, sentiment is beginning to shift. Investors are now looking for signs of recovery as ETH stabilizes and retests important levels. A growing number of analysts believe that the recent volatility may have been a final shakeout before a new uptrend.

Top analyst Ted Pillows shared insights on X, suggesting that Ethereum may be wrapping up its “manipulation phase.” This phase typically features erratic price action designed to exhaust both bulls and bears before the market commits to a clear direction. If the phase ends soon, Ethereum could rebound significantly in the coming weeks.

As ETH hovers near $2,000, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain momentum or if further downside lies ahead.

Ethereum Bulls Face A Test As Expansion Phase Looms

Ethereum is showing early signs of strength as it hovers just above the critical $2,000 mark, a level that has acted as both a psychological and technical battleground for weeks. Bulls are being called into action as the broader market begins to stabilize, with ETH price action hinting at a potential recovery. However, the situation remains fragile, with uncertainty dominating sentiment and no clear trend established yet.

Speculation is split between those anticipating a deeper correction and others betting on a full-scale recovery. For now, Ethereum remains range-bound, and any breakout attempt must be backed by strong conviction to shift momentum. Bulls must defend the $2,000 level and begin targeting higher resistance zones to spark confidence in a sustained uptrend.

Pillows stated that Ethereum is likely exiting what he calls the “manipulation phase” — a confusing, price movement designed to exhaust buyers and sellers. According to Pillows, this phase is nearly over, and Ethereum’s expansion time is about to begin.

Ethereum about to enter expansion phase | Source: Ted Pillows on X

A confirmed breakout above the $2,200 level would be the catalyst for a new expansion cycle, potentially sending ETH into higher territory in the weeks ahead. Until then, price action will remain sensitive, with the next few sessions crucial in deciding Ethereum’s trajectory.

But Bulls Face Key Resistance Ahead

Ethereum is currently trading at $2,070 after managing to reclaim the $2,000 level—a crucial psychological and technical zone that had acted as resistance in recent weeks. This move marks an important step for bulls who are now trying to solidify momentum and prevent further downside. However, the real test lies ahead, as ETH must reclaim the $2,250 level to initiate a true recovery phase.

ETH trying to push above higher supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

The $2,250 mark aligns with previous areas of heavy trading activity and could act as the launchpad for a broader uptrend if bulls manage to flip it into support. Successfully retaking this level would likely attract fresh demand and restore investor confidence, especially after the asset shed more than 38% of its value since late February.

Despite the short-term optimism, downside risks remain. If Ethereum fails to hold above $2,000, the market could experience renewed selling pressure, potentially pushing ETH back toward the $1,800 support level. Such a drop would reinforce bearish sentiment and delay any potential recovery rally.

For now, traders are watching closely to see if Ethereum can build on its current strength and reclaim higher levels in the sessions ahead.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Bitcoin holds gains amid rising BTC ETF net flows, Coinbase premium and Trump tariff rollback

Bitcoin holds gains amid rising BTC ETF net flows, Coinbase premium and Trump tariff rollback

Bitcoin (BTC) price opened the week with strength, rallying to a daily high at $88,804, which was met by praise from analysts who have identified the $90,000 to $92,000 zone as the key price level to hit in the short term. 

The market found strength on March 24 after US President Donald Trump suggested that his April 2 “tariff number” announcement could be softer than expected after cars and microchips were removed from the list. 

According to Ben Yorke, the vice president of ecosystem at WOO, “The White House’s decision to walk back the threat of broad tariffs and to deploy a more targeted approach suggests Trump is wary of an economic backlash.”

Proof of the market’s positive response to the tariff news can be seen in the increase in Bitcoin futures open interest, where the general assumption is that traders used leverage to open new margin-long positions. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, White House, Donald Trump, Market Analysis

BTC/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: MacroCRG / X 

The return of the Coinbase Premium — a measure of the percentage difference between BTC price at Coinbase Pro and Binance — and a 7th consecutive day of spot BTC ETF inflows are also signs that spot demand is returning to the market and could signal an improvement in sentiment as Bitcoin’s last few weeks of price action had been defined by selling and the use of perpetual futures to drive price action within the current range. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, White House, Donald Trump, Market Analysis

Bitcoin Coinbase premium index. Source: CryptoQuant 

Data from SoSoValue shows US spot Bitcoin ETF net flows of $84.17 million. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, White House, Donald Trump, Market Analysis

Total spot Bitcoin ETF net inflow. Source: SoSoValue

Is a rally to $100K back on the cards?

While the return of the Coinbase premium and positive net flows to the spot BTC ETFs is a sign of improving sentiment, the question of whether the current bullish momentum has enough energy to push Bitcoin back above $100,000 remains unanswered. 

Lingling Jiang, a partner at DWF Labs, said, “We’re witnessing the alignment of both structural and narrative factors driving this upward trend of the movement of Bitcoin.”

Jiang told Cointelegraph, 

“At the micro level, we can see a pattern: the resurgence of ETF inflows, the expanding stablecoin market, and breakout patterns across alternative cryptocurrencies collectively signal confidence and perhaps even renewed institutional participation. While market liquidity is strengthening, we notice that volatility remains subdued, and onchain metrics reveal long-term investors accumulating rather than divesting.”

Related: Bitcoin sets sights on ‘spoofy’ $90K resistance in new BTC price boost 

From a technical point of view, Bitcoin continues to trade below the range that had defined its price action from November 2024 until February 2025. While the price trades above the 20-day and 200-day moving average, it remains capped at the descending trendline resistance, which is also aligned with the 50-day moving average ($89,500 – $90,000). 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, White House, Donald Trump, Market Analysis

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

According to independent market analyst Scott Melker, Bitcoin’s 4-hour relative strength index indicator has shown a “clear bullish trend, with a series of higher lows and higher highs.” 

In a March 24 X post, Melker said

“All of this preceded by [an] oversold RSI with bullish divergence at the bottom on daily and below. Which I was screaming about.” 

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Abracadabra Drained of $13M in Exploit Targeting Cauldrons Tied to GMX Liquidity Tokens

Decentralized lending platform Abracadabra.Finance suffered an attack that drained $13 million worth of cryptocurrency from pools tied to GMX liquidity tokens.

Blockchain security firm PeckShield flagged that contracts involving decentralized exchange GMX and Abracadabra were compromised, leading to the theft of 6,260 ETH, worth around $12.98 million at the time of writing.

The exploit focused on so-called “cauldrons,” isolated lending markets in Abracadabra where users can borrow against crypto collateral. These particular cauldrons relied on GM tokens, which represent liquidity positions in GMX, a decentralized exchange platform.

GMX distanced itself from the incident. In a post on X, an account associated with the exchange said that GMX’s contracts themselves were unaffected. The team later said the breach was “solely related to the Abracadabra/Spell cauldrons,” which used GM tokens as collateral but did not involve GMX’s core infrastructure.

In a statement on X, Abracadabra confirmed the exploit and said core contributors and engineers were investigating the incident to its “fully audited” cauldron. The protocol noted that gmCauldrons had been audited by Guardian Audits — the same firm that audited GMX contracts — and were part of a broader security infrastructure involving monitoring and response tools.

The protocol offered the attacker a 20% bug bounty and invited them to negotiate via email or an on-chain message.

Abracadabra is working with Guardian and GMX as well as other security partners in assessing the extent of the damage and how the attack was executed. A full post-mortem will follow once the investigation concludes, and no user collateral was affected, it said.

Last year Abracadabra.Finance suffered a $6.49 million exploit that caused its Magic Internet Money (MIM) stablecoin to lose its peg to the U.S. dollar.

Crypto Expert Arthur Hayes Reveals Why Bitcoin Price Will Touch $110,000 Before $76,500

Bitcoin has entered a period of relative calm, with its price oscillating between $81,000 and $89,000 over the past several sessions. This newfound stability has reassured many traders, as the odds of a sharp decline below $80,000 have diminished significantly. Selling pressure is starting to ease, buyers are gradually stepping in, and the market appears to be in an accumulation phase, which is often a precursor to another rally. 

Even with selling pressure easing, there’s still a risk of breakdown below $80,000 at any moment. However, dormer BitMEX CEO and renowned crypto investor Arthur Hayes recently shared a bold projection that Bitcoin will reach $110,000 before retesting the $76,500 price level.

Arthur Hayes Predicts $110,000 Will Come Before Any Pullback to $76,500

As it stands, Bitcoin is closer to $75,000 than it is to $110,000, but popular crypto commentator Arthur Hayes believes the leading cryptocurrency will reach the latter before the former.  A climb to $110,000 will translate to a new all-time high for Bitcoin, as its current peak is $108,786, set in January. 

At present, Bitcoin is trading about 20.3% below that high, and concerns about a deeper correction are valid. The possibility of a pullback to $76,500 is still a genuine concern, especially since that price sits just under this month’s local low, and it can be quickly retested before another bounce upwards.

Hayes’ comments on social media platform X offered both a price target and a macroeconomic rationale. Hayes stated, “I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k,” clarifying that the momentum of the market and shifts in monetary policies are more likely to push the Bitcoin price up rather than another correction towards $76,500. He went further to suggest that once Bitcoin crosses $110,000, it may not look back until it starts approaching $250,000. This price target resonates with outlooks from other crypto analysts.

Incoming Shifts In Monetary Policies

Central to Hayes’ reasoning is the Federal Reserve’s changing stance on liquidity. He pointed out that the Fed is transitioning from quantitative tightening (QT) to a new phase of quantitative easing (QE), particularly in the Treasury markets. Although the Fed has been engaged in quantitative tightening (QT) since June 2022, there are now discussions about pausing or slowing down the balance sheet runoff. According to Reuters, some analysts predict a shift towards a more QE-like approach.

This shift could potentially inject more liquidity into the financial system, pushing assets like Bitcoin to higher price levels. Hayes also dismissed concerns about inflation, stating that the Fed Chairman appears to view it as “transitory inflation.”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $86,600, having traded at an intraday high of $88,713 in the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin

CoreSky Raises $15M Series A to Expand Meme Coin Incubation Platform

Meme coin incubator CoreSky has raised $15 million in Series A funding, to accelerate the development of its platform.

The funding, which brings the company’s total backing to $21 million, was led by Tido Capital with participation from WAGMI Ventures, CoPilot Ventures Studio, Web3vision, and Parallel Ventures.

CoreSky’s platform enables user voting to gauge public opinion in the early stages of a meme token’s development.

Meme coins have experienced a significant surge in popularity in the last year, becoming a notable phenomenon in the cryptocurrency market. This rise is attributed to several factors, including high-profile endorsements, political developments, and the increasing influence of internet culture on financial markets.

Despite the challenges presented by scams and rug pulls, the enthusiasm for meme coins persists. For many observers, they represent the community aspect of the cryptocurrency market, as well as the blending of internet culture with financial innovation.

Disclaimer: This article, or parts of it, was generated with assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

Tax season vs tax year: What’s the difference?

Tax season vs tax year: What’s the difference?

What is the tax year?

When filing taxes, understanding the tax season and year is crucial for staying compliant and avoiding penalties. A tax year is the 12-month period in which your income, deductions and credits are recorded for tax purposes

This period is essential because it defines the timeframe for calculating all your earnings and tax liabilities. In many countries, the tax year aligns with the calendar year, which runs from Jan. 1 to Dec. 31, but this is not always the case. Some countries and businesses may follow a fiscal year, starting and ending on different dates.

The tax year runs from Jan. 1 to Dec. 31 in the United States. Any income you earn within that period is reported in the following year’s tax return. For instance, if you earned income between Jan. 1 and Dec. 31, 2024, you would report that income in your 2025 tax return.

While the calendar year is common, some businesses and countries use a fiscal year. For example, in the UK, the tax year for individuals runs from April 6 to April 5 of the following year. Similarly, many companies might follow a fiscal year, such as April 1 to March 31.

Why tax year matters

Tax year matters because of:

  • Record-keeping: For accurate tax reporting, keeping track of your earnings, deductions and credits within the defined tax year is crucial. This ensures that you report the correct amount of income and claim eligible deductions or credits.
  • Consistency in accounting:  Whether for personal finance or business accounting, using a defined tax year helps maintain consistency in reporting and ensures that all financial transactions are aligned with the same period, simplifying financial analysis and tax compliance.

What is the tax season?

A tax season is the official window during which individuals and businesses file their tax returns for the previous tax year. This filing period can last a few months and is dictated by local tax authorities.

In the US, tax season typically begins in late January and ends on or around April 15 (unless extensions or special rules apply). For example, if you earned income in 2024, you would file your tax return during the 2025 tax season, between late January and April 15, 2025. 

If you miss this deadline, you may be subject to penalties or interest charges unless you file for an extension.

Why tax season matters

Tax season is important because of:

  • Compliance deadlines: Filing your tax return within the designated season is crucial to avoid penalties or interest charges. Tax authorities often impose fines for late submissions, and the longer you delay, the more costly the penalties can become.
  • Paperwork and preparation: Tax season is also a time for taxpayers to gather necessary documents such as W-2 forms, 1099s and other income or deduction records. This period allows individuals and businesses to finalize their deductions, review tax laws and ensure all paperwork is ready for filing their returns. Proper preparation during tax season can help maximize deductions and minimize taxes owed.

In the United States, the W-2 form is issued by employers to report an employee’s wages and the taxes withheld during the year, which is essential for completing individual tax returns. 

On the other hand, the 1099 form is used to report various types of income other than wages, such as income from freelance work or interest earned. The 1099 is typically provided by clients or financial institutions, and both forms are crucial for accurately filing taxes during tax season. Employers and payers must send these forms to employees and contractors by Jan. 31 each year.

Key differences at a glance:

Tax year vs. tax season

Did you know? Some businesses and individuals may choose a fiscal year that doesn’t align with the calendar year. For example, a fiscal year could run from July 1 to June 30.

Major countries’ tax years and filing windows

Some countries follow the calendar year (e.g., the US, Canada, Singapore). Others use fiscal years or different periods (e.g., the UK, India, Australia, Switzerland), with varying filing deadlines and extensions based on local regulations.

Different countries have varied start and end dates for both the tax year and tax season. Below is an overview of selected countries:

Tax years and filing windows of various countries

Always verify deadlines with official government websites, as dates can change due to policy updates or extraordinary circumstances.

Did you know? The IRS finalized regulations requiring brokers to report gross proceeds from digital asset sales starting in 2025 using Form 1099-DA.

Crypto tax year and filing deadlines: What you need to know

For cryptocurrency, the tax year and filing deadlines are often treated similarly to traditional assets. Still, the specifics can vary depending on the country and how cryptocurrency is classified (e.g., capital gains, income). 

Generally, the tax year for crypto follows the same period as traditional assets (e.g., Jan. 1 to Dec. 31 in the US and Canada) but with certain exceptions for crypto-specific rules, such as:

Key considerations for crypto taxation

  • Tax year: Most countries align the crypto tax year with the calendar year, so if you trade or hold cryptocurrencies, your transactions from Jan. 1 to Dec. 31 are typically reported in your tax filings for the following year.
  • Tax season and deadlines: Crypto-related tax filings are generally made during the same tax season as traditional assets. However, the complexity of crypto transactions (e.g., trading, staking, mining) may require additional reporting and documentation. For example:
    • United States: Cryptocurrency gains are reported as part of your 2024 tax return (filed by April 15, 2025).
    • United Kingdom: Crypto must be reported under the self-assessment system by Jan. 31 after the end of the tax year (April 6 – April 5).
  • Special considerations:  Different crypto transactions (like trading, staking or mining) may need to be reported separately, and some countries may have specific guidelines for capital gains, income from mining, or airdrops that must be disclosed in the tax filing. Additionally, cryptocurrency exchanges may send users tax documents like 1099-Ks or 1099-Bs in the US, similar to traditional financial assets.

Crypto tax reporting

Many countries are still updating their regulations to address the complexities of cryptocurrency taxation, so it’s essential to stay updated on national tax authority guidelines and any changes in cryptocurrency regulations.

The table below provides a snapshot of the reporting requirements for crypto in the listed countries, focusing on how taxes are applied based on the type of crypto-related activity (capital gains vs. income).

Crypto tax reporting requirements of various countries

Also, please note that not all crypto transactions are taxable events. For example, transferring cryptocurrency between wallets or accounts you control is generally considered a non-taxable event, as it does not involve a change in ownership or a realization of gains. 

However, this can vary significantly from country to country. In some jurisdictions, even wallet-to-wallet transfers might require reporting if the transferred amount later influences the calculation of gains when a taxable event occurs. It is essential to consult local tax guidelines or a professional adviser to determine which transactions are exempt from taxation in your region

Common mistakes to avoid while reporting crypto taxes

Avoiding crypto tax mistakes requires meticulous record-keeping, accurate classification of gains and income and staying updated on tax regulations.

Here are the common mistakes to avoid while reporting crypto taxes:

  • Failing to report all transactions: Many taxpayers neglect to report every transaction, including small trades, staking rewards or airdrops, leading to discrepancies and potential audits.
  • Confusing capital gains with income: Mixing up capital gains and income from crypto activities (like mining or staking) can result in incorrect tax reporting. Crypto earned through mining or staking may be considered income, not capital gains.
  • Not keeping proper records: Failing to maintain a detailed record of crypto transactions (dates, amounts, exchanges used) can make it difficult to accurately calculate gains or losses, especially if trading on multiple platforms.
  • Ignoring hard forks and airdrops: Some taxpayers overlook income from hard forks and airdrops. These are considered taxable income at the fair market value when received and must be reported.
  • Not using the correct valuation method: Incorrectly calculating the value of crypto at the time of the transaction, especially during volatile periods, can lead to inaccurate tax filings.
  • Underestimating foreign crypto income reporting: If you trade on foreign exchanges, you may need to report foreign accounts and income, failing which could lead to penalties under international tax reporting laws.
  • Forgetting to report crypto-to-crypto transactions: Swapping one cryptocurrency for another is a taxable event in many countries, and failing to report these trades can lead to errors in your tax filings.
  • Not considering taxation for DeFi gains: DeFi income from liquidity provision, yield farming, or staking can be complicated. Many taxpayers mistakenly assume these are not taxable, which leads to issues down the line.

Countries with low or no crypto taxes (as of March 2025)

Countries like Portugal, Singapore, Germany, Switzerland, and the UAE offer attractive, low or zero crypto tax environments for investors.

As of March 2025, several jurisdictions continue to attract crypto investors with their favorable tax environments:

  • Portugal: Renowned for its crypto-friendly policies, Portugal still exempts individual crypto capital gains for non-professional traders, making it a top destination for those looking to minimize tax liabilities on digital asset investments.
  • Singapore: With no capital gains tax, Singapore remains an attractive hub for crypto investors. While personal trading benefits from this favorable policy, businesses engaged in crypto-related activities must adhere to standard corporate tax rules.
  • Germany: Crypto held by private investors for more than one year is tax-free in Germany. This rule encourages long-term holding, providing significant tax advantages for investors willing to commit to extended periods.
  • Switzerland: Switzerland’s tax system offers leniency for private crypto investors, as capital gains on personal investments are typically tax-free. However, income from crypto activities may be subject to taxation, and the specific treatment can vary by canton.
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE): The UAE has emerged as a crypto-friendly jurisdiction by offering zero capital gains tax on crypto investments for individuals, attracting global crypto investors seeking a tax-efficient environment.

These countries exemplify some of the most attractive tax regimes for crypto investors as of 2025, though regulations continue to evolve, so it’s essential for investors to stay updated on local guidelines.

History suggests that digital gold can rush in an economic revolution

History suggests that digital gold can rush in an economic revolution

Opinion by: Michael Amar, co-founder of Chain of Events and general partner at v3nture

Once upon a time, in 1848, a man could walk into the wilderness on the brink of poverty and emerge, caked in mud, dust and days-old sweat, a multimillionaire. The discovery of gold in California in the mid-19th century ignited a fuse, causing explosive ripples that transformed the American economy.

In 2025, a relatively new resource, less shiny but no less brilliant and scarce, looks set to reshape the global economy and spark another race for accumulation. Only this time, there won’t be pickaxes and pans. There will be ASICs, algorithms and distributed ledger technology. 

Of course, this refers to Bitcoin (BTC), also known as digital gold.

Just as the gold rush spurred on banking, financial systems, lending, trading and changes to monetary policy, history is repeating itself with Bitcoin, digital payments, asset tokenization and crypto-politicians. Laws, regulations and culture changed to accommodate gold. They’re now doing the same for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies at large.

Exploring the historical parallels

The gold rush created wealth “out of thin air,” and Bitcoin is doing the same. With around $2 trillion in market value, those who adopted early and took the most risk are now millionaires (in fact, over 85,000 are confirmed) and, in some cases, billionaires (there are thought to be 17 of them). 

From the hundreds of thousands that descended on California, those who struck real gold used their newfound wealth to build railroads, telegraph lines and entire towns. Bitcoin’s early success stories used their financial muscle to stake further claims by developing applications, growing infrastructure businesses and nurturing the industry. Michael Saylor founded MicroStrategy, which had rebranded to Strategy. This business intelligence company holds over $48 billion worth of Bitcoin, while Changpeng Zhao founded the world’s biggest crypto exchange and is worth over $57 billion. 

Recent: Coinbase, Gemini CEO throws support behind Bitcoin-only US crypto reserve

Today’s business analysts and market experts should look into the American gold rush, where they’ll find striking similarities. Just as gold mining once attracted workers and investors, Bitcoin attracts institutions, startups, talent, governments and capital inflows. Gold-backed reserves changed global economics and drove gold demand. Will a US strategic Bitcoin reserve do the same?

Men started the gold rush with pickaxes and pans and ended it with hydraulic mining equipment. The earliest Bitcoin users mined with their home computers, whereas now there are enormous energy-efficient Bitcoin mining facilities, cutting-edge cooling apparatus and the Lightning Network. Scalability and efficiency have leaped forward.

Broader implications for international finance

Beyond instant wealth, infrastructure, monetary policy and economic ripples, there’s monetary sovereignty. Any country that establishes Bitcoin reserves as a hedge against inflation or geopolitical stability takes the future into its own hands. This is identical to gold, which has been used as a reserve for a long time. Since “The Nixon Shock” in 1971, however, the US dollar has decoupled from gold, creating an overdue opportunity for a new resource to fill its large gilded shoes.

Monetary sovereignty is also a major driving force for retail adoption, with Bitcoin offering protection against inflation and government policy through economic decentralization.

Addressing skepticism from different audiences

Widespread enthusiasm among tech leaders, libertarians, celebrities, businesses and popular political figures has met with years of fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) from regulators, skeptics and some of the world’s most prominent investment managers. They say that Bitcoin has no real value, but let it be said that gold is just a shiny, semi-scarce rock.

Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock — the world’s largest investment company with $10 trillion in assets under management — once called Bitcoin “an index of money laundering.” Over the years, he has gone from the messiah of the skeptics to purchasing 2.7% of the global Bitcoin supply and publicly stating his belief that it could reach $700,000 per BTC. “As I became a student of crypto, it was very clear to me that crypto is a currency of fear,” Fink said. “But that’s OK. If you’re frightened of the debasement of your currency or the economic or political stability of your country, you can have an international-based instrument called Bitcoin that can overcome those local fears.” 

If Fink can change his mind, so can other skeptics. 

In the run-up to his election win, Trump was quite vocal about a strategic Bitcoin reserve, and has continued to be. Things also seem to be taking shape in terms of individual states moving toward building their own reserves.

Gold has had a transformative effect on the world. Bitcoin is now here to relieve it of its duties.

Opinion by: Michael Amar, co-founder of Chain of Events and general partner at v3nture.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Michael Saylor’s $200 Trillion Bitcoin Strategy: U.S. BTC Domination and Immortality

It’s the year 2045. Digital assets move at the speed of light. AI agents interact millions of times a second, using bitcoin as a base currency. Bitcoin is now a $200 trillion asset class, a settlement layer for the AI Age of the Internet.

This is the future imagined by bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of Strategy (MSTR). Saylor pioneered the bitcoin corporate treasury – turning his flailing software firm into a Nasdaq-listed $85 billion leveraged bitcoin powerhouse.

CoinDesk recently sat down with Saylor, Bitcoin’s ultimate maximalist, for a two-hour interview to break down his vision for global bitcoin domination.

Since the election of U.S. President Donald Trump, bitcoin has maintained a 26% gain, peaking at a $2.1 trillion market cap, and touching a January all time high of $109,000. Strategy, a Wall Street proxy for bitcoin, remains strong with about a 50% gain, despite dropping approximately 30% from November highs amid a broader decline in U.S. equities, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, and oil.

The United States went from regulating crypto by enforcement and covertly de-banking digital asset firms, dubbed “Operation Chokepoint 2.0” by the industry, to declaring that the U.S. will become a bitcoin superpower and the crypto capital of the world. For Saylor, the sea change means doors that were previously closed are opening. Governments and traditional institutional investors around the world that used to be afraid of engaging with digital assets are now curious.

Saylor said he is fielding invitations to speak at all the elite gatherings: South America’s 100 wealthiest families, Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds, Morgan Stanley’s prestigious tech conference, CPAC, and the White House. He has gone from encouraging corporations to adopt bitcoin treasuries to advising nation states on establishing strategic bitcoin reserves.

Bitcoin has reached “escape velocity,” he said, because once the U.S. government begins to acquire it aggressively, the U.S. will become a beneficiary and force every country to adopt bitcoin as the global capital.

“It becomes a fait accompli,” said Saylor. “It’s one of those geopolitical moves that when you embrace the network, you force all of your allies first to adopt it, and then all your enemies have to adopt it.”

U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve

President Trump’s executive order to establish a U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve represents a milestone in realizing bitcoin’s manifest destiny. At one point, the U.S. held about 400,000 bitcoins, but sold half of it for proceeds of $366 million. Trump’s crypto czar David Sacks lamented that the cost to American taxpayers for selling this bitcoin prematurely is $17 billion at current market value.

The executive order directs the Secretary of the Treasury to never sell the United States’ bitcoin and to develop budget neutral ways to acquire more bitcoin. It further directs the creation of a digital asset stockpile, a portfolio of seized crypto assets that can be managed and rebalanced as necessary.

At President Trump’s White House Digital Assets Summit on March 7, Saylor proposed that the U.S. acquire 5%-25% of the total bitcoin supply by 2035 that could generate an estimated $100 trillion in economic value by 2045.

When asked about this proposal, Bo Hines, Executive Director of the Presidential Council of Advisers for Digital Assets, told CoinDesk the Trump administration wants the U.S. to acquire as much bitcoin “as we can possibly get” and is considering various creative methods, including Senator Cynthia Lummis’ (R-Wyo) proposal to use Federal reserve earnings and gold certificates to buy bitcoin.

As the U.S. embraces bitcoin, worldwide banks will inevitably follow.

“ Pandora’s box has been opened,” said Saylor. “When bitcoin spreads… and there’s a trillion dollars of digital capital in the banking system, it won’t just be in the U.S. It’s a virus. And so the virus spreads. And in this case, that means you’re going to have hundreds of thousands of banks and trillions of dollars that are held by a billion people.”

‘Thermodynamically Sound’ Money

Michael Saylor was born in Lincoln, Nebraska. He grew up on Air Force bases across the Midwest, as well as in Japan and New Zealand. An Air Force scholarship sent Saylor to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he obtained dual degrees in aeronautics, astronautics, and the history of science. A literal rocket scientist, Saylor’s systems mindset attracted him to bitcoin’s “thermodynamically sound” design.

After serving as an Air Force Reserve captain, Saylor co-founded MicroStrategy in 1989, a software firm that rode the dot-com bubble, until Saylor and two other MicroStrategy executives were embroiled in an accounting fraud scandal in 2000. Eventually, they settled with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for about $11 million.

At MicroStrategy, Saylor invented over 48 patents and deployed dozens of business ideas. Some succeeded, most of them failed. Saylor said the irony is that his greatest success was somebody else’s idea. Satoshi Namamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, created “digital gold” that Saylor discovered while under lockdown during the Covid-19 pandemic. He grabbed onto it out of desperation, preferring MicroStrategy to have a quick death over a slow one if it failed.

In July 2020, MicroStrategy began to steadily and continuously purchase bitcoin through cash flows, equity and debt, basically any way it could. It climbed the highs of the 2021 bull run and withstood the impairment charges of the 2022 crypto winter. By 2024, the Bitcoin corporate treasury strategy emerged battle tested. It survived its first crypto market cycle and the Trump bump catapulted MicroStrategy from a $1 billion to a $100 billion market cap company.

“[Bitcoin] became an opportunity,” said Saylor. “Then it became a strategy, and then all of a sudden in the past 12 months, we realized it was a really good business.”

From MicroStrategy to Strategy

MicroStrategy, rebranded and doing business as “Strategy,” proved to be an incredibly desirable stock for institutional investors wanting exposure to the volatile ups and downs of bitcoin. In December, Strategy was admitted to the Nasdaq 100. It is now eyeing membership to the S&P 500, which would spark an additional tidal wave of public market access.

To generate positive momentum, Strategy is laser-focused on raising capital to buy more bitcoin through a plethora of fixed income securities, creating a casino of financial products for traders addicted to bitcoin’s volatility. By constantly weighing market conditions, tweaking yield parameters and conversion factors, Strategy has engineered “intelligent leverage” designed to lure demand and ensure each successive series of securities amp each other up in an endless positive feedback loop.

“If you were to say, it sounds like financial engineering, it absolutely is financial engineering,” said Saylor. “ It creates more pressure to drive up the price of bitcoin, which drives up the price of MSTR, which drives up the leverage of MSTR, which drives up the value of the options, which drives up the demand for the equity, which drives up the demand and the value of the [convertible bonds], which drives up the price of and the demand for the preferred [shares].”

Strategy has raised approximately $33 billion to purchase half a billion bitcoins through this financial engineering. That has ignited online debate regarding Strategy’s ability to pay out dividends or bond maturities if markets sour or it cannot raise fresh capital. The money likely won’t come from existing company cash flows: Strategy’s software profits are negligible; in 2020-2023, they were negative, according to MarketWatch data.

All of this keeps Saylor up at night. So, Strategy is keeping all of its options open.

“ When the equity capital markets give us a massive premium, we’ll sell the equity,” said Saylor. “If we get too levered, we will de-lever. If we feel that the capital markets aren’t really favorable to sell any securities, we’ll just stop and wait.”

Last week, Strategy brought its bitcoin holdings above 500,000 tokens by purchasing an additional 6,911 bitcoins for $584 million, using proceeds from the sale of MSTR common stock. They further announced their new STRF perpetual offering raised $711 million to buy more bitcoin, when its initial goal was to raise $500 million.

This latest series of preferred stock differs from the original STRK offering in that it comes with a higher coupon (10% versus 8%) and has no common share conversion provision. Spelled out in the prospectuses of both offerings are risk factors that include no obligation to pay accumulated dividends “for any reason.”

Strategy has also eliminated any collateralized debt and therefore liquidation risk of the company’s bitcoin assets.

”We’ve built an indestructible balance sheet. Bitcoin could trade down 99%. There’s no margin call coming. The instruments that are constructed don’t have Bitcoin pledged as collateral,” said Saylor.

Ultimately, the dates to watch are when Strategy’s loans to bondholders become due. The first “put date” is September 16, 2027. If Strategy fails to incentivize bondholders to convert their bonds to MSTR stock or persuade them to await principal repayment the following year, these bondholders might demand Strategy buy back their $1.8 billion loan in cash. If the markets are still hungry for bitcoin exposure, it will be easier to raise capital and pay back investors. If there is a market downturn, and the Wall Street spigot runs dry, Strategy may have to consider selling its bitcoin or default.

‘Economic immortality’

But Saylor said Strategy, like the U.S. government, will “never sell” its bitcoin. He’s bet everything on BTC price going up forever, and the sovereignty, sound money, freedom, and property rights idealized by the community.

Before he dies, Saylor may burn bitcoin rather than give his assets away. That would be a “more ethically proper, ethically sound form of charity” and would bestow “economic immortality.”

“ If I believe that and I burn those keys, then I have made everybody in the [Bitcoin] network that much richer and more powerful forever,” said Saylor. “We’re all in it together, from now to eternity. So yeah, that’s my legacy.”

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

Bitcoin (BTC) passed $88,000 after the March 25 Wall Street open as risk assets stayed highly sensitive to US trade tariffs.

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC price gains anticipate classic April comeback

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD tightly clinging to the daily open.

US stocks opened modestly higher, building on a comeback that provided traders some long-awaited cause for optimism.

A key ingredient in stemming the risk-asset rout were cues from the US government and President Donald Trump over their planned round of trade tariffs set to begin on April 2. 

“Risk assets staged one of their strongest sessions of the year, helped by a temporary easing of fears around the April 2nd tariff deadline,” trading firm QCP Capital summarized in its latest bulletin to Telegram channel subscribers. 

“Trump signalled twice on Monday that trading partners might secure exemptions or reductions, offering a reprieve that helped soothe market jitters.”

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

BTC/USD vs. S&P 500 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

QCP noted that others were coming to believe that the worst of the equities setback had come and gone, including JPMorgan.

“Q2, and April in particular, has historically been one of the best periods for risk assets, second only to the festive December rally,” it added. 

“The S&P 500 has delivered an average annualised return of 19.6% in Q2, while Bitcoin has also recorded its second-best median performance during this stretch – again, trailing only Q4.”

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

As Cointelegraph reported, expectations for April among Bitcoin market participants are also high, given historical tendencies for strong price performance.

Statistics from monitoring resource CoinGlass put average returns for BTC/USD for both March and April at just under 13% over the past eleven years.

Bitcoin stares down major seller liquidity

Analyzing short-timeframe BTC price action, traders increasingly focused on the $90,000 mark on the day.

Related: Bitcoin flips ‘macro bullish’ amid first Hash Ribbon buy signal in 8 months

“$BTC Is still trading at a solid spot premium during this bounce,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades acknowledged in one of his latest X posts

“If it can maintain that while slowly making its way back into the previous range ($90K+), I’d be confident we’re due for a move back to new highs. For now it still remains a big resistance and price has been correlated to equities.”

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

BTC/USD 1-day chart with perps basis. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Meanwhile, CoinGlass showed ongoing sell-side liquidity just below $90,000 — previously attributed to market manipulation by a high-volume trader dubbed “Spoofy the Whale.”

Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, who coined the phrase, said that this entity alone would keep price trapped at around $87,500 going forward.

Bitcoin sets sights on 'spoofy' $90K resistance in new BTC price boost

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

This week, Alan said that another important level to flip to support is the yearly open at just above $93,000. Failure to do so, he warned, could still trigger a return to multimonth lows.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Since US President Donald Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20, Bitcoin (BTC) has swung from a record high of $109,000 to below $78,000 as major tariff announcements from the US and retaliatory moves from trade partners shaved off chunks of cryptocurrency market value and rattled global markets.

“The back-and-forth on tariffs, with Trump sometimes tough and sometimes accommodating, has left markets in a limbo state, where few people are willing to be decidedly bullish but just as few are willing to part with their assets, fearing to be left on the side-lines at the next rally,” Justin d’Anethan, head of sales at Liquify, told Cointelegraph.

By mid-March, investors began regaining confidence as White House messaging pointed to a more measured approach. But mixed signals remain, and with a second wave of “reciprocal tariffs” looming on April 2 — dubbed Liberation Day — market jitters haven’t fully subsided.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Trump’s trade war saga has rattled global markets but evolved to a softer stance by late March.

Colombian tariff standoff and DeepSeek disruption shakes Bitcoin

Bitcoin hovered above $100,000 until Jan. 26, when Trump threatened 25% tariffs on all Colombian imports after Colombian President Gustavo Petro refused to accept US military aircraft carrying deported migrants. Petro accused Trump of mistreating immigrants and retaliated with tariffs of his own.

Colombia quickly reversed course — agreeing to accept deportees — after facing pressure over its dependence on US trade. Bitcoin reclaimed $100,000 shortly after. But market sentiment was further shaken by the sudden rise of Chinese AI firm DeepSeek, whose budget-built model sparked fears of disruption in the tech sector and contributed to risk-off sentiment across markets.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Bitcoin’s dip below $100,000 in late January coincided with US tariffs standoff with Colombia and the rise of DeepSeek. Source: CoinGecko

Tariff war begins and Bitcoin racks losses

On Feb. 1, Trump signed an executive order to impose 10% tariffs on all Chinese imports and 25% on Canadian and Mexican goods, effective Feb. 4, citing national emergency over immigration and fentanyl. China, Canada and Mexico all threatened retaliation.

Bitcoin tumbled below $93,000, rebounding only after Trump agreed to a 30-day pause on the Canada and Mexico tariffs on Feb. 3. But the Chinese tariffs took effect as scheduled on Feb. 4 — and that was the last time Bitcoin traded above $100,000.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Bitcoin’s falls as Trump signs executive order, its subsequent recovery was a dead cat bounce. Source: CoinGecko

Bitcoin remained volatile through mid-February. On Feb. 10, Trump announced the removal of steel and aluminum tariff exemptions, raising all metal tariffs to 25%, effective March 12. He then unveiled a “reciprocal tariffs” plan to match foreign import taxes.

Bitcoin held steady around $93,000 and briefly rallied to $99,000. But on Feb. 21, the momentum collapsed following the Bybit hack — the largest crypto breach in history — sending Bitcoin back below $90,000.

Related: In pictures: Bybit’s record-breaking $1.4B hack

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Bitcoin falls just before reaching $100,000 following Bybit hack, then copper tariff. Source: CoinGecko

On Feb. 25, Trump added to bearish pressure by ordering a review of potential tariffs on imported copper, citing national security. Bitcoin dipped below $80,000 for the first time since November.

March shows signs of relief for Bitcoin

March kicked off with Trump issuing another order reviewing tariffs on lumber and timber. But crypto briefly rallied after the White House unveiled plans for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and digital asset stockpile — including XRP, SOL, and ADA.

On March 4, Trump followed through with 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and doubled Chinese tariffs to 20%. All three countries vowed to retaliate. The next day, Trump granted a one-month exemption on tariffs for US automakers importing from Canada and Mexico. A day later, the White House extended the tariff pause on many imports that qualify under the USMCA, while still threatening reciprocal tariffs on April 2.

Related: Does XRP, SOL or ADA belong in a US crypto reserve?

Trump credited Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum for “unprecedented” border cooperation. Canada also signaled easing tensions. Bitcoin see-sawed on the $90,000 mark but eventually dipped below on March 7, and it has not reclaimed that level at the time of writing.

Meanwhile, Trump finalized the steel and aluminum hikes. Then on March 13, he threatened 200% tariffs on European wine, champagne and spirits if the EU moved forward with a 50% tax on American whiskey as a retaliation against steel and aluminum tax.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Bitcoin trades at around $84,000 on March 1 and March 16 despite large swings in between. Source: CoinGecko

Tone softens and Bitcoin starts rebound but ‘Liberation Day’ looms

By mid-March, the administration’s tone began to soften. On March 18, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said tariffs would be tailored to each country’s trade practices and could be avoided entirely if partners lowered their own barriers.

Financial markets, rattled for weeks, began to recover. On March 24, Bitcoin rose to $88,474 on reports that Trump’s next round of tariffs would be more targeted than initially feared.

Timeline: How Trump tariffs dragged Bitcoin below $80K

Softer White House tone sparks Bitcoin recovery. Source: CoinGecko

“In the week leading up to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs on April 2, expect market volatility, corporate lobbying for exemptions, preemptive price hikes, and global diplomatic efforts to mitigate the impact,” Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research said in a written analysis shared with Cointelegraph.

“After the tariffs take effect, anticipate inflation spikes, supply chain disruptions, and mixed job outcomes, with potential stock market shocks and retaliatory trade measures from partners like China and Canada possibly slowing US economic growth.”

Meanwhile, Liquify’s d’Anethan said investors should continue monitoring traditional market developments, especially with Bitcoin’s rising correlation with traditional indexes.

“With BTC’s correlation to the S&P 500 and other traditional assets, it wouldn’t be silly to discount tariffs and geopolitical maneuvering,” he said.

With April 2 approaching, crypto markets remain fragile — and investors are bracing for what “Liberation Day” might bring. Trump recently hinted while speaking to reporters that tariffs on automobiles, aluminum and pharmaceuticals are under consideration.

Magazine: What are native rollups? Full guide to Ethereum’s latest innovation

BNB Bounces Back: Uptrend Resumes After A Healthy Pullback

After a brief yet necessary cooldown, BNB is back in action, regaining bullish momentum and resuming its uptrend. The recent pullback provided a much-needed reset, allowing buyers to step in near the $605 support level and strengthen the foundation for a renewed climb. 

Now, with increasing buying pressure, BNB is making another push toward key resistance levels, signaling that the rally may not be over just yet. However, breaking through overhead resistance will be a crucial test for bulls. If buying pressure continues to build, BNB could push toward new local highs. Meanwhile, if bears step in at key levels, another retracement could be on the horizon

Technical Rebound: Charting The Recovery Momentum

After a strong rally, BNB experienced a brief pullback, allowing the market to cool off before resuming its upward trajectory. Rather than signaling a reversal, this dip served as a natural correction, shaking out weak hands while providing strong support for the next move.

During the pullback, BNB found support at a crucial level, preventing a deeper decline and reinforcing bullish confidence. The consolidation phase also helped ease overbought conditions, resetting momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and allowing for a more sustainable climb.

Additionally, the price is currently holding above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).  As long as the price remains above the 100-day SMA, the uptrend remains intact, suggesting the potential for further gains.

BNB

As BNB continues its recovery, key resistance levels will play a crucial role in determining the strength of its uptrend. The first major hurdle lies at $680, a psychological and technical barrier where previous rejections have occurred. A decisive break above this level could attract more buying pressure, paving the way for more growth. 

Beyond $680, the next resistance to monitor is around $725, where sellers previously stepped in during the last rally. Clearing this zone would signal strong upward movement and open the door for a potential test of the $795 mark, a key milestone that might fuel further upside.

BNB Bearish Risks: What Could Halt The Uptrend?

Despite BNB’s renewed bullish momentum, several factors could stall its upward movement. One key risk is failure at critical resistance levels, particularly around $680. A rejection at these points combined with declining buying pressure, would trigger a pullback and encourage profit-taking.

Another concern is weak trading volume. If BNB’s rally lacks sufficient volume support, it may indicate waning investor confidence, making it easier for sellers to regain control. Additionally, if indicators like the RSI enter the overbought territory without strong price follow-through, a correction could be imminent.

BNB

CME Group to pilot tokenization technology for capital market efficiency

CME Group to pilot tokenization technology for capital market efficiency

US derivatives exchange operator CME Group is piloting solutions for tokenized assets using Google Cloud Universal Ledger (GCUL), a new distributed ledger that was designed for traditional financial institutions.

According to a March 25 announcement, CME has already begun integrating GCUL to improve capital market efficiency and wholesale payments. 

CME Group chairman and CEO Terry Duffy said GCUL could “deliver significant efficiencies for collateral, margin, settlement and fee payments as the world moves toward 24/7 trading.”

The announcement did not provide specific details about which assets would be tokenized. CME Group and Google Cloud will begin testing the technology with market participants in 2026.

Google, CME, Tokenization

Source: CME Group

Before the March 25 announcement, there were no details about GCUL. However, Google Cloud has been expanding into blockchain technology for several years, beginning in 2018 by adding Bitcoin blockchain data to its data warehouse. 

In 2023, Google Cloud added 11 blockchains to its data warehouse. They included Ethereum, Arbitrum, Avalanche and Optimism. 

Related: Google boss expects to spend $75B on AI this year

Tokenization goes mainstream

Tokenization — or the process of converting real-world and financial assets into digital tokens — has generated significant interest from major institutions. 

A March 24 article that was published by the World Economic Forum said the integration of traditional finance with blockchain is “now becoming a reality” and that tokenization was taking center stage. 

“With only $25 trillion of securities currently eligible for collateral use — out of a $230 trillion potential — tokenization could significantly expand liquidity and capital efficiency,” wrote Yuval Rooz, the co-founder of the New York-based company Digital Asset. 

The tokenization industry is expected to take off in the United States under President Donald Trump, who has promised to make America the blockchain and crypto capital of the world.

Tokenized securities platform Tokeny said the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) repeal of SAB 121 would be a boon for the industry by “enabling institutions to provide custody solutions for tokenized securities without unnecessary financial risk. 

Google, CME, Tokenization

Excluding stablecoins, the RWA tokenization market is approaching $20 billion. Source: RWA.xyz

Meanwhile, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has also become a cheerleader for the tokenized securities market. In a January CNBC interview, Fink urged the SEC to “rapidly approve” the tokenization of stocks and bonds. 

Related: Tokenized real estate trading platform launches on Polygon

Abracadabra.Money’s GMX pools hacked, $13M lost

Abracadabra.Money’s GMX pools hacked, $13M lost

About $13 million worth of cryptocurrency has been drained from decentralized lending protocol Abracadabra.Finance following an exploit targeting pools using GMX tokens.

In a March 25 X post, crypto cybersecurity firm PeckShield reported that contracts related to GMX and Abracadabra.Money had been compromised, resulting in the loss of about 6,260 Ether (ETH), worth around $13 million.

The news follows Abracadabra.Money losing $6.49 million after its smart contracts were compromised in late January 2024. At the time, this also led to the protocol’s Magic Internet Money (MIM) stablecoin losing its peg to the US dollar.

Related: Pump.fun’s new DEX reaches $1B volume a week after launch

GMX denies contract vulnerability

Despite initial reports, a pseudonymous GMX communications contributor claimed on X that “GMX contracts are not affected.” According to the user, GMX is involved because MIM’s pools are based on GMX v2 pools.

GMX Market (GM) tokens are a core part of the GMX platform, earning fees from swaps and leveraged trading. MIM’s pools, known as cauldrons, are the protocol’s core product and provide isolated lending exposure.

In an official X post, GMX stated that the hack involved MIM’s pools that used GM tokens. The post further claimed that “no issues have been identified with GMX contracts,” adding:

“We believe the issue relates solely to the Abracadabra/Spell cauldrons. These cauldrons allow for borrowing against specific GM liquidity tokens.”

GMX.io and Abracadabra.Money had not responded to Cointelegraph’s inquiry by the time of publication.

Related: DeFi lender Nostra pauses borrowing after price feed error

Hackers use Tornado Cash, bridge to Ethereum

Abracadabra.Money’s GMX pools hacked, $13M lost

Fund Tracking by AMLBot

Crypto forensics firm AMLBot provided Cointelegraph with a partial reconstruction of how the hack was performed. The hacker’s address was first funded through the Tornado Cash decentralized cryptocurrency mixer, and then those funds were used to pay the transaction fees of the malicious transactions. The stolen ETH was later moved from the Arbitrum network to Ethereum via a blockchain bridge:

“The stolen funds, totaling 6,260 ETH, have been transferred from Arbitrum to Ethereum via a bridge.”

Magazine: What are native rollups? Full guide to Ethereum’s latest innovation

Bitcoin mining supplier Auradine sees opportunity in Trump policies

Bitcoin mining supplier Auradine sees opportunity in Trump policies

US President Donald Trump’s trade war with China and efforts to ramp up on-shore Bitcoin mining will be a boon for US mining rig manufacturers, which currently only hold a small sliver of market share compared to their major Chinese counterparts. 

The United States accounts for over 40% of the Bitcoin network’s global hashrate but still leans heavily on China-made mining rigs. China-based Bitmain reportedly holds as much as a 90% market share in the Bitcoin mining manufacturing market. 

“Trump’s continued focus to support the US BTC mining industry highlights the urgent need to address US reliance on foreign technology,” Auradine’s chief strategy officer, Sanjay Gupta, told Cointelegraph in a recent interview. 

US Bitcoin firms hit a major supply problem last year, with thousands of Bitcoin (BTC) miners held at ports of entry by the US Customs and Border Protection

One of the firms affected believed it was due to a mistaken belief that the chips were illegally imported Chinese radio frequency devices. It took months before they started being released. 

Gupta said that US-China trade tensions have also disrupted the flow of foreign Bitcoin miners. 

“These trade tensions have increased supply chain disruptions with many hardware shipments facing delays and uncertainties,” Gupta said.

The US was already competing with China to win the high-end chip manufacturing market, but the recent trade tensions have only “intensified” these challenges for US-based crypto miners, he added. 

China-based Bitmain is said to hold the majority of the Bitcoin mining manufacturing market. It expanded its production line into the US last December to improve supply chain efficiency.

Gupta said his firm could also stand well-positioned amid Trump’s plan to ramp up onshore manufacturing as a “dramatic increase in demand” for electricity would, in turn, “put a tremendous deal of pressure on the electric grid” — making it more important for Bitcoin miners to operate off-grid. 

Auradine recently announced the launch of its new Teraflux AH3880 hydro-cooled Bitcoin miner, competing with the likes of Bitmain, MicroBT and Canaan.

Related: Bitcoin mining hashprice stays flat despite higher difficulty: Report

Asked whether a further uptick in Bitcoin mining activity in the US could hurt Bitcoin decentralization, Gupta said that securing the Bitcoin network with more energy-efficient solutions in the US would be a “net positive” for Bitcoin but said there could be risks if the increase outpaces technology in sustainability and decentralization. 

Over 95% of the network’s hash power already comes from the US and China alone, according to the Hashrate Index.

Magazine: Korea to lift corporate crypto ban, beware crypto mining HDs: Asia Express